Guardians vs Rangers Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Despite Texas' latest hitting woes, Ezequiel Duran has been proven valuable when inserted into the lineup. Find out why we're targeting Duran's player prop tonight by checking out our Guardians vs. Rangers betting picks.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
May 15, 2024 • 13:32 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Ezequiel Duran Texas Rangers MLB
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The Texas Rangers are looking to avoid getting swept in back-to-back series as they host the Cleveland Guardians at Globe Life Field tonight.

Texas got swept in Colorado over the weekend before getting outscored 14-4 in the first two games against Cleveland. However, despite the defending champs' cold offense, our Guardians vs. Rangers predictions expect Ezequiel Duran to deliver at the plate.

Find out more in our MLB picks for Wednesday, May 15.

Guardians vs Rangers prediction

My best bet
Ezequiel Duran to record a single (+105 at BetMGM)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis

The Texas Rangers’ offense has gone quiet during its five-game losing streak, with 10 runs plated in that span — four of which came on Tuesday night. They managed just six runs in three games at the hitter-friendly Coors Field before getting shut out by the Cleveland Guardians on Monday night.

Texas woke up a bit on Tuesday night with four runs, but the Rangers couldn’t overcome the six-run second inning by the Guardians.

The Rangers have plenty of big bats that we could target tonight against Cleveland, but we’re looking at utilityman Ezequiel Duran. The 24-year-old Dominican is batting .299 in 29 games this season, including an impressive .438 in 12 May appearances.

Duran’s odds of getting a hit are juiced up a bit at -175, which makes sense given his hot streak. He’s recorded a hit in nine of 12 May appearances and 16 of 29 games this season. However, keying in on the type of hit offers bettors value.

Of his 23 hits this season, only two have been for extra bases, including one on Opening Day. That’s right, 21 of Duran’s 23 hits have been singles thus far. We’re getting odds around even money — or slightly plus money depending on the book — for him to hit a single tonight against Cleveland.

Guardians vs Rangers same-game parlay (SGP)

Ezequiel Duran to record a single

Josh Naylor Over 1.5 total bases

Jon Gray Under 5.5 strikeouts

Guardians slugger Josh Naylor has been on a tear recently and narrowly missed out on being our best bet tonight. He’s 10-for-35 in his last 10 games with five home runs and two doubles. Naylor is also 5-for-12 with one double and one home run in career appearances against Rangers starter Jon Gray.

Cleveland boasts the fifth-best strikeout rate at 7.53 per game, including 5.0 per game in their last three contests. Gray has been very hit or miss this season, with seven-plus strikeouts in five starts and four or fewer in his other four outings.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Guardians vs Rangers odds

Guardians vs Rangers live odds

Guardians vs Rangers opening odds

  • Run line: Cleveland +1.65 (-160) | Texas -1.5 (+135)
  • Moneyline: Cleveland +125 | Texas -150
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (+100)

Guardians vs Rangers spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Texas opened around -150 on the ML but has been bet up to as high as -167.
  • In turn, Cleveland is up to +140 on the ML after opening at +130. I’d lean Cleveland’s way given the current price.
  • The total is set at 8.5 with most books juicing the Over to -120.

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Guardians vs Rangers trend

The Rangers have hit the game total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.75 Units / 52% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Rangers

Guardians vs Rangers game info

Location: Globe Life Stadium, Arlington, TX
Date: Wednesday, 5-15-2024
First pitch: 8:05 p.m. ET
TV: BSGL, BSSW
Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
(2-3, 5.36 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray
(1-1, 2.37 ERA)

Guardians vs Rangers latest injuries

Guardians vs Rangers weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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