The New York Mets will try to snap out of their recent slide as they host the Cleveland Guardians at Citi Field on Tuesday night.
Cleveland won the first game of the series and I’ll be taking it to at least cover the run line tonight in my Guardians vs. Mets predictions below.
Let’s take a closer look at the second game of this series in my free MLB picks for Tuesday, August 5.
Guardians vs Mets prediction
My Guardians vs Mets best bet: Guardians +1.5 (-152 at FanDuel)
The New York Mets can’t seem to get out of their own way right now, having lost six of their last seven games. Last night, the Cleveland Guardians even came to New York and beat them 7-6 after a Brett Baty throwing error sparked a two-run frame in the top of the 10th inning.
New York will look to Clay Holmes to right the ship tonight. Turning Holmes into a starter has paid dividends for the Mets in 2025, though his production may be waning as he gets deeper into the season.
Holmes hasn’t gone longer than 5.1 innings since early June, and has allowed four or more runs in three of his last five starts. That includes allowing four runs on eight hits over 3.2 innings against the San Diego Padres last Wednesday.
Guardians starter Logan Allen is solid and has been giving Cleveland 6+ innings in most of his starts. He’s also a lefty: the Mets are batting just .225 with a .657 OPS against southpaws, significantly worse than their output against righties.
I’m not sure if Cleveland can get a second straight win at Citi Field, but I like the Guardians to cover the run line tonight.
Guardians vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)
Guardians +1.5
Under 8.5
Jose Ramirez to record an RBI (Over 0.5 RBIs)
I like the value we can get on this SGP by adding in a leg with some negative correlation, but which still makes sense given what I expect from tonight’s game.
Along with taking Cleveland to cover, I’ll also take the Under at a generous 8.5 runs, as I’d be surprised to see a repeat of last night’s offensive output.
But I’m also taking Jose Ramirez to knock in at least one run, something he’s done in three of his last four games.
Guardians vs Mets odds
Guardians vs Mets live odds
Guardians vs Mets opening odds
- Moneyline: Guardians +136 | Mets -162
- Run line: Guardians +1.5 (-154) | Mets -1.5 (+128)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-114) | Under 8.5 (-106)
Guardians vs Mets trend
The Cleveland Guardians are 6-4 in their last 10 contests. Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Mets.
How to watch Guardians vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Queens, NY |
| Date | Tuesday, 8-5-2025 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | CLEG, SNY |
| Guardians starting pitcher | Logan Allen (7-9, 4.06 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Clay Holmes (9-6, 3.45 ERA) |
Guardians vs Mets latest injuries
Guardians vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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