We've got a full slate of baseball ahead, and our MLB Expert Picks have you covered.
We're coming at the New York Mets-Cincinnati Reds game from a couple of angles, but both anticipate some runs to be scored at Great American Ballpark.
That and more in our MLB picks for Tuesday, June 16.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: NYM/CIN Over 9.5 |
-113 |
 Jon Metler: STL ML |
-108 |
 Neil Parker: NYM ML |
-113 |
 Joe Osborne: PIT/A's Over 10.5 |
-117 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Mets vs. Reds - Over 9.5
Price: 53¢ (-113) at Polymarket
Let's take the Over at Great American Ballpark, which grades out as the second-best park for runs today, per Ballpark Pal, aided by a bit of wind blowing out to left field.
The Cincinnati Reds hung a 12-pack in the opener last night and could keep the offense rolling against New York Mets right-hander Kodai Senga, who is making his first start since a spine/arm injury.
Senga was getting crushed before landing on the IL, allowing 17 runs over his final 8 1/3 innings across three starts. His fly ball rate has also spiked this season, which is never ideal in this park.
On the other side, Brady Singer owns one of the worst HR/FB rates in baseball, and his 4.9 K/9 at home is a massive drop from his 8.3 K/9 mark on the road. THE BAT projections make this fair closer to -164 with 11.82 projected runs.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- How to watch: SNY, Reds.TV
Jon Metler's expert pick: Cardinals moneyline
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket
One team has the star power and the bigger names, but the other side is offering the value.
The St. Louis Cardinals are trading at 52 cents, while I make them closer to 56, giving us enough edge to back them in this spot. Michael King takes the mound for the San Diego Padres, and he leans heavily on his sweeping slider, which generates a ton of horizontal movement and is particularly effective against right-handed hitters.
The problem for King is that St. Louis is expected to feature five left-handed bats, and that slider tends to break into their barrels rather than away from them. I also love the way the Cardinals are constructed offensively. Their ability to alternate left-handed and right-handed hitters throughout the lineup makes it difficult for a pitcher like King to establish a rhythm.
With the handedness constantly changing from one at-bat to the next, King's pitch sequencing and location become more difficult to establish, limiting the effectiveness of his best weapon while creating a favorable matchup for St. Louis.
- Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
- How to watch: TBS
Neil Parker's expert pick: Mets moneyline
Price: 53¢ (-113) at Polymarket
Singer has surrendered the second-highest blast contact rate with the seventh-highest xERA among starters with at least 50 innings this season, so I’m anticipating an improving Mets offense to have success at the dish tonight.
The Mets rank eighth in baseball in xwOBA over the past two weeks, after all, and Senga was in complete command while fanning nine batters across six innings in his latest rehab start with Double-A Binghamton.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- How to watch: SNY, Reds.TV
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Pirates vs. A's Over 10.5
Price: 54¢ (-117) at Polymarket
Everything points toward a slugfest tonight at Sutter Health Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates righty Mitch Keller is in the middle of a brutal stretch, allowing 18 earned runs across his last three starts while carrying an ugly 8.70 ERA over his last six outings.
The A’s counter with Jack Perkins, who's primarily worked out of the bullpen. He owns a 6.20 ERA and hasn’t pitched beyond 4 2/3 innings all season. That’s bad news, with both bullpens also struggling, each posting ERAs north of six over the last two weeks.
Add in an A’s offense ranked second in OPS during those two weeks, Pittsburgh’s 15-4 Over run, and 10 mph winds blowing out, and the Over is the clear play.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- How to watch: SportsNet Pittsburgh, NBC Sports California
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cubs -1.5 | +100 |
| Read analysis in our Rockies vs. Cubs predictions | |
| Astros moneyline | -155 |
| Read analysis in our Tigers vs. Astros predictions | |
| Guardians moneyline | +136 |
| Read analysis in our Guardians vs. Brewers predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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