We're sticking to the Eastern divisions for our expert MLB picks today, eyeing an AL and NL East moneyline, as well as an AL East total.
Read on to see why our MLB experts like the Braves and BoSox to win... as well as plenty of runs in Orioles/Rays (again).
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: BAL/TB o7.5 |
+100 |
 Jon Metler: ATL ML |
-127 |
 Joe Osborne: BOS ML |
-133 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Orioles/Rays Over 7.5
Price: 50¢ (+100) at Polymarket
Yesterday’s series opener exploded for 22 runs, and the projections are calling for more offense today with a fair price on this Over sitting around -126. Kyle Bradish is coming off his best start of the season and threw 100 pitches, after averaging closer to 90 per outing beforehand — there could be some drop-off in quality after the heavier workload.
Griffin Jax is a reliever-turned-starter whose strikeout rate has fallen sharply, from 35% down to 18.2% this season. Both offenses should be able to contribute on a relatively low total, with THE BAT projecting 8.72 runs.
Jon Metler's expert pick: Braves moneyline
Price: 56¢ (-127) at Polymarket
We have two southpaws on the mound at loanDepot park this afternoon, and Martín Pérez and the Atlanta Braves have a much easier matchup with the lineup they’ll face than Braxton Garrett does.
Three of the first five hitters in the Marlins lineup bat from the left side, and the lineup features five left-handed hitters in total. This is a dream matchup for Pérez, as he can neutralize a lot of that power by working the outer half of the plate with his sinker-changeup combination, forcing those hitters to drive the ball the other way.
Garrett, meanwhile, isn’t nearly as fortunate. He struggled with his command and lasted only 1 1/3 innings in his first start of the season, and with Ronald Acuña Jr. expected back in the lineup, the Braves can throw several hitters at him who thrive against left-handed pitching, along with Ozzie Albies and Austin Riley. I price the Braves closer to 61-cent (-156) favorites in this spot.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Red Sox moneyline
Price: 57¢ (-133) at Polymarket
The Boston Red Sox hold advantages across the board tonight in Kansas City. Ranger Suarez continues to pitch at an elite level, allowing zero earned runs in five of his last six starts, while carrying a stellar 1.96 ERA on the road.
The Royals are 2-10 against lefty starters this season, and the offense ranks 27th in OPS against southpaws over the last two weeks. Boston’s bullpen has also been dominant during that span, with an MLB-best 1.90 ERA. With a struggling Bailey Falter set to open for KC, scoring opportunities should come early and often for Boston.
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brewers ML | -115 |
| Read analysis in our Brewers vs. Cubs predictions | |
| Reds ML | +125 |
| Read analysis in our Reds vs. Phillies predictions | |
| Pirates ML | -110 |
| Read analysis in our Pirates vs. Cardinals predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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