Red Sox vs Twins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 13, 2026 , 11:26 AM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's prediction: Twins at least keep it interesting despite likely weather delay.

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
BOS
49 %
MIN
51 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
Minnesota +1.5 (-124) Minnesota +1.5 (-124)
Read Analysis
Victor Caratini Minnesota Twins MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Minnesota Twins catcher Victor Caratini (37) hits a single against the Toronto Blue Jays during the eighth inning at Rogers Centre on Sunday.

While no one in the Twin Cities knows how to feel about a successful season, the Minnesota Twins have surprised the world to start the year.

If and when Minnesota comes back to reality, it likely will be because of its pitching, a disadvantage tonight against the Boston Red Sox.

My Red Sox vs. Twins predictions and MLB picks doubt the weather will make things quick, but whenever there is a game, Minnesota’s surprise season should continue on Monday, April 13.

Who will win Red Sox vs Twins today: Twins +1.5 (-124)

Minnesota Twins righthander Bailey Ober has yet to throw a quality outing this season. Of his three starts, his season debut at Baltimore was the worst, but also the only one that the Twins lost.

With Ober’s continued struggles in mind, it is difficult to justify betting on Minnesota to beat the Boston Red Sox outright. But given the Twins have won six of their last seven games and are shockingly sitting atop the American League right now, some faith should still be put in them.

Minnesota sits sixth in runs per game this year, and while Garrett Crochet is a pitcher to fear, the Boston bullpen is not as fearsome (15th by ERA).

Covers COVERS INTEL: Expected ERA paints and even grimmer picture for the Red Sox bullpen, as it ranks 26th.

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Red Sox vs Twins Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+106)

Expecting Ober to struggle immediately lends itself to expecting this Over to cash, as does expecting the Twins to still keep the game interesting.

Minnesota sits atop the AL because of its bats, ones that have powered the way to three straight Overs.

Crochet’s strikeout tendencies will cost the Twins some outs, but true-outcome baseball generally yields runs eventually, as well.

And if nothing else, the distinct likelihood of a weather delay tonight should throw any pitching plans into chaos.

Red Sox vs Twins odds

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -161 | Twins +140
  • Run line: Red Sox -1.5 | Twins +1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Red Sox vs Twins trend

In winning six of their last seven games, the Twins sprung outright upsets in five of those six wins. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Twins.

How to watch Red Sox vs Twins and game info

Location Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Date Monday, April 13, 2026
First pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
TV NESN, Twins.tv
Red Sox starting pitcher Garrett Crochet
(2-1, 3.12 ERA)
Twins starting pitcher Bailey Ober
(1-0, 5.27 ERA)

Red Sox vs Twins latest injuries

Red Sox vs Twins weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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