Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 26, 2026 , 08:36 AM ET • 4 min read

The Dodgers get the best of Freddy Peralta.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
LAD
57 %
NYM
43 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
LAD @ NYM u9.5 (-120)
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Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Shohei Ohtani rounds the bases against the Yankees.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are healthy -160 favorites to complete the sweep this afternoon.

They've won by an average of two runs during their four-game winning streak, and I'm backing them to win by that margin with my Dodgers vs. Mets predictions and MLB picks.

Who will win Dodgers vs Mets today: Dodgers -1.5 (-105)

Freddy Peralta is having the worst season of his career by FIP, xFIP, and K%. He has especially run into trouble when his strikeout prowess doesn’t play.

Peralta owns a 5.49 ERA over eight starts against opponents ranking Top-10 in avoiding punchouts, and the Los Angeles Dodgers sit fifth.

They haven’t been at their best of late but should score vs. Peralta, who has posted a 1.71 WHIP the past month.

Emmet Sheehan owns a 27.1 K% and 1.15 WHIP in that span, and will be tough to crack. Back L.A. on the run line to -115.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Freddy Peralta has come nowhere close to living up to expectations, ranking in the 11th percentile in pitcher run value.

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Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-120)

Peralta has gone through his share of struggles, but he's been much less vulnerable on home soil, with an ERA 2.28 runs lower.

The Dodgers are 25th in wOBA vs. righties this month. They have the roster to be much better, of course, but it’s no guarantee they put forth a ceiling performance.

The New York Mets rank 24th in average against righties at home since June 1. While they have shown improvement of late, their inability to put the ball in the air will make it difficult to capitalize on Sheehan’s 14th percentile barrel rate.

Bet this to -130.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 63-54, -3.10 units
  • Over/Under bets: 64-48-5, +7.99 units

Dodgers vs Mets weather

The forecast calls for temps in the low 80s with slight winds blowing in. No real impact on offenses.

Dodgers vs Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -160 | Mets +140
  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (-105) | Mets +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+100) | Under 9.5 (-120)

Dodgers vs Mets trend

The Mets have stayed Under their team total in five consecutive home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Mets.

How to watch Dodgers vs Mets and game info

Location Citi Field, Queens, NY
Date Sunday, July 26, 2026
First pitch 1:40 p.m. ET
TV SportsNet Los Angeles, SNY
Dodgers starting pitcher Emmet Sheehan
(4-7, 5.13 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher Freddy Peralta
(5-9, 5.01 ERA)

Dodgers vs Mets latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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