Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 18, 2026 , 11:38 AM ET • 4 min read

Cubs come out swinging, and Shota Imanaga stifles the Brewers' bats.

MLB

Match starts: 7 hrs
MIL
33 %
CHC
67 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
Chi. Cubs -1.5 (+110) Chi. Cubs -1.5 (+110)
Read Analysis
Shota Imanaga Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago Cubs pitcher Shota Imanaga (18) pitches against the Atlanta Braves during the first inning at Truist Park.

The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs open a series Monday night at Wrigley Field in the first meeting between these NL Central rivals since the Brewers won Game 5 of last October's NLDS. We like the Cubs to get revenge.

Read all about it in my Brewers vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks for Monday, May 18, 2026.

Who will win Brewers vs Cubs today: Cubs -1.5 (+110)

Brandon Sproat takes the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers tonight with a concerning profile, especially against a team like the Chicago Cubs.

His pitching run value ranks in the third percentile of baseball, with the breaking ball slightly worse than that. That’s a problem against the Cubs because it forces him to rely too much on the fastball, which is a pitch the Cubs hit as well as any team in the sport.

On the other side is Shota Imanaga. His diverse skill set, which has resulted in a chase rate in the 99th percentile, will neutralize the Brewers' bats tonight. I would play this down to -110. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Sproat walks batters at one of the highest rates in baseball, with a BB rate in the bottom 13 percentile of the sport

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Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 10.5 (-105)

A very windy Wrigley Field has pushed this total up at least a full run. I get it. I still think it's a bit too much.

Imanaga has been sensational over the past month, and his 91st percentile whiff rate should grab some easy outs.

The Brewers are a disciplined lineup that chases at right around 25%, but that doesn't matter much here. Imanga generates swing-and-miss with pure stuff, which poses unique issues.

On the other hand, while I expect the Cubs to score enough to cover, it won't be enough to push this Over. I'd play to 10.  

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 18-17, +.16 units
  • Over/Under bets: 22-13, +11.59 units

Brewers vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Brewers +139 | Cubs -168
  • Run line: Brewers +1.5 (-136) | Cubs -1.5 (+113)
  • Over/Under: Over 10.5 (-112) | Under 10.5 (-107)

Brewers vs Cubs trend

The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in their last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 66% ROI)Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Cubs.

How to watch Brewers vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Monday, May 18, 2026
First pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
TV Brewers.TV, Marquee
Brewers starting pitcher Brandon Sproat
(1-2, 5.75 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Shota Imanaga
(4-3, 2.32 ERA)

Brewers vs Cubs latest injuries

Brewers vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud.

Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.

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