Aaron Judge saved the New York Yankees' season with one of the most incredible home runs you will ever see, leading the Bronx Bombers to a 9-6 win over the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3 of their American League Division Series.
But with the series extended, it means we have more opportunities to cash in on MLB player props this postseason.
So, here are my MLB picks for Game 4 of ALDS and another must-win for New York at Yankee Stadium, on Wednesday, October 8.
And for a full breakdown and more picks, check out our Blue Jays vs. Yankees predictions from Al's Brother.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Game 4 props
| Player |  |
|---|---|
 Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases |
-105 |
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBI |
+190 |
| Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 runs |
+160 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees player prop picks
Prop #1: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases
There’s no way we talk about Game 3 and not touch on what Aaron Judge did last night. His home run to tie the game at six last night is one of the most incredible hits you will ever see in your life.
To take a 100-mph fastball in off the plate and drive it off the top of the foul pole on an 0-2 count is insane. Judge is probably the only player on Earth who can do that. And in doing so, he finally provided a clutch postseason moment for the New York Yankees.
So, with that added to Judge’s already huge list of accomplishments, now his postseason numbers just look staggering. He enters Game 4 with a .500 batting average and a 1.304 OPS through six games and has multiple hits in five of those games.
Tonight, he’ll go against a Blue Jays bullpen day which will be led off with Louis Varland. The exact pitcher he took deep last night. And Judge has solid numbers against several of the Jays relievers.
Yet, oddsmakers are still giving us near even money for Judge to go Over 1.5 total bases once again. As long as the Toronto Blue Jays don’t take the bat out of his hands all game, Judge will have a great opportunity to go Over this number for the sixth time in seven postseason games.
Prop #2: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBI
The Blue Jays may have gagged away Game 3, but you can’t blame Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who started the scoring off with a two-run home run in the top of the first and scored on an emphatic slide to make it 6-1.
Guerrero is now a ridiculous 8-for-13 in the series with three home runs, and eight RBI, to go along with a 1.908 OPS. Simply put, Vladdy is locked in. And expect Aaron Boone and Yankees starter Cam Schlittler to be careful with the Jays star slugger (go find and bet a Vladdy walk if you can find a decent price as well).
Planning to be careful is one thing; executing is another. Schlittler is coming off a historic performance in the Wild Card round in which he struck out 14 batters, but he’s still a young pitcher, and Vladdy has given him problems this season.
Guerrero enters Game 4 going 4-for-5 in his career vs. Schittler, resulting in a .619 expected batting average and a .685 expected slugging. And for some reason, sportsbooks are still giving Guerrero ridiculous odds for him to drive in another run tonight.
Win or lose, it feels like Vladdy is going to continue to have an impact in this series and to price Over 0.5 RBI at +190 seems crazy to me and there’s no way we pass that up.
Prop #3: Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 runs
One of the overlooked parts of how the Blue Jays have played in this series has been the performance of Daulton Varsho. The Gold Glove center fielder has also shown up with his bat in this series.
Varsho is 7-for-12 with a 1.949 OPS through the first three games of the ALDS, which includes five extra-base hits and seven runs scored. And if the Blue Jays want to bounce back following yesterday's disheartening loss, he’ll have to stay locked him.
Varsho obviously matches up better against right-handers, even a good one in Schlittler. He has been hitting in the middle of the lineup in this series, but don’t be surprised if Blue Jays manager John Schneider moves him up to the two-hole, considering his success this series, and it’s something he has done in the past.
He has already scored in every game during this series, and if he gets moved in front of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., he’ll have an even betting chance of crossing home plate. Throw in a price of +160, and this bet is too hard to pass up on, in what has been a high-scoring series to this point.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Yankees and Game 4 info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Wednesday, October 8, 2025 |
| First pitch | 7:08 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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