It's another busy day across the big leagues, and I've found value in my MLB player prop home run analysis.
Today's picks include Kyle Schwarber, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Bryan Reynolds.
Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, June 20.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick +8703 parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|---|
 Kyle Schwarber |
+236 |
 Pete Crow-Armstrong |
+447 |
 Bryan Reynolds |
+379 |
| 💲Today's HR parlay | +8703 |
Home run pick: Kyle Schwarber (+236)
Kyle Schwarber currently leads the big leagues in home runs with 25, and while he's only gone deep twice in his last 12 games, there's reason to believe No. 26 is around the corner.
The Philadelphia Phillies slugger has a 57.1% hard hit rate over the last week and a 21.3% launch angle.
Schwarber is consistently getting under the baseball, and he's up against Freddy Peralta tonight. The righty has allowed 1.26 HR/9 over his last five appearances, and Schwarber has taken Peralta yard twice in 15 at-bats.
I'll play this pick up to +200.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SNY, NBC Sports Philadelphia
Home run pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong (+447)
Pete Crow-Armstrong is arguably the hottest hitter in baseball right now.
He's homered four times over his last six games and six times across his previous 12 contests. The Chicago Cubs star carries a mind-boggling .640 ISO in the last week into today's matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
PCA also owns a 70% hard-hit rate over his last six games and will face left-hander Patrick Corbin, who has allowed 1.35 home runs per nine innings across his previous two appearances.
The matchup isn't overwhelmingly favorable, but Crow-Armstrong is squaring up everything right now and generating the type of contact that can overcome even solid pitching.
I'll play this pick up to +400.
- Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Marquee Sports Network, Sportsnet
Home run pick: Bryan Reynolds (+379)
Bryan Reynolds is tearing the cover off the baseball right now, carrying a .571 ISO and 29.4% barrel rate over his last six games. His average exit velocity during that span sits at 98.1 mph, and Reynolds has gone deep three times over the last week. Tonight's matchup only adds to the appeal.
Reynolds will face Tomoyuki Sugano at Coors Field, where the ball tends to carry due to the high elevation. The right-hander has allowed 1.80 home runs per nine innings across his last two starts while surrendering a 38.5% hard-hit rate. He's also struggled immensely against left-handed hitters, allowing 2.27 home runs per nine innings.
Lock this one in. I'll play this pick up to +300.
- Time: 9:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SportsNet Pittsburgh, Rockies.TV
- HR picks: 10-66, -17.58 units
Today’s HR parlay
| Kyle Schwarber |
Bet Now +8703 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong |
|
| Bryan Reynolds |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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