Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 21, 2026 , 11:19 AM ET • 4 min read

Don't look now, but this Blue Jays offense is humming, and has gone Over their team total in six straight games. Look for the bats to stay hot in New York tonight, per our MLB expert.

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
TOR
45 %
NYY
55 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
Toronto o2.5 (-115)
Bet Now
Toronto Blue Jays MLB Ernie Clement
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays second baseman Ernie Clement (22) hits a single.

After cashing our best bet and same-game parlay yesterday, we're back with my Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction for Friday night.

The Toronto Blue Jays will be in tough today as they navigate a bullpen day against the New York Yankees and Cam Schlittler, but I think their offense can help keep it close.

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for August 21, and fatten that wallet before the weekend.

Blue Jays vs Yankees predictions

Blue Jays vs Yankees best bet: Blue Jays team total Over 2.5 (-125)

Don't look now, but this Toronto Blue Jays offense is hummin', and has gone Over this total in six straight games.

It's a different offense than it was the last time the Jays took on the New York Yankees and Cam Schlittler, who's limited this team to a .252 xBA across 104 plate appearances.

Offense has come from the entire lineup over the last month and change, but nobody has been hotter than Alejandro Kirk, who has 15 hits, three homers, and nine RBI across his nine-game hit streak.

Look for this team to scrape and claw to get three or more runs on the board, especially at one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in the big leagues.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Speaking of hot hitters, nobody is hotter than Ernie Clement in this matchup. Clement is 5-for-12 with a .340 xBA against Schlittler.

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Blue Jays vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)

Yes, the Blue Jays will be going with a bullpen day, but it's a 'pen that's ranked the seventh-best in baseball (3.74 ERA), and one that's rested thanks to Shane Bieber going seven innings yesterday. That should be enough for Toronto to keep things close in a likely low-scoring affair.

Elsewhere, Clement has a variety of ways to cash this bet, and it helps that he feels right at home at Yankee Stadium, owning a .288 average with 17 hits, 12 RBI, and two homers.

Blue Jays vs Yankees SGP

  • Blue Jays +1.5
  • Blue Jays team total Over 2.5
  • Ernie Clement 2+ H/R/RBI

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Blue Jays vs Yankees home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+550)

Kazuma Okamoto has hit two homers in his last three games, and has one against Schlittler in his rookie season, too. Okamoto's in the 83rd percentile for barrel percentage (12.5%) and is in a good spot to go yard at Yankee Stadium... again.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 5-5, +3.36 units 
  • SGPs: 2-7, -0.5 units
  • HR picks: 0-9, -2.1 units

Blue Jays vs Yankees odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto (+170) | New York (-210)
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-125) | New York -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: Over 7 (-115) | Under 7 (-105)

Blue Jays vs Yankees trend

The Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last four series openers. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Yankees.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Yankees and game info

Location Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date Friday, Aug. 21, 2026
First pitch 7:05 p.m. ET
TV YES, Sportsnet
Blue Jays starting pitcher Mason Fluharty
(5-1, 3.71 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher Cam Schlittler
(10-6, 2.19 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Yankees latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Yankees weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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