Blue Jays vs White Sox Picks and Predictions: Ryu Deals in Rubber Match

Toronto and Chicago have played two close games despite final scores of 6-1 and 6-2 to kick off this series. Expect another tight one in a pitching matchup featuring Hyun Jin Ryu and Dallas Keuchel. See who we like in our Blue Jays vs. White Sox picks.

Posted: Jun 10, 2021 12:35 PM ET Updated: Jun 10, 2021 4:45 PM ET Est Time: 4 min
Blue Jays vs White Sox Picks and Predictions: Ryu Deals in Rubber Match
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago White Sox have split the first two games of their three-game set in what has been an entertaining and competitive series to this point.

The finale should be more of the same as Game 3 features a southpaw showdown, with Jays ace Hyun Jin Ryu toeing the rubber against former Cy Young award winner Dallas Keuchel. So, who has the betting value in this one?

Check out our MLB free picks and predictions for Blue Jays vs. White Sox on Thursday, June 10, with first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.

Blue Jay vs White Sox game info

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Date: Thursday, June 10, 2021
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: SNet 1, NBCSCH

Blue Jays vs White Sox odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

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MLB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report

By Patrick Everson

As of 4:45 p.m. ET, the Blue Jays are short -112 favorites at TwinSpires Sportsbook, after opening just a touch higher at -115. Ticket count and money are both in the 2/1 range on the White Sox. The total moved from 8.5 to 9, with 57 percent of tickets/63 percent of money on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Blue Jays vs White Sox betting preview

Starting pitchers

Hyun Jin Ryu (5-3, 3.23 ERA): Ryu is coming off this worst start of the season, allowing six earned runs on seven hits over 5 2-3 innings pitched against the Astros in a start where he uncharacteristically struggled with his command. Prior to that outing, the lefty had a 2.62 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Dallas Keuchel (4-1, 4.25 ERA): The White Sox are second in MLB in starter’s ERA this season but Keuchel has held that number back a bit. The lefty has had some excellent starts but is just not missing a lot of bats and, as a result, has a 4.88 FIP and is allowing opponents to hit .261 off him this season.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Blue Jays: Cavan Biggio UTL (Questionable), George Springer CF (Out), A.J. Cole RP (Out), Ryan Borucki RP (Out), Julian Merryweather RP (Out), Danny Jansen C (Out), Alejandro Kirk C (Out).
White Sox: Nick Madrigal 2B (Questionable), Jace Fry RP (Questionable), Michael Kopech RP (Out), Luis Robert CF (Out), Eloy Jimenez LF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 7-0 in White Sox's last seven games vs. a left-handed starter. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. White Sox.

Moneyline pick

The White Sox took the opener of this series 6-1 before the Jays responded with a 6-2 win in Game 2, but both contests were one-run games heading into the eighth inning so the final scores are a little misleading as to how close these battles were. 

While the starters have dominated these first two games, it appears the Blue Jays have the edge on the bump in this one. 

Even though Ryu is coming off a rough start, he has been the more reliable starter to this point. Ryu had allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of his previous 10 starts and when he's locating his fastball he creates a lot of soft contact.

While the White Sox have a dangerous lineup, particularly against lefties, Ryu has the tools to take the sting out of their bats.

Keuchel, on the other hand, has some ugly advanced numbers. He ranks in the bottom fifth percentile in expected ERA and the bottom one in expected opponent batting average and strikeout rate. 

He faces a Blue Jays lineup that ranks second in MLB in average, OPS, and home runs, and is the sixth-hardest team to strike out in baseball. This should be another tight game but with their ace on the bump, we like the value with the Blue Jays.

PREDICTION: Blue Jays (-115)

Over/Under pick

When it comes to the total, the Over has seen the early money, moving the number up to nine, but that may be high enough to attack the other way. 

First of all, this series has been ultra-competitive and has been even lower scoring than the final scores indicated. There were just two runs scored through the first seven innings of Game 1, and three through seven frames of Game two. And even with the late-game scoring, both contests stayed Under.

Second, as noted, we like Ryu to bounce back in this one, and the White Sox haven’t been as strong against lefties lately, ranking 11th in average and OPS against southpaws over the last 15 days (13 games). 

Lastly, while we like the Blue Jays to have a solid chance to take advantage of Keuchel, he has the support of a solid bullpen as the White Sox rank 11th in ERA and WHIP. Bet this game to continue this trend and stay below the number once again.

PREDICTION: Under 9 (-110)

Blue Jays vs White Sox betting card

  • Blue Jays (-115)
  • Under 9 (-110)

Picks made on 6/10/2021 at 1:08 p.m. ET

MLB parlays

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