The Tampa Bay Rays have played well at home this season, owning a record above .500 with very good offensive numbers to boot.
My Athletics vs. Rays predictions expect their success in Tampa Bay to continue Tuesday, particularly early on.
Let’s break it all down with my July 1 MLB picks for Tuesday, July 1.
A's vs Rays prediction
My A's vs Rays best bet: Tampa Bay Rays F5 -0.5 (-120 at Bet365)
⚾ Pick Analysis
Gone are the days of the low-scoring Tampa Bay Rays grinding teams down while playing in a pitcher-friendly park at Tropicana Field.
Just last season, the Rays ranked 27th in batting average, 28th in slugging, and 29th in wOBA while playing on home soil.
A new, hitter-friendly venue – combined with the continued emergence of young players like Junior Caminero, Jonathan Aranda, and Josh Lowe – has the Rays flying high in Tampa Bay.
They rank 8th in average, 10th in slugging, and 11th in wOBA on the home field this season. By all accounts, they’re an above-average offense in Tampa Bay.
The bats have taken them to another level at home of late, posting downright elite offensive metrics when isolating the past month.
Tampa Bay sits 2nd in average, 4th in slugging, and 3rd in wOBA at home during that span. They are tearing the cover off the ball.
I expect that to continue against one of their former pitchers in Jeffrey Springs. He has not performed as well on the road, and the Rays have excelled against lefties of late.
In fact, they rank 4th in OBP at home vs. lefties over the last couple of months.
They should be able to provide real run support early for Shane Baz, who posted a 3.26 ERA in June – one of the best marks among today’s projected starters.
Look for Baz and the Rays to get the early jump and lead through five innings.
A's vs Rays same-game parlay (SGP)
Rays F5 -0.5
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 hits
Tyler Soderstrom Over 0.5 hits
🚀 SGP Analysis
Jonathan Aranda has piled up the hits all season long, especially when playing in Tampa Bay. He is sporting a ridiculous .373 batting average on home soil and he’s recorded at least one hit in 77% of his home games.
Athletics starter Jeffrey Springs has conceded a noticeably higher average to left-handed bats like Aranda. If the Rays are to have success in this game, Aranda is likely to play a part.
From the Athletics’ perspective, Tyler Soderstrom is my favorite player to back. Be it batting average, wOBA, ISO, hard hit rate, or line drive rate, he has performed better on the road than at home.
His numbers are also much better against right-handed pitchers and he draws a starter of that handedness in Baz.
Having gone a couple of games in a row without a hit, this seems like a good spot for Soderstrom – who has hit safely in 60% of his appearances this season – to get back on track with a knock.
A's vs Rays odds
A's vs Rays live odds
A's vs Rays opening odds
- Moneyline: Athletics (+145) | Tampa Bay (-170)
- Run line: Athletics +1.5 (-152) | Tampa Bay -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105)
A's vs Rays trend
Jonathan Aranda recorded a hit in 16 of his last 18 home games. Find more MLB betting trends for A's vs. Rays.
How to watch A's vs Rays and game info
| Location | George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL |
| Date | Tuesday, 7-1-2025 |
| First pitch | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSCA, FDSNSUN |
| A's starting pitcher | Jeffrey Springs (6-6, 4.30 ERA) |
| Rays starting pitcher | Shane Baz (8-3, 4.37 ERA) |
A's vs Rays latest injuries
A's vs Rays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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