Both the Athletics and Los Angeles Dodgers have been treading water of late with three losses in their last five and a 5-5 record in their last 10 entering Wednesday’s game in L..A.
After a commanding performance at the dish in the series opener, my Athletics vs. Dodgers predictions will explain why the visitors should keep things up offensively but may not have the same amount of success in keeping L.A. at bay.
Without further ado, let’s hand out some MLB picks for Wednesday, May 14.
A’s vs Dodgers prediction
My A’s vs Dodgers best bet: Over 8.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
It’s been so far, so good for rookie Gunnar Hoglund at the big-league level. The 25-year-old has pitched to a solid 2.38 ERA across his first 11 1/3 innings, sporting a low 2.3% walk rate and pitching to plenty of friendly contact, which has been evenly distributed through the air and the ground.
While he took a step back in the strikeout department against the Seattle Mariners last time out, he has remained a stalwart when it comes to allowing baserunners, and the lone home run he’s allowed happened to be on the only barrel against him in two starts.
Taking a look at the beginning of his season in Triple-A, too, we see the results have been strikingly similar across both levels. He’s owned a magnificent 18.3-point delta between his strikeout and walk rates, and while he’s struggled with some hard-hit balls, he’s been able to keep enough of them out of the air to avoid too much damage.
The issue here is that the Los Angeles Dodgers and their expert plate discipline will send Hoglund’s strikeout numbers tumbling, and his commitment to throwing strikes could wind up hurting him here. L.A. has been good in almost every split, but it ranks first in OPS to pitchers who find themselves in the median of the league when it comes to hitting pitchers with average ground-ball and fly-ball rates.
I’m confident the Dodgers and their menacing .199 Isolated Power over the last two weeks will get to Hoglund, at least a little bit, but I’m equally as hot on the Athletics here. They’ve ranked sixth in OPS to ground-ball pitchers and sit fifth in wRC+ over the last two weeks with some much-improved strikeout numbers and a .171 Isolated Power.
Yamamoto has struggled with home runs at times over his brief career, and last time out, he surrendered two against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Athletics have a good, strong lineup, and I expect both offenses to shine here.
A’s vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 8.5
Brent Rooker 2+ total bases
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 5.5 strikeouts
There seems to be one clear choice here as we take a look at the Athletics against an extreme ground-ball pitcher, and that’s Brent Rooker.
Hitting in a premium lineup spot, the towering right-handed bat should step to Yoshinobu Yamamoto at least twice, if not three times, and against ground-ballers this season, he leads the team with 26 total bases and has slashed .343/.395/.743 in the split. He’s hit this mark in two of his last three games, and I like him to keep up the pace.
It’s also an unexpected twist to short a pitcher’s strikeouts against a team which has historically lacked plate discipline, but I don’t think we can look past the Athletics and their 20.2% strikeout rate in the last two weeks, which is worlds better than L.A.’s and ranks ninth-best over that span. They’re putting a lot of balls in play, for better or worse, and after a hot start, Yamamoto has quieted down with just 15 strikeouts in his last three outings and a cover of 5.5 just once.
I don’t think this one will be academic for him, either, so we could get some help here with him being chased early.
A’s vs Dodgers odds
A’s vs Dodgers live odds
A’s vs Dodgers opening odds
- Moneyline: Athletics +225 | Dodgers -275
- Run line: Athletics +1.5 (+108) | Dodgers -1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
A’s vs Dodgers trend
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for A’s vs. Dodgers.
How to watch A’s vs Dodgers and game info
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Wednesday, 5-14-2025 |
| First pitch | 10:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB Network |
| A’s starting pitcher | Gunnar Hoglund (1-0, 2.38 ERA) |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Yoshinobu Yamamoto (4-3, 1.80 ERA) |
A’s vs Dodgers latest injuries
A’s vs Dodgers weather
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