Road to the Breeders' Cup Picks & Best Bets for June 28: Fleur de Lis Stakes + Stephen Foster Stakes

Our horse racing betting picks tell you why you should bet on Thorpedo Anna to bounce back in the Fleur de Lis Stakes, plus analysis of the Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Jun 27, 2025 • 10:00 ET • 4 min read
Thorpedo Anna horse racing
Photo By - Imagn Images. Thorpedo Anna, Brian Hernandez up, wins the 2024 Breeders' Cup Distaff.

The Breeders’ Cup odds could see a shakeup this Saturday at Churchill Downs on a stakes-laden program anchored by the Stephen Foster Stakes. The Stephen Foster, which drew five $2+ million earners, is a "Win & You're In" event for the Breeders' Cup Classic.

Also on the card is the Fleur de Lis Stakes, featuring the return of Thorpedo Anna. My free betting picks tell you how to tackle each of these major heats on June 28.

Fleur de Lis Stakes odds, prediction and best bet

  • Race: Churchill Race 7
  • Post time: 3:52 p.m. ET
  • TV: FanDuel TV
Post Horse Track odds FanDuel bet365
1 Royal Spa 4-1 +400 +600
2 Save Time 20-1 +2000 +2500
3 Thorpedo Anna 3-5 -167 -250
4 Gin Gin 7-2 +350 +600
5 Taxed 9-2 +450 +1000

Odds as of 6-28.

No. 3 Thorpedo Anna (3-5, morning-line favorite) suffered her first off-the-board effort in the Grade I La Troienne Stakes over this course on Kentucky Derby weekend. It was shocking to see the 2024 Horse of the Year finish last in a seven-horse field after winning her first two races of 2025 with ease.

However, I believe she'll bounce back based on her June 14 tune-up drill at Churchill Downs, a 1 of 18 bullet going five furlongs in :59 3/5. Thorpedo Anna should see little pace pressure early and may make every pole a winning one in the Fleur de Lis Stakes.

No. 1 Royal Spa (4-1) won the local prep for this race, the Grade III Shawnee Stakes, at 13-1 when last seen. It legitimized her well-rated win at Laurel two-back. This versatile daughter of Violence will once again have the services of Flavien Prat.

No. 4 Gin Gin (7-2) settled for second behind Royal Spa after a breakout win in the Grade III Doubledogdare Stakes two-back. Trainer Brendan Walsh has clearly figured out something with this daughter of Hightail.

Best bet: $10 trifecta 3/1,4/1,4 ($20)

Best horse racing bonuses

FanDuel New Users
$500 No Sweat First Bet! Claim Now

bet365 New Users
Bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets! Claim Now

Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2025.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Stephen Foster Stakes odds, prediction and best bet

  • Race: Churchill Race 11
  • Post time: 6:03 p.m. ET
  • TV: FanDuel TV
Post Horse Track odds FanDuel bet365
1 First Mission 4-1 +400 +500
2 Mindframe 7-2 +350 +200
3 Skippylongstocking 6-1 +600 +850
4 Sierra Leone 5-2 +250 +200
5 Mystik Dan 3-1 +300 +1100
6 Hit Show 9-2 +450 +700
7 Ashcroft 30-1 +3000 +10000

Odds as of 6-28.

No. 2 Mindframe (7-2) was last seen becoming a millionaire in the Grade I Churchill Downs Stakes going seven furlongs over this course. Irad Ortiz Jr. timed his late rally just right that day to start his 2025 season off at 2-for-2.

Mindframe lost to Dornoch both times at age three when trying to go 1 1/8-miles or longer, but he was far from disgraced in each instance. His pedigree says that nine furlongs is in his wheelhouse, and a sharp recent five-furlong drill suggests stamina won't be an issue in the Stephen Foster Stakes.

No. 4 Sierra Leone (5-2, morning-line favorite) is just as consistent as Mindframe, who has never missed the exacta in six lifetime starts, as the 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic winner sports an impressive 10: 4-3-3 lifetime record.

His lone start of 2025 — a third in the New Orleans Classic at the Fair Grounds in March — was disappointing, but he seems to be training much better now than he did in the lead-up to that race.

Best bet: $20 win 2 

Road to the Breeders’ Cup Classic

Race Date Track Result
Saudi Cup* February 22 King Abdulaziz Racetrack Forever Young
February Stakes* February 23 Tokyo Costa Nova
Dubai World Cup* April 5 Meydan Hit Show
Kentucky Derby May 3 Churchill Downs Sovereignty
Preakness Stakes May 17 Pimlico Journalism
Belmont Stakes June 7 Saratoga Sovereignty
Metropolitan Handicap June 7 Saratoga Raging Torrent
Stephen Foster Stakes* June 28 Churchill Downs TBD
Haskell Stakes* July 19 Monmouth Park TBD
Whitney Stakes* August 2 Saratoga TBD
Juddmonte International Stakes (turf)* August 20 York TBD
Travers Stakes August 24 Saratoga TBD
Pacific Classic* August 30 Del Mar TBD
Jockey Club Gold Cup* August 31 Saratoga TBD
Pennsylvania Derby September 20 Parx TBD
Goodwood Stakes* September 27 Santa Anita Park TBD
Lukas Classic September 27 Churchill Downs TBD

*denotes "Win & You're In" race for Breeders' Cup Classic.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo