Golf Picks, Best Bets & PGA Hero World Challenge Predictions at Albany GC

Neil Parker breaks down his best Hero World Challenge predictions as the PGA Season resumes play at Albany Golf Course in the Bahamas.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Dec 3, 2025 • 09:44 ET • 4 min read
Team USA's Cameron Young hits his tee shot.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Team USA's Cameron Young hits his tee shot.

Albany Golf Course and host Tiger Woods will welcome 20 of the top PGA Tour players to the highly anticipated Hero World Challenge in The Bahamas this week. 

While World No. 1 and back-to-back champion Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite in the Hero World Challenge odds ahead of Round 1, I’m looking further down the board with Cameron Young headlining my top golf picks for the Hero World Challenge.

Golf picks for the Hero World Challenge 2025

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Hero World Challenge outright picks

Outright pick: Cameron Young
+1200 at Fanatics

This will be the fourth trip to Albany GC for Cameron Young, and his best finish was a solo third in his debut. The American enters this edition in scorching form, dating back to his win at the Wyndham Championship in August.

Young has followed it up with four more Top 15s, including a pair of Top 5s, while ranking third in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and second in putting during the stretch.

Outright pick: Aaron Rai
+1800 at Fanatics

Englishman Aaron Rai played solid golf this fall on the DP World Tour with a win in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and a T3 in the BMW PGA Championship. He gained true strokes putting in both events, which reinforces that he’s a threat to win whenever the putter heats up.

The elite ball striker ranks third in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green, second on approach, and first in driving accuracy across his past 50 rounds, too.

Hero World Challenge prop picks

Finishing position pick: Corey Conners Top 10
+100 at Fanatics

The Canadian didn’t play well during a two-event stretch on the DP World Tour in September, but I think his missed cut in the BMW PGA Championship and T70 in the FedEx Open de France are too baked into this price.

Corey Conners was working his way back from a wrist injury, and he’s now had the time to hit the reset button and look ahead to the upcoming season.

There's no denying his ball-striking wizardry, either. Conners is third in this field in both true strokes gained tee-to-green and on approach over the past two years, and his putting improved significantly during the 2025 season, too.

Finishing position pick: Alex Noren Top 10
+100 at Fanatics

There isn’t a player in the field who’s played as much recently as Alex Noren, and he won twice on the DP World Tour late in the season before turning in a T17 in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and T16 in the DP World Tour Championship to conclude the season.

Noren has also gained true strokes on approach in seven consecutive events, and this will be his third trip to the Bahamas to play this event.

Hero World Challenge first-round pick

Round 1 pick: Brian Harmon over Harris English 
-115 at Fanatics

Harris English has lost true strokes on approach in consecutive events, and he finished a ho-hum T14 in his lone trip to Albany GC in 2022. Brian Harmon will be hitting the track for the third consecutive season and has posted T8 and solo 12th results the past two years.

Harman also ranks seventh in this field in both true strokes gained tee-to-green and on approach across his past six events, so I like him to edge out English, who respectively ranks 19th and 20th in the opening round.

Hero World Challenge odds

  • Scottie Scheffler (+140)
  • Cameron Young (+1200)
  • Robert Macintyre (+1200)
  • J.J. Spaun (+1400)
  • Keegan Bradley (+1600)
  • Sam Burns (+1600)
  • Aaron Rai (+1800)

Odds courtesy of Fanatics.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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