Strong defense and collective play at home for Wizards, it should be efficient vs a Raptors team tired, on the road, and where the coach said they are thinking about next year.
Wizards will protect their home winning streak record.
Trends are in favor to under, rest for both.
Line is not moving but we're early and some bookies decrease to 193 until 191.5
Public majority on over
Bol and good job everyone for yesterday !
Eryximaque 37-31-1 (run 3-0!)
Under 192.5 WASH Wizards - TOR Raptors
Strong defense and collective play at home for Wizards, it should be efficient vs a Raptors team tired, on the road, and where the coach said they are thinking about next year.
Wizards will protect their home winning streak record.
Trends are in favor to under, rest for both.
Line is not moving but we're early and some bookies decrease to 193 until 191.5
I was going to take today off until I saw this honey sitting out there. Believe it or not, the Wiz are decent at home (19-17), having won their last 6 games in DC. They've played 6 of the last 7 games on the road, so I think they'll be happy to be home for the holiday.
Toronto is rotten on the road (10-26), having lost 6 of their last 8 on the road, the only 2 wins against lowly PHX and DET. They've also lost 5 of their last 6 overall, and are in rough shape right now. As Eryximaque just noted, Toronto has publicly stated they're playing for next year, which doesn't give me much faith in them to do anything. I'll take the home team to cover the small spread tonight.
washhead 4-0
WAS Wizards -3.5
I was going to take today off until I saw this honey sitting out there. Believe it or not, the Wiz are decent at home (19-17), having won their last 6 games in DC. They've played 6 of the last 7 games on the road, so I think they'll be happy to be home for the holiday.
Toronto is rotten on the road (10-26), having lost 6 of their last 8 on the road, the only 2 wins against lowly PHX and DET. They've also lost 5 of their last 6 overall, and are in rough shape right now. As Eryximaque just noted, Toronto has publicly stated they're playing for next year, which doesn't give me much faith in them to do anything. I'll take the home team to cover the small spread tonight.
The King is angry. I think he believes the NBA took the streak from him. If he goes, the team will follow. If this game goes down to a basket, I want to be on the plus side of the points.
The Bulls and the Under are system plays for the home playoff team vs non playoff contender watch. I think if the Home team is favored by less than 10, it's a safer play. That outcome, suggests Under. Bulls are competing for the 4th seed being 2 games out.
Happy Sunday everyone! Let's get em!
Muscicmatt1 48-54-1
MIA Heat +1.5
Under 186 CHI Bulls - DET Pistons
CHI Bulls -9
The King is angry. I think he believes the NBA took the streak from him. If he goes, the team will follow. If this game goes down to a basket, I want to be on the plus side of the points.
The Bulls and the Under are system plays for the home playoff team vs non playoff contender watch. I think if the Home team is favored by less than 10, it's a safer play. That outcome, suggests Under. Bulls are competing for the 4th seed being 2 games out.
I made this call mid week when I said the Spurs will not win all three home games against three playoff bound teams
Nuggets they won by 1 didn't cover (-6), Clips they won by 2 didn't cover (-4)
As I discussed with Cliff the King is pissed and the Chi game was taken away at least that is my view,
Plus I either bet the King or take a pass, unless is live bet !
The Under because this should be like the Knicks game a few sundays back hopefully a closer game where Mia does not have to come back to win. I lost the under on the 198 on Monday because the 3s were raining down on both teams, while it could happen again orlando was just hoisting them because they had nothing to lose.
Turbovtk 28-17-2
MIA Heat +2
Under 197 SA Spurs - MIA Heat
I made this call mid week when I said the Spurs will not win all three home games against three playoff bound teams
Nuggets they won by 1 didn't cover (-6), Clips they won by 2 didn't cover (-4)
As I discussed with Cliff the King is pissed and the Chi game was taken away at least that is my view,
Plus I either bet the King or take a pass, unless is live bet !
The Under because this should be like the Knicks game a few sundays back hopefully a closer game where Mia does not have to come back to win. I lost the under on the 198 on Monday because the 3s were raining down on both teams, while it could happen again orlando was just hoisting them because they had nothing to lose.
well i had michigan+3.. and this game seems evident lol.. telling you guys.. bet duke+4 and thank me later lol.. duke already beat them on the year, and i was truly impressed with the physicality it took to beat mich st.. Dukes ready for this.. bet louisville and you win.. feel free to hate on me all you want.. confidence here. duke ML is booked.
as for NBA.. leaning, wizards and heat maybe celtics.. research to come!
well i had michigan+3.. and this game seems evident lol.. telling you guys.. bet duke+4 and thank me later lol.. duke already beat them on the year, and i was truly impressed with the physicality it took to beat mich st.. Dukes ready for this.. bet louisville and you win.. feel free to hate on me all you want.. confidence here. duke ML is booked.
as for NBA.. leaning, wizards and heat maybe celtics.. research to come!
well i had michigan+3.. and this game seems evident lol.. telling you guys.. bet duke+4 and thank me later lol.. duke already beat them on the year, and i was truly impressed with the physicality it took to beat mich st.. Dukes ready for this.. bet louisville and you win.. feel free to hate on me all you want.. confidence here. duke ML is booked.
as for NBA.. leaning, wizards and heat maybe celtics.. research to come!
What do you think of the over in that Duke game? Looks to me like it shoud go well over? They totalled 146 in their meeting this year, Looks like all Loui games going well over that total and that's where their totals have all been posted?
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:
well i had michigan+3.. and this game seems evident lol.. telling you guys.. bet duke+4 and thank me later lol.. duke already beat them on the year, and i was truly impressed with the physicality it took to beat mich st.. Dukes ready for this.. bet louisville and you win.. feel free to hate on me all you want.. confidence here. duke ML is booked.
as for NBA.. leaning, wizards and heat maybe celtics.. research to come!
What do you think of the over in that Duke game? Looks to me like it shoud go well over? They totalled 146 in their meeting this year, Looks like all Loui games going well over that total and that's where their totals have all been posted?
I'm copying and pasting my post from the Vegas forum into here b/c it has to do with money management and it seems to fit with the theme here:
POST FROM VEGAS SECTION:
I can't believe that I've never heard of this idea from anyone. I am headed to Vegas later this year have been trying to figure out how to make sure my money lasts....
Background - You know the drill. You head to Vegas with X amount of money (call it $3K) and you want to make sure it lasts the trip. You get drunk the first night and tear through your cash. Then you're miserable and either bum around or do a CC advance, etc. BUT NOT MORE!! I have the solution.
I will use my trip as an example and say I am going to take $3K. I get there on a Friday. The first thing I'm going to do is head to the sports book and find a game (any sport) that will settle on Sat around noon. I will then bet $1K on one side of the game (and yea, you guessed it), $1K on the other side. For $50, I can protect $2K for the night and collect my money that following day after I sleep off Friday night.
You think that's expensive?? Consider how many times you have doubled/tripled a bet (when drunk), dropped $25 on the roulette table, etc., etc., etc.... Now how expensive does $50 sound? That's just one stupid mistake that YOU WILL MAKE that night.
I would be very interested to hear if someone knows of any low juice books or no juice specials that I could use for this GENIUS strategy.
Would also like to hear if someone else has a better idea of suggestions.
Thx.
I'm copying and pasting my post from the Vegas forum into here b/c it has to do with money management and it seems to fit with the theme here:
POST FROM VEGAS SECTION:
I can't believe that I've never heard of this idea from anyone. I am headed to Vegas later this year have been trying to figure out how to make sure my money lasts....
Background - You know the drill. You head to Vegas with X amount of money (call it $3K) and you want to make sure it lasts the trip. You get drunk the first night and tear through your cash. Then you're miserable and either bum around or do a CC advance, etc. BUT NOT MORE!! I have the solution.
I will use my trip as an example and say I am going to take $3K. I get there on a Friday. The first thing I'm going to do is head to the sports book and find a game (any sport) that will settle on Sat around noon. I will then bet $1K on one side of the game (and yea, you guessed it), $1K on the other side. For $50, I can protect $2K for the night and collect my money that following day after I sleep off Friday night.
You think that's expensive?? Consider how many times you have doubled/tripled a bet (when drunk), dropped $25 on the roulette table, etc., etc., etc.... Now how expensive does $50 sound? That's just one stupid mistake that YOU WILL MAKE that night.
I would be very interested to hear if someone knows of any low juice books or no juice specials that I could use for this GENIUS strategy.
Would also like to hear if someone else has a better idea of suggestions.
What do you think of the over in that Duke game? Looks to me like it shoud go well over? They totalled 146 in their meeting this year, Looks like all Loui games going well over that total and that's where their totals have all been posted?
i'm leaning over as well.. because if duke can break the press they should score quick.. and louisville likes to play uptempo.. BUT i don't really ever bet overs in college because i just can't trust these kids to put the ball in the basket like we do pros.. so many times we see teams go cold for 10 minutes straight.. i'm not going to bet it, but i'd probably lean over as well. overs burned me too many times in college though lol.
Quote Originally Posted by lrempel:
What do you think of the over in that Duke game? Looks to me like it shoud go well over? They totalled 146 in their meeting this year, Looks like all Loui games going well over that total and that's where their totals have all been posted?
i'm leaning over as well.. because if duke can break the press they should score quick.. and louisville likes to play uptempo.. BUT i don't really ever bet overs in college because i just can't trust these kids to put the ball in the basket like we do pros.. so many times we see teams go cold for 10 minutes straight.. i'm not going to bet it, but i'd probably lean over as well. overs burned me too many times in college though lol.
anytime the heat are underdogs it raises my eyebrows lol.. but this line is telling, i know that the spurs are amazing at home, but this line could have been a PK and feel public money would of still came in on the heat..every time i bet against the king he burns me, but it started at +1.5 now up to +2 for MIA.. feel SA makes a statement tonight and pulls it out at home, in their heads i think they need this one more than miami.
celtics i just feel they are better than this.. are they really 7 points worse than NYK on a given night?? i know the knicks are on fire right now, but another one of those that i believe that the celtics need this one more.. knicks will probably win, but i'll take my chances of BOS keeping it close
good luck guys! and oh yea.. go duke!
AshyLarryMP 53-46-2:
SA Spurs -2
BOS Celtics +6.5
anytime the heat are underdogs it raises my eyebrows lol.. but this line is telling, i know that the spurs are amazing at home, but this line could have been a PK and feel public money would of still came in on the heat..every time i bet against the king he burns me, but it started at +1.5 now up to +2 for MIA.. feel SA makes a statement tonight and pulls it out at home, in their heads i think they need this one more than miami.
celtics i just feel they are better than this.. are they really 7 points worse than NYK on a given night?? i know the knicks are on fire right now, but another one of those that i believe that the celtics need this one more.. knicks will probably win, but i'll take my chances of BOS keeping it close
Happy Easter! Going with Spurs They are 2 games behind Miami for home court advantage in the playoffs. Heat are 2-7 last 7 meetings ats. This is the Heats 4th road game in a row. Now that the win streak is gone they might relax. Like the Bulls They are 4-0 ats last 4 games and appear to be streaking a little. Going for 18th consecutive win against the Pistons. Taking the under also. Both are under teams overall and the under is 5-0 last 5 meetings in Chicago. 2 of the 3 refs are under prone in this total range.
38-31
SA Spurs -1.5
CHI Bulls -9
Under 185.5 CHI Bulls-DET Pistons
BOL!
Happy Easter! Going with Spurs They are 2 games behind Miami for home court advantage in the playoffs. Heat are 2-7 last 7 meetings ats. This is the Heats 4th road game in a row. Now that the win streak is gone they might relax. Like the Bulls They are 4-0 ats last 4 games and appear to be streaking a little. Going for 18th consecutive win against the Pistons. Taking the under also. Both are under teams overall and the under is 5-0 last 5 meetings in Chicago. 2 of the 3 refs are under prone in this total range.
Guys this is only my supposition...it s not maybe they want to pay back the spurs for sitting their regulars at home with the same coin?Maybe they re giving up the game.
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:
spurs -3.5 now! wow what'd i miss?
Guys this is only my supposition...it s not maybe they want to pay back the spurs for sitting their regulars at home with the same coin?Maybe they re giving up the game.
Taking Spurs who are competing with Miami for home court advantage in playoffs. Heat ahead 2 games. Taking Bulls who are going for 18th consecutive victory over the Pistons. And the under, Under is 5-0 ats last 5 meetings in Chi town.
38-31
CHI Bulls -9
SA Spurs -1.5
Under 185.5 CHI Bulls-DET Pistons
Happy Easter!
Taking Spurs who are competing with Miami for home court advantage in playoffs. Heat ahead 2 games. Taking Bulls who are going for 18th consecutive victory over the Pistons. And the under, Under is 5-0 ats last 5 meetings in Chi town.
So you guys are not concerned that the line is so low? I got burned on HOU LAC last night when Harden was out. This seems very similar. Spurs at home against the team missing top 2 all stars and only 3.5?
So you guys are not concerned that the line is so low? I got burned on HOU LAC last night when Harden was out. This seems very similar. Spurs at home against the team missing top 2 all stars and only 3.5?
lets do this buddy!
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