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infamous-mobb

Banned

Joined: Mar, 2013

Posts: 899

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 3:57 PM ET #10051

is memphis really only giving 3 away to wizards and memphis is the most heavily bet on team per vegasinsider.

hmmmmmm

why only 3? isnt memphis a second tier on the west and have locked up playoff? or is it because gasol is out and john wall been playing lights out?

ideally, i would like a rlm in this position. but i love home dogs.

wizards +3.

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 6:01 PM ET #10052

AshyLarryMP 43-41-2

WAS Wizards +4.5

NO Hornets +7

UTA Jazz -7.5

i liked the wizards at +3.. now that line is moving up i'll take the cover.. feel wizards could win outright here.. as it's been said before john wall is playing great lately and with no gasol in lineup.. get feeling wizards try to steal one tonight

everyone knows Denver is on a streak, and so does vegas, this line is set i feel a bit too inflated as denver is not a good road team and 7 is a lot of points to cover.. i see the nuggets squeaking this one out in the end take the comfortable home dog.

jazz should kill the sixers, lets be honest, sixers won on the road just last night, i think they'll be ok dropping this one.. and jazz need a win in a bad win.. with their good record at home feel they SHOULD get back on track here.

feel i got ATLEAST 2 outta 3 here.. my record started 17-25 so turning it around since then and don't wanna look back! good luck to everyone! i wish nothing but success for all

Lopelpickscom

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 151

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 6:13 PM ET #10053

Lopelpicks 29-19-1

ORL Magic +13

Just something about that post game interview D-Wade had with Lebron James rubbed me the wrong way. Orlando has played Miami tough this season as well. No D-Wade ect.

Musicmatt1

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 442

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 6:20 PM ET #10054

Musicmatt1 40-44-1

WASH Wizards +4.5

UTAH Jazz -7.5

Under 191.5 UTAH Jazz - PHI 76ers

I live in the DC market and 2 years ago, the Redskins swept the Giants on the road to the Giant Super Bowl? All preseason, the fans were basing their hopes and dreams on that fact as well as RG3 (be real here). So I applied that to right now in the NBA. I believe that Teams out of the playoff hunt would play like it's their Super Bowl at home and not care away, but would be happier to party in a different cuty. I looked at every matchup last week between Playoff Teams and Non Playoff Teams. I believe that there are some strong trends...

Playoff Teams at Home won 11 of 12 games and are 8 of 12 ATS.
In those 12 games, 9 went Under.
Non Playoff Teams at Home only won 4 of 13 contests, but are 7-5-1 ATS
The Top 5 Western Conference Teams (all clinched) are 0-3 ATS in that span.

I know this is a small sample size, but I believe a good capper is always basing an educated bet on a small sample size. At the end of the season, teams that have clinched will rest stars.

Turbovtk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 1676

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 6:51 PM ET #10055

Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:

Musicmatt1 40-44-1

WASH Wizards +4.5

UTAH Jazz -7.5

Under 191.5 UTAH Jazz - PHI 76ers

Playoff Teams at Home won 11 of 12 games and are 8 of 12 ATS.
In those 12 games, 9 went Under.
Non Playoff Teams at Home only won 4 of 13 contests, but are 7-5-1 ATS
The Top 5 Western Conference Teams (all clinched) are 0-3 ATS in that span.

I know this is a small sample size, but I believe a good capper is always basing an educated bet on a small sample size. At the end of the season, teams that have clinched will rest stars.

I like this analysis and this morning I liked Wizz at 2.5 but had a feeling that people would jump on the Grizz wanted to wait a bit more but now is good since I buy this to +7.5. I also like the over in this game but not really sold on it because Gasol takes away defense but he also is a good rebounder and second shot maker. Will def. visit this at the half.

On the Heat I just think the Magic have too many injuries (this was also said before by others) The Heat want to win It's a TV game Monday are usually Unders and the heat won't/should not let the Magic take a huge lead from which they have to come back for and avoid mistakes made last monday in Boston. 97-84 Heat.

Turbovtk 25-15-2

WASH Wizzards +5.5

Under 198 ORL Magic - MIA Heat

Shirldog

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2012

Posts: 125

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 6:53 PM ET #10056

Wizards have some serious injuries tonight.

Before the game, Randy Wittman was asked about the health of his roster, and he reported that Bradley Beal, Martell Webster, A.J. Price and Trevor Ariza would all be out for the game. He also noted that Nene would likely be out as well with what was described as "weak"-ness in his knee.

Does that change your analysis or opinion?

diamonds52

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 373

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 6:55 PM ET #10057

no picks from Phixer or King tonight?

Like the picks from Turbovtk and Lopelpickcom. Will tail, GL. Thanks.

swanman87

Rookie

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 612

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 6:57 PM ET #10058

i will confirm that all of those people are out including NENE. dont see anything on Beal

diamonds52

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 373

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 6:59 PM ET #10059

That def does change my opinion on the wash game for sure. Maybe just a no play on that game for me. Don't want to go against Turbovtk right now. Will play

orl/mia under 197.5

orl + 12

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 7:07 PM ET #10060

i knew all those players were out.. doesn't change my opinion too much.. wish i would have waited till it hit +5.5 booked it at +4.5.. BUT line moved accordingly and wizard are still 5-0 SU last 5 games at home.. feel memphis probably wins.. but just feel too many points being laid here..

with that said.. don't blame you guys for staying away.. game clearly has some question marks to it.

SunsDevils

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 1405

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 7:07 PM ET #10061

SunsDevils 26-28

Under 198.5 ORL Magic - MIA Heat
DEN Nuggets -6.5

I did a write up for both games earlier in this thread. I also locked in MIA ORL 1H under 100, but wasn't sure if I can be on the same game twice in the contest. So, I have two games so far.

jpaco

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 282

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 7:30 PM ET #10062

Jpaco 34-34-1

Under 201.5 NO Hornets - DEN Nuggets

most scorer on no is out and line goes down alredy with $ still on over

LAL Lakers +1

they will show up tonight and they need too show up tonight for that 8 spot

UTA Jazz -7.5

tonight is the night jazz can win and win big

BOL EVERYONE

eaglequill

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 1136

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 7:42 PM ET #10063

Quote Originally Posted by SunsDevils:

Love this pick. I was about to take Under for the whole game, but this makes more sense!

I liked the pick too but they are both lighting the scoreboard up!

Turbovtk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 1676

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:05 PM ET #10064

Quote Originally Posted by eaglequill:

I liked the pick too but they are both lighting the scoreboard up!

If by lighting it up you mean shooting over .500 from fg and 3pt heat and over .415 magic both on fg and 3pt those are a lot of 3pts

total of 13 of 27

Turbovtk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 1676

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:10 PM ET #10065

It is amazing how this came to 101 with that 3 pt

sneakyhotboy

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2012

Posts: 580

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:14 PM ET #10066

Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:

It is amazing how this came to 101 with that 3 pt

really thought we had a chance

Holdieinone

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2012

Posts: 195

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:21 PM ET #10067

So pissed.......lost that 1h Under Miami/ Orlando..........from now right before I hit Submit, I'm going to change and go opposite, lol

Turbovtk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 1676

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:21 PM ET #10068

PARLAY (10 TEAMS)

03/25/2013 @ 09:05 PM NBA

[610] UTAH -5½-150 (B+2)

03/25/2013 @ 10:35 PM NBA

[611] LA LAKERS +3½-150 (B+2)

03/25/2013 @ 09:05 PM NBA

[1610] TOTAL u97½-110

(1H PHILADELPHIA vrs 1H UTAH)

03/25/2013 @ 10:35 PM NBA

[1612] TOTAL u102½-110

(1H LA LAKERS vrs 1H GOLDEN STATE)

03/25/2013 @ 08:30 PM NBA

[2602] 2H ORLANDO +4-105

03/25/2013 @ 08:30 PM NBA

[2602] TOTAL u98-110

(2H MIAMI vrs 2H ORLANDO)

03/25/2013 @ 08:28 PM NBA

[2603] 2H ATLANTA -1½-105

03/25/2013 @ 08:28 PM NBA

[2603] TOTAL o90-110

(2H ATLANTA vrs 2H INDIANA)

03/25/2013 @ 08:28 PM NBA

[2605] TOTAL o90½-110

(2H MEMPHIS vrs 2H WASHINGTON)

03/25/2013 @ 08:28 PM NBA

[2606] 2H WASHINGTON +4-105

Here is the $1.85 Parlay and $1 each bet also-

$1.85 to make $967.98

Turbovtk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 1676

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:26 PM ET #10069

Quote Originally Posted by Holdieinone:

So pissed.......lost that 1h Under Miami/ Orlando..........from now right before I hit Submit, I'm going to change and go opposite, lol

It was the right play at least numbers wise- too many fouls and 3s at the end.

MoneyTeam99

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 2151

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:28 PM ET #10070

Quote Originally Posted by MoneyTeam99:

1. Magic +13
2. Hornets +7
3. Jazz -7

1.The Heat are way overvalued due to their winning streak. They haven't covered in three of their last four games overall with the only exception being last night at home over the league worst Charlotte Bobcats last night. This also means Miami will be a little tired heading into this contest with the Magic. They will be playing the second of a back to back and its 6th game in 9 days. Orlando comes in on two days rest having last played on Friday in an 89-97 home loss to OKC as a 14 point underdog. Both meetings this years between Miami and Orlando have been decided by a total of 3 points. And I came across a crazy stat, which I don't know if it means much but the Heat haven't won by more than 10 points in Orlando since 2004. I'm rolling with Orlando getting 13.

2. The Denver Nuggets are way overvalued tonight as a road favorite over the Hornets. They are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers due to their franchise record 15 game winning streak. Denver has showed signs of being overvalued in its last two games. They beat Philadelphia 101-100 on Thursday as a large favorite and Sacramento 101-95 on Saturday as an big favorite. The Nuggets are just 17-19 on the road this season and have no business even being favored by 7 in this one. New Orleans has been pretty hot of late. They have won their last two games over Boston and over Memphis. Also they have had two days of rest since that win over the Grizzlies so they'll be fresh and ready to go tonight. I'm rolling with them NO boys.

3.The Utah Jazz will be motivated for a win tonight as they host the 76ers. Im expecting a blowout victory because of it. The Jazz trail the Lakers by two games for the 8th spot in the West and that means they cant afford to take any nights off. The 76ers are in a complete opposite position and are certainly fatigued as this will be their 4th road game in 6 days out on the West Coast. The Jazz are 24-9 at home and are 13-2 last 15 home games versus the 76ers. I'm rolling with Utah by double digits.

GL fellas

Adding a NIT 4 pt teaser - BYU -4.5 & Louisiana Tech +10.5

Shirldog

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2012

Posts: 125

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:30 PM ET #10071

Hey Turbo,

Have you ever hit one of those super long shots?

Also, what site do you use?

Turbovtk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 1676

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:40 PM ET #10072

Quote Originally Posted by Shirldog:

Hey Turbo,

Have you ever hit one of those super long shots?

Also, what site do you use?

Yes I do hit them- BM

Turbovtk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 1676

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:46 PM ET #10073

Quote Originally Posted by Shirldog:

Hey Turbo,

Have you ever hit one of those super long shots?

Also, what site do you use?

But really the idea is to hit 60% within the parlay to cover costs-

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 8:55 PM ET #10074

Wednesday 20-18-2 +20$

Thursday 6-3-2 +270$

Feiday 6-21 -1710$

Saturday 13-9 +310$

Sunday 18-16 +40$

TOTAL 625-578-11 -695 $

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Mar. 25, 2013 - 9:13 PM ET #10075

KingMidasTouch 26-9-2

phixer 19-7-1

Turbovtk 25-15-2

Lopelpickscom 29-19-1

BigUnit 33-27

Lank66 29-25-1

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