Bogut will be playing his former team and since his offense has been nonexistent since he started I expect his defense to be stellar. The Bucks will have to do everything from the perimeter which isn't either Jennings or Ellis strong suit. The Bucks also have Sanders down low who is more of a defensive force than an offensive force. I think Golden State has their 3rd under in a row tonight - primarily due to Bogut being back in the lineup.
Lank66 23-17
Under 211 MIL Bucks - GS Warriors
Bogut will be playing his former team and since his offense has been nonexistent since he started I expect his defense to be stellar. The Bucks will have to do everything from the perimeter which isn't either Jennings or Ellis strong suit. The Bucks also have Sanders down low who is more of a defensive force than an offensive force. I think Golden State has their 3rd under in a row tonight - primarily due to Bogut being back in the lineup.
Jazz +6 (even though I got it this morning at 7 1/2 when it came out)
Quick writeups today.
Fundamentally, I'm a big believer in taking big points vs. a bottom 10 team, which Washington is. Washington had a nice little run there, but has now lost 4 out of 5 and is missing Bradley Beal a lot. Charlotte is the worst team in the NBA, but Wash without Beal is not much better. I'll take a team like Charlotte, who is clearly in need of a win. +11 is just too many.
Utah +6 is also a good play. If you look at the Sagarin power ratings, we're looking at a less than 2 pt spread. Throw in a 3.5 bump for the Knicks being home, and a good spread should be 5.5 or 6 (which is why I grabbed 7.5 early). Utah has been playing great hoop, but just hasn't been finishing games on this road trip. I see a major letdown here for NYK after a heartbreaking loss on Thursday night. With or without Melo, I'm a buyer of the points with Utah.
BOL to everyone.
1-0 ATS record.
OK, here are my two picks.
Bobcats +11
Jazz +6 (even though I got it this morning at 7 1/2 when it came out)
Quick writeups today.
Fundamentally, I'm a big believer in taking big points vs. a bottom 10 team, which Washington is. Washington had a nice little run there, but has now lost 4 out of 5 and is missing Bradley Beal a lot. Charlotte is the worst team in the NBA, but Wash without Beal is not much better. I'll take a team like Charlotte, who is clearly in need of a win. +11 is just too many.
Utah +6 is also a good play. If you look at the Sagarin power ratings, we're looking at a less than 2 pt spread. Throw in a 3.5 bump for the Knicks being home, and a good spread should be 5.5 or 6 (which is why I grabbed 7.5 early). Utah has been playing great hoop, but just hasn't been finishing games on this road trip. I see a major letdown here for NYK after a heartbreaking loss on Thursday night. With or without Melo, I'm a buyer of the points with Utah.
Jazz +6 (even though I got it this morning at 7 1/2 when it came out)
Quick writeups today.
Fundamentally, I'm a big believer in taking big points vs. a bottom 10 team, which Washington is. Washington had a nice little run there, but has now lost 4 out of 5 and is missing Bradley Beal a lot. Charlotte is the worst team in the NBA, but Wash without Beal is not much better. I'll take a team like Charlotte, who is clearly in need of a win. +11 is just too many.
Utah +6 is also a good play. If you look at the Sagarin power ratings, we're looking at a less than 2 pt spread. Throw in a 3.5 bump for the Knicks being home, and a good spread should be 5.5 or 6 (which is why I grabbed 7.5 early). Utah has been playing great hoop, but just hasn't been finishing games on this road trip. I see a major letdown here for NYK after a heartbreaking loss on Thursday night. With or without Melo, I'm a buyer of the points with Utah.
BOL to everyone.
Format them please. That is a discipline part of becoming a handicapper
Quote Originally Posted by vdstrading:
1-0 ATS record.
OK, here are my two picks.
Bobcats +11
Jazz +6 (even though I got it this morning at 7 1/2 when it came out)
Quick writeups today.
Fundamentally, I'm a big believer in taking big points vs. a bottom 10 team, which Washington is. Washington had a nice little run there, but has now lost 4 out of 5 and is missing Bradley Beal a lot. Charlotte is the worst team in the NBA, but Wash without Beal is not much better. I'll take a team like Charlotte, who is clearly in need of a win. +11 is just too many.
Utah +6 is also a good play. If you look at the Sagarin power ratings, we're looking at a less than 2 pt spread. Throw in a 3.5 bump for the Knicks being home, and a good spread should be 5.5 or 6 (which is why I grabbed 7.5 early). Utah has been playing great hoop, but just hasn't been finishing games on this road trip. I see a major letdown here for NYK after a heartbreaking loss on Thursday night. With or without Melo, I'm a buyer of the points with Utah.
BOL to everyone.
Format them please. That is a discipline part of becoming a handicapper
reasoning pretty much same as all u guys that choosed under on this game
Under 191.5 UTA Jazz - NY Knicks
uta too tired and phase will be slow and ny withouth melo and amare is what? the one man ball hoging of jr smith so that kills time too and uta going to keep this one close so jr smith will be mark down
DEN Nuggets -15.5
they haven't forget that min is one of the team that beat them at home so now the opportunity for payback with the timberpups barely have players on their bench.
BOL EVERYONE
Jpaco 11-16
Final:
Under 188 CHA Bobcats - WAS Wizards
reasoning pretty much same as all u guys that choosed under on this game
Under 191.5 UTA Jazz - NY Knicks
uta too tired and phase will be slow and ny withouth melo and amare is what? the one man ball hoging of jr smith so that kills time too and uta going to keep this one close so jr smith will be mark down
DEN Nuggets -15.5
they haven't forget that min is one of the team that beat them at home so now the opportunity for payback with the timberpups barely have players on their bench.
Over 1st quarter 53 DEN Nuggets - MIN Timberwolves
HOU Rockets -7
Reasoning
Over Denver, the Timberwolves play a fast game especially without Pekovic and Love, playing against a Denver Nuggets team that love to put points on the board.
I play this only in the first quarter because i think this game could be a blowout and the bench can ruin the over.
Rockets
They are plating really good basketball after the all star break, they have the better player on James Harden and Phoenix without Gortat.
Last five games the Rockets have +8 points playing against better teams than the Suns except for Orlando.
Phoenix loosing by big margins.
Heads2134 (12-7)
Over 1st quarter 53 DEN Nuggets - MIN Timberwolves
HOU Rockets -7
Reasoning
Over Denver, the Timberwolves play a fast game especially without Pekovic and Love, playing against a Denver Nuggets team that love to put points on the board.
I play this only in the first quarter because i think this game could be a blowout and the bench can ruin the over.
Rockets
They are plating really good basketball after the all star break, they have the better player on James Harden and Phoenix without Gortat.
Last five games the Rockets have +8 points playing against better teams than the Suns except for Orlando.
OK, seriously had the best night ever on my picks last night going 6-0. Only have 3 tonight, so I don't have to choose, lol.
SunsDevils 14-14
NO Hornets +7.5 HOU Rockets -7 Under 211.5 MIL Bucks - GS Warriors
Hornets split first 2 games with MEM, winning by 8 and losing by 7. So, getting 7.5 to start with is a pretty good deal. Hornets match up pretty well against bigger teams, so I expect the game to be close. Memphis 0-4 against ATS at home right now, plus Hornets should be motivated after losing that crazy game to the Lakers. With 70% of the money on MEM, there is no line movement, which is somewhat suspicious. Seems like NO is the pick here.
HOU -7 seems too easy here. Both teams are on back to back games. Suns stopped playing defense a long time ago. And their offense is erratic. They can't run up and down with the best teams anymore and with Gortat out and O'Neil attending family matters, Suns don't even have a Center on the roster, so all shots will be from the outside. Under seems pretty good too, but I can't figure the Suns out this season. HOU should see a lot of easy buckets.
More stats:
Houston
Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 road games.
Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Phoenix
Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
GS MIL Under is RLM. I am not going to repost GG's stats here, but I think back to back for GS should slow them down and MIL can actually play some defense. Good luck!
OK, seriously had the best night ever on my picks last night going 6-0. Only have 3 tonight, so I don't have to choose, lol.
SunsDevils 14-14
NO Hornets +7.5 HOU Rockets -7 Under 211.5 MIL Bucks - GS Warriors
Hornets split first 2 games with MEM, winning by 8 and losing by 7. So, getting 7.5 to start with is a pretty good deal. Hornets match up pretty well against bigger teams, so I expect the game to be close. Memphis 0-4 against ATS at home right now, plus Hornets should be motivated after losing that crazy game to the Lakers. With 70% of the money on MEM, there is no line movement, which is somewhat suspicious. Seems like NO is the pick here.
HOU -7 seems too easy here. Both teams are on back to back games. Suns stopped playing defense a long time ago. And their offense is erratic. They can't run up and down with the best teams anymore and with Gortat out and O'Neil attending family matters, Suns don't even have a Center on the roster, so all shots will be from the outside. Under seems pretty good too, but I can't figure the Suns out this season. HOU should see a lot of easy buckets.
More stats:
Houston
Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 road games.
Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Phoenix
Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
GS MIL Under is RLM. I am not going to repost GG's stats here, but I think back to back for GS should slow them down and MIL can actually play some defense. Good luck!
Both of these teams suck and have packed it in for the season. I see the scoring being in the 90s. Both times these teams met neither one reached 100. Let keep those FG %s low and bankrolls high
muneemaker (1-1)
UNDER 195.5 PHI 76ers - ORL Magic
Both of these teams suck and have packed it in for the season. I see the scoring being in the 90s. Both times these teams met neither one reached 100. Let keep those FG %s low and bankrolls high
Bad night yesterday for O/U players. :( Trevor Ariza from Wizards did the best match of season to conclude with an over +3 points
Eryximaque 16-12
Under 203 TOR Raptors-CLE Cavs
Today i'm on under on his matchup because line is pretty high, and open 204 to falling down at 203 (and continue 202.5 on 5Dimes) for now despite 65% on over & 35% on under, RLM here.
Under is 17-3-1 in the last 21 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Last 5 meetings on Toronto : 0 over 5 under.
Rest for both means better defense.
Toronto have a solid defense at home with 95.3 PPG for opponent and 97.2 PPG score Cleveland score 96.9 PPG on the road and bad defense with 101.9 PPG for opponent
History between theses 2 teams inspired me to play under.
Bad night yesterday for O/U players. :( Trevor Ariza from Wizards did the best match of season to conclude with an over +3 points
Eryximaque 16-12
Under 203 TOR Raptors-CLE Cavs
Today i'm on under on his matchup because line is pretty high, and open 204 to falling down at 203 (and continue 202.5 on 5Dimes) for now despite 65% on over & 35% on under, RLM here.
Under is 17-3-1 in the last 21 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Last 5 meetings on Toronto : 0 over 5 under.
Rest for both means better defense.
Toronto have a solid defense at home with 95.3 PPG for opponent and 97.2 PPG score Cleveland score 96.9 PPG on the road and bad defense with 101.9 PPG for opponent
History between theses 2 teams inspired me to play under.
Hey guys been on a bad run the last few days, hope to get back on track. First play today is the Cavaliers. Cavs 14-6 last 22 in Toronto, Road team is 4-1ats last 5 meetings and underdog is 5-0 ats last 5. Cavs are a wierd team that will surprise every so often and Toronto is not that good. Also going with the Bucks. Even though they are on a b2b I still have them favored over the Kings. Bucks 5-1 last 6 in Sacramento Underdog is 8-3 ats last 11 meetings and Road team is 9-2 ats last 11. Milwaukee is a decent road team sometimes.
CLE Cavaliers +5.5
MIL Bucks +1.5
BOL!
17-12
Hey guys been on a bad run the last few days, hope to get back on track. First play today is the Cavaliers. Cavs 14-6 last 22 in Toronto, Road team is 4-1ats last 5 meetings and underdog is 5-0 ats last 5. Cavs are a wierd team that will surprise every so often and Toronto is not that good. Also going with the Bucks. Even though they are on a b2b I still have them favored over the Kings. Bucks 5-1 last 6 in Sacramento Underdog is 8-3 ats last 11 meetings and Road team is 9-2 ats last 11. Milwaukee is a decent road team sometimes.
Bad night yesterday for O/U players. :( Trevor Ariza from Wizards did the best match of season to conclude with an over +3 points
Eryximaque 16-12
Under 203 TOR Raptors-CLE Cavs
Today i'm on under on his matchup because line is pretty high, and open 204 to falling down at 203 (and continue 202.5 on 5Dimes) for now despite 65% on over & 35% on under, RLM here.
Under is 17-3-1 in the last 21 meetings in Toronto. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last 5 meetings on Toronto : 0 over 5 under.
Rest for both means better defense.
Toronto have a solid defense at home with 95.3 PPG for opponent and 97.2 PPG score Cleveland score 96.9 PPG on the road and bad defense with 101.9 PPG for opponent
History between theses 2 teams inspired me to play under.
This play looks good, while I only have slight majority on the over on a couple of sites and reasonable majority on others the line has shot down 1.5 points, Raptors coming back from a west coast trip, could be a let down for them, I like BigUnit's play on the cav's for the same reason.A lot of plays I like today, I'm looking at 5 now gonna be hard to narrow it down to three,
Quote Originally Posted by Eryximaque:
Bad night yesterday for O/U players. :( Trevor Ariza from Wizards did the best match of season to conclude with an over +3 points
Eryximaque 16-12
Under 203 TOR Raptors-CLE Cavs
Today i'm on under on his matchup because line is pretty high, and open 204 to falling down at 203 (and continue 202.5 on 5Dimes) for now despite 65% on over & 35% on under, RLM here.
Under is 17-3-1 in the last 21 meetings in Toronto. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last 5 meetings on Toronto : 0 over 5 under.
Rest for both means better defense.
Toronto have a solid defense at home with 95.3 PPG for opponent and 97.2 PPG score Cleveland score 96.9 PPG on the road and bad defense with 101.9 PPG for opponent
History between theses 2 teams inspired me to play under.
This play looks good, while I only have slight majority on the over on a couple of sites and reasonable majority on others the line has shot down 1.5 points, Raptors coming back from a west coast trip, could be a let down for them, I like BigUnit's play on the cav's for the same reason.A lot of plays I like today, I'm looking at 5 now gonna be hard to narrow it down to three,
Initially I thought over on this one since the Thunder are beasts at home, but then I thought about the playoff atmosphere this game has. Both teams out to prove they are contenders on national tv. I see an increased defensive effort here on both teams part. I'm also leaning Thunder as well as this may be a blowout toward the end.
Lopelpickscom 17-13-1
UNDER 200 BOS Celtics - OKC Thunder
Initially I thought over on this one since the Thunder are beasts at home, but then I thought about the playoff atmosphere this game has. Both teams out to prove they are contenders on national tv. I see an increased defensive effort here on both teams part. I'm also leaning Thunder as well as this may be a blowout toward the end.
Mavericks play tonight vs Timberwolves tired after lost vs Denver yesterday. Mavericks are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Minnesota. Mavericks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Mavericks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
& Bucks are doing fine with duo Jennings/Ellis,
Eryximaque 16-12
Under 203 TOR Raptors-CLE Cavs
MIL Bucks +1.5
DAL Mavericks -6.5
Mavericks play tonight vs Timberwolves tired after lost vs Denver yesterday. Mavericks are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Minnesota. Mavericks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Mavericks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Miami going for it's 18th straight win, last loss was against the pacers. This is a big game, not for the streak but to make a point that they are the one to beat in the east and put the pacer talks out of the conversation. Rolling with King James on this one. Even though the line has moved I think the heat win the game, I also think they can cover 6-8 pts on this one. This game will either be a let down or a blow out- I doubt it would be a close game as both teams smell blood. The Heat beat the clips the clips beat the pacers, the heat beat the pacers.
Lakers revenge game. They seem inspired a couple of more loses will take them out of playoff run they are in at least morally. I think they man up at home on this one. The Bulls had a nice run but they are only playing 3 quarters in the last few games, allowing jazz and spurs to come back to win or make it close.
Will add a second half total line of the Thunder or Laker game.
Turbovtk 17-9-1
MIA Heat -6.5
LA Lakers -5.5
Miami going for it's 18th straight win, last loss was against the pacers. This is a big game, not for the streak but to make a point that they are the one to beat in the east and put the pacer talks out of the conversation. Rolling with King James on this one. Even though the line has moved I think the heat win the game, I also think they can cover 6-8 pts on this one. This game will either be a let down or a blow out- I doubt it would be a close game as both teams smell blood. The Heat beat the clips the clips beat the pacers, the heat beat the pacers.
Lakers revenge game. They seem inspired a couple of more loses will take them out of playoff run they are in at least morally. I think they man up at home on this one. The Bulls had a nice run but they are only playing 3 quarters in the last few games, allowing jazz and spurs to come back to win or make it close.
Will add a second half total line of the Thunder or Laker game.
Initially I thought over on this one since the Thunder are beasts at home, but then I thought about the playoff atmosphere this game has. Both teams out to prove they are contenders on national tv. I see an increased defensive effort here on both teams part. I'm also leaning Thunder as well as this may be a blowout toward the end.
exactly my thinking, I believe Boston will compete but the thunder will prove to be too much for the celtics, they will run out of gas.I like the thunder to cover here as well.
greengiants 20-18
Under 199.5 BOS Celtics - OKC Thunder
-Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game
-Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games following a S.U. win
-Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points
-Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 Sunday games
I will have more plays later, have to narrow them down first.
Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:
Lopelpickscom 17-13-1
UNDER 200 BOS Celtics - OKC Thunder
Initially I thought over on this one since the Thunder are beasts at home, but then I thought about the playoff atmosphere this game has. Both teams out to prove they are contenders on national tv. I see an increased defensive effort here on both teams part. I'm also leaning Thunder as well as this may be a blowout toward the end.
exactly my thinking, I believe Boston will compete but the thunder will prove to be too much for the celtics, they will run out of gas.I like the thunder to cover here as well.
greengiants 20-18
Under 199.5 BOS Celtics - OKC Thunder
-Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game
-Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games following a S.U. win
-Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points
-Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 Sunday games
I will have more plays later, have to narrow them down first.
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