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    Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

    «First Previous 121122123 ... 506507508 Next Last»
    Zireal
    glenndef62
    JEG53
    East_Fresno_Don
    frank3blacn0
    ...
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    Search
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    «First Previous 121122123 ... 506507508 Next Last»
     
    Zireal
    Zireal
    Prospect
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    Joined: Dec, 2012
    Posts: 293
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:06 PM ET #3001

    Another interesting thing:

    MIN-NOH

    Those teams meet about month ago – score 113-102 (215 pts)- line was at 184!

    Month later - line opened at 185 and now dropped to 182,5...

    Something is not right... 

    Any ideas ? 

    Reply

    Another interesting thing:

    MIN-NOH

    Those teams meet about month ago – score 113-102 (215 pts)- line was at 184!

    Month later - line opened at 185 and now dropped to 182,5...

    Something is not right... 

    Any ideas ? 

     
    glenndef62
    glenndef62
    Captain
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    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 7507
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:13 PM ET #3002

    Quote Originally Posted by Zireal:

    Another interesting thing:

    MIN-NOH

    Those teams meet about month ago – score 113-102 (215 pts)- line was at 184!

    Month later - line opened at 185 and now dropped to 182,5...

    Something is not right... 

    Any ideas ? 

    Not much I can offer Zireal, except a very perceptive insight!.......GL tonite !!..................

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Zireal:

    Another interesting thing:

    MIN-NOH

    Those teams meet about month ago – score 113-102 (215 pts)- line was at 184!

    Month later - line opened at 185 and now dropped to 182,5...

    Something is not right... 

    Any ideas ? 

    Not much I can offer Zireal, except a very perceptive insight!.......GL tonite !!..................

     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:26 PM ET #3003

    Quote Originally Posted by sghf:


    Mavin, 
    I congratulate you on an excellent thread and your effort over the past couple of weeks has been very much appreciated by me and many others. I also commend you on your positive attitude and the way way you deal with the negative posts!
    With that said, and being a follower reading every post from day 1, I believe this thread has sidetracked from the original intention, which i believe was to try and help, educate others on the most common do's and dont's by the average sports better and in turn hopefully help many new players avoid common mistakes, which are not usually recongnized untill many mistakes and many dollars later..
    I consider myself a seasoned vet, playing daily for 10+ years now, but still only consider this a part time job, and know everyday is another learning experience, which i make notes of both good and bad, and even after that long i still know i have lots to learn..
    As this thread has ballooned to over 2500 reply's, the thing i've noticed that is somewhat dissapointing which i know you have no control over, is the fact that certain posters (who you are supposedly trying to help) are seemingly not learning a single thing and are using this 200K viewed thread to post their 20+ plays in one betting day, then coming back after the results are in and saying they played a 3 or 4 game parlay outside of the 20+ singles they already played and "surprising" it hit to get them 10 to 1 or whatever to turn a plus day.. i've seen this multiple times now, which i personally can overlook, but knowing the original intention of this thread, it annoys me knowing that a lot of your hard work and good intentions are being overshadowed by posters making "joe public" mistakes on probably 30% of these post's and not paying attention to a thing you are trying to teach.. 
    Again, I commend you for what over all is a great thread, I just wish there was more situational, reverse line movement, stay away from game, great spot for a bet,...  talk then all of this team A is the best and team B is the worst therefore team A should blow out team B... that's just nonsense, but OTHER then FROM YOU a lot of the posts on here with picks are just that..
    Sorry to vent a little, but I like you, just want to learn and help others learn, so hopefully at the end of the day we can all be just a little more educated and most importantly a consistently bigger bank roll!!  
    Keep doing what you're doing tho, I truely enjoy all of YOUR post's!  




    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sghf:


    Mavin, 
    I congratulate you on an excellent thread and your effort over the past couple of weeks has been very much appreciated by me and many others. I also commend you on your positive attitude and the way way you deal with the negative posts!
    With that said, and being a follower reading every post from day 1, I believe this thread has sidetracked from the original intention, which i believe was to try and help, educate others on the most common do's and dont's by the average sports better and in turn hopefully help many new players avoid common mistakes, which are not usually recongnized untill many mistakes and many dollars later..
    I consider myself a seasoned vet, playing daily for 10+ years now, but still only consider this a part time job, and know everyday is another learning experience, which i make notes of both good and bad, and even after that long i still know i have lots to learn..
    As this thread has ballooned to over 2500 reply's, the thing i've noticed that is somewhat dissapointing which i know you have no control over, is the fact that certain posters (who you are supposedly trying to help) are seemingly not learning a single thing and are using this 200K viewed thread to post their 20+ plays in one betting day, then coming back after the results are in and saying they played a 3 or 4 game parlay outside of the 20+ singles they already played and "surprising" it hit to get them 10 to 1 or whatever to turn a plus day.. i've seen this multiple times now, which i personally can overlook, but knowing the original intention of this thread, it annoys me knowing that a lot of your hard work and good intentions are being overshadowed by posters making "joe public" mistakes on probably 30% of these post's and not paying attention to a thing you are trying to teach.. 
    Again, I commend you for what over all is a great thread, I just wish there was more situational, reverse line movement, stay away from game, great spot for a bet,...  talk then all of this team A is the best and team B is the worst therefore team A should blow out team B... that's just nonsense, but OTHER then FROM YOU a lot of the posts on here with picks are just that..
    Sorry to vent a little, but I like you, just want to learn and help others learn, so hopefully at the end of the day we can all be just a little more educated and most importantly a consistently bigger bank roll!!  
    Keep doing what you're doing tho, I truely enjoy all of YOUR post's!  




     
    East_Fresno_Don
    East_Fresno_Don
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 17
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:35 PM ET #3004

    Sports mavin please don't leave us without letting us know ..ha.  I will scroll through 1,000 pages to find your gems!  Anticipating your nfl picks for tomorrow too in that section, hope they match mine!! GL every1
    Reply
    Sports mavin please don't leave us without letting us know ..ha.  I will scroll through 1,000 pages to find your gems!  Anticipating your nfl picks for tomorrow too in that section, hope they match mine!! GL every1
     
    frank3blacn0
    frank3blacn0
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    Posts: 30
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:40 PM ET #3005

    All the Games today Mavin and Melos and only  ONE PICK on the Under for CHI/NY?
    Reply
    All the Games today Mavin and Melos and only  ONE PICK on the Under for CHI/NY?
     
    glenndef62
    glenndef62
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    Posts: 7507
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:46 PM ET #3006

    Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:






    Definitely agree.

    I find methods and angles that help the capper in his work more rewarding than a submittal of picks.

    Perhaps even numerical methods (derived from saragin or teamrankings) would be useful.

    Still, hats off to this thread.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:






    Definitely agree.

    I find methods and angles that help the capper in his work more rewarding than a submittal of picks.

    Perhaps even numerical methods (derived from saragin or teamrankings) would be useful.

    Still, hats off to this thread.


     
    manutdfctts9899
    manutdfctts9899
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    Posts: 11318
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:50 PM ET #3007

    BOL guys 
    Reply
    BOL guys 
     
    composite
    composite
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 4418
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:53 PM ET #3008

    Thanks for this thread.  There's great strategies in here. One thought I had for the RLM approach to work is that you would need a good understanding of what public bettors expect the line to be.  How else would you know whether Vegas has a set up a "trap" (for lack of a better word) or not?

    For instance Zireal mentioned the prior MIN-NO game which ended at 215.  I just wonder how important the average bettor would place on the prior MIN-NO game to handicap the total for today's game?  Wouldn't they factor MIN's and NO average totals and their opponent's average totals?  Home and away?  At least those would be factors I'd imagine that the public thinks.

    Just my 2c.  Curious what others think.

    Reply

    Thanks for this thread.  There's great strategies in here. One thought I had for the RLM approach to work is that you would need a good understanding of what public bettors expect the line to be.  How else would you know whether Vegas has a set up a "trap" (for lack of a better word) or not?

    For instance Zireal mentioned the prior MIN-NO game which ended at 215.  I just wonder how important the average bettor would place on the prior MIN-NO game to handicap the total for today's game?  Wouldn't they factor MIN's and NO average totals and their opponent's average totals?  Home and away?  At least those would be factors I'd imagine that the public thinks.

    Just my 2c.  Curious what others think.

     
    Zireal
    Zireal
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    Posts: 293
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 6:55 PM ET #3009

    My picks for tonight:

    PHX-BKN – UNDER 194

    despite the trend (10 last games between those teams with total 200 or higher) line opened at 193... looks like an invitation to bet for over... I’m not buying that.

    MIN-NOH – OVER 182,5 

    I dont think that those teams changed a lot since last month when they scored 215 points combined! 

    My record: 1-0

    Reply

    My picks for tonight:

    PHX-BKN – UNDER 194

    despite the trend (10 last games between those teams with total 200 or higher) line opened at 193... looks like an invitation to bet for over... I’m not buying that.

    MIN-NOH – OVER 182,5 

    I dont think that those teams changed a lot since last month when they scored 215 points combined! 

    My record: 1-0

     
    m10
    m10
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:07 PM ET #3010

    Quote Originally Posted by glenndef62:

    M10….thanks, bro

     

    3 SU and ATS, at home, with a line move is IMO some sharp insights.


    Thank you. Good luck. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by glenndef62:

    M10….thanks, bro

     

    3 SU and ATS, at home, with a line move is IMO some sharp insights.


    Thank you. Good luck. 
     
    ocer12
    ocer12
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    Posts: 130
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:22 PM ET #3011

    Gonna keep the bank rolling went with NO -2.0 & DEN -12.0 let's get it!!!!
    Reply
    Gonna keep the bank rolling went with NO -2.0 & DEN -12.0 let's get it!!!!
     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:25 PM ET #3012

    Mavin,you like the Bulls game under 191,its up to 193,so does that mean its a better # now or it looks like the wrong side,that is a problem I have when Ive made a play the night before thinking its going down and Im getting a better #,but a few times it goes the other way on me so usually I try to get out of it,
    just curious to get your thoughts on this.
    Thanks for the thread,this was what covers was when I joined,plus a couple years before just reading.
    Reply
    Mavin,you like the Bulls game under 191,its up to 193,so does that mean its a better # now or it looks like the wrong side,that is a problem I have when Ive made a play the night before thinking its going down and Im getting a better #,but a few times it goes the other way on me so usually I try to get out of it,
    just curious to get your thoughts on this.
    Thanks for the thread,this was what covers was when I joined,plus a couple years before just reading.
     
    SportsMavin
    SportsMavin
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:39 PM ET #3013

    Final:
    MEMPHIS Grizzlies - 2  (-110)   110$
    Reply
    Final:
    MEMPHIS Grizzlies - 2  (-110)   110$
     
    SportsMavin
    SportsMavin
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:40 PM ET #3014

    I will answer your queries in an orderly fashion once I will get the picks out. GL
    Reply
    I will answer your queries in an orderly fashion once I will get the picks out. GL
     
    oreooreo1
    oreooreo1
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:48 PM ET #3015

    Shouldn't have played it at if you we're not confident that it would be under 191,Jeg53! If you second guess your plays you shouldn't of played them in the first place!
    Reply
    Shouldn't have played it at if you we're not confident that it would be under 191,Jeg53! If you second guess your plays you shouldn't of played them in the first place!
     
    oreooreo1
    oreooreo1
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:48 PM ET #3016

    Shouldn't have played it at if you we're not confident that it would be under 191,Jeg53! If you second guess your plays you shouldn't of played them in the first place!
    Reply
    Shouldn't have played it at if you we're not confident that it would be under 191,Jeg53! If you second guess your plays you shouldn't of played them in the first place!
     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:50 PM ET #3017

    Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

    Shouldn't have played it at if you we're not confident that it would be under 191,Jeg53! If you second guess your plays you shouldn't of played them in the first place!


    I have not played it,just asking a ?
    thanks for your help,GL tonight.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

    Shouldn't have played it at if you we're not confident that it would be under 191,Jeg53! If you second guess your plays you shouldn't of played them in the first place!


    I have not played it,just asking a ?
    thanks for your help,GL tonight.
     
    skaka
    skaka
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:51 PM ET #3018

    Boston-Houston Mavin...
    Reply
    Boston-Houston Mavin...
     
    keithprochaska
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:52 PM ET #3019

    807 Utah Jazz +5 -110* vs Atlanta Hawks
    I feel that Utah has been playing pretty good lately, while Atlanta is just stinking up the joint. Hope this trend continues tonight.
    Reply
    807 Utah Jazz +5 -110* vs Atlanta Hawks
    I feel that Utah has been playing pretty good lately, while Atlanta is just stinking up the joint. Hope this trend continues tonight.
     
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 7:59 PM ET #3020

    Quote Originally Posted by East_Fresno_Don:

    Sports mavin please don't leave us without letting us know ..ha.  I will scroll through 1,000 pages to find your gems!  Anticipating your nfl picks for tomorrow too in that section, hope they match mine!! GL every1

    You should play the NFL with parlay and open spots-
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by East_Fresno_Don:

    Sports mavin please don't leave us without letting us know ..ha.  I will scroll through 1,000 pages to find your gems!  Anticipating your nfl picks for tomorrow too in that section, hope they match mine!! GL every1

    You should play the NFL with parlay and open spots-
     
    skaka
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    Joined: Dec, 2012
    Posts: 365
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 8:01 PM ET #3021

    Melo is back....
    Reply
    Melo is back....
     
    m10
    m10
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    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 112
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 8:02 PM ET #3022

    Quote Originally Posted by keithprochaska:

    807 Utah Jazz +5 -110* vs Atlanta Hawks
    I feel that Utah has been playing pretty good lately, while Atlanta is just stinking up the joint. Hope this trend continues tonight.

    This was posted 22 minutes after tip. Good luck if you got it in as it looks good early. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by keithprochaska:

    807 Utah Jazz +5 -110* vs Atlanta Hawks
    I feel that Utah has been playing pretty good lately, while Atlanta is just stinking up the joint. Hope this trend continues tonight.

    This was posted 22 minutes after tip. Good luck if you got it in as it looks good early. 
     
    keithprochaska
    keithprochaska
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    Posts: 322
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 8:05 PM ET #3023

    Yeah I took it once I saw it hit +5. Was watching it all day and I would have been happy with any + really since Atlanta has been off as of late. In on Memphis even though I'm not to sure about the -2 part, Should be more like +2 but I guess SA did lose to NO at NO, so maybe they have a hard time with teams that play great defense?
    Reply
    Yeah I took it once I saw it hit +5. Was watching it all day and I would have been happy with any + really since Atlanta has been off as of late. In on Memphis even though I'm not to sure about the -2 part, Should be more like +2 but I guess SA did lose to NO at NO, so maybe they have a hard time with teams that play great defense?
     
    m10
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    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 112
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 8:08 PM ET #3024

    Quote Originally Posted by keithprochaska:

    Yeah I took it once I saw it hit +5. Was watching it all day and I would have been happy with any + really since Atlanta has been off as of late. In on Memphis even though I'm not to sure about the -2 part, Should be more like +2 but I guess SA did lose to NO at NO, so maybe they have a hard time with teams that play great defense?

    I like the side. Was looking at it myself. GL
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by keithprochaska:

    Yeah I took it once I saw it hit +5. Was watching it all day and I would have been happy with any + really since Atlanta has been off as of late. In on Memphis even though I'm not to sure about the -2 part, Should be more like +2 but I guess SA did lose to NO at NO, so maybe they have a hard time with teams that play great defense?

    I like the side. Was looking at it myself. GL
     
     
    JEG53
    JEG53
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    Joined: Jul, 2007
    Posts: 26762
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2013 - 8:26 PM ET #3025

    Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

    Shouldn't have played it at if you we're not confident that it would be under 191,Jeg53! If you second guess your plays you shouldn't of played them in the first place!


    OK Im on it now at 193.5,is that OK now?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

    Shouldn't have played it at if you we're not confident that it would be under 191,Jeg53! If you second guess your plays you shouldn't of played them in the first place!


    OK Im on it now at 193.5,is that OK now?
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