Food for thought-
I'm still working out the kinks on the parameters for line-movement, and if anyone read the revised system on last page you may notice I took off the stipulation of needing a full point line move in every case. I think in some cases you do and some cases not, depending on the percentages of public on dog/fav, o/u, etc.
Utah and NY were both recent examples of good plays that were good because there was a huge majority against them and they still moved 1/2 a point and stayed there.
If the public is more divided then we need a bigger move, but when it's so lopsided such a big move shouldn't be as necessary. I do think it should be necessary for them to hold strong though, unless the line movement is big enough by itself.
Yesterday the Utah total went up and we grabbed it, but then went down late and it lost. Same with Memphis, indicators said take it and then it went up 1/2 a point late and lost.
I think the line move staying directional and not wavering is more important in most cases than how big the line move is, again though this depends on the percentages.
Say Team A at Team B is an 8 point dog, and the public is 66% on the favorite. If that line drops progressively all the way to -6 (huge sharp play on the dog), but then goes up to -6.5 late because every B and their whole families are firing on the favorite, this is still a sharp play on the dog imo, even though technically it wavered late.
I used to think all sharp plays were either sharp or not, and thus created equal, but that's really not the case. Sometimes a move of a point can be considered the "right play", and then on another game we see a huge move denoting that game "super sharp".
This may seem to be getting too complicated for some, but hey, if you want to make a good living you're supposed to go to college. If you want to read one page and make $100,000 off of it good luck and forward it to me when you find it.
If you use the 3-step program you will be a winner. I can attest to that personally. But I also feel that when we consider these subtle factors we increase the system's power.
Another moron that's full of shit. Enterainment value only. 
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