My Picks (Long Term Thread)

Pick 50: Lost, Tsitsipas needs to win 4 games in set 2, up 2-0 and loses 3-6,       -1 unit

Pick 51: Won, Machac covers game handicap,    +1.82 units

Pick 52: Won, Machac ML,    +0.725 units

Pick 53: Cashed out, I am out of Safaullin over 19.5 in Djokovic game. Safaullin had a great run lately, had 3 hours game yesterday. Nole always great in Shangai. Since cashed out   -0.15 units

25W-27L,  Total PNL +19.2 units

Cashed out Nole Safu over. Only bet is on Rune-Fritz game at the moment

 Lol at Rune

-2.5 units

25W-29L,  Total PNL +16.7 units

Sinner -1.5 games @1.35,     12 units

Both can get their serves broken today, but Medvedev is more vulnerable

Pick 56: Won, Sinner +4.2 units

26W-29L,    Total PNL:   +20.9 units

Above pick# should be 55

Fritz -3.5 games @1.51 vs Goffin,  5 units

Pick 56: Fritz won,  +2.55 units

27W-29L,   Total PNL +23.45 units

Mensik +5.5 games @1.67 vs Djokovic,     1.25 units

Pick 57: Mensik hcp Lost, -1.25 units

27W-30L,   +22.2 units

Fritz +3.5 games @1.70 vs Djokovic, 3 units

Live bet going well, won fading Zeynep Sonmez in Wta Japan.

Sinner-Machac over 20.5 @1.91,   1 unit

This betting thing is extremely boring nowadays which might be a good sign :)

For my Win-Loss record, I had 9 bets which involve 2-1 set scores, 4-5 of them were parlays with @15 odds. Thats the reason why I have below 50% win rate

Pick 58: Machac-Sinner over win, +0.91 unit

28W-30L,     Total PNL:   +23.11 units

Pick 59: Fritz +3.5 Win,   +2.1 units

29W-30L,    TOTAL PNL: +25.21 units

Sinner -1.5 games @1.67 vs Djokovic,     3 units

3 Atp 250 tournaments this week, all indoor. I wont have any pregame bets until Wednesday. I will bet only live, with small stakes. Anyone can excel in these small, fast tournaments.

The other week 2 Atp 500 indoor events. Same betting rules apply

The week after that there is Paris Masters. So for 2 weeks, I will watch games, live bet if I see a good bet and analyze stats AFTER a few days into tournaments and see who adapts to court conditions.

Sinner -1.5 games @1.64 vs Djokovic,   add 1.50 units more

Total risk on Sinner -1.5 games is 4.50 units

I know I said I was not going to bet on Atp 250 before Wednesday but I need to fade Turkish guy in Kazakhistan. Odds dropped from @1.85 to @1.50

Uchiyama -4.5 games @1.51 vs Kirkin,   1 unit

Pick #60: Sinner -1.5 win,  +2.97 units

Pick #61: Uchiyama -4.5 lost,   -1 unit

30W-31L:     TOTAL PNL: +27.18 units

Bergs -4@1.72 vs Acosta, 1 unit

Rindkernesch Blockkx over 23@1.79, 1 unit

Agut-Etcheverry over 22.5 @1.90,    1 unit