2025 Tennis Picks from the King

Sets & Games: (2-2) -.45u

ML: (7-7) +1.38u

1* De Minaur -155 vs Aliassime

Sets & Games: (2-1) +.3u

ML: (5-6) -1.17u

.75* Pegula +1.5 sets (-115) vs Sabalenka

.25* Pegula +260

Leat to Anisimova and over 21.5 games in the other women's semifinal.  All American final?

Sets & Games: (3-1) +1.3u

ML: (5-7) -1.42u

.75* Parlay(+114): Djokovic +2.5 sets (-215) vs Alcaraz and Townsend/Siniakova (-215) vs Dabrowski/Routliffe

.25* Djokovic +305

Sets & Games: (3-2) +.3u

ML: (5-8) -1.67u

1* Sinner -122 vs Alcaraz

Think there's a bigger gap between these two on faster surfaces.  Sinner was close to -200 favorite a few weeks back in Cincinnati.  Alcaraz appears to be in better form this tournament, not dropping a set, and giving a whipping to Djokovic and Lehechka.  His return of serve against Djokovic was excellent, and was able to handle Djokovic sliding serve rather easily.  Sinner has looked dominant at times this tournament, but also lapses at times against Shopovalov and Aliassime.  It's fair to say Carlos will handle the humid conditions better if this turns into a lengthy match.  I just feel Sinner's A game is a notch above Alcaraz on fast hard courts and grass.  He needs a solid serving day and his health not to lapse.  Also feel there's some recency bias in the line and Sinner would have been around a -150 to -170 favorite before the tournament started.