Opening Game Favorite Chase 246-7 for 2009

i playedcubs,phillies,yanks brewers stl,seatle i did not play boston or lad, I want to say thanks  i like winning lol, but now as i see it i only have one play tommorrow just the brewers right?

Okay that makes me feel better.  I was hoping you didn't only play the series that lost.  Sounds like you would only have the brewers left.  The juice is going to be pretty high tomorrow also unfortunately but the line makers are still giving the nats value from last year.  Make sure you are crossing off your lines with wins also if you are using the labby system.  The other option would be to just let the brewers go and play the next game 1 as those have been hitting at a high rate.  You may want to check out Call 82 system in another thread.  I am playing a lot of those series as well with good success.  Many of his plays have lower juice.  Hopefully between these plays, my other system, and his plays we can make a nice profit this season.

I guess I could say that one loss and 5 wins is enough and set up for the next set of series,I might play the run line instead of ml for the rest of the series  not sure but thanks I enjoyed the help and will follow you the rst of the year where you located> i may need to buy you drinks for all the wins

Ohio

Results for 4/16:

System record 16-0-0

Additional series 3-0-0

Series #14 (game 1 wins)  CHC -171 , RL 

Series #15 (game 1 wins) PHI -260, RL 

Series #16 (game 1 wins)  NYY -201, RL

Series #17 (game 1) 7:10     tb  @ BOS

Series #18 (game 1)     MIL -157 @ was  

Series #19 (game 1 wins)   STL -240 , RL

Series #20 (game 1 wins) SEA -181, RL

Series #21 (game 1 wins)   LAD

BOL

Game 1 wins =15

Game 2 wins = 1

Game 3 wins = 0

** I will post the NYY and STL plays for tomorrow for those that played them on the RL.  As I stated previously the record will be kept based on ML plays as I don't want to confuse things***

Plays for 4/17:

System record 14-0-1

Additional series 3-0-0

 

Series #18 (game 2)  1:05   MIL -160 @ was 

***Series #19 (game 2) 4:15 nym @  STL -115

BOL

Game 1 wins =13

Game 2 wins = 1

Game 3 wins = 0

** I am calling the BOS series a system push as game 2 of the four game series does not meet criteria.  STL line only included to follow for those that played them on RL, has already been included as a system win***

Nails tonight!

6-8 with a push and 1 game to chase vs the Nats...???

$$$ cha-ching $$$

6 OF 8 i meant...

cha-ching still.

Lets keep rolling Jonny!  I am also playing a lot of Call 82's chases which are also doing very well.  More stats coming at you.  I didn't really like the numbers as much from 2007 and wanted a little more assurance it was an off year so I ran 2006 based on opening lines:

259-9

Game 1 = 177-91, 66%

Game 2 = 53-38, 58.2%

Game 3 = 29-9, 76.3%

-Like this better and falls in line with the last couple years!

looks really good, gotta like that start....

mil and st louis plays?

If you lost STL on RL then yes.  Mil is a play, although they are not looking good. Might be a good thing if you missed it.

looks like a c bet for Milw since they are down big...oh well on to tomorrow

It definitely appears this was a crap line based on the odds makers fading was based on last year.  I don't think MIL has done anything to warrant being that big of a favorite this year.  I didn't want to lay the juice with them again today so parlayed with the NYY to try  to recoup my loss but not win.  I think I am just going to give this series my 2.5U and move on.  The Brewers have caused two losses in each of the last two years in my sweep chase system which is a sign of a very inconsistent team.  Hopefully they will get it done tomorrow but I think I am going to lay off.  Hopefully if nothing else the juice will be a lot lower tomorrow???

Revguy,

hopefully you decided to lay off MIL today.

yeah that makes a lot of sense to lay off Mil.

 

jake,

if you notice also away series are more risky (see a couple pages back).  Last year we would have had 34 road team plays which gave us two losses, so they are not adding much value, esp if we get high juice in all 3 games???

looking back, those 2 losses were also interleague games which we are already eliminating so playing road series may add some value... either way, probably slightly more risky.  There was a high % for game 3's last year so hopefully the Brewers pull it off tomorrow for sake of the system but I think it will be a no play for me.

thanks for the observation. think will fade the away fav team -150 or more from now on. 

 

Nope wish I did I will leave them along for sunday though, was able to hit a 3 team parley and recooped all of the losses for the day and made an extra little on top thanks for the help

Results for 4/17:

System record 14-0-1

Additional series 3-0-0

 

Series #18 (game 2)    MIL -160 @ was 

***Series #19 (game 2)  nym @  STL -115     

BOL

Game 1 wins =13

Game 2 wins = 1

Game 3 wins = 0

**STL line only included to follow for those that played them on RL, has already been included as a system win***

Plays for 4/18:

System record 14-0-1

Additional series 3-0-0

 

Series #18 (game 3)  1:35  MIL -125 @ was 

***Series #19 (game 3) 8:05  nym @  STL -265, RL??    

BOL

Game 1 wins =13

Game 2 wins = 1

Game 3 wins = 0

**STL line only included to follow for those that played them on RL, has already been included as a system win***

also went back and checked this one and using $100 per gm considering juice for losses you would be up $788, but you would be up a lot more if i figured in doubling after a loss....very impressive...

 

Great work!!  Did u by any chance run the numbers using the RL for all plays?

 

Thanks

What do you think Rizz, using the rl or ml for Stl game?  Stl only had 500 hundred million runners on in extra innings and still could not win,.,,oh...again, what are your thoughts on the RL or ML tonight?