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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Home Chase 3 Games Variation Plus 3

    «First Previous 678 ... 121314 Next Last»
    LSU2thBone
    collectNOW
    seahawksanders
    JohnQ
    marnypoly
    ...
    Participants:
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    «First Previous 678 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    LSU2thBone
    LSU2thBone
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 7:35 PM ET #126

    Elite ~ Great point. However, anyone reading this stuff hopefully has the brains to understand money management and plan accordingly. That -14.88 is definitely BRUTAL, but I don't think ANYONE would mind losing that one as long as they picked up the other 71-73 wins. I certainly wouldn't, that's why I posted. Not battling back at all at you. Just sayin...
     
    Oh, one more thing. I personally am playing twice the confidence on the Top 5 Homers compared to the Top 5 Roadies. Same with Fading Bottom 5 Roadies compared to Bottom 5 Homers. I just trust the Top 5 Homers to win one in 3, and the Bottom 5 Roadies to lose one in 3 more than the other two.
     
    I'm also following very closely the gassed road teams with a Losing record o/u thing. That seems to be working like a charm. It made me take C-Bus & the O on that game.
     
    Cheers all
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    Elite ~ Great point. However, anyone reading this stuff hopefully has the brains to understand money management and plan accordingly. That -14.88 is definitely BRUTAL, but I don't think ANYONE would mind losing that one as long as they picked up the other 71-73 wins. I certainly wouldn't, that's why I posted. Not battling back at all at you. Just sayin...
     
    Oh, one more thing. I personally am playing twice the confidence on the Top 5 Homers compared to the Top 5 Roadies. Same with Fading Bottom 5 Roadies compared to Bottom 5 Homers. I just trust the Top 5 Homers to win one in 3, and the Bottom 5 Roadies to lose one in 3 more than the other two.
     
    I'm also following very closely the gassed road teams with a Losing record o/u thing. That seems to be working like a charm. It made me take C-Bus & the O on that game.
     
    Cheers all
     
    LSU2thBone
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 7:36 PM ET #127

    Thanks Elite,
     
     
    I'll certainly check that spreadsheet out!!
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    Thanks Elite,
     
     
    I'll certainly check that spreadsheet out!!
     
    collectNOW
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 7:43 PM ET #128

    Lsu..i know it changes daily,but who are the top 5 home teams and bottom 5 roadies going into tonight?
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    Lsu..i know it changes daily,but who are the top 5 home teams and bottom 5 roadies going into tonight?
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 8:19 PM ET #129

    1hr and 45min until the Canucks come on!   (most money I've ever had on one game in my life)!
     
    Wish me luck Eli, Expert, CollectNOW, and others...I need it...bad.  I may lose a wife over this (okay, maybe not that bad, but losing $1,500 in a week wouldn't go over too well). 
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    1hr and 45min until the Canucks come on!   (most money I've ever had on one game in my life)!
     
    Wish me luck Eli, Expert, CollectNOW, and others...I need it...bad.  I may lose a wife over this (okay, maybe not that bad, but losing $1,500 in a week wouldn't go over too well). 
     
    LSU2thBone
    LSU2thBone
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 8:42 PM ET #130

    Collect,
     
    Top 5 Homers: San Jose, Washington, Boston, Detroit, Calgary
    Bottom 5 Roadies: NYI, Ottawa, Atlanta, Hooked on Phoenix, St. Louis
     
    Nice pic btw, please don't tell me it's your lil sis!
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    Collect,
     
    Top 5 Homers: San Jose, Washington, Boston, Detroit, Calgary
    Bottom 5 Roadies: NYI, Ottawa, Atlanta, Hooked on Phoenix, St. Louis
     
    Nice pic btw, please don't tell me it's your lil sis!
     
    JohnQ
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 8:49 PM ET #131

    Hey everyone!  This is my first post here, Ive been following your guys' post/comments for about 2 weeks.   Just wanted to say, you guys are AWESOME!  ALOT of good info on here.  I've been doing my own research/backdating trying to come up with somewhat-reliable systems.  I like the system you guys are playing, and I'm definately interested in following LSU's system that was just posted...seems to be some potential there.  Out of curiousity, does anyone here bet on other that NHL?  NBA or MLB perhaps?  Just wondering, cause I'm trying to find a decent system to use for those (other than the usual morrison systems).  If you guys have any advice for me it would be greatly appreciated!
    Keep up the good work everyone!
     
    And good luck to everyone with tonights plays!..........Seahawk, sounds like your life is on the line tonight...good luck buddy!
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    Hey everyone!  This is my first post here, Ive been following your guys' post/comments for about 2 weeks.   Just wanted to say, you guys are AWESOME!  ALOT of good info on here.  I've been doing my own research/backdating trying to come up with somewhat-reliable systems.  I like the system you guys are playing, and I'm definately interested in following LSU's system that was just posted...seems to be some potential there.  Out of curiousity, does anyone here bet on other that NHL?  NBA or MLB perhaps?  Just wondering, cause I'm trying to find a decent system to use for those (other than the usual morrison systems).  If you guys have any advice for me it would be greatly appreciated!
    Keep up the good work everyone!
     
    And good luck to everyone with tonights plays!..........Seahawk, sounds like your life is on the line tonight...good luck buddy!
     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 10:04 PM ET #132

    Kings win! Sorry guys. 1 down, 1 to go.

    Cmon Canucks!
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    Kings win! Sorry guys. 1 down, 1 to go.

    Cmon Canucks!
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 10:28 PM ET #133

    Quote Originally Posted by marnypoly:

    Kings win! Sorry guys. 1 down, 1 to go.

    Cmon Canucks!


    Great job Marny ! You've been red hot with these kinds of decisions .

    I won't even refer to the other important game being played right now but let's just say it's off to a good start .

    Seahawks, remember to take a couple of sips of that drink you got beside ya whenever you got a chance hehe.
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    Quote Originally Posted by marnypoly:

    Kings win! Sorry guys. 1 down, 1 to go.

    Cmon Canucks!


    Great job Marny ! You've been red hot with these kinds of decisions .

    I won't even refer to the other important game being played right now but let's just say it's off to a good start .

    Seahawks, remember to take a couple of sips of that drink you got beside ya whenever you got a chance hehe.
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 10:43 PM ET #134

    Yeah Eli, I'm loving this start, but they led 2-0 against Columbus not too long ago (and lost that game). 
     
    Guys, I've been retarded with my account this week, but the Canucks can give me new life tonight.  $1,000+ with a win, $1,500+ with a 2-goal win!  A loss means I may be out of action for a while.
     
    Wow, almost a 3-0 lead...come on Canucks!!!
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    Yeah Eli, I'm loving this start, but they led 2-0 against Columbus not too long ago (and lost that game). 
     
    Guys, I've been retarded with my account this week, but the Canucks can give me new life tonight.  $1,000+ with a win, $1,500+ with a 2-goal win!  A loss means I may be out of action for a while.
     
    Wow, almost a 3-0 lead...come on Canucks!!!
     
    collectNOW
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 11:42 PM ET #135

    Thanks lsu....... going to use your system tomorrow.If she was my little sis,i'd still hit it lol.
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    Thanks lsu....... going to use your system tomorrow.If she was my little sis,i'd still hit it lol.
     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2009 - 11:58 PM ET #136

    Thanks Eli but the Canucks are on the verge of blowing this right up.

    This team is a freaking joke. I'm done with them if they lose.
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    Thanks Eli but the Canucks are on the verge of blowing this right up.

    This team is a freaking joke. I'm done with them if they lose.
     
    Unlucky187
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:26 AM ET #137

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Yeah Eli, I'm loving this start, but they led 2-0 against Columbus not too long ago (and lost that game). 
     
    Guys, I've been retarded with my account this week, but the Canucks can give me new life tonight.  $1,000+ with a win, $1,500+ with a 2-goal win!  A loss means I may be out of action for a while.
     
    Wow, almost a 3-0 lead...come on Canucks!!!


    I've been following this thread for a bit.  Some advice for seahawks and everyone: you need to plan your bankroll if you're going to chase like this.  You need to be able to afford a few 3-game losing streaks in a row.  You don't know when they'll come, but they will.  It would be a shame to have one or two wipe you out and then sit there while the next 50 streaks all come through. 

    Finally - with all of the discussion of variations, why not just use the last 3.5 years worth of data on the site to see what works for sure and what doesn't?  Catalog all 3+ game streaks at home and road, the results, and see if there is real potential, see if you need to drop certain teams, etc.  I know it's a bit of work, but any of the theories here can be tested over a bigger sample than just one season. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Yeah Eli, I'm loving this start, but they led 2-0 against Columbus not too long ago (and lost that game). 
     
    Guys, I've been retarded with my account this week, but the Canucks can give me new life tonight.  $1,000+ with a win, $1,500+ with a 2-goal win!  A loss means I may be out of action for a while.
     
    Wow, almost a 3-0 lead...come on Canucks!!!


    I've been following this thread for a bit.  Some advice for seahawks and everyone: you need to plan your bankroll if you're going to chase like this.  You need to be able to afford a few 3-game losing streaks in a row.  You don't know when they'll come, but they will.  It would be a shame to have one or two wipe you out and then sit there while the next 50 streaks all come through. 

    Finally - with all of the discussion of variations, why not just use the last 3.5 years worth of data on the site to see what works for sure and what doesn't?  Catalog all 3+ game streaks at home and road, the results, and see if there is real potential, see if you need to drop certain teams, etc.  I know it's a bit of work, but any of the theories here can be tested over a bigger sample than just one season. 
     
    Unlucky187
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:28 AM ET #138

    Also - seahawks - I'm with you on the Canucks tonight.  I hated to do it, but I'm sticking with my system.  I took a bath on them last month with the 4 game losing streak.  Not sure what I'll do if they choke it away tonight.  Is there an icon for: punch-to-the-stomach?
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    Also - seahawks - I'm with you on the Canucks tonight.  I hated to do it, but I'm sticking with my system.  I took a bath on them last month with the 4 game losing streak.  Not sure what I'll do if they choke it away tonight.  Is there an icon for: punch-to-the-stomach?
     
    Unlucky187
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:32 AM ET #139

    HOLD ON TO THAT LEAD!!!!!!!!!!!!
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    HOLD ON TO THAT LEAD!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:36 AM ET #140

    WOW guys, SH goal in the final 2 minutes to win it!!!!!  Thanks for the support guys!
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    WOW guys, SH goal in the final 2 minutes to win it!!!!!  Thanks for the support guys!
     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:39 AM ET #141

    That was quite possibly the most exciting breakaway goal in the history of hockey.

    Just like a table of blackjacks, it's much more fun when the table is winning. Congrats to everyone who stuck it out.

    Another round tomorrow.
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    That was quite possibly the most exciting breakaway goal in the history of hockey.

    Just like a table of blackjacks, it's much more fun when the table is winning. Congrats to everyone who stuck it out.

    Another round tomorrow.
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:42 AM ET #142

    Yeah Marny, it was a great moment and amazing goal.  My son stayed up and watched it with me, I'm sure he'll remember that for a long, long time (I know I will)!
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    Yeah Marny, it was a great moment and amazing goal.  My son stayed up and watched it with me, I'm sure he'll remember that for a long, long time (I know I will)!
     
    JohnQ
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 7:46 AM ET #143

    WOW!!  what a huge win!  Amazing game!  Congrats to everyone! Especially Seahawk, I was rootin for ya man!  Disappointed with OTT though, I figured that would happen.  I think marny had the right idea with the fade chase...
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    WOW!!  what a huge win!  Amazing game!  Congrats to everyone! Especially Seahawk, I was rootin for ya man!  Disappointed with OTT though, I figured that would happen.  I think marny had the right idea with the fade chase...
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 8:28 AM ET #144

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Yeah Marny, it was a great moment and amazing goal.  My son stayed up and watched it with me, I'm sure he'll remember that for a long, long time (I know I will)!


    WOW , really the only word that comes to mind as I'm watching the highlights this mourning. I can't imagine having to sit through that kind of game but gotta admit that's why hockey is such an exciting game.

    What happened yesterday night was just simply amazing and kinda overshadows the fact that Vancouver let the game get away when it was 2 - 0 and almost 3 - 0 with the chances they had.

    Must have woken up a neighbor when Burrows scored that shot-handed goal hehe. Congrats to all that had the balls to stick with the Canucks this time.

    Sea - Just wanted to point out that I've been there ( without the wife part ) and won these kinds of games before and let the rush get to my head too much. Only advice is stick to the basics and don't get too overconfident even though thats what usually comes after these games that you had a lot of money on. Let's all get back on track and not lose any member on this thread.

    Unlucky187
    -  That is some GREAT advice. You are absolutely correct. As for back-tracking this 2-3 years, I'm not that big of a fan of doing that because it creates a sense of false-hope when you see great results one year and jump on board the season that it crashes down. But, seeing that I have a spreadsheet that could help me do it, I'll try and get it done soon.

    Again, BOL to everyone with the upcoming chases . Hopefully, now that Vancouver is done with, everyone has seen how this system works and how hard it can be to get through a simple 3 game chase.
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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Yeah Marny, it was a great moment and amazing goal.  My son stayed up and watched it with me, I'm sure he'll remember that for a long, long time (I know I will)!


    WOW , really the only word that comes to mind as I'm watching the highlights this mourning. I can't imagine having to sit through that kind of game but gotta admit that's why hockey is such an exciting game.

    What happened yesterday night was just simply amazing and kinda overshadows the fact that Vancouver let the game get away when it was 2 - 0 and almost 3 - 0 with the chances they had.

    Must have woken up a neighbor when Burrows scored that shot-handed goal hehe. Congrats to all that had the balls to stick with the Canucks this time.

    Sea - Just wanted to point out that I've been there ( without the wife part ) and won these kinds of games before and let the rush get to my head too much. Only advice is stick to the basics and don't get too overconfident even though thats what usually comes after these games that you had a lot of money on. Let's all get back on track and not lose any member on this thread.

    Unlucky187
    -  That is some GREAT advice. You are absolutely correct. As for back-tracking this 2-3 years, I'm not that big of a fan of doing that because it creates a sense of false-hope when you see great results one year and jump on board the season that it crashes down. But, seeing that I have a spreadsheet that could help me do it, I'll try and get it done soon.

    Again, BOL to everyone with the upcoming chases . Hopefully, now that Vancouver is done with, everyone has seen how this system works and how hard it can be to get through a simple 3 game chase.
     
    seahawksanders
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 11:11 AM ET #145

    Well said Eli, very well said.  Thanks to you and JohnQ for the well-wishing, I needed it!  :) 
     
    Minnesota Wild get me back to reality tonight in a much calmer wager. 
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    Well said Eli, very well said.  Thanks to you and JohnQ for the well-wishing, I needed it!  :) 
     
    Minnesota Wild get me back to reality tonight in a much calmer wager. 
     
    JohnQ
    JohnQ
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:31 PM ET #146

    Quick question for you guys...I'm playing the Detroit series but made the mistake of betting the -1 for 60min instead of the ML on game 1... I'm sure Im not the only one.  For those of you that lost, are you continuing this series even though its technically over with the game 1 win in OT the other day?
     
    Also, how are you guys playin OTT and Minn?  OTT is makin me nervous....I think marny is the only one that played the fade...
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    Quick question for you guys...I'm playing the Detroit series but made the mistake of betting the -1 for 60min instead of the ML on game 1... I'm sure Im not the only one.  For those of you that lost, are you continuing this series even though its technically over with the game 1 win in OT the other day?
     
    Also, how are you guys playin OTT and Minn?  OTT is makin me nervous....I think marny is the only one that played the fade...
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:48 PM ET #147

    Quote Originally Posted by JohnQ:

      For those of you that lost, are you continuing this series even though its technically over with the game 1 win in OT the other day?
     
    Also, how are you guys playin OTT and Minn?  OTT is makin me nervous....I think marny is the only one that played the fade...


    Detroit has PHX and EDM coming up to close off the home stand and that means JUICE. If you are comfortable with 2 game chases with regulation lines, then this is for you but the safest way to deal with this is to hold on to that push and let Detroit play without risking any more money on them.

    As for OTT and MIN, expert will be following the original system posted in this thread so that means considering them a decent home team and expecting them to win at least one game.

    Ottawa is a bigger problem. Marnypoly's play was perfect because I did not notice that Boston was coming into town. Can they bounce back tonight? Tough question but I'll be following the system anyways so that means taking the Senators. Nothing wrong with a home dog once in a while .
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnQ:

      For those of you that lost, are you continuing this series even though its technically over with the game 1 win in OT the other day?
     
    Also, how are you guys playin OTT and Minn?  OTT is makin me nervous....I think marny is the only one that played the fade...


    Detroit has PHX and EDM coming up to close off the home stand and that means JUICE. If you are comfortable with 2 game chases with regulation lines, then this is for you but the safest way to deal with this is to hold on to that push and let Detroit play without risking any more money on them.

    As for OTT and MIN, expert will be following the original system posted in this thread so that means considering them a decent home team and expecting them to win at least one game.

    Ottawa is a bigger problem. Marnypoly's play was perfect because I did not notice that Boston was coming into town. Can they bounce back tonight? Tough question but I'll be following the system anyways so that means taking the Senators. Nothing wrong with a home dog once in a while .
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 12:51 PM ET #148

    I don't have Ottawa on my spreadsheet, they aren't a top 15 home team.  Minnesota certainly is (14-9) though. 
     
    Two other teams I didn't have on my spreadsheet: Vancouver and Colorado, burnt me badly, so I'm sticking to the top 15 only from now on and hammering the top 5 teams. 
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    I don't have Ottawa on my spreadsheet, they aren't a top 15 home team.  Minnesota certainly is (14-9) though. 
     
    Two other teams I didn't have on my spreadsheet: Vancouver and Colorado, burnt me badly, so I'm sticking to the top 15 only from now on and hammering the top 5 teams. 
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 1:00 PM ET #149

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    I don't have Ottawa on my spreadsheet, they aren't a top 15 home team.  Minnesota certainly is (14-9) though. 
     
    Two other teams I didn't have on my spreadsheet: Vancouver and Colorado, burnt me badly, so I'm sticking to the top 15 only from now on and hammering the top 5 teams. 


    Sounds like a great plan. Quick question though. By limiting yourself to top 15 home teams  (we talking about current right?), how are you gonna deal with the extremely juicy lines you are gonna encounter? -1 lines from 5dimes or going with the regulation? Do you have a specific criteria like -200 lines?
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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    I don't have Ottawa on my spreadsheet, they aren't a top 15 home team.  Minnesota certainly is (14-9) though. 
     
    Two other teams I didn't have on my spreadsheet: Vancouver and Colorado, burnt me badly, so I'm sticking to the top 15 only from now on and hammering the top 5 teams. 


    Sounds like a great plan. Quick question though. By limiting yourself to top 15 home teams  (we talking about current right?), how are you gonna deal with the extremely juicy lines you are gonna encounter? -1 lines from 5dimes or going with the regulation? Do you have a specific criteria like -200 lines?
     
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 1:58 PM ET #150

    Feb 4 Tough loss in Ottawa last night, I lost track of the wins loss column
    and LSU ilike the plan you have incorporated here

    TB
    Pitt  -200 or play the -0.5 line

    Anaheim
    Minnesota -133


    Good luck guys
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    Feb 4 Tough loss in Ottawa last night, I lost track of the wins loss column
    and LSU ilike the plan you have incorporated here

    TB
    Pitt  -200 or play the -0.5 line

    Anaheim
    Minnesota -133


    Good luck guys
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