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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Home Chase 3 Games Variation Plus 3

    «First Previous 789 ... 121314 Next Last»
    seahawksanders
    Joediggy
    JohnQ
    marnypoly
    elithepunk
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 16088
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    «First Previous 789 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    seahawksanders
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 3:27 PM ET #151

    Eli,
    Right now I should be up $750 (according to the plan I spent hours laying out on my spreadsheet I sent you).  Because I didn't have the balls to lay that juice, I have pushed on 2 of the 5 games (using -1 lines). 
     
    I'm going to bite the bullet and lay the juice on these (ML).  The next big one will be Calgary's home stand starting tomorrow.  It's only juice if you lose, and I'm betting big that SJ, BOS, DET, CGY, and Washington won't lose 3 in a row at home. 
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    Eli,
    Right now I should be up $750 (according to the plan I spent hours laying out on my spreadsheet I sent you).  Because I didn't have the balls to lay that juice, I have pushed on 2 of the 5 games (using -1 lines). 
     
    I'm going to bite the bullet and lay the juice on these (ML).  The next big one will be Calgary's home stand starting tomorrow.  It's only juice if you lose, and I'm betting big that SJ, BOS, DET, CGY, and Washington won't lose 3 in a row at home. 
     
    Joediggy
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 6:07 PM ET #152

    Something I do when there are juicy plays going is an opposite parlay. It helps even out the peaks and valleys of sports betting,
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    Something I do when there are juicy plays going is an opposite parlay. It helps even out the peaks and valleys of sports betting,
     
    JohnQ
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 6:18 PM ET #153

    Thanks for the advice elithe, I havent decided what to do on DET yet...I might just bite the bullet and take the juice. 
     
    Another question for tonights plays....MINN is obvious, but is PITT really a play?? I thought they were standing at #25 in the leauge for their home record?? Am I missing something here? Correct me if I'm wrong but arent you guys playing the top 15 teams with the best home record and chasing their 3> home stands?  I'm probably wrong here, so feel free to fill me in....
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    Thanks for the advice elithe, I havent decided what to do on DET yet...I might just bite the bullet and take the juice. 
     
    Another question for tonights plays....MINN is obvious, but is PITT really a play?? I thought they were standing at #25 in the leauge for their home record?? Am I missing something here? Correct me if I'm wrong but arent you guys playing the top 15 teams with the best home record and chasing their 3> home stands?  I'm probably wrong here, so feel free to fill me in....
     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 7:02 PM ET #154

    Let's do this!

    Pitt (Thankfully for last night, I can afford the juice. )

    Minn

    Good luck guys
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    Let's do this!

    Pitt (Thankfully for last night, I can afford the juice. )

    Minn

    Good luck guys
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 8:08 PM ET #155

    Quote Originally Posted by JohnQ:

    Thanks for the advice elithe, I havent decided what to do on DET yet...I might just bite the bullet and take the juice. 
     
    Another question for tonights plays....MINN is obvious, but is PITT really a play?? I thought they were standing at #25 in the leauge for their home record?? Am I missing something here? Correct me if I'm wrong but arent you guys playing the top 15 teams with the best home record and chasing their 3> home stands?  I'm probably wrong here, so feel free to fill me in....

    JohnQ,

    You are right.  Many people on here are playing this differently though. 

    Pittsburgh should get a win against a bad road TB team, but they are just 12-11-1 at home and not a play for me. If they don't win tonight, they have Columbus, Detroit, and San Jose coming up.  I definitely don't want to be betting against those teams. 

    Minnesota is my only play tonight, but I did a parlay with Bos +1.5 and Detroit regulation line for a small $30 play (+102). 

    Good point about opposite parlays joediggy, I've done that before when playing two huge favorites in a night (it's a nice insurance bet to prevent a horrific evening).

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnQ:

    Thanks for the advice elithe, I havent decided what to do on DET yet...I might just bite the bullet and take the juice. 
     
    Another question for tonights plays....MINN is obvious, but is PITT really a play?? I thought they were standing at #25 in the leauge for their home record?? Am I missing something here? Correct me if I'm wrong but arent you guys playing the top 15 teams with the best home record and chasing their 3> home stands?  I'm probably wrong here, so feel free to fill me in....

    JohnQ,

    You are right.  Many people on here are playing this differently though. 

    Pittsburgh should get a win against a bad road TB team, but they are just 12-11-1 at home and not a play for me. If they don't win tonight, they have Columbus, Detroit, and San Jose coming up.  I definitely don't want to be betting against those teams. 

    Minnesota is my only play tonight, but I did a parlay with Bos +1.5 and Detroit regulation line for a small $30 play (+102). 

    Good point about opposite parlays joediggy, I've done that before when playing two huge favorites in a night (it's a nice insurance bet to prevent a horrific evening).

     
    JohnQ
    JohnQ
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 8:49 PM ET #156

    I hesitated on PITT, but decided to take it on anyway....probably won't play a series, just this game....and of course they're down 0-2 right now! 
     
    I also stuck with juicy DET...lets hope that it pays off!
     
    Sea- GL with the parlay, that one should pay out for ya
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    I hesitated on PITT, but decided to take it on anyway....probably won't play a series, just this game....and of course they're down 0-2 right now! 
     
    I also stuck with juicy DET...lets hope that it pays off!
     
    Sea- GL with the parlay, that one should pay out for ya
     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 10:12 PM ET #157

    Holy crap! I can't believe we won that Pitt game. What a comeback!

    7 minutes away from a clean sweep.

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    Holy crap! I can't believe we won that Pitt game. What a comeback!

    7 minutes away from a clean sweep.

     
    JohnQ
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 10:32 PM ET #158

    DET PITT MINN
     
    3-0! What a night!  That PITT comeback was unbelievable!
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    DET PITT MINN
     
    3-0! What a night!  That PITT comeback was unbelievable!
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2009 - 11:02 PM ET #159

    Great job by everyone ! I did not manage to watch anything tonight but was glad I had time to cash in on the Wild play. A solid 3 - 0 shutout sounds like it was not that hard of a play.

    As for Detroit, at least they got it done before OT started so I'm hoping someone out there finished off that series with the -0.5 regulation line.

    Pittsburgh did not get it done in regulation so that's gonna cost game #1 of the chase.

    Hey nice hit on that sweet parlay Seahawk .
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    Great job by everyone ! I did not manage to watch anything tonight but was glad I had time to cash in on the Wild play. A solid 3 - 0 shutout sounds like it was not that hard of a play.

    As for Detroit, at least they got it done before OT started so I'm hoping someone out there finished off that series with the -0.5 regulation line.

    Pittsburgh did not get it done in regulation so that's gonna cost game #1 of the chase.

    Hey nice hit on that sweet parlay Seahawk .
     
    DrLump
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2009 - 12:51 AM ET #160

    Looks like tomorrow we have......

    Home Chase on Flames (3 Games - BHawks/Ducks/Cans)

    Home Fade on Blues  (3 Games - Oil/Avs/Nucks) Blues playing much better at the momemt and this home stand is not a burner!!!!!!!!

    I have a modified version that starts fresh after the AS break (wasn't so comfortable using last years stats.).  It uses recent/total stats. up to the '08-'09 Break...Based upon top 13 HT's and Lower 7 HT's...the middle 10 HT's are situational based on their homestand schedule, recent play and sometimes become a no play.  All locked and loaded and color coded into excel spreadsheet -----currently 11-0 since AS break.

    Lets keep it rolling  Good stuff!!!

     

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    Looks like tomorrow we have......

    Home Chase on Flames (3 Games - BHawks/Ducks/Cans)

    Home Fade on Blues  (3 Games - Oil/Avs/Nucks) Blues playing much better at the momemt and this home stand is not a burner!!!!!!!!

    I have a modified version that starts fresh after the AS break (wasn't so comfortable using last years stats.).  It uses recent/total stats. up to the '08-'09 Break...Based upon top 13 HT's and Lower 7 HT's...the middle 10 HT's are situational based on their homestand schedule, recent play and sometimes become a no play.  All locked and loaded and color coded into excel spreadsheet -----currently 11-0 since AS break.

    Lets keep it rolling  Good stuff!!!

     

     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2009 - 1:14 AM ET #161

    Hmm. Interesting decision to fade the Blues. I was considering it but the Avs and Nucks in the homestead made it difficult to go through with it. I think we're all aware those 2 teams have been playing some bad hockey for the past month. Good luck though.
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    Hmm. Interesting decision to fade the Blues. I was considering it but the Avs and Nucks in the homestead made it difficult to go through with it. I think we're all aware those 2 teams have been playing some bad hockey for the past month. Good luck though.
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2009 - 3:06 PM ET #162

    Thanks Eli, I couldn't believe that goal squeezed through at the end for the Red Wings!  Awesome!
     
    I'm hoping the recent good streak continues tonight with Calgary!!!!
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    Thanks Eli, I couldn't believe that goal squeezed through at the end for the Red Wings!  Awesome!
     
    I'm hoping the recent good streak continues tonight with Calgary!!!!
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2009 - 4:53 PM ET #163

    Feb 5

    Edmonton +130
    St Louis      we are fading this team because of bottom 8 teams from last year

    Boston
    Ottawa  +145  this team is in the top 8 home teams

    Chic
    Calgary -116   another top 8 home team

    Good luck
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    Feb 5

    Edmonton +130
    St Louis      we are fading this team because of bottom 8 teams from last year

    Boston
    Ottawa  +145  this team is in the top 8 home teams

    Chic
    Calgary -116   another top 8 home team

    Good luck
     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2009 - 7:12 PM ET #164

    My card for tonight:
    STL -125
    CAL-130
    LA/WAS O5.5
    CAR/SJ O5.5

    Good luck to everyone tonight
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    My card for tonight:
    STL -125
    CAL-130
    LA/WAS O5.5
    CAR/SJ O5.5

    Good luck to everyone tonight
     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2009 - 12:40 AM ET #165

    2-2 night. I'll take it.

    Congrats to the Blues faders.Nice call!
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    2-2 night. I'll take it.

    Congrats to the Blues faders.Nice call!
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2009 - 5:48 PM ET #166

    One game tonight

    NY Rangers
    Dallas    -130

    Good luck
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    One game tonight

    NY Rangers
    Dallas    -130

    Good luck
     
    richrogers76
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2009 - 6:39 PM ET #167

    I have NO idea why I just jumped on this with you expertcapper.  Im from Augusta,Ga and the only reason I know anything about hockey is from playstation back in highschool/college..   where no one could stop me with Pavel Bure.... anyway see anything i like tonight in CBB and you had no plays there, then i will take a shot with Stars -135... because i am a SICK DEGENERATE and if I dont bet on something i will end up out at the bars!  
     
    probably end up there anyway
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    I have NO idea why I just jumped on this with you expertcapper.  Im from Augusta,Ga and the only reason I know anything about hockey is from playstation back in highschool/college..   where no one could stop me with Pavel Bure.... anyway see anything i like tonight in CBB and you had no plays there, then i will take a shot with Stars -135... because i am a SICK DEGENERATE and if I dont bet on something i will end up out at the bars!  
     
    probably end up there anyway
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2009 - 9:32 PM ET #168

    NICE 1st period for the Stars!  Keep it up Dallas! 
     
    Only other bet I had tonight was NJ/Atl over 5.5 (my personal Thrashers over chase comes through again)! 
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    NICE 1st period for the Stars!  Keep it up Dallas! 
     
    Only other bet I had tonight was NJ/Atl over 5.5 (my personal Thrashers over chase comes through again)! 
     
    JohnQ
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2009 - 9:54 PM ET #169

    SEAHAWK---do you have a system you've been using/experimenting with for O/U?  Or were you just randomly playing a chase on a feeling...
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    SEAHAWK---do you have a system you've been using/experimenting with for O/U?  Or were you just randomly playing a chase on a feeling...
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2009 - 11:35 PM ET #170

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    One game tonight

    NY Rangers
    Dallas    -130        10  - 2 !

    Good luck


    How about a 10 - 2 win to close off the home chase during the very first game. YEEEEHAAAH
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    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    One game tonight

    NY Rangers
    Dallas    -130        10  - 2 !

    Good luck


    How about a 10 - 2 win to close off the home chase during the very first game. YEEEEHAAAH
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2009 - 11:37 PM ET #171

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    NICE 1st period for the Stars!  Keep it up Dallas! 
     
    Only other bet I had tonight was NJ/Atl over 5.5 (my personal Thrashers over chase comes through again)! 


    Sounds like a great night Seahawk. Can you tell us which particular teams you are using for the over/under chases. You seem to be hitting them pretty consistently . 
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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    NICE 1st period for the Stars!  Keep it up Dallas! 
     
    Only other bet I had tonight was NJ/Atl over 5.5 (my personal Thrashers over chase comes through again)! 


    Sounds like a great night Seahawk. Can you tell us which particular teams you are using for the over/under chases. You seem to be hitting them pretty consistently . 
     
    seahawksanders
    seahawksanders
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    Joined: Oct, 2007
    Posts: 432
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 2:34 PM ET #172

    Wow, I just put $407 on the Flames to win $220 ($120 to recoup what I lost in game 1 and $100 to win).
     
    for those who think I'm full of it:
    https://i106.photobucket.com/albums/m249/ssdmbfan/020709bets.jpg
     
    As for my o/u chases, I have just stuck with Atlanta (first and foremost - check out their past result history this season on o/u, it's easy money...so far), and St. Louis to a lessor degree. 
     
    CollectNOW had suggested hopping on a Minnesota under chase and that seems like a great idea as well.
     
    Good luck guys and GO FLAMES!!!!
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    Wow, I just put $407 on the Flames to win $220 ($120 to recoup what I lost in game 1 and $100 to win).
     
    for those who think I'm full of it:
    https://i106.photobucket.com/albums/m249/ssdmbfan/020709bets.jpg
     
    As for my o/u chases, I have just stuck with Atlanta (first and foremost - check out their past result history this season on o/u, it's easy money...so far), and St. Louis to a lessor degree. 
     
    CollectNOW had suggested hopping on a Minnesota under chase and that seems like a great idea as well.
     
    Good luck guys and GO FLAMES!!!!
     
    marnypoly
    marnypoly
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    Posts: 3939
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 3:12 PM ET #173

    Card for today:

    STL GM2
    CAL GM2
    CLU (FADE CHASE)
    NJ
    TB
    ED/DET O5.5
    Good luck guys!
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    Card for today:

    STL GM2
    CAL GM2
    CLU (FADE CHASE)
    NJ
    TB
    ED/DET O5.5
    Good luck guys!
     
    expertcapper
    expertcapper
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 2800
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 4:05 PM ET #174

    Todays games

    Anaheim
    Calgary -170

    LA
    NJ  -184

    SJ
    Columbus  +181

    NYI
    TB -142


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    Todays games

    Anaheim
    Calgary -170

    LA
    NJ  -184

    SJ
    Columbus  +181

    NYI
    TB -142


     
     
    seahawksanders
    seahawksanders
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    Posts: 432
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 5:29 PM ET #175

     Flames killed me today.  PP sucked zero shots on the first 2 power plays, pathetic.  The goal they allowed at the end of the 2nd was pathetic.  Looks like I'll have to pony up $650+ in game 3 against a good Montreal team.
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     Flames killed me today.  PP sucked zero shots on the first 2 power plays, pathetic.  The goal they allowed at the end of the 2nd was pathetic.  Looks like I'll have to pony up $650+ in game 3 against a good Montreal team.
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