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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL 2 Team road parlay system

    «First Previous 272829 ... 170171172 Next Last»
    Danrules24
    JC07
    kenkean89
    EAZYE25
    iamnomad
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    «First Previous 272829 ... 170171172 Next Last»
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 6:11 PM ET #651

    Sorry guys, yes it is Minn not STL. The play is Wash and Min.  
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sorry guys, yes it is Minn not STL. The play is Wash and Min.  
     
    JC07
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 10:04 PM ET #652

    Thanks! We got it tonight! 
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    Thanks! We got it tonight! 
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 10:11 PM ET #653

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    EAZYE25
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 10:57 PM ET #654

    Good job bud, I don't always post but I follow close. You're appreciated Dan the man!!
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    Good job bud, I don't always post but I follow close. You're appreciated Dan the man!!
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 2:37 AM ET #655

    Game 4 Winner!

    Original Bank -$740
    Current Bank - $1,386.13 ($646.13 gain, 87% gain on bank) 

    I was doing some thinking about the bankroll and increasing the bet size. I've been increasing the bets 10% for each 20% gain in bankroll. On second thought, I don't think we should increase until the bankroll doubles. By doing that, if we suffer a loss we still are at least even or still up for the year.  Increasing before we double up still exposes us to dropping below the original bank with a loss. So after we double the bank we can increase accordingly for every 20% after that.  Thoughts?

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Game 4 Winner!

    Original Bank -$740
    Current Bank - $1,386.13 ($646.13 gain, 87% gain on bank) 

    I was doing some thinking about the bankroll and increasing the bet size. I've been increasing the bets 10% for each 20% gain in bankroll. On second thought, I don't think we should increase until the bankroll doubles. By doing that, if we suffer a loss we still are at least even or still up for the year.  Increasing before we double up still exposes us to dropping below the original bank with a loss. So after we double the bank we can increase accordingly for every 20% after that.  Thoughts?

     
    iamnomad
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 3:14 AM ET #656

    Thanks for all you do.  I believe your current strategy of increasing your bets by a percentage smaller than the growth of the bankroll is a conservative one.  I am following yr lead on this.  That's just my opinion, though, and you should do whatever makes you feel comfortable.  
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    Thanks for all you do.  I believe your current strategy of increasing your bets by a percentage smaller than the growth of the bankroll is a conservative one.  I am following yr lead on this.  That's just my opinion, though, and you should do whatever makes you feel comfortable.  
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 4:14 AM ET #657

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Game 4 Winner!

    Original Bank -$740
    Current Bank - $1,386.13 ($646.13 gain, 87% gain on bank) 

    I was doing some thinking about the bankroll and increasing the bet size. I've been increasing the bets 10% for each 20% gain in bankroll. On second thought, I don't think we should increase until the bankroll doubles. By doing that, if we suffer a loss we still are at least even or still up for the year.  Increasing before we double up still exposes us to dropping below the original bank with a loss. So after we double the bank we can increase accordingly for every 20% after that.  Thoughts?

    your assessment on equating your bankroll to double the original unit value is not only correct, it holds the mathematics connected to systemmatic MM advantage, the 20% holds merit as an increase marginal line...
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Game 4 Winner!

    Original Bank -$740
    Current Bank - $1,386.13 ($646.13 gain, 87% gain on bank) 

    I was doing some thinking about the bankroll and increasing the bet size. I've been increasing the bets 10% for each 20% gain in bankroll. On second thought, I don't think we should increase until the bankroll doubles. By doing that, if we suffer a loss we still are at least even or still up for the year.  Increasing before we double up still exposes us to dropping below the original bank with a loss. So after we double the bank we can increase accordingly for every 20% after that.  Thoughts?

    your assessment on equating your bankroll to double the original unit value is not only correct, it holds the mathematics connected to systemmatic MM advantage, the 20% holds merit as an increase marginal line...
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 9:38 AM ET #658

    DR, I think at the end of the day, each gambler is different. Personally, I have raised my "unit" twice since the start of the season. The winnings have been nice, but don't want to get too agressive just yet......long season, just my opinion. 
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    DR, I think at the end of the day, each gambler is different. Personally, I have raised my "unit" twice since the start of the season. The winnings have been nice, but don't want to get too agressive just yet......long season, just my opinion. 
     
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 9:50 AM ET #659

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Game 4 Winner!

    Original Bank -$740
    Current Bank - $1,386.13 ($646.13 gain, 87% gain on bank) 

    I was doing some thinking about the bankroll and increasing the bet size. I've been increasing the bets 10% for each 20% gain in bankroll. On second thought, I don't think we should increase until the bankroll doubles. By doing that, if we suffer a loss we still are at least even or still up for the year.  Increasing before we double up still exposes us to dropping below the original bank with a loss. So after we double the bank we can increase accordingly for every 20% after that.  Thoughts?


    Dan,
    I agree 100% that the wagers shouldn't increase until at a minimum the BR doubles.  Again every bettor is different and to each their own.

    This system should have a BR set up to handle 1 or 2 losses minimum.  Loss in inevitable and the BR needs to be strong enough to recover, insurance so to speak.  You have a good handle on BR management so I trust you'll make a good decision for your personal goals.

    Thanks, and keep it green!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Game 4 Winner!

    Original Bank -$740
    Current Bank - $1,386.13 ($646.13 gain, 87% gain on bank) 

    I was doing some thinking about the bankroll and increasing the bet size. I've been increasing the bets 10% for each 20% gain in bankroll. On second thought, I don't think we should increase until the bankroll doubles. By doing that, if we suffer a loss we still are at least even or still up for the year.  Increasing before we double up still exposes us to dropping below the original bank with a loss. So after we double the bank we can increase accordingly for every 20% after that.  Thoughts?


    Dan,
    I agree 100% that the wagers shouldn't increase until at a minimum the BR doubles.  Again every bettor is different and to each their own.

    This system should have a BR set up to handle 1 or 2 losses minimum.  Loss in inevitable and the BR needs to be strong enough to recover, insurance so to speak.  You have a good handle on BR management so I trust you'll make a good decision for your personal goals.

    Thanks, and keep it green!

     
    jenjay23
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 2:28 PM ET #660

    DR,
    Thanks for your time and efforts and increase to my BR.  As stated everyone to their own on MM and I believe your approach is great and will be able to handle any loss if occurred and still show a return.  I will share my MM strategy for food for thought, a little more of an aggressive approach in the early stretch of the season. My starting BR was 3x, allowing for 3 losses to occur initially.  My bet progressions of 1x,2x,3x,5x, 8x....etc. is calculated by multiplying 0.005 * my current BR balance * progression game. The bet progression amounts are locked in every time you are on game 1.  Every time you clear a progression and are back to a game 1, a new progression line is calculated. I figure it is a way to slightly compound winnings.  For example, when you started this year my game 1 started at a $25 wager, with last nights clear my new progression line for game 1 is a $32.09 wager. Obviously this approach will be exceptional if you continue to clear. My personal thoughts are that I can use discretion on the amount I bet when the next games 6, 7 & 8 potentially occur to hopefully ensure I still profit......but in the mean time as early progression lines continue to clear, I will attempt to take advantage of the profits working for me.
    GL & Thanks again
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    DR,
    Thanks for your time and efforts and increase to my BR.  As stated everyone to their own on MM and I believe your approach is great and will be able to handle any loss if occurred and still show a return.  I will share my MM strategy for food for thought, a little more of an aggressive approach in the early stretch of the season. My starting BR was 3x, allowing for 3 losses to occur initially.  My bet progressions of 1x,2x,3x,5x, 8x....etc. is calculated by multiplying 0.005 * my current BR balance * progression game. The bet progression amounts are locked in every time you are on game 1.  Every time you clear a progression and are back to a game 1, a new progression line is calculated. I figure it is a way to slightly compound winnings.  For example, when you started this year my game 1 started at a $25 wager, with last nights clear my new progression line for game 1 is a $32.09 wager. Obviously this approach will be exceptional if you continue to clear. My personal thoughts are that I can use discretion on the amount I bet when the next games 6, 7 & 8 potentially occur to hopefully ensure I still profit......but in the mean time as early progression lines continue to clear, I will attempt to take advantage of the profits working for me.
    GL & Thanks again
     
    EAZYE25
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 5:19 PM ET #661

    Dan, I know the lines don't look great, but is there a play tonight on Sharks and Islanders? It's really not a bad bet with a good pay off. Thoughts?
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    Dan, I know the lines don't look great, but is there a play tonight on Sharks and Islanders? It's really not a bad bet with a good pay off. Thoughts?
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 5:37 PM ET #662

    Ok we are backing it down to original betting units until we more than double..

    Friday, Game 1, NYI +115 and SJ -105, $10 to win $31.98
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Ok we are backing it down to original betting units until we more than double..

    Friday, Game 1, NYI +115 and SJ -105, $10 to win $31.98
     
    Goodsy
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 12:38 AM ET #663

    .. and the good times roll on. 

    Dan, can't thank you enough for bringing this system and money management to the forum.
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    .. and the good times roll on. 

    Dan, can't thank you enough for bringing this system and money management to the forum.
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 12:39 AM ET #664

     
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    milliwilly
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 12:50 AM ET #665

    .. outstanding work Dan !
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    .. outstanding work Dan !
     
    Goodsy
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 2:01 AM ET #666

    Hey Dan... out of curiosity... I recall last MLB season you were doing the parlay system for the 2 strongest road faves AND also the 2 dogs closest to evens (if I recall correctly, something like that anyways)...

    Have you been monitoring the dogs with this system behind the scenes for NHL ?

    Cheers.
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    Hey Dan... out of curiosity... I recall last MLB season you were doing the parlay system for the 2 strongest road faves AND also the 2 dogs closest to evens (if I recall correctly, something like that anyways)...

    Have you been monitoring the dogs with this system behind the scenes for NHL ?

    Cheers.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 4:07 AM ET #667

    Quote Originally Posted by Goodsy:

    Hey Dan... out of curiosity... I recall last MLB season you were doing the parlay system for the 2 strongest road faves AND also the 2 dogs closest to evens (if I recall correctly, something like that anyways)...

    Have you been monitoring the dogs with this system behind the scenes for NHL ?

    Cheers.

    No, just playing this system as posted. 
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goodsy:

    Hey Dan... out of curiosity... I recall last MLB season you were doing the parlay system for the 2 strongest road faves AND also the 2 dogs closest to evens (if I recall correctly, something like that anyways)...

    Have you been monitoring the dogs with this system behind the scenes for NHL ?

    Cheers.

    No, just playing this system as posted. 
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 4:10 AM ET #668

    Friday results - Winner! 

    Start Bank - $740
    Current Bank - $1,418.11 ($678.11 profit, 91.6% gain on start) 


    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Friday results - Winner! 

    Start Bank - $740
    Current Bank - $1,418.11 ($678.11 profit, 91.6% gain on start) 


     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 6:56 AM ET #669

    $62 to go
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    $62 to go
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 6:58 AM ET #670

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Ok we are backing it down to original betting units until we more than double..

    Friday, Game 1, NYI +115 and SJ -105, $10 to win $31.98
    nice WIN, get ready
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Ok we are backing it down to original betting units until we more than double..

    Friday, Game 1, NYI +115 and SJ -105, $10 to win $31.98
    nice WIN, get ready
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 6:58 AM ET #671

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Ok we are backing it down to original betting units until we more than double..

    Friday, Game 1, NYI +115 and SJ -105, $10 to win $31.98
    nice WIN, get ready
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Ok we are backing it down to original betting units until we more than double..

    Friday, Game 1, NYI +115 and SJ -105, $10 to win $31.98
    nice WIN, get ready
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 10:33 AM ET #672

    Game 1, NYR -125 and Van -125, $10 to win $22.40


    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Game 1, NYR -125 and Van -125, $10 to win $22.40


     
    sabs5000
    sabs5000
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    Joined: Apr, 2014
    Posts: 50
    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 12:37 PM ET #673

    Hi Danrules24,

    I followed you and CKP22 in the Post All-Star Baseball chase system. I've tried to make some more money by betting on the NHL, but I suck. I've decided to follow you here because you doing great. Keep up the good work.

    I have a question regarding how you determine the strongest road teams. This may seem like a stupid question but I have to ask. Do you pick them based on,

    a). Their actual road records.
    b). Based on Covers consensus
    or c). Based on the money lines

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    Hi Danrules24,

    I followed you and CKP22 in the Post All-Star Baseball chase system. I've tried to make some more money by betting on the NHL, but I suck. I've decided to follow you here because you doing great. Keep up the good work.

    I have a question regarding how you determine the strongest road teams. This may seem like a stupid question but I have to ask. Do you pick them based on,

    a). Their actual road records.
    b). Based on Covers consensus
    or c). Based on the money lines

     
    sabs5000
    sabs5000
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2014
    Posts: 50
    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 2:40 PM ET #674

    Danrules24,

    Sorry for the question. I went back to the start of your thread and I can see that you pick your road teams based on the money line value.
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    Danrules24,

    Sorry for the question. I went back to the start of your thread and I can see that you pick your road teams based on the money line value.
     
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Joined: May, 2012
    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Nov. 14, 2015 - 6:59 PM ET #675

    Quote Originally Posted by sabs5000:

    Danrules24,

    Sorry for the question. I went back to the start of your thread and I can see that you pick your road teams based on the money line value.

    No problem, sorry I didn't see your question earlier.  
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by sabs5000:

    Danrules24,

    Sorry for the question. I went back to the start of your thread and I can see that you pick your road teams based on the money line value.

    No problem, sorry I didn't see your question earlier.  
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