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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA quarters chase

    «First Previous 345 ... 101112 Next Last»
    avenue
    therizz
    redskinsnation
    SuperDave
    revguy800
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    «First Previous 345 ... 101112 Next Last»
     
    avenue
    avenue
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2010 - 8:24 PM ET #51

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    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2010 - 8:27 PM ET #52

    DEN at UTAH

    Denver on road:

    cumulative

    0.466667
    0.666667 0.8 0.966667

    by qtrs

    0.466667
    0.4 0.433333 0.666667

     

    UTAH at home

    cumulative

    0.515152
    0.727273 0.878788 0.969697

    by qtr

    0.515152
    0.424242 0.515152 0.606061

    ---Has been a pretty tight series with DEN winning 2/3 first qtrs (one was possibly a push depending on the spread).  UTAH has a better cumulative record, is at home and has not lost both of the 1st two qtrs yet in the series.  Would play UTAH tonight. 

    Personally I am going to call it a night.  4-0 on the night after doubling down with the mavs in 2nd qtr vs spurs 

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    DEN at UTAH

    Denver on road:

    cumulative

    0.466667
    0.666667 0.8 0.966667

    by qtrs

    0.466667
    0.4 0.433333 0.666667

     

    UTAH at home

    cumulative

    0.515152
    0.727273 0.878788 0.969697

    by qtr

    0.515152
    0.424242 0.515152 0.606061

    ---Has been a pretty tight series with DEN winning 2/3 first qtrs (one was possibly a push depending on the spread).  UTAH has a better cumulative record, is at home and has not lost both of the 1st two qtrs yet in the series.  Would play UTAH tonight. 

    Personally I am going to call it a night.  4-0 on the night after doubling down with the mavs in 2nd qtr vs spurs 

     
    avenue
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2010 - 10:15 PM ET #53

    utah 1st q   
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    utah 1st q   
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2010 - 10:29 PM ET #54

    Great day/night guys.  I hope everyone is seeing the potential in this.  It is important to try to make the strongest play and not get too greedy.  CLE would have lost all 4 today as they were giving points in the 4th and LAL were swept every qtr on the road last night.  At worst, everyone should be 3-0 or 4-0 today.  Missed the UTAH play but need to go to bed and didn't want to risk staying up late to chase..
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    Great day/night guys.  I hope everyone is seeing the potential in this.  It is important to try to make the strongest play and not get too greedy.  CLE would have lost all 4 today as they were giving points in the 4th and LAL were swept every qtr on the road last night.  At worst, everyone should be 3-0 or 4-0 today.  Missed the UTAH play but need to go to bed and didn't want to risk staying up late to chase..
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 5:39 PM ET #55

    should say CHI not cle

    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Great day/night guys.  I hope everyone is seeing the potential in this.  It is important to try to make the strongest play and not get too greedy.  CLE would have lost all 4 today as they were giving points in the 4th and LAL were swept every qtr on the road last night.  At worst, everyone should be 3-0 or 4-0 today.  Missed the UTAH play but need to go to bed and didn't want to risk staying up late to chase..

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    should say CHI not cle

    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Great day/night guys.  I hope everyone is seeing the potential in this.  It is important to try to make the strongest play and not get too greedy.  CLE would have lost all 4 today as they were giving points in the 4th and LAL were swept every qtr on the road last night.  At worst, everyone should be 3-0 or 4-0 today.  Missed the UTAH play but need to go to bed and didn't want to risk staying up late to chase..

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 5:55 PM ET #56

    4/26

    ORL at CHA

    ORL road

    cumulative

    48.4%
    78.8% 93.9% 97.0%

    by qtr

    48.5%
    39.4% 45.5% 42.4%

    CHA home

    cumulative:

    63.3%
    80% 96.7% 100%

    by qtr

    63.3%
    56.7% 53.3% 50%

    CHA has an advantage in first 2 qtrs and is the home team.  They have lost the first qtr all 3 games in playoffs (last one on a 4pt play).  Would still play CHA tonight but they haven't been making it easy and may lay off this game.

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    4/26

    ORL at CHA

    ORL road

    cumulative

    48.4%
    78.8% 93.9% 97.0%

    by qtr

    48.5%
    39.4% 45.5% 42.4%

    CHA home

    cumulative:

    63.3%
    80% 96.7% 100%

    by qtr

    63.3%
    56.7% 53.3% 50%

    CHA has an advantage in first 2 qtrs and is the home team.  They have lost the first qtr all 3 games in playoffs (last one on a 4pt play).  Would still play CHA tonight but they haven't been making it easy and may lay off this game.

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 6:04 PM ET #57

    ATL at MIL

    ATL road

    cumulative

    50%     66.7%     83.3%    93.3%

    by qtr

    50%     36.7%     46.7%    50%

    MIL home

    cumulative

    58.6%     72.4%     93.1%    100%

    by qtrs

    58.6%      41.4%      51.7%    44.8%

    ATL has not been a very good road team.  MIL with higher % for first 2 qtrs, home team has won 1st qtr in last 3 game.  Would play on MIL

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    ATL at MIL

    ATL road

    cumulative

    50%     66.7%     83.3%    93.3%

    by qtr

    50%     36.7%     46.7%    50%

    MIL home

    cumulative

    58.6%     72.4%     93.1%    100%

    by qtrs

    58.6%      41.4%      51.7%    44.8%

    ATL has not been a very good road team.  MIL with higher % for first 2 qtrs, home team has won 1st qtr in last 3 game.  Would play on MIL

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 6:40 PM ET #58

    POR at PHO

    POR road

    cumulative

    56.3%       81.3%     90.6%      93.8%

    by qtr

    56.3%        46.9%     43.8%      53.1%

    PHO at home

    cumulative

    62.5%     81.3%       90.6%       96.9%

    by qtrs

    62.5%    46.9%        62.5%       50%

    Pretty evenly matched teams.  PHO with 1st qtr adv.  series have split 2-2 first qtrs thus far, in these types of situations lean towards the home team = PHO

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    POR at PHO

    POR road

    cumulative

    56.3%       81.3%     90.6%      93.8%

    by qtr

    56.3%        46.9%     43.8%      53.1%

    PHO at home

    cumulative

    62.5%     81.3%       90.6%       96.9%

    by qtrs

    62.5%    46.9%        62.5%       50%

    Pretty evenly matched teams.  PHO with 1st qtr adv.  series have split 2-2 first qtrs thus far, in these types of situations lean towards the home team = PHO

     
    avenue
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 6:45 PM ET #59

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    redskinsnation
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 6:47 PM ET #60

    what would you play today? is This like the baseball system.

    If the team you are betting on doesn't win the quarter you double up on them in there 2nd games quarter and if they loose that triple up on the 3rd games quarter, or if they loose the first quarter do i bet them 2nd quarter, but the same game and so on?

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    what would you play today? is This like the baseball system.

    If the team you are betting on doesn't win the quarter you double up on them in there 2nd games quarter and if they loose that triple up on the 3rd games quarter, or if they loose the first quarter do i bet them 2nd quarter, but the same game and so on?

     
    SuperDave
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 6:53 PM ET #61

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    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 7:20 PM ET #62

    This is a chase system.  You would play until you get up one unit for the game and move on unless you hit the 1st qtr and want to take a chance on the other team for a subsequent chase.  These percentages are based on regular season play and we all know the playoffs are a different animal.  I am playing very conservative and trying to not have to chase past halftime.  You have to be able to bet on quarters during the game to chase obviously.  The numbers this was based off dropped off some during last years playoffs and I was considering not unleashing this system until next year, but I think there is still some value here if played conservatively.  The home team was 52-26 in first qtrs last year, so just playing that during the playoffs should get everyone up some units also.

    Quote Originally Posted by redskinsnation:

    what would you play today? is This like the baseball system.

    If the team you are betting on doesn't win the quarter you double up on them in there 2nd games quarter and if they loose that triple up on the 3rd games quarter, or if they loose the first quarter do i bet them 2nd quarter, but the same game and so on?

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    This is a chase system.  You would play until you get up one unit for the game and move on unless you hit the 1st qtr and want to take a chance on the other team for a subsequent chase.  These percentages are based on regular season play and we all know the playoffs are a different animal.  I am playing very conservative and trying to not have to chase past halftime.  You have to be able to bet on quarters during the game to chase obviously.  The numbers this was based off dropped off some during last years playoffs and I was considering not unleashing this system until next year, but I think there is still some value here if played conservatively.  The home team was 52-26 in first qtrs last year, so just playing that during the playoffs should get everyone up some units also.

    Quote Originally Posted by redskinsnation:

    what would you play today? is This like the baseball system.

    If the team you are betting on doesn't win the quarter you double up on them in there 2nd games quarter and if they loose that triple up on the 3rd games quarter, or if they loose the first quarter do i bet them 2nd quarter, but the same game and so on?

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 7:21 PM ET #63

    Quote Originally Posted by SuperDave:

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    Quote Originally Posted by SuperDave:

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 8:33 PM ET #64

    FELTON for 3!!!! CHA 1st q +1

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    FELTON for 3!!!! CHA 1st q +1

     
    avenue
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 8:33 PM ET #65

    awesome rizz....3 at the buzzer by char for the cover!
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    awesome rizz....3 at the buzzer by char for the cover!
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 8:34 PM ET #66

    in the first quarter!
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    in the first quarter!
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 8:43 PM ET #67

    missed the atl first quarter....anyone know what the line was?
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    missed the atl first quarter....anyone know what the line was?
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 8:49 PM ET #68

    MIL +1
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    MIL +1
     
    SuperDave
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 8:49 PM ET #69

    Hahahaha pretty sick.....

    Nice hit!

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    Hahahaha pretty sick.....

    Nice hit!

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 9:12 PM ET #70

    MIL +1 1st qtr
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    MIL +1 1st qtr
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 11:22 PM ET #71

    Did anyone get a 2nd qtr line for pho???  I was screwing around and missed the 1st qtr play. was going to jump in the second but a line was never posted???  I guess I will call it a night.  Good luck if anyone is on it.  These first qtrs have been hitting so well overall I may just stick with those the rest of the playoffs.
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    Did anyone get a 2nd qtr line for pho???  I was screwing around and missed the 1st qtr play. was going to jump in the second but a line was never posted???  I guess I will call it a night.  Good luck if anyone is on it.  These first qtrs have been hitting so well overall I may just stick with those the rest of the playoffs.
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 11:38 PM ET #72

    What books do you guys know of that have inrunning nba quarters??

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    What books do you guys know of that have inrunning nba quarters??

     
    revguy800
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 11:38 PM ET #73

    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Did anyone get a 2nd qtr line for pho???  I was screwing around and missed the 1st qtr play. was going to jump in the second but a line was never posted???  I guess I will call it a night.  Good luck if anyone is on it.  These first qtrs have been hitting so well overall I may just stick with those the rest of the playoffs.

     

     

    I got pho - 3 for the second  quarter

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    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Did anyone get a 2nd qtr line for pho???  I was screwing around and missed the 1st qtr play. was going to jump in the second but a line was never posted???  I guess I will call it a night.  Good luck if anyone is on it.  These first qtrs have been hitting so well overall I may just stick with those the rest of the playoffs.

     

     

    I got pho - 3 for the second  quarter

     
    therizz
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2010 - 11:53 PM ET #74

    Thanks revguy

    PHX -3 2nd qtr

    Everyone should be 3-0 tonight, lets keep rollin

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    Thanks revguy

    PHX -3 2nd qtr

    Everyone should be 3-0 tonight, lets keep rollin

     
     
    revguy800
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2010 - 12:00 AM ET #75

    you are awesome thanks
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    you are awesome thanks
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