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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA quarters chase

    «First Previous 123 ... 101112 Next Last»
    butta01
    Albert9756
    michael550
    kreatture
    therizz
    ...
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    «First Previous 123 ... 101112 Next Last»
     
    butta01
    butta01
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2010 - 9:39 PM ET #251

    Plays are there...i don't have time to catch allot of games and so far im 12-0

    A=6
    B=3
    C=2


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    Plays are there...i don't have time to catch allot of games and so far im 12-0

    A=6
    B=3
    C=2


     
    butta01
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2010 - 10:09 PM ET #252

    Quote Originally Posted by butta01:

    Plays are there...i don't have time to catch allot of games and so far im 12-0

    A=7
    B=3
    C=2




    Correction.....
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    Quote Originally Posted by butta01:

    Plays are there...i don't have time to catch allot of games and so far im 12-0

    A=7
    B=3
    C=2




    Correction.....
     
    butta01
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2010 - 6:05 PM ET #253

    Mavs
    Heats
    Spurs


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    Mavs
    Heats
    Spurs


     
    Albert9756
    Albert9756
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2010 - 10:49 PM ET #254

    Quote Originally Posted by butta01:

    Mavs
    Heats
    Spurs




    Mavs lost all four quarters by the spread. They did win the 2nd and 3rd quarter by 1 point. Is the NBA Quarters system based on spreads lines or money lines for each quarter?
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    Quote Originally Posted by butta01:

    Mavs
    Heats
    Spurs




    Mavs lost all four quarters by the spread. They did win the 2nd and 3rd quarter by 1 point. Is the NBA Quarters system based on spreads lines or money lines for each quarter?
     
    michael550
    michael550
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2010 - 2:13 AM ET #255

    Quote Originally Posted by Albert9756:



    Mavs lost all four quarters by the spread. They did win the 2nd and 3rd quarter by 1 point. Is the NBA Quarters system based on spreads lines or money lines for each quarter?

    Ive noticed a few games called a supposed "win" in this system where the team didnt cover any of the 4 quarters. still trying to figure out myself how this works if those arent losses.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Albert9756:



    Mavs lost all four quarters by the spread. They did win the 2nd and 3rd quarter by 1 point. Is the NBA Quarters system based on spreads lines or money lines for each quarter?

    Ive noticed a few games called a supposed "win" in this system where the team didnt cover any of the 4 quarters. still trying to figure out myself how this works if those arent losses.

     
    butta01
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2010 - 2:23 PM ET #256

    Mavs was a b games loss for me because I only chase for 3 quaters using the labby method so that loss is not a worry..

    Mavs didn't cover in 1st,push in the 2nd,didn't cover in the 3rd..therefore its a b loss just to clear that up...

    The record rizz posted for the system doesn't seem to be 100% accurate as he backtest using 1/3 of the spread I think....so if you ppl using this you got to look at past records and make your plays..GL its been good to me so far and I will continue to use it...

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    Mavs was a b games loss for me because I only chase for 3 quaters using the labby method so that loss is not a worry..

    Mavs didn't cover in 1st,push in the 2nd,didn't cover in the 3rd..therefore its a b loss just to clear that up...

    The record rizz posted for the system doesn't seem to be 100% accurate as he backtest using 1/3 of the spread I think....so if you ppl using this you got to look at past records and make your plays..GL its been good to me so far and I will continue to use it...

     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2010 - 2:37 PM ET #257

    Quote Originally Posted by michael550:

    Ive noticed a few games called a supposed "win" in this system where the team didnt cover any of the 4 quarters. still trying to figure out myself how this works if those arent losses.

    Any games I have posted as playing this year were all winners except the one which was noted (OKC). Any games listed by Rizz at the end of last season, when he was actually playing it, were all correctly listed.

    Any games record from earlier, which butta noted, were only backtested using an educated guess at what the line would have been.

    Can you please state some examples of games which you believe did not cover, but were claimed as "wins"? We'll be happy to check them out.

    I haven't been chasing Quarters this past week, but I have been spot playing 1st Q's when I like the game and line. I've lost 3 1st Q's all season, so far. Things are going very well right now across all sports. Finally had a big NFL Sunday even.

    Cheers 

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    Quote Originally Posted by michael550:

    Ive noticed a few games called a supposed "win" in this system where the team didnt cover any of the 4 quarters. still trying to figure out myself how this works if those arent losses.

    Any games I have posted as playing this year were all winners except the one which was noted (OKC). Any games listed by Rizz at the end of last season, when he was actually playing it, were all correctly listed.

    Any games record from earlier, which butta noted, were only backtested using an educated guess at what the line would have been.

    Can you please state some examples of games which you believe did not cover, but were claimed as "wins"? We'll be happy to check them out.

    I haven't been chasing Quarters this past week, but I have been spot playing 1st Q's when I like the game and line. I've lost 3 1st Q's all season, so far. Things are going very well right now across all sports. Finally had a big NFL Sunday even.

    Cheers 

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2010 - 10:16 PM ET #258

    Guys,

    These backtested records should be as accurate as possible but it is possible I missed a couple losses in backtesting 1200+ NBA games per season for the last couple of years, although I don't think so....  I had no way to know what the lines would be at that time so I used 1/3 of the spread for the whole game as a benchmark.  I also had a few teams OKC, CLE, ORL that I would hammer last year as they were 100% against 1/2 of the whole game spread.

    I have been playing very sparingly as there were a lot of offseason moves with these teams this year.  I was surprised by the OKC loss????  Not surprised by DAL as they are a team whose line often seems inflated and I avoided them last year because of this. 

    The season is young.  Take time to cap the last few matchups between the teams you are considering playing as there are often patterns to be found.  I am also considering using teamrankings.com again like I did in MLB comparing home team ratings vs. away team ratings and trying to focus on plays where there is a clear discrepancy.  There will be losses, teams will piss you off when they don't show up.  It is a good idea to have league pass also as sometimes you will be watching the game and can tell your team is just tanking, uninspired, etc and you can either switch or just walk away from the chase.

    Also, I use aggressive labby.  You will see these hit about 50% or above for all the quarters.  Over time, the lines will be clearing and you will make money.  Your losses will also be recouped much more quickly than with traditional martingale.......

    Just my .02 

    Wish I had more time free to post but my job is making that impossible.

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    Guys,

    These backtested records should be as accurate as possible but it is possible I missed a couple losses in backtesting 1200+ NBA games per season for the last couple of years, although I don't think so....  I had no way to know what the lines would be at that time so I used 1/3 of the spread for the whole game as a benchmark.  I also had a few teams OKC, CLE, ORL that I would hammer last year as they were 100% against 1/2 of the whole game spread.

    I have been playing very sparingly as there were a lot of offseason moves with these teams this year.  I was surprised by the OKC loss????  Not surprised by DAL as they are a team whose line often seems inflated and I avoided them last year because of this. 

    The season is young.  Take time to cap the last few matchups between the teams you are considering playing as there are often patterns to be found.  I am also considering using teamrankings.com again like I did in MLB comparing home team ratings vs. away team ratings and trying to focus on plays where there is a clear discrepancy.  There will be losses, teams will piss you off when they don't show up.  It is a good idea to have league pass also as sometimes you will be watching the game and can tell your team is just tanking, uninspired, etc and you can either switch or just walk away from the chase.

    Also, I use aggressive labby.  You will see these hit about 50% or above for all the quarters.  Over time, the lines will be clearing and you will make money.  Your losses will also be recouped much more quickly than with traditional martingale.......

    Just my .02 

    Wish I had more time free to post but my job is making that impossible.

     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2010 - 10:36 PM ET #259

    Thanks for your input Rizz, always appreciated. 

    Hope all is well with you 
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    Thanks for your input Rizz, always appreciated. 

    Hope all is well with you 
     
    butta01
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2010 - 11:54 PM ET #260

    Thanks rizz another beautiful nite with this....
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    Thanks rizz another beautiful nite with this....
     
    michael550
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2010 - 2:40 AM ET #261

    wasnt detroit a 4 quarter loss on november 2nd?
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    wasnt detroit a 4 quarter loss on november 2nd?
     
    butta01
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2010 - 10:05 AM ET #262

    Not seeing that game michael
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    Not seeing that game michael
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2010 - 10:34 AM ET #263

    Quote Originally Posted by michael550:

    wasnt detroit a 4 quarter loss on november 2nd?

    I wouldn't be surprised if every Detroit game is a loss, LoL.

    My question to you would be, why would you play Detroit in the first place? This isn't designed to play every game on the board, there's only certain teams you should be doing this with.

    I think maybe some people have been confused by thinking all games are a play, which is not the case. Also, you only wager until you win ONE Quarter, and then you stop for that game. You can continue betting the other Quarters, but it's not part of how this works here.

    Busy day here for me, an I'm in a sour mood with all this rain for the 6th straight day.. see you tonight.

    Cheers 

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    Quote Originally Posted by michael550:

    wasnt detroit a 4 quarter loss on november 2nd?

    I wouldn't be surprised if every Detroit game is a loss, LoL.

    My question to you would be, why would you play Detroit in the first place? This isn't designed to play every game on the board, there's only certain teams you should be doing this with.

    I think maybe some people have been confused by thinking all games are a play, which is not the case. Also, you only wager until you win ONE Quarter, and then you stop for that game. You can continue betting the other Quarters, but it's not part of how this works here.

    Busy day here for me, an I'm in a sour mood with all this rain for the 6th straight day.. see you tonight.

    Cheers 

     
    butta01
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2010 - 11:16 AM ET #264

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

    I wouldn't be surprised if every Detroit game is a loss, LoL.

    My question to you would be, why would you play Detroit in the first place? This isn't designed to play every game on the board, there's only certain teams you should be doing this with.

    I think maybe some people have been confused by thinking all games are a play, which is not the case. Also, you only wager until you win ONE Quarter, and then you stop for that game. You can continue betting the other Quarters, but it's not part of how this works here.

    Busy day here for me, an I'm in a sour mood with all this rain for the 6th straight day.. see you tonight.

    Cheers 



    That's what I'm saying too why would someone even look to play det the team is playing awful....i dont mind cos i fade them a couple time...


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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

    I wouldn't be surprised if every Detroit game is a loss, LoL.

    My question to you would be, why would you play Detroit in the first place? This isn't designed to play every game on the board, there's only certain teams you should be doing this with.

    I think maybe some people have been confused by thinking all games are a play, which is not the case. Also, you only wager until you win ONE Quarter, and then you stop for that game. You can continue betting the other Quarters, but it's not part of how this works here.

    Busy day here for me, an I'm in a sour mood with all this rain for the 6th straight day.. see you tonight.

    Cheers 



    That's what I'm saying too why would someone even look to play det the team is playing awful....i dont mind cos i fade them a couple time...


     
    michael550
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2010 - 6:29 PM ET #265

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

    I wouldn't be surprised if every Detroit game is a loss, LoL.

    My question to you would be, why would you play Detroit in the first place? This isn't designed to play every game on the board, there's only certain teams you should be doing this with.

    I think maybe some people have been confused by thinking all games are a play, which is not the case. Also, you only wager until you win ONE Quarter, and then you stop for that game. You can continue betting the other Quarters, but it's not part of how this works here.

    Busy day here for me, an I'm in a sour mood with all this rain for the 6th straight day.. see you tonight.

    Cheers 

    exactly. and detroit was a home team which lost every quarter by more than the spread for that game.

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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

    I wouldn't be surprised if every Detroit game is a loss, LoL.

    My question to you would be, why would you play Detroit in the first place? This isn't designed to play every game on the board, there's only certain teams you should be doing this with.

    I think maybe some people have been confused by thinking all games are a play, which is not the case. Also, you only wager until you win ONE Quarter, and then you stop for that game. You can continue betting the other Quarters, but it's not part of how this works here.

    Busy day here for me, an I'm in a sour mood with all this rain for the 6th straight day.. see you tonight.

    Cheers 

    exactly. and detroit was a home team which lost every quarter by more than the spread for that game.

     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2010 - 6:53 PM ET #266

    I'm confused now.. and I think you are too.

    From what I am understanding of what you are understanding, is you think you play on home teams all the time?

    This System is not only based on playing the home side. It involves betting on teams who are good at winning quarters, whether they are home or away.

    There's no way anyone should have played Detroit at home. If anything, you fade them like butta said and play the road team.

    This strategy plays select teams only, sometimes at home, sometimes on the road.

    Cheers 
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    I'm confused now.. and I think you are too.

    From what I am understanding of what you are understanding, is you think you play on home teams all the time?

    This System is not only based on playing the home side. It involves betting on teams who are good at winning quarters, whether they are home or away.

    There's no way anyone should have played Detroit at home. If anything, you fade them like butta said and play the road team.

    This strategy plays select teams only, sometimes at home, sometimes on the road.

    Cheers 
     
    butta01
    butta01
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2010 - 4:02 PM ET #267

    Record so far using labby...
    A= 14
    B=8
    C=3

    Playing okla and lakers for 2q today...so if both don't cover in 2 quarters both will be b loss.use labby with this,if you bet straight there won't be much profit...this has been wonderful so far...this is a must try for those who have the time and the right book...just my suggestion...gl all...
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    Record so far using labby...
    A= 14
    B=8
    C=3

    Playing okla and lakers for 2q today...so if both don't cover in 2 quarters both will be b loss.use labby with this,if you bet straight there won't be much profit...this has been wonderful so far...this is a must try for those who have the time and the right book...just my suggestion...gl all...
     
    RCDirect
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    Posted: Nov. 15, 2010 - 10:32 PM ET #268

    Quote Originally Posted by blaaze:

    From a friend at another forum

    For NBA, wait until game 20, then throw out the bottom feeders (teams that are somewhere around .200). For all the remaining teams look at who wins the first half and bet the other team in the 3rd Quarter, if the team is getting points, take the points, if the team is the favorite for the 3rd Quarter than play the money line. If this team loses the 3rd Quarter then triple up and play the 4th Quarter. Again, if you are getting points, take the points, if you are giving up points then play the money line.

    The last few years we have KILLED the NBA using this method.


    Blaze, what book offers 3rd and 4th qtr after the start of game. 5 Dimes seems to offer only the 3rd qtr
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    Quote Originally Posted by blaaze:

    From a friend at another forum

    For NBA, wait until game 20, then throw out the bottom feeders (teams that are somewhere around .200). For all the remaining teams look at who wins the first half and bet the other team in the 3rd Quarter, if the team is getting points, take the points, if the team is the favorite for the 3rd Quarter than play the money line. If this team loses the 3rd Quarter then triple up and play the 4th Quarter. Again, if you are getting points, take the points, if you are giving up points then play the money line.

    The last few years we have KILLED the NBA using this method.


    Blaze, what book offers 3rd and 4th qtr after the start of game. 5 Dimes seems to offer only the 3rd qtr
     
    blaaze
    blaaze
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    Posted: Nov. 26, 2010 - 6:48 PM ET #269

    Quote Originally Posted by RCDirect:



    Blaze, what book offers 3rd and 4th qtr after the start of game. 5 Dimes seems to offer only the 3rd qtr


    I am looking for the answer to that myself  I assume there would have to be live in game wagering available.  I found a couple that does the spread but not ML
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    Quote Originally Posted by RCDirect:



    Blaze, what book offers 3rd and 4th qtr after the start of game. 5 Dimes seems to offer only the 3rd qtr


    I am looking for the answer to that myself  I assume there would have to be live in game wagering available.  I found a couple that does the spread but not ML
     
    brewers7
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2011 - 4:18 AM ET #270

    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    I tested this up to a spread of 1/3 of the overall game spread which is usually pretty accurate.  I don't have the lines for each quarter for the season to compare  to, but the majority fall within this range.  Some of the teams I was able to confim up to 1/2 of the original spread such as ORL, CLE, LAL at home, etc.

    I have quarter lines for every season going back to 1991-92 in my NBA database...

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    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    I tested this up to a spread of 1/3 of the overall game spread which is usually pretty accurate.  I don't have the lines for each quarter for the season to compare  to, but the majority fall within this range.  Some of the teams I was able to confim up to 1/2 of the original spread such as ORL, CLE, LAL at home, etc.

    I have quarter lines for every season going back to 1991-92 in my NBA database...

     
    trychome
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 1:37 AM ET #271

    im still trying to figure out what the criteria is for picking which games and team we are supposed to chase.  can someone tell me where to find the past cumulative quarters percentages? any help is appreciated. thank you.
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    im still trying to figure out what the criteria is for picking which games and team we are supposed to chase.  can someone tell me where to find the past cumulative quarters percentages? any help is appreciated. thank you.
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 8:31 PM ET #272

    Quote Originally Posted by brewers7:

    I have quarter lines for every season going back to 1991-92 in my NBA database...

    You have my attention!  Going to try to send you a PM

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    Quote Originally Posted by brewers7:

    I have quarter lines for every season going back to 1991-92 in my NBA database...

    You have my attention!  Going to try to send you a PM

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 6:15 PM ET #273

    Going to play on IND tonight

    Lean ORL also

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    Going to play on IND tonight

    Lean ORL also

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 8:26 PM ET #274

    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Going to play on IND tonight    1st Q

    Lean ORL also                      1st Q , if played

    Get your money and get out!

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    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Going to play on IND tonight    1st Q

    Lean ORL also                      1st Q , if played

    Get your money and get out!

     
     
    jamese182
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 8:39 PM ET #275

    which teams do u do rizz and do u do spread or moneyline...this sounds better then any other chase system
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    which teams do u do rizz and do u do spread or moneyline...this sounds better then any other chase system
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