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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?

    «First Previous 567 ... 333435 Next Last»
    DegenGamble
    Danrules24
    mikkii10
    BuckeyeKaptn
    sports_Network
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    «First Previous 567 ... 333435 Next Last»
     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 4:00 PM ET #101

    Yeah - Donbest changed their website which screwed stuff up - It's a quick fix but I'm on vacation this week . If your handy with excel you can update the range in the odds col on the summary tab from E to F - otherwise I can fix it later
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    Yeah - Donbest changed their website which screwed stuff up - It's a quick fix but I'm on vacation this week . If your handy with excel you can update the range in the odds col on the summary tab from E to F - otherwise I can fix it later
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 4:27 PM ET #102

    Changed all to F and it updated fine. Thanks!

    Enjoy your vacation, hope you went somewhere good.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Changed all to F and it updated fine. Thanks!

    Enjoy your vacation, hope you went somewhere good.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 4:37 PM ET #103

    Tuesday 4/30 system plays:

    Dog EFF

    Pitt 126, 3 units

    Sea 104, 2 units

    System Plays

    Pitt 126

    Sea 104

    Mia 108

    SD 125

    Cincy 123

    Colo 131

    TB/KC Under 7.5 -110

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Tuesday 4/30 system plays:

    Dog EFF

    Pitt 126, 3 units

    Sea 104, 2 units

    System Plays

    Pitt 126

    Sea 104

    Mia 108

    SD 125

    Cincy 123

    Colo 131

    TB/KC Under 7.5 -110

     
    mikkii10
    mikkii10
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 7:34 PM ET #104

    looking to play some of these picks
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    looking to play some of these picks
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 7:40 PM ET #105

    Sunny Florida Danrules - so it's defintely nice scattered showers but ill take it for 80 degree weather every day
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    Sunny Florida Danrules - so it's defintely nice scattered showers but ill take it for 80 degree weather every day
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 8:02 PM ET #106

    Dan, change which E?


    =IF(B5<>"",IFERROR(INDEX(Odds!$E$1:$E$406,MATCH(B5,Odds!$AB$1:$AB$500,0)),""),"")
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    Dan, change which E?


    =IF(B5<>"",IFERROR(INDEX(Odds!$E$1:$E$406,MATCH(B5,Odds!$AB$1:$AB$500,0)),""),"")
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 8:17 PM ET #107

    Nevermind, did them both and the odds and pitchers came up, although on the Philly/Clev pitchers didn't, you?
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    Nevermind, did them both and the odds and pitchers came up, although on the Philly/Clev pitchers didn't, you?
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 9:20 PM ET #108

    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    Nevermind, did them both and the odds and pitchers came up, although on the Philly/Clev pitchers didn't, you?

    No problem on the Philly/Clev pitchers or odds.

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    Nevermind, did them both and the odds and pitchers came up, although on the Philly/Clev pitchers didn't, you?

    No problem on the Philly/Clev pitchers or odds.

     

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 9:46 PM ET #109

    updated again....all peachy,
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    updated again....all peachy,
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 1:46 AM ET #110

    Tuesday 4/30 results

    Dog EFF

    0-2, -5 units

    YTD 4-5, -1.08 units

    Pitt 126, 3 units Loss

    Sea 104, 2 units Loss

    System Plays

    2-5, -2.77 units

    YTD 50-63, -.04 units

    Pitt 126 Loss

    Sea 104 Loss

    Mia 108 WIN

    SD 125 WIN

    Cincy 123 Loss

    Colo 131 Loss

    TB/KC Under 7.5 -110 Loss

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Tuesday 4/30 results

    Dog EFF

    0-2, -5 units

    YTD 4-5, -1.08 units

    Pitt 126, 3 units Loss

    Sea 104, 2 units Loss

    System Plays

    2-5, -2.77 units

    YTD 50-63, -.04 units

    Pitt 126 Loss

    Sea 104 Loss

    Mia 108 WIN

    SD 125 WIN

    Cincy 123 Loss

    Colo 131 Loss

    TB/KC Under 7.5 -110 Loss

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 12:00 PM ET #111

    Wednesday 5/1 system plays

    Dog EFF

    Pitt 128, 3 units

    KC 101, 3 units

    SF 107, 3 units

    System Plays

    Pitt 128

    KC 101

    SF 107

    Mia 116

    Clev 124

    Tor 128

    Cubs 107

    Colo 129

    Cincy/STL Under 7.5 -115

    Was/Atl Under 7 -110

    Note: They spreadsheet did not show Clev under the 6 hits system probably because it is a 2 game series. The rules I saw do not stipulate length of a series so I'm making it a play.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Wednesday 5/1 system plays

    Dog EFF

    Pitt 128, 3 units

    KC 101, 3 units

    SF 107, 3 units

    System Plays

    Pitt 128

    KC 101

    SF 107

    Mia 116

    Clev 124

    Tor 128

    Cubs 107

    Colo 129

    Cincy/STL Under 7.5 -115

    Was/Atl Under 7 -110

    Note: They spreadsheet did not show Clev under the 6 hits system probably because it is a 2 game series. The rules I saw do not stipulate length of a series so I'm making it a play.

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 12:02 PM ET #112

    Dogs should have a big day soon only 3 dogs won yesterday - rest were favs - that means dogs will be barking soon
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    Dogs should have a big day soon only 3 dogs won yesterday - rest were favs - that means dogs will be barking soon
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 2, 2013 - 2:20 AM ET #113

    Wednesday 5/1 results

    Dog EFF

    3-0, +10.08 units

    YTD 7-5, +9 units

    Pitt 128, 3 units WIN

    KC 101, 3 units WIN

    SF 107, 3 units WIN

    System Plays

    8-2, +6.96 units

    YTD 58-65, +6.92 units

    Pitt 128 WIN

    KC 101 WIN

    SF 107 WIN

    Mia 116 Loss

    Clev 124 WIN

    Tor 128 Loss

    Cubs 107 WIN

    Colo 129  WIN

    Cincy/STL Under 7.5 -115 WIN

    Was/Atl Under 7 -110 WIN

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Wednesday 5/1 results

    Dog EFF

    3-0, +10.08 units

    YTD 7-5, +9 units

    Pitt 128, 3 units WIN

    KC 101, 3 units WIN

    SF 107, 3 units WIN

    System Plays

    8-2, +6.96 units

    YTD 58-65, +6.92 units

    Pitt 128 WIN

    KC 101 WIN

    SF 107 WIN

    Mia 116 Loss

    Clev 124 WIN

    Tor 128 Loss

    Cubs 107 WIN

    Colo 129  WIN

    Cincy/STL Under 7.5 -115 WIN

    Was/Atl Under 7 -110 WIN

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 2, 2013 - 4:22 AM ET #114

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Wednesday 5/1 results

    Dog EFF

    3-0, +10.08 units

    YTD 7-5, +9 units

    Pitt 128, 3 units WIN

    KC 101, 3 units WIN

    SF 107, 3 units WIN

    System Plays

    8-2, +6.96 units

    YTD 58-65, +6.92 units

    Pitt 128 WIN

    KC 101 WIN

    SF 107 WIN

    Mia 116 Loss

    Clev 124 WIN

    Tor 128 Loss

    Cubs 107 WIN

    Colo 129  WIN

    Cincy/STL Under 7.5 -115 WIN

    Was/Atl Under 7 -110 WIN

    Excellent results/work- A system that produces a daily dividend of +17units and  a combined 11-2 [84.6%] 3-0 DEFF [100%] brings the winning edge to the forefront on "dog play"
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Wednesday 5/1 results

    Dog EFF

    3-0, +10.08 units

    YTD 7-5, +9 units

    Pitt 128, 3 units WIN

    KC 101, 3 units WIN

    SF 107, 3 units WIN

    System Plays

    8-2, +6.96 units

    YTD 58-65, +6.92 units

    Pitt 128 WIN

    KC 101 WIN

    SF 107 WIN

    Mia 116 Loss

    Clev 124 WIN

    Tor 128 Loss

    Cubs 107 WIN

    Colo 129  WIN

    Cincy/STL Under 7.5 -115 WIN

    Was/Atl Under 7 -110 WIN

    Excellent results/work- A system that produces a daily dividend of +17units and  a combined 11-2 [84.6%] 3-0 DEFF [100%] brings the winning edge to the forefront on "dog play"
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 2, 2013 - 4:35 AM ET #115

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Dogs should have a big day soon only 3 dogs won yesterday - rest were favs - that means dogs will be barking soon
    'soon' was yesterdays results...good stuff   DG
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    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Dogs should have a big day soon only 3 dogs won yesterday - rest were favs - that means dogs will be barking soon
    'soon' was yesterdays results...good stuff   DG
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 2, 2013 - 1:17 PM ET #116

    Thursday 5/2 system plays:

    Dog EFF

    Balt 106, 2 units

    System Plays

    Balt 106

    Was 151

    ChiSox 113

    Mil 100

    Bos/Tor UNDER 9 -120

    An early trend I'm seeing is a losing record for 4 of the 5 systems when the play only qualifies for 1 system. The only winning record is the Under system. Of course we don't have to be at 50% to win when betting on dogs, just an observation. The strongest winning % has been when a play qualifies at 2 or more systems. Much less plays however. I will continue to monitor this angle and see if there is something there long term. Small sample size so far.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thursday 5/2 system plays:

    Dog EFF

    Balt 106, 2 units

    System Plays

    Balt 106

    Was 151

    ChiSox 113

    Mil 100

    Bos/Tor UNDER 9 -120

    An early trend I'm seeing is a losing record for 4 of the 5 systems when the play only qualifies for 1 system. The only winning record is the Under system. Of course we don't have to be at 50% to win when betting on dogs, just an observation. The strongest winning % has been when a play qualifies at 2 or more systems. Much less plays however. I will continue to monitor this angle and see if there is something there long term. Small sample size so far.

     
    Cuntchaser
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    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 12:01 AM ET #117

    I think Mil was a mistake..or i am wrong?
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    I think Mil was a mistake..or i am wrong?
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 12:08 AM ET #118

    When I ran the update Mil was under the MLB Underdog system at 100. If the odds changed and they went to - something it wouldn't have been a play. I posted what I had when I ran it.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    When I ran the update Mil was under the MLB Underdog system at 100. If the odds changed and they went to - something it wouldn't have been a play. I posted what I had when I ran it.
     
    Cuntchaser
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    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 12:19 AM ET #119

    this system  https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101332938&page=1 also can help to choose right underdogs. 
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    this system  https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101332938&page=1 also can help to choose right underdogs. 
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 12:25 AM ET #120

    Quote Originally Posted by Cuntchaser:

    this system  https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101332938&page=1 also can help to choose right underdogs. 

    That system is the Tony Stoffo system that we already use for the 4th and 5th columns on the spreadsheet. https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/story.cfm/story/571442/

    Mil fell into the 4th system on the spreadsheet.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuntchaser:

    this system  https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101332938&page=1 also can help to choose right underdogs. 

    That system is the Tony Stoffo system that we already use for the 4th and 5th columns on the spreadsheet. https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/story.cfm/story/571442/

    Mil fell into the 4th system on the spreadsheet.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 1:04 AM ET #121

    Thursday 5/2 results:

    Dog EFF

    1-0, 2.12 units

    YTD 8-5, 11.12 units

    Balt 106, 2 units WIN

    System Plays

    4-1, +3.7 units

    YTD 62-66, +10.62 units

    Balt 106 WIN

    Was 151 WIN

    ChiSox 113 WIN

    Mil 100 Loss

    Bos/Tor UNDER 9 -120 WIN

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thursday 5/2 results:

    Dog EFF

    1-0, 2.12 units

    YTD 8-5, 11.12 units

    Balt 106, 2 units WIN

    System Plays

    4-1, +3.7 units

    YTD 62-66, +10.62 units

    Balt 106 WIN

    Was 151 WIN

    ChiSox 113 WIN

    Mil 100 Loss

    Bos/Tor UNDER 9 -120 WIN

     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posts: 8426
    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 9:13 AM ET #122

    becoming consistent, well done on O/U play (3-0 L2D)
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    becoming consistent, well done on O/U play (3-0 L2D)
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Joined: May, 2012
    Posts: 5921
    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 12:35 PM ET #123

    Friday 5/3 system plays:

    Dog EFF

    Balt 114, 2 units

    Minn 135, 2 units

    Oak 132, 2 units

    STL 100,  2 units

    System Plays

    Balt 114

    Minn 135

    Oak 132

    STL 100

    Wash 116

    Mets 169

    ChiSox 135

    SD 110

    SF 123

    Stl/Mil Under 8 -110

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Friday 5/3 system plays:

    Dog EFF

    Balt 114, 2 units

    Minn 135, 2 units

    Oak 132, 2 units

    STL 100,  2 units

    System Plays

    Balt 114

    Minn 135

    Oak 132

    STL 100

    Wash 116

    Mets 169

    ChiSox 135

    SD 110

    SF 123

    Stl/Mil Under 8 -110

     
    Cuntchaser
    Cuntchaser
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    Posts: 36
    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 12:51 PM ET #124

    Boston DogEff ?
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    Boston DogEff ?
     
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: May. 3, 2013 - 12:59 PM ET #125

    Boston doesn't qualify under any of the systems. I'm only including the Dog Eff if a team otherwise qualifies for a system.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Boston doesn't qualify under any of the systems. I'm only including the Dog Eff if a team otherwise qualifies for a system.
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