The ratings are current, updated through yesterday's games. Today's plays reflect the current ratings.
I'm sorry but I still don't get it. Let's look at yesterday number
Phily has more than .400 for all categories but it has -40 as Fav and it has been picked as a play yesterday. Is there any other criteria? Thanks,
Let me try and explain.
The DOG EFF SCORE system only looks at the last two columns. We are looking for a dog with a positve score playing a fave with a negative score. Looking at today's sheet Clev is a dog at +17 and Phil is a fave at -40, triggering a play (and a winner!) for today. Nothing else matters for this system except those two columns.
All of the teams that qualify for any of the 4 systems is a SYSTEM PLAY . Full description here: https://www.betfirms.com/baseball-betting-systems-underdogs/
The DOG EFF system looks at those dogs that already qualify for a System Play as described above. The added filter is the two columns marked as Overall Dog Eff and Using Odds Dog Eff. If a qualifying system play has a score of .400 or better in BOTH columns then it is a DOG EFF system play. An example from today is Seattle, while SD would not qualify.
I hope that helps, if not, ask away.
Neither of those teams are dogs today.
I stand corrected. They weren't dogs when I originally ran the system this morning before the first game. They moved to dog status so I didn't capture that. So, if you could have bet them as dogs they both would have qualified for Dog EFF plays as well as System plays.
Does it mean that I"ve passed the test?
Thank you
Haha, good catch. Just an FYI, I run the update on the spreadsheet before the first game of the day and post the plays at that time. Games may fall in or out of the system but I can't account for that. If anyone wants to run this for their personal betting shortly before a game later in the day, they can certainly do that but I'm not going to alter the official plays (within reason).
In the case of Tex and AZ if we would have caught that prior to the game being played, we could have revised the official plays. Perhaps if I'm able to reach my goal and retire early in 5 years, i'll be able to just sit on the computer and update the sheet 10-15 before each game. lol
Wednesday 5/15 results:
Dog EFF Score
2-1, +1.49 units
YTD 10-10, +2.34 units
Clev 148 WIN
SF 102 Loss
KC 101 WIN
Dog EFF
2-1, +2.16 units
YTD 30-24, +25.88 units
All 2 units
Sea 107 WIN
KC 101 WIN
Wash 130 Loss
System Plays
4-3, +1.64 units
YTD 104-104, +25.29 units
Sea 107 WIN
KC 101 WIN
Wash 130 Loss
SD 140 WIN
ChiSox 116 WIN
Mil 112 Loss
Colo 117 Loss
Wednesday 5/15/13 results:
Dog EFF Score
2-1, +1.49 units
YTD 10-10, +2.34 units
Clev 148 WIN
SF 102 Loss
KC 101 WIN
Dog EFF/RRL:results
2-1, +2.16 units
YTD 30-24, +25.88 units
All 2 units
<SEA+107 ML WIN | SEA +185 RRL WIN> RISK 2u WIN 3.7u
<KC +101 ML WIN | KC +176 RRL WIN> RISK 2u WIN 3.52u
Wash 130 Loss
System Plays
4-3, +1.64 units
YTD 104-104, +25.29 units
Sea 107 WIN
KC 101 WIN
Wash 130 Loss
<SD +140 ML WIN | SD +218 RRL WIN> RISK 2u WIN 4.36u
<CHW +116 ML WIN | CHW +195 RRL WIN> RISK 2u WIN 3.9u
<MIL +112 ML LOSS | MIL +192 RRL LOSS> RISK 2u LOSS 2u
Colo 117 Loss
WIN-4 LOSS-1 ROI:13.48units
YTD: WIN-20 LOSS-3 ROI: 68.45units
<SEA+107 ML WIN | SEA +185 RRL WIN> RISK 2u WIN 3.7u
<KC +101 ML WIN | KC +176 RRL WIN> RISK 2u WIN 3.52u
<SD +140 ML WIN | SD +218 RRL WIN> RISK 2u WIN 4.36u
<CHW +116 ML WIN | CHW +195 RRL WIN> RISK 2u WIN 3.9u
<MIL +112 ML LOSS | MIL +192 RRL LOSS> RISK 2u LOSS 2u
WIN-4 LOSS-1 ROI:13.48units
I really hate to be a pest but I am lost when it comes to the RRL plays. White Sox have won only 4 times by 2 or more runs in 18 tries as a dog for a 0.22 %. How do they qualify as a RRL play. Or for that matter any of the above except maybe KC
Thank You
Degen, he's right. The Sagarin ratings on the spreadsheet are not correct. I looked at the updated link for NL pitchers and it's a bit different then the spreadsheet (after I ran the update).
https://www.usatoday.com/sports/mlb/sagarin/2013/nl-pitcher/
From post 283 on the final two columns:The DOG EFF SCORE system only looks at the last two columns. We are looking for a dog with a positve score playing a fave with a negative score. Looking at today's sheet Clev is a dog at +17 and Phil is a fave at -40, triggering a play (and a winner!) for today. Nothing else matters for this system except those two columns.
I have not been able to determine how S_N picks games for the RRL.
From post 283 on the final two columns:The DOG EFF SCORE system only looks at the last two columns. We are looking for a dog with a positve score playing a fave with a negative score. Looking at today's sheet Clev is a dog at +17 and Phil is a fave at -40, triggering a play (and a winner!) for today. Nothing else matters for this system except those two columns.
I have not been able to determine how S_N picks games for the RRL.
Thursday 5/16 system plays:
Dog EFF Score
YTD 10-10, +2.34 units
No plays
Dog EFF
YTD 30-24, +25.88 units
All 2 units
Boston 127
System Plays
YTD 104-104, +25.29 units
Boston 127
Mil 134
ChiSox 124
Colo 101
Det/Tex Under 7.5 -110
The Colorado game is one I'll keep an eye on and refresh later to check odds. If they move from positive or even to - odds I'll remove them as a play.
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