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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?

    «First Previous 111213 ... 333435 Next Last»
    sports_Network
    BuckeyeKaptn
    DegenGamble
    Danrules24
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    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 3:33 AM ET #251

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    I've taken the Dog EFF leans and filtered them through sabermetric handicapping matchups, with an average of  2 plays per day, I began 3 days ago when I noticed the WIN consistency of the RRL; ironically the Dog EFF system, as prescribed, opened the door, and I unified it with my sabermetric dog matchup formulated RRL handicap.....which now stands at 8 consecutive WINS and +32;73units....I think I'll wire DG his end, well done;

    btw  two 'books' on-line that are exclusive to MLB wagering, and carry the RRL are> PinnacleSports, and 5dimes, they are listed under "Alternative Lines" if by chance anyone dealing with a book that does not accept RRL bets, this would be a red flag, that you really need to take your action elsewhere..the RRL is set aprx 4 hours after  the opening line is posted to contain balance...all my action goes through LV I seldom use an online service for anything other than soccer, the RRL odds I have posted in this thread  are the closing lines from CantorLV M Resort sportsbook....my best

     

     

    for those who have PM me by way of friend request, post #217 IS YOUR ANSWER...the updated version now stands at 13-1 and a unit count of +51 as described in post #249..and yes, if you have to ask to sooth your curiosity, all 14 wagers (Dog EFF/RRL) to date have been made by me exclusively at the M Resort SportsBook, using a 'standard' unit count of 1unit=$100 this will be upgraded in unit denomination when consistency becomes stationary...btw this thread is not about S_N MM technique, or RRL formulas, it's about "tracking DG Dog EFF system" I have merely "fine tuned" it to the addition of Dog EFF/RRL- my best
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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    I've taken the Dog EFF leans and filtered them through sabermetric handicapping matchups, with an average of  2 plays per day, I began 3 days ago when I noticed the WIN consistency of the RRL; ironically the Dog EFF system, as prescribed, opened the door, and I unified it with my sabermetric dog matchup formulated RRL handicap.....which now stands at 8 consecutive WINS and +32;73units....I think I'll wire DG his end, well done;

    btw  two 'books' on-line that are exclusive to MLB wagering, and carry the RRL are> PinnacleSports, and 5dimes, they are listed under "Alternative Lines" if by chance anyone dealing with a book that does not accept RRL bets, this would be a red flag, that you really need to take your action elsewhere..the RRL is set aprx 4 hours after  the opening line is posted to contain balance...all my action goes through LV I seldom use an online service for anything other than soccer, the RRL odds I have posted in this thread  are the closing lines from CantorLV M Resort sportsbook....my best

     

     

    for those who have PM me by way of friend request, post #217 IS YOUR ANSWER...the updated version now stands at 13-1 and a unit count of +51 as described in post #249..and yes, if you have to ask to sooth your curiosity, all 14 wagers (Dog EFF/RRL) to date have been made by me exclusively at the M Resort SportsBook, using a 'standard' unit count of 1unit=$100 this will be upgraded in unit denomination when consistency becomes stationary...btw this thread is not about S_N MM technique, or RRL formulas, it's about "tracking DG Dog EFF system" I have merely "fine tuned" it to the addition of Dog EFF/RRL- my best
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 6:43 AM ET #252

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    DegenGamble
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 11:18 AM ET #253

    Hey guys - uploaded V9 that includes RRL Deg EFF column - if you choose to use it.  Same Link


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    Hey guys - uploaded V9 that includes RRL Deg EFF column - if you choose to use it.  Same Link


     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 11:45 AM ET #254

    Monday 5/13 system plays

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 6-5, +2.62 units

    Atlanta 100 (note -101 on the sheet but you can get them at even)

    KC 117

    Dog EFF

    YTD 26-19, +27.40 units

    Texas 113, 2 units

    System Plays

    YTD 97-95, +26.43 units

    Texas 113

    Minn 106

    Note: Clev and NYY play a doubleheader today that is not reflected on the sheet. Game 1 does not qualify on any system. Game 2 might qualify if the NYY win game 1 and are still a dog in game 2. Either way, I'm not counting it as an official game.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Monday 5/13 system plays

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 6-5, +2.62 units

    Atlanta 100 (note -101 on the sheet but you can get them at even)

    KC 117

    Dog EFF

    YTD 26-19, +27.40 units

    Texas 113, 2 units

    System Plays

    YTD 97-95, +26.43 units

    Texas 113

    Minn 106

    Note: Clev and NYY play a doubleheader today that is not reflected on the sheet. Game 1 does not qualify on any system. Game 2 might qualify if the NYY win game 1 and are still a dog in game 2. Either way, I'm not counting it as an official game.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 11:54 AM ET #255

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Hey guys - uploaded V9 that includes RRL Deg EFF column - if you choose to use it.  Same Link


    Looks good. Need some direction here from SN on what minimums we should use to make something a RRL play. .400 or better? Is it only on games that qualify as a play on the Dog EFF system?

    I'm thinking that Texas would be a RRL play today.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Hey guys - uploaded V9 that includes RRL Deg EFF column - if you choose to use it.  Same Link


    Looks good. Need some direction here from SN on what minimums we should use to make something a RRL play. .400 or better? Is it only on games that qualify as a play on the Dog EFF system?

    I'm thinking that Texas would be a RRL play today.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 1:13 PM ET #256

    Update - Just as I posted the plays for today Atlanta moved from even to -105 almost everywhere in Vegas. Still even at William Hill. If I can't get them at even before first pitch I will cancel Atlanta as an offical play. I usually don't do this but if it moves just as I post and I can't get a bet down at even or better, not an offical play.

    Will update later.

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Update - Just as I posted the plays for today Atlanta moved from even to -105 almost everywhere in Vegas. Still even at William Hill. If I can't get them at even before first pitch I will cancel Atlanta as an offical play. I usually don't do this but if it moves just as I post and I can't get a bet down at even or better, not an offical play.

    Will update later.

     

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 4:25 PM ET #257

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Sunday 5/12 results

    Dog EFF Score

    1-0, +1.1 units

    YTD 6-5, +2.62 units

    NYY 110 WIN

    Dog EFF

    4-0, +9.08 units

    YTD 26-19, +27.40 units

    Clev 130, 2 units WIN

    NYY 110, 2 units WIN

    SF 100, 2 units WIN

    Philly 114, 2 units WIN

    System Plays

    7-0, +8.87 units

    YTD 97-95, +26.43 units

    Clev 130 WIN

    NYY 110 WIN

    SF 100 WIN

    Philly 114 WIN

    Tor 182 WIN

    Cubs 151 WIN

    NYY/KC Under 7.5 -120 WIN

    7-0 100% Dog EFF phenomenal consistency, it works DG, appreciate your upload RRL excellent work, yesterday's results answered all questions pertaining to the value of the systems initiation of dog WINS . my interest is exclusively in MLB dog play, betting favorites will get you nowhere in MLB wagering, remember, "the 'sharp' side of the winning edge can be found in the dog 'exclusively'  ...great sheet! seven dog hits! 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Sunday 5/12 results

    Dog EFF Score

    1-0, +1.1 units

    YTD 6-5, +2.62 units

    NYY 110 WIN

    Dog EFF

    4-0, +9.08 units

    YTD 26-19, +27.40 units

    Clev 130, 2 units WIN

    NYY 110, 2 units WIN

    SF 100, 2 units WIN

    Philly 114, 2 units WIN

    System Plays

    7-0, +8.87 units

    YTD 97-95, +26.43 units

    Clev 130 WIN

    NYY 110 WIN

    SF 100 WIN

    Philly 114 WIN

    Tor 182 WIN

    Cubs 151 WIN

    NYY/KC Under 7.5 -120 WIN

    7-0 100% Dog EFF phenomenal consistency, it works DG, appreciate your upload RRL excellent work, yesterday's results answered all questions pertaining to the value of the systems initiation of dog WINS . my interest is exclusively in MLB dog play, betting favorites will get you nowhere in MLB wagering, remember, "the 'sharp' side of the winning edge can be found in the dog 'exclusively'  ...great sheet! seven dog hits! 
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 4:36 PM ET #258

    O/U system vg consistency- 72.05%

    Danrules24, it works

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    O/U system vg consistency- 72.05%

    Danrules24, it works

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 6:14 PM ET #259

    Monday 5/13 system plays (REVISED - I removed Atlanta)

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 6-5, +2.62 units

    KC 117

    Dog EFF

    YTD 26-19, +27.40 units

    Texas 113, 2 units

    System Plays

    YTD 97-95, +26.43 units

    Texas 113

    Minn 106

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Monday 5/13 system plays (REVISED - I removed Atlanta)

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 6-5, +2.62 units

    KC 117

    Dog EFF

    YTD 26-19, +27.40 units

    Texas 113, 2 units

    System Plays

    YTD 97-95, +26.43 units

    Texas 113

    Minn 106

     
    avenue
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    Posted: May. 13, 2013 - 6:16 PM ET #260

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    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 14, 2013 - 1:59 AM ET #261

    Monday 5/13 results. Too bad Atlanta never made it as a dog.

    Dog EFF Score

    1-0, +1.17 units

    YTD 7-5, +3.79 units

    KC 117 WIN

    Dog EFF

    0-1, -2 units

    YTD 26-20, +25.40 units

    Texas 113, 2 units Loss

    System Plays

    1-1, +.06 units

    YTD 98-96, +26.49 units

    Texas 113

    Minn 106

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Monday 5/13 results. Too bad Atlanta never made it as a dog.

    Dog EFF Score

    1-0, +1.17 units

    YTD 7-5, +3.79 units

    KC 117 WIN

    Dog EFF

    0-1, -2 units

    YTD 26-20, +25.40 units

    Texas 113, 2 units Loss

    System Plays

    1-1, +.06 units

    YTD 98-96, +26.49 units

    Texas 113

    Minn 106

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 14, 2013 - 7:25 AM ET #262

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Monday 5/13 results. Too bad Atlanta never made it as a dog.

    Dog EFF Score

    1-0, +1.17 units

    YTD 7-5, +3.79 units

    <KC +117 ML WIN / KC [-1.5] +205 RRL  WIN>

    Dog EFF

    0-1, -2 units

    YTD 26-20, +25.40 units

    Texas +113 ML, 2 units LOSS

    System Plays

    1-1, +.06 units

    YTD 98-96, +26.49 units

    Texas +113 ML LOSS

    <Minn +106 ML WIN / Minn +184 RRL  WIN>

    RRL 2-0  (15-2)
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Monday 5/13 results. Too bad Atlanta never made it as a dog.

    Dog EFF Score

    1-0, +1.17 units

    YTD 7-5, +3.79 units

    <KC +117 ML WIN / KC [-1.5] +205 RRL  WIN>

    Dog EFF

    0-1, -2 units

    YTD 26-20, +25.40 units

    Texas +113 ML, 2 units LOSS

    System Plays

    1-1, +.06 units

    YTD 98-96, +26.49 units

    Texas +113 ML LOSS

    <Minn +106 ML WIN / Minn +184 RRL  WIN>

    RRL 2-0  (15-2)
     
    CInderellaStory
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    Posted: May. 14, 2013 - 8:59 AM ET #263

    Hey SN. Did you play Texas as well?  If not, how were they filtered out as a play? Is it based on win eff?

    Thanks
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    Hey SN. Did you play Texas as well?  If not, how were they filtered out as a play? Is it based on win eff?

    Thanks
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 14, 2013 - 2:19 PM ET #264

    Tuesday 5/14 system plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 7-5, +3.79 units

    Pitts 106

    SF 120

    Minn 102

    Atl 124

    KC 110

    Dog EFF

    YTD 26-20, +25.40 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 106

    Philly 110

    Pitts 106

    SF 120

    KC 110

    System Plays

    YTD 98-96, +26.49 units

    Sea 106

    Philly 110

    Pitts 106

    SF 120

    KC 110

    Minn 102

    Oak 102

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Tuesday 5/14 system plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 7-5, +3.79 units

    Pitts 106

    SF 120

    Minn 102

    Atl 124

    KC 110

    Dog EFF

    YTD 26-20, +25.40 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 106

    Philly 110

    Pitts 106

    SF 120

    KC 110

    System Plays

    YTD 98-96, +26.49 units

    Sea 106

    Philly 110

    Pitts 106

    SF 120

    KC 110

    Minn 102

    Oak 102

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 14, 2013 - 5:42 PM ET #265

    Quote Originally Posted by CInderellaStory:

    Hey SN. Did you play Texas as well?  If not, how were they filtered out as a play? Is it based on win eff?

    Thanks
    No, they where filtered out by Dog EFF/RRL formulated handicap system, as explained in post #217 Texas simply did not qualify as a RRL play
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    Quote Originally Posted by CInderellaStory:

    Hey SN. Did you play Texas as well?  If not, how were they filtered out as a play? Is it based on win eff?

    Thanks
    No, they where filtered out by Dog EFF/RRL formulated handicap system, as explained in post #217 Texas simply did not qualify as a RRL play
     
    RCDirect
    RCDirect
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    Posted: May. 14, 2013 - 6:22 PM ET #266

    I've been playing the Stoffo Dog system all this year and recently discovered your thread. Great work and thank you. 

    I am able to open your spreadsheet but it will not work with Excel 2003. I would love to take advantage of the RRL system. Anyone have a suggestion? Can it work with Google? Can RRL be posted?
    Thanks
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    I've been playing the Stoffo Dog system all this year and recently discovered your thread. Great work and thank you. 

    I am able to open your spreadsheet but it will not work with Excel 2003. I would love to take advantage of the RRL system. Anyone have a suggestion? Can it work with Google? Can RRL be posted?
    Thanks
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 14, 2013 - 8:23 PM ET #267

    RCD, you'll have to get a new copy of excel.  I had the 2007 (?) version and it wouldn't work.
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    RCD, you'll have to get a new copy of excel.  I had the 2007 (?) version and it wouldn't work.
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: May. 14, 2013 - 9:10 PM ET #268

    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    RCD, you'll have to get a new copy of excel.  I had the 2007 (?) version and it wouldn't work.

    Actually - it should work with 2007, but probably not 2003.  I don't have an old version of excel to test it - but from my understanding the formulas and macros should run in 2007.  But 2010 is your best bet

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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    RCD, you'll have to get a new copy of excel.  I had the 2007 (?) version and it wouldn't work.

    Actually - it should work with 2007, but probably not 2003.  I don't have an old version of excel to test it - but from my understanding the formulas and macros should run in 2007.  But 2010 is your best bet

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 15, 2013 - 2:25 AM ET #269

    Tuesday 5/14 results:

    Dog EFF Score

    1-4, -2.94 units

    YTD 8-9, +.85 units

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    Minn 102 Loss

    Atl 124 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    Dog EFF

    2-3, -1.68 units

    YTD 28-23, +23.72 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 106 Loss

    Philly 110  WIN

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    System Plays

    2-5, -2.84 units

    YTD 100-101, +23.65 units

    Sea 106 Loss

    Philly 110 WIN

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    Minn 102 Loss

    Oak 102 Loss

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Tuesday 5/14 results:

    Dog EFF Score

    1-4, -2.94 units

    YTD 8-9, +.85 units

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    Minn 102 Loss

    Atl 124 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    Dog EFF

    2-3, -1.68 units

    YTD 28-23, +23.72 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 106 Loss

    Philly 110  WIN

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    System Plays

    2-5, -2.84 units

    YTD 100-101, +23.65 units

    Sea 106 Loss

    Philly 110 WIN

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    Minn 102 Loss

    Oak 102 Loss

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: May. 15, 2013 - 6:45 AM ET #270

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Actually - it should work with 2007, but probably not 2003.  I don't have an old version of excel to test it - but from my understanding the formulas and macros should run in 2007.  But 2010 is your best bet


    I was able to read it but, I think I couldn't update it daily (?).  I got a new laptop a few months ago that came with the brand new office.
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    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Actually - it should work with 2007, but probably not 2003.  I don't have an old version of excel to test it - but from my understanding the formulas and macros should run in 2007.  But 2010 is your best bet


    I was able to read it but, I think I couldn't update it daily (?).  I got a new laptop a few months ago that came with the brand new office.
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posts: 8426
    Posted: May. 15, 2013 - 9:01 AM ET #271

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Tuesday 5/14 results:

    Dog EFF Score

    1-4, -2.94 units

    YTD 8-9, +.85 units

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    Minn 102 Loss

    Atl 124 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    Dog EFF/RRL:results

    2-3, -1.68 units

    YTD 28-23, +23.72 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 106 Loss

    <Philly +110 ML  WIN / Philadelphia Phillies [-1.5] +195 RRL WIN +4units>

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    System Plays

    2-5, -2.84 units

    YTD 100-101, +23.65 units

    Sea 106 Loss

    Philly 110 WIN

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    Minn 102 Loss

    Oak 102 Loss

    Dog EFF/RRL (thread performance) WIN-16 LOSS-2
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Tuesday 5/14 results:

    Dog EFF Score

    1-4, -2.94 units

    YTD 8-9, +.85 units

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    Minn 102 Loss

    Atl 124 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    Dog EFF/RRL:results

    2-3, -1.68 units

    YTD 28-23, +23.72 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 106 Loss

    <Philly +110 ML  WIN / Philadelphia Phillies [-1.5] +195 RRL WIN +4units>

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    System Plays

    2-5, -2.84 units

    YTD 100-101, +23.65 units

    Sea 106 Loss

    Philly 110 WIN

    Pitts 106 WIN

    SF 120 Loss

    KC 110 Loss

    Minn 102 Loss

    Oak 102 Loss

    Dog EFF/RRL (thread performance) WIN-16 LOSS-2
     
    RommiRommi
    RommiRommi
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    Posts: 58
    Posted: May. 15, 2013 - 10:55 AM ET #272

    Sagarin MLB ratings Updated: 5/14/2013 5:27:01 AM
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    Sagarin MLB ratings Updated: 5/14/2013 5:27:01 AM
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: May. 15, 2013 - 11:43 AM ET #273

    Wednesday 5/15 system plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 8-9, +.85 units

    Clev 148

    SF 102

    KC 101

    Dog EFF

    YTD 28-23, +23.72 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 107

    KC 101

    Wash 130

    System Plays

    YTD 100-101, +23.65 units

    Sea 107

    KC 101

    Wash 130

    SD 140

    ChiSox 116

    Mil 112

    Colo 117

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Wednesday 5/15 system plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 8-9, +.85 units

    Clev 148

    SF 102

    KC 101

    Dog EFF

    YTD 28-23, +23.72 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 107

    KC 101

    Wash 130

    System Plays

    YTD 100-101, +23.65 units

    Sea 107

    KC 101

    Wash 130

    SD 140

    ChiSox 116

    Mil 112

    Colo 117

     

     
    RommiRommi
    RommiRommi
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    Joined: May, 2013
    Posts: 58
    Posted: May. 15, 2013 - 12:01 PM ET #274

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Wednesday 5/15 system plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 8-9, +.85 units

    Clev 148

    SF 102

    KC 101

    Dog EFF

    YTD 28-23, +23.72 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 107

    KC 101

    Wash 130

    System Plays

    YTD 100-101, +23.65 units

    Sea 107

    KC 101

    Wash 130

    SD 140

    ChiSox 116

    Mil 112

    Colo 117

     


    Jeff Sagarin last updated his ratings yesterday it doesn't matter?
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Wednesday 5/15 system plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 8-9, +.85 units

    Clev 148

    SF 102

    KC 101

    Dog EFF

    YTD 28-23, +23.72 units

    All 2 units

    Sea 107

    KC 101

    Wash 130

    System Plays

    YTD 100-101, +23.65 units

    Sea 107

    KC 101

    Wash 130

    SD 140

    ChiSox 116

    Mil 112

    Colo 117

     


    Jeff Sagarin last updated his ratings yesterday it doesn't matter?
     
     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: May. 15, 2013 - 12:05 PM ET #275

    I picked a bad day to hop on board. No worries though :)
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    I picked a bad day to hop on board. No worries though :)
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