Posted:
#1376
Tuesday, July 21st, 2009
MLB system releases...
Posted:
#1378
MLB system releases Tuesday 07/21/09 Base_Runs formula...
Nationals-122 5innings
Pirates+124 5innings
Tigers-144 5innings
Yankees-165 5innings
RedSox+138 RL
Rays+162 RL
Cubs+128 ML
STL/HOU OVER 8.5
ARI/COL UNDER 9.5
CLE/TOR OVER 8.5
SEA/DET OVER 9
elevenPACformulated
advantage ratio: 8/11 72.7%
SN
That apparently dose not work. I'll try something else.
Posted:
#1382
DET RL (Porcello has close to a month rest and owned SEA earlier in season)
HOU RL (Pujols is 3 for 20 against Rodriguez and thats STL only offense)
HOU RL (Pujols is 3 for 20 against Rodriguez and thats STL only offense)
BOS RL(Becket is close to unstoppable)
TB RL(Niemann is pitching lights out and Richard... well frankly isnt)
LAA ML (second game) (Chen is awful)
SF ML (Great value at +185 and Sadowski has pitched better then Lowe past 3 games)
WAS ML(WAS rocks Perez and Lannon does well against NYM)
CLE/TOR O 8.5 (TOR very good against Lee expect to see CLE bullpen which is the worst in the league)
COL/ARI O(dont know the O/U yet but doesnt matter both pitchers fair horrible against opposing teams)
Posted:
#1385
Hey I know the games just started and you may think I am crazy, but I want to place only the score of tonights game, and if my theory does work, then I will share with you the exact formula, since I have had two correct picks while trying it out, but no bets on them
Cinn 4.0468 LAD 3.1765
TBAY 2.8634 CHWS 7.8507
METS 9.0667 WASHINGTON 12.465
CUBS 4.5376 PHIL 2.762
Posted:
#1386
Question for anyone in the thread:
Is the Pitcher BsR formula used to calculate only how many runs ALLOWED?
And if so, should you do the following to calculate runs SCORED (if BsR has low/no data on opposing team's pitcher):
This is an example from a while back:
NY YANKEES
Have scored 236 runs at home in 41 games, 5.756 runs per game, 0.639 runs per inning, 3.195 for 1st 5 innings.
Thanks for the help in advance.
-Wild.
Is the Pitcher BsR formula used to calculate only how many runs ALLOWED?
And if so, should you do the following to calculate runs SCORED (if BsR has low/no data on opposing team's pitcher):
This is an example from a while back:
NY YANKEES
Have scored 236 runs at home in 41 games, 5.756 runs per game, 0.639 runs per inning, 3.195 for 1st 5 innings.
Thanks for the help in advance.
-Wild.
Posted:
#1387
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]
MLB system releases Tuesday 07/21/09 Base_Runs formula...
Nationals-122 5innings...win
Pirates+124 5innings...loss
Tigers-144 5innings...win
Yankees-165 5innings...win
RedSox+138 RL...loss
Rays+162 RL...loss
Cubs+128 ML...loss
STL/HOU OVER 8.5...win
ARI/COL UNDER 9.5...loss
CLE/TOR OVER 8.5...loss
SEA/DET OVER 9...win
elevenPACformulated
advantage ratio: 8/11 72.7%
SN
FINAL RESULTS:
5-6
units: -5.8
Posted:
#1388
[Quote: Originally Posted by acortazz]
DET RL (Porcello has close to a month rest and owned SEA earlier in season) WIN
HOU RL (Pujols is 3 for 20 against Rodriguez and thats STL only offense) WIN
HOU RL (Pujols is 3 for 20 against Rodriguez and thats STL only offense) WIN
BOS RL(Becket is close to unstoppable) LOSS
TB RL(Niemann is pitching lights out and Richard... well frankly isnt) LOSS
LAA ML (second game) (Chen is awful) WIN
SF ML (Great value at +185 and Sadowski has pitched better then Lowe past 3 games) LOSS
WAS ML(WAS rocks Perez and Lannon does well against NYM)WIN
CLE/TOR O 8.5 (TOR very good against Lee expect to see CLE bullpen which is the worst in the league) LOSS
COL/ARI O(dont know the O/U yet but doesnt matter both pitchers fair horrible against opposing teams) WIN
FINAL RESULTS (on pre-game assessments)
5-4
units:+6
Posted:
#1391
MLB system releases Wed,07/22/09 Base_Runs formula...
BlueJays+138 RL
Rockies+118 RL
Cubs-112 ML
Reds+190 ML
Tigers+122 ML
Royals+115 ML
RedSox-120 ML
Giants+120 5innings (Lincecum)
Cardinals-110 5innings (Carpenter)
MIL/PIT OVER 9
NYM/WAS OVER 9
FLA/SD OVER 7.5
CLE/TOR OVER 9
BOS/TEX OVER 9
fourteenPACformulated
projected ratio: 11/14 78.5%
Posted:
#1393
Quote Originally Posted by WiLdCaRd88:
Question for anyone in the thread:
Is the Pitcher BsR formula used to calculate only how many runs ALLOWED?
And if so, should you do the following to calculate runs SCORED (if BsR has low/no data on opposing team's pitcher):
This is an example from a while back:
NY YANKEES
Have scored 236 runs at home in 41 games, 5.756 runs per game, 0.639 runs per inning, 3.195 for 1st 5 innings.
Thanks for the help in advance.
-Wild.
Question for anyone in the thread:
Is the Pitcher BsR formula used to calculate only how many runs ALLOWED?
And if so, should you do the following to calculate runs SCORED (if BsR has low/no data on opposing team's pitcher):
This is an example from a while back:
NY YANKEES
Have scored 236 runs at home in 41 games, 5.756 runs per game, 0.639 runs per inning, 3.195 for 1st 5 innings.
Thanks for the help in advance.
-Wild.
Yes - it used to figure out how many runs a pitcher (or pitching staff as I use it) will allow in a game. Home or Away Stats &..Season Stats only for me. It gives a good indication of the state of a pitcher or pitchers...Or you can use the last 5 appearances if you wish......the only issue I see with it is it does not take into account the other teams line-up in any way.
Posted:
#1394
Quote Originally Posted by acortazz:
come on SN you know my picks are both leans and pregame assesments, i was just using the reasons why the leans were so strong. BOL today
As I have indicated so..Applying the BR/RC formula on your leans, and assessments, brings value to the thread, and judgement on your consistency of being accurate..attaching units onto the final results, brings the 'value' of your assessments/leans to the forefront of discussion..When the same concept is shared by group particapation, the strength of the 'snowball' effect takes shape, and breeds continued success....SN
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