Posted:
#1126
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Runs_created
I'm using the 2002/present version.
I'm using the 2002/present version.
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MLB system releases...
Posted:
#1133
I know I've asked a lot of questions, here's ANOTHER for MMAI:
I see you have a lot of BIG numbers in your calculations.
For example:
"I just did the calculations for Boston - I have 8 of 9 players, lifetime stats against Eveland..
BR=9.726, RC=13.00
BR/RC=11.363
6 Innings Total
BR/RC per Inning=1.894
1ts 5 innings=9.469"
Looking at Boston's predicted stats for the first 5 innings alone, wouldn't you take the Boston TT Over as well as the game Over?
The BR/RC yielded had Boston scoring 17+ runs?
I see you have a lot of BIG numbers in your calculations.
For example:
"I just did the calculations for Boston - I have 8 of 9 players, lifetime stats against Eveland..
BR=9.726, RC=13.00
BR/RC=11.363
6 Innings Total
BR/RC per Inning=1.894
1ts 5 innings=9.469"
Looking at Boston's predicted stats for the first 5 innings alone, wouldn't you take the Boston TT Over as well as the game Over?
The BR/RC yielded had Boston scoring 17+ runs?
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Posted:
#1134
This is what I have Runs Created for Detroit Tigers tomorrow vs. Greinke.
Runs Created Outs
Granderson 1.236 25
Polanco 5.206 21
Cabrera 1.765 10
Thames 0.959 5
Inge 5.140 23
Ordonez -0.516 30
Laird 1.764 7
Everett 0.484 4
Total Runs Created Total Outs
16.038 125
= 16.038 RC in 41.66 Innings
= 0.385 Runs Created per Inning
= 1.92 Runs Created in 5 innings.
Does anyone have the same numbers using the 2002 version of Runs Created?
Thanks for the help.
Runs Created Outs
Granderson 1.236 25
Polanco 5.206 21
Cabrera 1.765 10
Thames 0.959 5
Inge 5.140 23
Ordonez -0.516 30
Laird 1.764 7
Everett 0.484 4
Total Runs Created Total Outs
16.038 125
= 16.038 RC in 41.66 Innings
= 0.385 Runs Created per Inning
= 1.92 Runs Created in 5 innings.
Does anyone have the same numbers using the 2002 version of Runs Created?
Thanks for the help.
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Good RL selection SN !!!
Posted:
#1138
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]
MLB system releases Tuesday 07/07/09 Base_Runs formula.....
Rays+120 RL...win
Tigers+110 RL...win
RedSox-110 RL...win
Marlins-118 ML...loss
Braves+105 5innings...win
CIN/PHI UNDER 9...win
NYY/MIN UNDER 9...loss
BAL/SEA UNDER 8.5...loss
FINAL RESULTS:
5-3
units:+2O.2
eight PAC formulated
projected ratio: 5/8 62.5%
SN
0
Posted:
#1140
This might be a good 5 Inning play for tomorrow SN -- If my calculations are correct.
Minnesota Twins RC vs. Burnett (( 9/9 Batters ))
Span -0.137 5 Outs
Harris 1.170 7 Outs
Mauer 1.667 5 Outs
Morneau 3.678 4 Outs
Cuddyer 0.741 6 Outs
Crede 0.594 2 Outs
Young 0.770 7 Outs
Gomez 0.135 4 Outs
Punto 0.527 6 Outs
9.145 46 Outs
9.145 RC In 15.33 Innings
0.597 RC Per Inning
RC In 5 Innings: 2.985 Runs
New York Yankees vs. Perkins (( 8/9 Batters ))
Jeter 1.070 8 Outs
Damon 0.253 3 Outs
Teixeira 1.562 1 Out
Rodriguez 3.776 3 Outs
Matsui 0.100 1 Out
Swisher 1.736 0 Outs
Cano 3.294 2 Outs
Cervelli 0.658 0 Outs
12.449 18 Outs
12.449 RC In 6.00 Innings
2.075 RC Per Inning
RC In 5 Innings: 10.375
I realize the Yankees sample size is much smaller than Minnesota's, but the numbers speak for themselves (if I'm doing this correctly).
Yankees ML right now is -125 -- I don't see the 1st 5 being much different.
I believe @ -125 the Yankees ML for the 1st 5 has a lot of value.
Of course, like I said before -- If I'm doing this correctly.
Minnesota Twins RC vs. Burnett (( 9/9 Batters ))
Span -0.137 5 Outs
Harris 1.170 7 Outs
Mauer 1.667 5 Outs
Morneau 3.678 4 Outs
Cuddyer 0.741 6 Outs
Crede 0.594 2 Outs
Young 0.770 7 Outs
Gomez 0.135 4 Outs
Punto 0.527 6 Outs
9.145 46 Outs
9.145 RC In 15.33 Innings
0.597 RC Per Inning
RC In 5 Innings: 2.985 Runs
New York Yankees vs. Perkins (( 8/9 Batters ))
Jeter 1.070 8 Outs
Damon 0.253 3 Outs
Teixeira 1.562 1 Out
Rodriguez 3.776 3 Outs
Matsui 0.100 1 Out
Swisher 1.736 0 Outs
Cano 3.294 2 Outs
Cervelli 0.658 0 Outs
12.449 18 Outs
12.449 RC In 6.00 Innings
2.075 RC Per Inning
RC In 5 Innings: 10.375
I realize the Yankees sample size is much smaller than Minnesota's, but the numbers speak for themselves (if I'm doing this correctly).
Yankees ML right now is -125 -- I don't see the 1st 5 being much different.
I believe @ -125 the Yankees ML for the 1st 5 has a lot of value.
Of course, like I said before -- If I'm doing this correctly.
0
Posted:
#1142
Quote Originally Posted by WiLdCaRd88:
I guess everyone is going to ignore me.
I guess everyone is going to ignore me.
People have responded to you, but you insist on taking center stage in these last few pages. Do you think that the many people following and studying this high quality thread want this to turn into you private Q&A thread?
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Posted:
#1143
WILD / cappin' 5innings has many added variables in contrast to cappin' the complete game, take note; SP is pushed to the forefront, and becomes 'situational'.....
By the way, nobody is ignoring your interest in the BR/RC application, procedure,concept, or the understanding of which.. I have personally corresponded with you 22 times by PM as a common courtesy pertaining to my work, as others have also within the thread itself, so please, refrain from the "ignore me" syndrome...Your in a trial, and error stage, your experimenting with correct application, your simply knocking on the door, and only YOU can open it..maybe this can be an assistant to understanding concept:
Base_Runs/Runs_Created(core/tool)Situational(form)PAC(unit management)=final results/ these are all connected through sabermetric equations designed specifically for MLB handicapping I, like anyone else who iniciates this formula has a total understanding that "study" is involed at the conception of application, most cappers just don't have the added time to dedicate theirselves, and become frustrated with a new, and different approach to handicapping MLB...work the formula, capp your games, attach your units, when it shows 70% start wagering on them....may you prosper SN
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Posted:
#1144
[Quote: Originally Posted by DarkHorse21]
People have responded to you, but you insist on taking center stage in these last few pages. Do you think that the many people following and studying this high quality thread want this to turn into you private Q&A thread?
SN think about it....
People have responded to you, but you insist on taking center stage in these last few pages. Do you think that the many people following and studying this high quality thread want this to turn into you private Q&A thread?
SN think about it....
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Posted:
#1147
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network] [Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]
MLB system releases Tuesday 07/07/09 Base_Runs formula.....
Rays+120 RL...win
Tigers+110 RL...win
RedSox-110 RL...win
Marlins-118 ML...loss
Braves+105 5innings...win
CIN/PHI UNDER 9...win
NYY/MIN UNDER 9...loss
BAL/SEA UNDER 8.5...loss
FINAL RESULTS:
5-3
units:+2O.2
eight PAC formulated
projected ratio: 5/8 62.5%
SN
0
Posted:
#1149
Quote Originally Posted by WiLdCaRd88:
This might be a good 5 Inning play for tomorrow SN -- If my calculations are correct.
Minnesota Twins RC vs. Burnett (( 9/9 Batters ))
Span -0.137 5 Outs
Harris 1.170 7 Outs
Mauer 1.667 5 Outs
Morneau 3.678 4 Outs
Cuddyer 0.741 6 Outs
Crede 0.594 2 Outs
Young 0.770 7 Outs
Gomez 0.135 4 Outs
Punto 0.527 6 Outs
9.145 46 Outs
9.145 RC In 15.33 Innings
0.597 RC Per Inning
RC In 5 Innings: 2.985 Runs
New York Yankees vs. Perkins (( 8/9 Batters ))
Jeter 1.070 8 Outs
Damon 0.253 3 Outs
Teixeira 1.562 1 Out
Rodriguez 3.776 3 Outs
Matsui 0.100 1 Out
Swisher 1.736 0 Outs
Cano 3.294 2 Outs
Cervelli 0.658 0 Outs
12.449 18 Outs
12.449 RC In 6.00 Innings
2.075 RC Per Inning
RC In 5 Innings: 10.375
I realize the Yankees sample size is much smaller than Minnesota's, but the numbers speak for themselves (if I'm doing this correctly).
Yankees ML right now is -125 -- I don't see the 1st 5 being much different.
I believe @ -125 the Yankees ML for the 1st 5 has a lot of value.
Of course, like I said before -- If I'm doing this correctly.
This might be a good 5 Inning play for tomorrow SN -- If my calculations are correct.
Minnesota Twins RC vs. Burnett (( 9/9 Batters ))
Span -0.137 5 Outs
Harris 1.170 7 Outs
Mauer 1.667 5 Outs
Morneau 3.678 4 Outs
Cuddyer 0.741 6 Outs
Crede 0.594 2 Outs
Young 0.770 7 Outs
Gomez 0.135 4 Outs
Punto 0.527 6 Outs
9.145 46 Outs
9.145 RC In 15.33 Innings
0.597 RC Per Inning
RC In 5 Innings: 2.985 Runs
New York Yankees vs. Perkins (( 8/9 Batters ))
Jeter 1.070 8 Outs
Damon 0.253 3 Outs
Teixeira 1.562 1 Out
Rodriguez 3.776 3 Outs
Matsui 0.100 1 Out
Swisher 1.736 0 Outs
Cano 3.294 2 Outs
Cervelli 0.658 0 Outs
12.449 18 Outs
12.449 RC In 6.00 Innings
2.075 RC Per Inning
RC In 5 Innings: 10.375
I realize the Yankees sample size is much smaller than Minnesota's, but the numbers speak for themselves (if I'm doing this correctly).
Yankees ML right now is -125 -- I don't see the 1st 5 being much different.
I believe @ -125 the Yankees ML for the 1st 5 has a lot of value.
Of course, like I said before -- If I'm doing this correctly.
Yes - the approach is logical and applied correctly...IMO -You need to do Base-Runs as well - you have the correct lean here...what heppens when the bull pen and closer comes in will give you the full game...Now, keep in mind that Perkins has pitched only once against NYY and did not fare very well..that is why you have the numbers you do...he only lasted 2/3 of an inning against NYY.....thats why the BR/RC is just a tool in handicapping.
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Posted:
#1150
MLB system releases Wed,07/08/09 Base_Runs formula...
Diamondbacks-152 5innings
Giants-112 5innings
Rangers+128 5innings
Mets+132 ML
Brewers-112 ML
Phillies+129 RL
WAS/COL OVER 10
KC/DET UNDER 8.5
OAK/BOS OVER 9
CLE/CHW UNDER 9.5
NYY/MIN UNDER 9.5
eleven PAC formulated
projected ratio: 8/11 72.7%
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