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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Destroy the Books! *Double your Bankroll*

    «First Previous 363738 ... 394041 Next Last»
    dj_destroyer
    fitguy67
    kreatture
    wizkid30
    aerojackel
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 114189
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    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posts: 3144
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 3:05 AM ET #876

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 271-277-50
    Bankroll: $7723.20
    Wagered: $125608.22
    Returned: $128331.42
    Net: +$2723.20
    ROI: +2.17%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Devils [-126] 2% -154.46 to win 122.59 
    Westerlo 'pk' [-173] 4% -308.93 to win 178.57 
    Germinal Beerschot/Gent U2.5 [-120] 2% -154.46 to win 128.72 
    Dundee [-136] 1% -77.23 to win 56.79 PUSH
    Sampdoria/Genoa DRAW [+205] 1% -77.23 to win 158.32 


    Record: 272-280-51
    Bankroll: $7305.17
    Wagered: $126380.53
    Returned: $128685.70
    Net: +$2305.17
    ROI: +1.82%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Eskiesehirspor [-101] 8% -584.41 to win 578.62
    Sedan 'pk' [+127] 2% -146.10 to win 185.55
    Augsburg 'pk' [-104] 2% -146.10 to win 140.48

    Flyers [-130] 2% -146.10 to win 112.38
    Ducks/Wild O5.5 [+111] 2% -146.10 to win 162.17
    Flyers/Hurricanes U5.5 [+101] 1% 73.05 to win 73.78
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 271-277-50
    Bankroll: $7723.20
    Wagered: $125608.22
    Returned: $128331.42
    Net: +$2723.20
    ROI: +2.17%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Devils [-126] 2% -154.46 to win 122.59 
    Westerlo 'pk' [-173] 4% -308.93 to win 178.57 
    Germinal Beerschot/Gent U2.5 [-120] 2% -154.46 to win 128.72 
    Dundee [-136] 1% -77.23 to win 56.79 PUSH
    Sampdoria/Genoa DRAW [+205] 1% -77.23 to win 158.32 


    Record: 272-280-51
    Bankroll: $7305.17
    Wagered: $126380.53
    Returned: $128685.70
    Net: +$2305.17
    ROI: +1.82%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Eskiesehirspor [-101] 8% -584.41 to win 578.62
    Sedan 'pk' [+127] 2% -146.10 to win 185.55
    Augsburg 'pk' [-104] 2% -146.10 to win 140.48

    Flyers [-130] 2% -146.10 to win 112.38
    Ducks/Wild O5.5 [+111] 2% -146.10 to win 162.17
    Flyers/Hurricanes U5.5 [+101] 1% 73.05 to win 73.78
     
    fitguy67
    fitguy67
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    Posts: 144
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 5:51 AM ET #877

    DJ, what i meant was...you started this thread saying ..."I have finally completed my other thread which had a goal of turning $1600 into $5000"...I was just using the notation "k" (for kilo=thousand) as a shorthand, i thus referred to that performance as from $1.6k to $5k.

    Any way one can still access that thread documenting, step-by-step the net 212.5% upward march from $1,600 to $5,000. 

    I'm only hours-old to this forum and just a few weeks-old to ISR ("Investing in Sports Results"), but I've been teaching college  statistics for decades, so i should find the thread an instructive one to work my way through, polishing up my spreadsheet in retro-realtime as I go. 

    BTW, I see ur in Ontario...I grew up in Windsor (the ONLY safe side of Detroit, lol), Ontario, and studied at Western, but that was EONS ago...I now live 12 time-zones away...but i can still turn a statement into a question, "eh?"  (overall an improvement over it's south-of-the-border equivalent, "huh"?).

    Anyhow i'd love to see the thread that preceded this one if at all possible.

    Ray
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    DJ, what i meant was...you started this thread saying ..."I have finally completed my other thread which had a goal of turning $1600 into $5000"...I was just using the notation "k" (for kilo=thousand) as a shorthand, i thus referred to that performance as from $1.6k to $5k.

    Any way one can still access that thread documenting, step-by-step the net 212.5% upward march from $1,600 to $5,000. 

    I'm only hours-old to this forum and just a few weeks-old to ISR ("Investing in Sports Results"), but I've been teaching college  statistics for decades, so i should find the thread an instructive one to work my way through, polishing up my spreadsheet in retro-realtime as I go. 

    BTW, I see ur in Ontario...I grew up in Windsor (the ONLY safe side of Detroit, lol), Ontario, and studied at Western, but that was EONS ago...I now live 12 time-zones away...but i can still turn a statement into a question, "eh?"  (overall an improvement over it's south-of-the-border equivalent, "huh"?).

    Anyhow i'd love to see the thread that preceded this one if at all possible.

    Ray
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 9:26 AM ET #878

    Fitguy67 - click on the blue numbers DJ posted.. it's a hyperlink to the thread you want.

    Here -->  1.6k to 5k  <-- click

    Cheers

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    Fitguy67 - click on the blue numbers DJ posted.. it's a hyperlink to the thread you want.

    Here -->  1.6k to 5k  <-- click

    Cheers

     
    fitguy67
    fitguy67
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    Posts: 144
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 9:45 AM ET #879

    Thanks for that K...u peeps r gonna hav2help me out here...i got "forum dyslexia"...aka, the knucklehead gene...

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    Thanks for that K...u peeps r gonna hav2help me out here...i got "forum dyslexia"...aka, the knucklehead gene...

     
    wizkid30
    wizkid30
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    Posts: 1890
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 1:46 PM ET #880

    Thanx and GL DJ D

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    Thanx and GL DJ D

     
    aerojackel
    aerojackel
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    Posts: 924
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 7:52 PM ET #881

    Keep plugging away dj.... GL
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    Keep plugging away dj.... GL
     
    cardsfan82
    cardsfan82
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    Posts: 163
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 1:22 AM ET #882

    Way to go today DJ, looks like an awesome one.  Unfortunately I didn't check it out early enough to get the soccer matches, but luckily I caught your NHL plays in time. Good luck again tomorrow!!!
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    Way to go today DJ, looks like an awesome one.  Unfortunately I didn't check it out early enough to get the soccer matches, but luckily I caught your NHL plays in time. Good luck again tomorrow!!!
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posts: 3144
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 4:35 AM ET #883

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 272-280-51
    Bankroll: $7305.17
    Wagered: $126380.53
    Returned: $128685.70
    Net: +$2305.17
    ROI: +1.82%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Eskiesehirspor [-101] 8% -584.41 to win 578.62 
    Sedan 'pk' [+127] 2% -146.10 to win 185.55 PUSH
    Augsburg 'pk' [-104] 2% -146.10 to win 140.48  

    Flyers [-130] 2% -146.10 to win 112.38 
    Ducks/Wild O5.5 [+111] 2% -146.10 to win 162.17 
    Flyers/Hurricanes U5.5 [+101] 1% 73.05 to win 73.78 


    Record: 276-281-52
    Bankroll: $8114.12
    Wagered: $127622.39
    Returned: $130736.51
    Net: +$3114.12
    ROI: +2.44%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Hannover [+112] 2% -162.28 to win 181.75
    Crawley Town +2.5 [-105] 2% -162.28 to win 154.55
    Palermo 'pk' [+108] 1% -81.14 to win 87.63
    Reggina/Atalanta O2 [-106] 1% -81.14 to win 76.55
    Mainz/Bayern Munchen U2.5 [+124] 0.5% -40.57 to win 50.31
    Mainz +0.5 [+142] 0.5% -40.57 to win 57.61

    Devils [+115] 1% -81.14 to win 93.31
    Coyotes [+128] 1% -81.14 to win 103.86
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 272-280-51
    Bankroll: $7305.17
    Wagered: $126380.53
    Returned: $128685.70
    Net: +$2305.17
    ROI: +1.82%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Eskiesehirspor [-101] 8% -584.41 to win 578.62 
    Sedan 'pk' [+127] 2% -146.10 to win 185.55 PUSH
    Augsburg 'pk' [-104] 2% -146.10 to win 140.48  

    Flyers [-130] 2% -146.10 to win 112.38 
    Ducks/Wild O5.5 [+111] 2% -146.10 to win 162.17 
    Flyers/Hurricanes U5.5 [+101] 1% 73.05 to win 73.78 


    Record: 276-281-52
    Bankroll: $8114.12
    Wagered: $127622.39
    Returned: $130736.51
    Net: +$3114.12
    ROI: +2.44%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Hannover [+112] 2% -162.28 to win 181.75
    Crawley Town +2.5 [-105] 2% -162.28 to win 154.55
    Palermo 'pk' [+108] 1% -81.14 to win 87.63
    Reggina/Atalanta O2 [-106] 1% -81.14 to win 76.55
    Mainz/Bayern Munchen U2.5 [+124] 0.5% -40.57 to win 50.31
    Mainz +0.5 [+142] 0.5% -40.57 to win 57.61

    Devils [+115] 1% -81.14 to win 93.31
    Coyotes [+128] 1% -81.14 to win 103.86
     
    Prime1
    Prime1
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    Posts: 146
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 11:09 AM ET #884

    DJ,
    I try to play your top play every day for the past two weeks.  Don't know a thing about even one of the Soccer teams in your picks, but it's been great to have a play in the early afternoon every day at work.   I f%#i&ing hate my job, but your picks just MAKE my day.  Thanks for your contribution to this forum.
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    DJ,
    I try to play your top play every day for the past two weeks.  Don't know a thing about even one of the Soccer teams in your picks, but it's been great to have a play in the early afternoon every day at work.   I f%#i&ing hate my job, but your picks just MAKE my day.  Thanks for your contribution to this forum.
     
    fitguy67
    fitguy67
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    Joined: Feb, 2011
    Posts: 144
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 11:27 AM ET #885

    Announcement:  Important Milestone has just been met by DJ_Destroyer (Reference Account has MORE-THAN-QUINTUPLED in just the last 238 days)

     

    As you know when he started out on June 26 in his challenge with SuperEagle (who rather quickly departed) it was a race from 1,600 to 5000…and it was completed in an amazing 107 days on Oct 10 (and was almost completed about 6 weeks earlier than that in mid-August)…ending with 5,186.59…a huge 224.16%  gain over starting capital.

     

    Almost immediately he started  this thread, with the stated goal of doubling that account.  Rather than keeping it at 5,186.59…he decided to round down to 5,000 and as of yesterday’s close you can see above it’s grown already from that to it’s current 8,114.12…which works out to another great performance…logging  62.28% gain over the startup roll  just another 121 days.

     

    Anyhow, I decided to “splice” the two records together and see what would have become of, say, a nice round $1000 starting at day#1, June 26 before the first bet was placed…well by the end of the challenge completion it had become 3,241.62….and if that $3,241.62k  had simply been rolled into this thread…as of yesterday it just hit $5,258.47…for a phenomenal 425.85% addition onto the starting thousand…and putting the account at 25% beyond QUINTUPLE…in just 238 days…so overall we’re looking at 1.79% gain over the starting capital EVERY DAY, 12.52% WEEKLY, 54.46% MONTHLY, and, get this…653.09% annually. 

     

    What’s truly amazing to me is that DJ’s has done all this without a good win%...the first phase was a passable 53.03% rate…but over this thread the rate is only 49.28%...but has still managed the super performance anyone tailing him appreciates.  Despite putting on a huge number of bets, 1078 over the 238 day period with just a 51.13% hit rate… which would cause most accounts to erode terribly, DJ seems to guage his own confidence with amazing accuracy, and it’s the constistent success rate on the large-baggers, the 5%+ bets that account for the overall brilliant record, which has never been in the slightest danger of crashing. 

     

    Normally, I have no faith in anyone’s, even paid services supposedly-confidence-based unit-size recommendations…I hate going 5-3 on the day, and ending up way down because the big banger didn’t come in.  So when I started following DJ’s posts and see him mixin’ in  the odd 8% in with his 1, 2, 3, and 4%ers, I thought it was a recipe for disaster.  In the previous thread, I learned that DJ has a clear valuation of his “good” filler low-bangers that help him bide his time till the juicy ones he’s really waiting for come along…and the big’uns have consistently been coming in with great enough frequency to justify their greatly-magnified stake.  I’m impressed…and I now tail along, carefully obeying the wide range of  bet-sizes…cuz for the first time I get the feel that they really haven’t been determined at random.

     

    Anhow, just thot’ everybody should know that DJ’s documented betting has turned 1000 into over 5000…something that  wan’t readily apparent. 

    DJ, you keep this thread running as usual,  I’d just like to periodically notify everyone how the full run from a reference $1000 starting late Oct’2010  is going…and maybe, just maybe, if there’s enough interest in this,  once the current target is hit you might even consider trying to top up the hypothetical account to  the pure “10-fold appreciation”  mark  as well…but if you don’t, and you take a well deserved rest once you reach the thread’s stated goal…I must say, I really am appreciating  the opportunity of tailing you…last night I was kicking myself for following you in an 8-banger on a team with more syllables in its name than I have eggs in the fridge…but when I checked the results…well, it’s why I decided a tribute to your efforts was in order. 

     WAY TO GO, DJ!!!!!

               

    Fitguy67
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    Announcement:  Important Milestone has just been met by DJ_Destroyer (Reference Account has MORE-THAN-QUINTUPLED in just the last 238 days)

     

    As you know when he started out on June 26 in his challenge with SuperEagle (who rather quickly departed) it was a race from 1,600 to 5000…and it was completed in an amazing 107 days on Oct 10 (and was almost completed about 6 weeks earlier than that in mid-August)…ending with 5,186.59…a huge 224.16%  gain over starting capital.

     

    Almost immediately he started  this thread, with the stated goal of doubling that account.  Rather than keeping it at 5,186.59…he decided to round down to 5,000 and as of yesterday’s close you can see above it’s grown already from that to it’s current 8,114.12…which works out to another great performance…logging  62.28% gain over the startup roll  just another 121 days.

     

    Anyhow, I decided to “splice” the two records together and see what would have become of, say, a nice round $1000 starting at day#1, June 26 before the first bet was placed…well by the end of the challenge completion it had become 3,241.62….and if that $3,241.62k  had simply been rolled into this thread…as of yesterday it just hit $5,258.47…for a phenomenal 425.85% addition onto the starting thousand…and putting the account at 25% beyond QUINTUPLE…in just 238 days…so overall we’re looking at 1.79% gain over the starting capital EVERY DAY, 12.52% WEEKLY, 54.46% MONTHLY, and, get this…653.09% annually. 

     

    What’s truly amazing to me is that DJ’s has done all this without a good win%...the first phase was a passable 53.03% rate…but over this thread the rate is only 49.28%...but has still managed the super performance anyone tailing him appreciates.  Despite putting on a huge number of bets, 1078 over the 238 day period with just a 51.13% hit rate… which would cause most accounts to erode terribly, DJ seems to guage his own confidence with amazing accuracy, and it’s the constistent success rate on the large-baggers, the 5%+ bets that account for the overall brilliant record, which has never been in the slightest danger of crashing. 

     

    Normally, I have no faith in anyone’s, even paid services supposedly-confidence-based unit-size recommendations…I hate going 5-3 on the day, and ending up way down because the big banger didn’t come in.  So when I started following DJ’s posts and see him mixin’ in  the odd 8% in with his 1, 2, 3, and 4%ers, I thought it was a recipe for disaster.  In the previous thread, I learned that DJ has a clear valuation of his “good” filler low-bangers that help him bide his time till the juicy ones he’s really waiting for come along…and the big’uns have consistently been coming in with great enough frequency to justify their greatly-magnified stake.  I’m impressed…and I now tail along, carefully obeying the wide range of  bet-sizes…cuz for the first time I get the feel that they really haven’t been determined at random.

     

    Anhow, just thot’ everybody should know that DJ’s documented betting has turned 1000 into over 5000…something that  wan’t readily apparent. 

    DJ, you keep this thread running as usual,  I’d just like to periodically notify everyone how the full run from a reference $1000 starting late Oct’2010  is going…and maybe, just maybe, if there’s enough interest in this,  once the current target is hit you might even consider trying to top up the hypothetical account to  the pure “10-fold appreciation”  mark  as well…but if you don’t, and you take a well deserved rest once you reach the thread’s stated goal…I must say, I really am appreciating  the opportunity of tailing you…last night I was kicking myself for following you in an 8-banger on a team with more syllables in its name than I have eggs in the fridge…but when I checked the results…well, it’s why I decided a tribute to your efforts was in order. 

     WAY TO GO, DJ!!!!!

               

    Fitguy67
     
    fitguy67
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 11:48 AM ET #886

    As for today's plays...i googled and wiki'd and bet365'd...and couldn't find the Mainz/Bayern Muchen game...and you know there are several "versions" of some Bundesliga teams...more than one Leverkusen, Mainz etc...i found about three Mainz' fixtures but none vs Munchen...good call on the Crawley game...the line's moved a lot since you posted cuz the knee-jerk squares think ManU's playing a secondary-school team

    if at all possible on obscure intl offerings, could you put some sort of shorthand for the country/league if it's not the top one in that country (eg. It/B...would be good enough for Italy/SerieB...last night's big-banger "Eskieshirspor" just needed "Turk" and many brain cells would have been saved)...tennis is always a pain in the butt that way too...often many ATP/WTA tournaments at the same time and you have to "needle in a haystack" one surname

    mega-appreciate it
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    As for today's plays...i googled and wiki'd and bet365'd...and couldn't find the Mainz/Bayern Muchen game...and you know there are several "versions" of some Bundesliga teams...more than one Leverkusen, Mainz etc...i found about three Mainz' fixtures but none vs Munchen...good call on the Crawley game...the line's moved a lot since you posted cuz the knee-jerk squares think ManU's playing a secondary-school team

    if at all possible on obscure intl offerings, could you put some sort of shorthand for the country/league if it's not the top one in that country (eg. It/B...would be good enough for Italy/SerieB...last night's big-banger "Eskieshirspor" just needed "Turk" and many brain cells would have been saved)...tennis is always a pain in the butt that way too...often many ATP/WTA tournaments at the same time and you have to "needle in a haystack" one surname

    mega-appreciate it
     
    fitguy67
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 12:04 PM ET #887

    quik correction to #885...1st sentence last para...replace "starting late Oct2010" with "starting late June2010"...of course.

    also earlier " I’m impressed…and I now tail along, carefully obeying the wide range of  bet-sizes…cuz for the first time I get the feel that they really haven’t been determined at random."..you may replace "at random" with "as an exercise in self-delusion".

    ____________________
    I'm glad it's all the nice "small footprint" bet sizes today...i can't take too many of those "white knuckle" 8-percenters...

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    quik correction to #885...1st sentence last para...replace "starting late Oct2010" with "starting late June2010"...of course.

    also earlier " I’m impressed…and I now tail along, carefully obeying the wide range of  bet-sizes…cuz for the first time I get the feel that they really haven’t been determined at random."..you may replace "at random" with "as an exercise in self-delusion".

    ____________________
    I'm glad it's all the nice "small footprint" bet sizes today...i can't take too many of those "white knuckle" 8-percenters...

     
    wizkid30
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 5:44 PM ET #888

    BOL DJ D, I'm on the Devils as well

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    BOL DJ D, I'm on the Devils as well

     
    wizkid30
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 5:44 PM ET #889

    BOL DJ D, I'm on the Devils as well

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    BOL DJ D, I'm on the Devils as well

     
    paul_scholes
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 10:38 PM ET #890

    I dunno what that guy's talking about but nice day DJ!
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    I dunno what that guy's talking about but nice day DJ!
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 4:12 AM ET #891

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 276-281-52
    Bankroll: $8114.12
    Wagered: $127622.39
    Returned: $130736.51
    Net: +$3114.12
    ROI: +2.44%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Hannover [+112] 2% -162.28 to win 181.75 
    Crawley Town +2.5 [-105] 2% -162.28 to win 154.55 
    Palermo 'pk' [+108] 1% -81.14 to win 87.63 
    Reggina/Atalanta O2 [-106] 1% -81.14 to win 76.55 
    Mainz/Bayern Munchen U2.5 [+124] 0.5% -40.57 to win 50.31 
    Mainz +0.5 [+142] 0.5% -40.57 to win 57.61 

    Devils [+115] 1% -81.14 to win 93.31 
    Coyotes [+128] 1% -81.14 to win 103.86 


    Record: 280-285-52
    Bankroll: $8404.17
    Wagered: $128352.65
    Returned: $131756.82
    Net: +$3404.17
    ROI: +2.65%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Erzgebirge Aue -1 [+107] 2% -168.08 to win 179.85
    Lille 'pk' [-170] 2% -168.08 to win 98.87
    Frankfurt -0.5 [+107] 2% -168.08 to win 179.85
    PSG 'pk' [-169] 1% -84.04 to win 49.73
    Villareal -1 [-101] 1% -84.04 to win 83.21
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 276-281-52
    Bankroll: $8114.12
    Wagered: $127622.39
    Returned: $130736.51
    Net: +$3114.12
    ROI: +2.44%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Hannover [+112] 2% -162.28 to win 181.75 
    Crawley Town +2.5 [-105] 2% -162.28 to win 154.55 
    Palermo 'pk' [+108] 1% -81.14 to win 87.63 
    Reggina/Atalanta O2 [-106] 1% -81.14 to win 76.55 
    Mainz/Bayern Munchen U2.5 [+124] 0.5% -40.57 to win 50.31 
    Mainz +0.5 [+142] 0.5% -40.57 to win 57.61 

    Devils [+115] 1% -81.14 to win 93.31 
    Coyotes [+128] 1% -81.14 to win 103.86 


    Record: 280-285-52
    Bankroll: $8404.17
    Wagered: $128352.65
    Returned: $131756.82
    Net: +$3404.17
    ROI: +2.65%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Erzgebirge Aue -1 [+107] 2% -168.08 to win 179.85
    Lille 'pk' [-170] 2% -168.08 to win 98.87
    Frankfurt -0.5 [+107] 2% -168.08 to win 179.85
    PSG 'pk' [-169] 1% -84.04 to win 49.73
    Villareal -1 [-101] 1% -84.04 to win 83.21
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 1:40 PM ET #892

    Pretty disappointed with myself... The top plays the last two days should have been bigger (Hannover + Aue) but I've been trying to limit my bigger percentage plays (artificially) instead of just listening to my capping which suggested at least 4%-8% on both.
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    Pretty disappointed with myself... The top plays the last two days should have been bigger (Hannover + Aue) but I've been trying to limit my bigger percentage plays (artificially) instead of just listening to my capping which suggested at least 4%-8% on both.
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 1:54 PM ET #893

    Going to add:

    Canadiens [+132] 2% -168.08 to win 221.87
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    Going to add:

    Canadiens [+132] 2% -168.08 to win 221.87
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 3:29 AM ET #894

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 280-285-52
    Bankroll: $8404.17
    Wagered: $128352.65
    Returned: $131756.82
    Net: +$3404.17
    ROI: +2.65%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Erzgebirge Aue -1 [+107] 2% -168.08 to win 179.85 
    Lille 'pk' [-170] 2% -168.08 to win 98.87 
    Frankfurt -0.5 [+107] 2% -168.08 to win 179.85 
    PSG 'pk' [-169] 1% -84.04 to win 49.73 
    Villareal -1 [-101] 1% -84.04 to win 83.21 

    Canadiens [+132] 2% -168.08 to win 221.87 


    Record: 282-289-52
    Bankroll: $8045.47
    Wagered: $129193.05
    Returned: $132238.52
    Net: +$3045.47
    ROI: +2.36%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Varese -1 [+100] 4% -321.82 to win 321.82
    Real Sociedad [+109] 2% -160.91 to win 175.39
    Trabzonspor [-114] 2% -160.91 to win 141.15
    Hertha Berlin -1 [-101] 1% -80.45 to win 79.65
    Boulogne/Le Mans DRAW [+199] 1% -80.45 to win 160.10
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 280-285-52
    Bankroll: $8404.17
    Wagered: $128352.65
    Returned: $131756.82
    Net: +$3404.17
    ROI: +2.65%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Erzgebirge Aue -1 [+107] 2% -168.08 to win 179.85 
    Lille 'pk' [-170] 2% -168.08 to win 98.87 
    Frankfurt -0.5 [+107] 2% -168.08 to win 179.85 
    PSG 'pk' [-169] 1% -84.04 to win 49.73 
    Villareal -1 [-101] 1% -84.04 to win 83.21 

    Canadiens [+132] 2% -168.08 to win 221.87 


    Record: 282-289-52
    Bankroll: $8045.47
    Wagered: $129193.05
    Returned: $132238.52
    Net: +$3045.47
    ROI: +2.36%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Varese -1 [+100] 4% -321.82 to win 321.82
    Real Sociedad [+109] 2% -160.91 to win 175.39
    Trabzonspor [-114] 2% -160.91 to win 141.15
    Hertha Berlin -1 [-101] 1% -80.45 to win 79.65
    Boulogne/Le Mans DRAW [+199] 1% -80.45 to win 160.10
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 4:39 PM ET #895

    If anyone watched that Varese/Frosinone game, you're just about ready to puke like I am. 
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    If anyone watched that Varese/Frosinone game, you're just about ready to puke like I am. 
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 5:44 PM ET #896

    Didn't see the game, but checked the box score.. games like that are beyond puke worthy.. even more in soccer I imagine. A 3-1 lead in the 88' and having to settle for a draw is disgusting.

    You clearly handicapped the game correctly, then to see a meltdown in the final couple minutes to spoil it.. been seeing a bunch of this myself lately. It blows..
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    Didn't see the game, but checked the box score.. games like that are beyond puke worthy.. even more in soccer I imagine. A 3-1 lead in the 88' and having to settle for a draw is disgusting.

    You clearly handicapped the game correctly, then to see a meltdown in the final couple minutes to spoil it.. been seeing a bunch of this myself lately. It blows..
     
    paul_scholes
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 9:33 PM ET #897

    You'll get over the top with soccer picks in short order DJ Pauley D.
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    You'll get over the top with soccer picks in short order DJ Pauley D.
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 3:00 AM ET #898

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 282-289-52
    Bankroll: $8045.47
    Wagered: $129193.05
    Returned: $132238.52
    Net: +$3045.47
    ROI: +2.36%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Varese -1 [+100] 4% -321.82 to win 321.82 
    Real Sociedad [+109] 2% -160.91 to win 175.39 
    Trabzonspor [-114] 2% -160.91 to win 141.15 
    Hertha Berlin -1 [-101] 1% -80.45 to win 79.65 
    Boulogne/Le Mans DRAW [+199] 1% -80.45 to win 160.10 


    Record: 284-292-52
    Bankroll: $7879.29
    Wagered: $129997.59
    Returned: $132876.88
    Net: +$2879.29
    ROI: +2.21%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    PAOK +1 [+163] 2% -157.59 to win 256.87
    OL +0.5 [-101] 2% -157.59 to win 156.03
    Copenhagen +0.5 [+112] 1% -78.79 to win 88.24

    Oilers/Wild O5.5 [+115] 1% -78.79 to win 90.61
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 282-289-52
    Bankroll: $8045.47
    Wagered: $129193.05
    Returned: $132238.52
    Net: +$3045.47
    ROI: +2.36%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Varese -1 [+100] 4% -321.82 to win 321.82 
    Real Sociedad [+109] 2% -160.91 to win 175.39 
    Trabzonspor [-114] 2% -160.91 to win 141.15 
    Hertha Berlin -1 [-101] 1% -80.45 to win 79.65 
    Boulogne/Le Mans DRAW [+199] 1% -80.45 to win 160.10 


    Record: 284-292-52
    Bankroll: $7879.29
    Wagered: $129997.59
    Returned: $132876.88
    Net: +$2879.29
    ROI: +2.21%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    PAOK +1 [+163] 2% -157.59 to win 256.87
    OL +0.5 [-101] 2% -157.59 to win 156.03
    Copenhagen +0.5 [+112] 1% -78.79 to win 88.24

    Oilers/Wild O5.5 [+115] 1% -78.79 to win 90.61
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:33 PM ET #899

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 284-292-52
    Bankroll: $7879.29
    Wagered: $129997.59
    Returned: $132876.88
    Net: +$2879.29
    ROI: +2.21%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    PAOK +1 [+163] 2% -157.59 to win 256.87 
    OL +0.5 [-101] 2% -157.59 to win 156.03
    Copenhagen +0.5 [+112] 1% -78.79 to win 88.24 

    Oilers/Wild O5.5 [+115] 1% -78.79 to win 90.61 


    Record: 286-294-52
    Bankroll: $8134.61
    Wagered: $130470.35
    Returned: $133604.96
    Net: +$3134.61
    ROI: +2.40%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Motherwell/Saint Mirren U2 & 2.5 [-105] 2% -162.69 to win 154.94
    Saint Truidense/Mcehelen U2 [+106] 1% -81.35 to win 86.23

    Atlanta [+149] 1% -81.35 to win 121.21
    Sharks/Pens U5 [+120] 1% -81.35 to win 97.62
    Kings/Ducks O5.5 [-104] 1% -81.35 to win 78.22
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    Record: 284-292-52
    Bankroll: $7879.29
    Wagered: $129997.59
    Returned: $132876.88
    Net: +$2879.29
    ROI: +2.21%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    PAOK +1 [+163] 2% -157.59 to win 256.87 
    OL +0.5 [-101] 2% -157.59 to win 156.03
    Copenhagen +0.5 [+112] 1% -78.79 to win 88.24 

    Oilers/Wild O5.5 [+115] 1% -78.79 to win 90.61 


    Record: 286-294-52
    Bankroll: $8134.61
    Wagered: $130470.35
    Returned: $133604.96
    Net: +$3134.61
    ROI: +2.40%
    _____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

    Motherwell/Saint Mirren U2 & 2.5 [-105] 2% -162.69 to win 154.94
    Saint Truidense/Mcehelen U2 [+106] 1% -81.35 to win 86.23

    Atlanta [+149] 1% -81.35 to win 121.21
    Sharks/Pens U5 [+120] 1% -81.35 to win 97.62
    Kings/Ducks O5.5 [-104] 1% -81.35 to win 78.22
     
     
    eyeball
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 2:13 PM ET #900

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    All equal my friend, mathematics knows no sports. I simply go based on value derived from my capping.

    I have seen soccer and NCAA basketball emerge as my strongest sports overall but this can easily adjust back to the mean and shouldn't be considered trustworthy or anything of value.

     

    I know this is an old post but it is really the Truth

    If I'm making a play (in any sport), I feel we have a mathematical edge that will produce value over the long run. Once you start capping through value, you stop caring about whether you win or lose because you simply maintain that you made a wise wager, and that's really all you can do.

    People who try to pick winners everyday get caught up in juice or simply lose outright. We all know that we're 50/50 cappers so why try to avoid the losing side? It's a mathematical improbability...

    So instead, why not take your 50% wins and get them to pay more than the equivalent price (+100)? That's the whole idea of value betting; if you're going to lose half of your wagers, you better make sure your wins count!

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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



    All equal my friend, mathematics knows no sports. I simply go based on value derived from my capping.

    I have seen soccer and NCAA basketball emerge as my strongest sports overall but this can easily adjust back to the mean and shouldn't be considered trustworthy or anything of value.

     

    I know this is an old post but it is really the Truth

    If I'm making a play (in any sport), I feel we have a mathematical edge that will produce value over the long run. Once you start capping through value, you stop caring about whether you win or lose because you simply maintain that you made a wise wager, and that's really all you can do.

    People who try to pick winners everyday get caught up in juice or simply lose outright. We all know that we're 50/50 cappers so why try to avoid the losing side? It's a mathematical improbability...

    So instead, why not take your 50% wins and get them to pay more than the equivalent price (+100)? That's the whole idea of value betting; if you're going to lose half of your wagers, you better make sure your wins count!

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