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anyone have ciscos baseball system

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Posts: 186

cisco

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Joined: Dec, 2000

Posts: 11995

Posted: Apr. 11, 2008 - 3:15 PM ET #126

Correct Livan33

16th Litsch/Gabbard

17th Hallady/Padilla

18th Burnett/K.Rogers

Washington not in play.

But first I have to deal with Detroit.

Hit the view space button above and send me an e-mail for an update.

dharbour

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 54

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 8:48 PM ET #127

freaking detroit pricks

dharbour

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Posts: 54

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 9:07 PM ET #128

There is a chance

Rampage23

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Posts: 161

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 9:38 PM ET #129

Nah Detroit is done. Never should have been a pick anyway as they weren't +.470...I dont understand why the system originally states +.470 and then all of a sudden there is a list that says which teams to bet....

dharbour

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Posts: 54

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 10:05 PM ET #130

Watch out here comes detroit

dharbour

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Posts: 54

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 10:09 PM ET #131

3 outs to a win Come on Detroit

dharbour

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Posts: 54

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 10:27 PM ET #132

Tigers Win Tigers Win go CISCO

username474

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Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 307

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 10:31 PM ET #133

Quote Originally Posted by Rampage23:

the begining of the season he said to go by the teams payroll

cisco

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Joined: Dec, 2000

Posts: 11995

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 10:51 PM ET #134

Sour grapes Rampage.

The system holds!!

126-0 Going back 3 years

2-0 ytd

and oh by the way, the 5 run chase is up 23.68 units in 10 days.

I'm done with this thread!

Rampage23

Banned

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Posts: 161

Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 11:14 PM ET #135

No sour grapes cisco...I just read that you were supposed to be betting +.470 teams. The Tigers arent +.470 but nevertheless VERY WELL DONE. You are the master!

cisco

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Joined: Dec, 2000

Posts: 11995

Posted: Apr. 18, 2008 - 10:37 AM ET #136

Rules for the 5 run chase

This is a 4-game chase.

Wait for a team to win a game by 5 runs or more.
Skip that teams next 2 games.
Bet against that team for up to the next 4 games.
If the team wins by 5 runs or more during the next 4 games, skip another 2 games.
The chase ends with a win or four losses.
Progressive bet to win one unit.

Notes:
Do not play interleague games
All series must finish before the All Star break.
Shut down for All Star break
All series must finish before September1
Shut down for the season September1. (This is when the team roster is expanded.)

Conflict with another team in a chase:
The team already in a chase takes priority and the opposing team moves back a game or more. If two teams are to begin a chase on the same day I won't play that day and will go against the winner the following game.

VivaJG

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 307

Posted: Apr. 18, 2008 - 12:52 PM ET #137

Thanks for the information.

Now we just need someone to make a spreadsheet or something that automatically gathers game data and spits out the plays.

dharbour

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 54

Posted: Apr. 18, 2008 - 7:57 PM ET #138

Cisco

Was Toronto a play today.

Rampage23

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Posts: 161

Posted: Apr. 18, 2008 - 11:31 PM ET #139

dharbour...apparently they weren't (although my book had them at -110 opening and closed them at -112). cisco says he goes by pinnacle's lines and they never went more than -109 so I got burned badly tonight and last a ton of units. I will be on the Jays once again tomorrow despite them being -108 right now on pinnacle. Every other book (outside of matchbook) has them better than -110.

dharbour

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Posts: 54

Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 1:01 PM ET #140

Thnaks Rampage. I luckily stayed way from it. That is good to know he is going off of pinnacle lines.

dharbour

Prospect

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Posts: 54

Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 4:27 PM ET #141

I hope you played them rampage even though it wasnt technically a play.

Rampage23

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Posts: 161

Posted: Apr. 20, 2008 - 12:50 AM ET #142

Quote Originally Posted by dharbour:

I hope you played them rampage even though it wasnt technically a play.

Yep, I did play them again today! YAY! Now I am done with those fuckers for awhile I hope! (although I am considering playing them on a little 2 game chase here for tomorrow and then Monday as long as they will be more than -110 for each of thos egames! )

Good luck tomorrow if you play them! They should be a play as I believe they are like -125 right now.

mrmarvlevy

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2008

Posts: 11

Posted: Apr. 21, 2008 - 5:51 PM ET #143

If you follow two teams on the chase, both you should bet against with the Cisco system, and they play each other, who should you bet?

eg. today with the dodgers vs reds 4/21/08

ktorp18

Rookie

Joined: Feb, 2008

Posts: 836

Posted: Apr. 21, 2008 - 6:03 PM ET #144

the play is the reds, the dodgers lost yesterday which ended that series.

ktorp18

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Posts: 836

Posted: Apr. 21, 2008 - 6:06 PM ET #145

wait no....fade the reds which means play the dodgers...the dodgers' series ended yesterday when they lost to atlanta, sorry for the confusion

Rampage23

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Posts: 161

Posted: Apr. 22, 2008 - 12:15 PM ET #146

So are the Brewers a play tonight under the Home Favorite system? According to what I see the Brew Crew has lost 3 straight at home as greater than or equal to -110 favorites and are also listed in the teams that fit this system in cisco's above post.

monroeclark

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Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 579

Posted: Apr. 22, 2008 - 2:18 PM ET #147

Quote Originally Posted by cisco:

I have two systems that have been profitable. Both are a 4-game chase.

Home Favorite Chase System
Play on a +.470 team that has lost their last 3 or more home games as a favorite of -110 or more, and is again favored at home by -110 or more. I chase for up to 4 games.

In 2005 it went 45-0 in a 4 game chase. (went 44-1 using a 3 game chase)
In 2006 it went 40-0 using a 4 game chase.

In 2007 it went 39-0 using a 4 game chase.

2005
45-0
Gm.1.. 28 (66.66%)
Gm 2… 9 (88.09%)
Gm 3… 6 (97.72%)

Gm 4….2 (100%)
3 gm loss- Texas/TB -11.41 units Hit on gm #4

2006
40-0
Gm 1... 28 (70.0%)
Gm 2... 6 (85.0%)
Gm 3... 4 (95.0 %)
Gm 4... 2 (100%)

2007

39-0

Gm 1…26 (66.6%)

Gm 2…9 (89.7%)

Gm 3…3 (97.4%)

Gm 4…1 (100%)

Heck, you could just stop after game 1 or 2 and make money.

Anyone know if the .470 winning percentage is used before or after the three game losing streak at home? The percentage could sink below that mark after the three games. Does it matter?

Rampage23

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Posts: 161

Posted: Apr. 22, 2008 - 3:28 PM ET #148

monroe...I believe you are ignoring the winning percentage for now and only betting the following teams:

Boston

New York

Detroit

Los Angeles

Cleveland

Seattle

Toronto

New York

Philadelphia

Los Angeles

Chicago

Arizona

Atlanta

San Diego

Milwaukee

leumas

Prospect

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Posts: 229

Posted: Apr. 22, 2008 - 7:07 PM ET #149

Good point Monroe and definitely worth asking Cisco. Like Rampage said, ignore their record % for now until May 1 and just go with the team he list above.

I wonder if anyone has looked into a chase system for totals after a team gets shut out once or twice in a row or scores a total of 1 run in two consecutive games. That would nicely compliment and not interfere with Cisco's 2 systems, don't you think?

Any takers on looking into this?

I'll try but my computer is super slow even though I have high speed. I'm currently looking at a system that as of April 1 looks promising (so far) but it takes me forever to go back and look at the day by day results. Anyways I'll keep you all posted on my results. I would love to see how it did the past few years to make sure it's not a fluke but like I said, surfing the web on my computer is torture.