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anyone have ciscos baseball system

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Posted: #151
nghia- cisco states that after sept. 1 the five run system doesn't work.  I am sure this is because team consistency and importance of games very. 
 
i've got game 1 chases on the Orioles, A's, and a game 2 chase on the Giants.  Can anybody confirm these, to make sure I am following the Cisco 5-run chase correctly?
 
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Posted: #152
Orioles and A's? Today's plays should be as follows:
 
Game 1 betting on the Twins
Game 1 betting on Padres
Game 2 betting on Angels
Game 2 betting on Blue Jays
Game 2 betting on Mariners
 
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Posted: #153
thanks rampage, i didn't see the chase on the rays or red sox.
 
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Posted: #154

is anybody else stuck chasing the giants?  the reds are down a run in the sixth inning of the third game of this chase and i am nervous as hell that cisco's system is going to fail. 

 

thoughts?

 
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Posted: #155
it is official. the reds lost, making it the 4th game in a chase against the damn giants.
 
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Posted: #156
marv...this will be the 4th time it has gone to game 4 so far this season...It is 2-1 so far. If you dont have the stomach to risk alot of units on a game 4 then this probably isnt the best system for you to be playing. (and i truly do say that in a sincere way). Good luck if you continue to play it!
 
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Posted: #157
thanks rampage.  i bet the other bets that i liked for 4/26 (nhl, nba, and mlb) before i chose to see this thing through.  Even with a Giants win, I should have something in my account in hopes to rebuild on.  The selling point was that the giants haven't been playing especially well lately; they have won the last few games by a slight win margin.  My bet on the reds won't quite earn me my original unit that i was playing for, but it will bring me back within two units of my starting amount.
 
Thus, i put a safety net in place, but decided to regain my balance and finish my tightrope walk.
 
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Posted: #158
Home Favorite System
 
San Diego will be dropped from the chase immediately. I made a mistake in the payroll numbers. San Diego is 10th in the league in payroll. I go to +.470 standings May 1.

Sorry for the error.

Out
SAN DIEGO
ARIZONA
CLEVELAND

IN
ST LOUIS
HOUSTON
WHITE SOX

SOURCE
https://content.usatoday.com/sports/b...s.aspx?team=28
 
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Posted: #159
St Louis & Seattle are game one plays today
 
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Posted: #160
4/26
Tampa Bay is a gm 4
Baltimore gm3
Giants gm 3
Cleveland gm 2
Dodgers gm 1
Mets gm 1
Florida gm 1
Houston gm 1
 
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Posted: #161
The Giants played Head to Head with San Diego on 4/23. It was a no play situation.
4/24 gm 1 won 1-0
4/25 gm 2 won
Giants are a game 3 today
 
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Posted: #162
USA Today link is bad
Try this one
 
 
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Posted: #163
the games you listed for 4/26 what games for today fall under each system... I'm new to this and trying to figure it out
 
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Posted: #164
HF system:
 
 
St Louis is dropping like a rock,
 now -105 at pinnacle
no play!
 
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Posted: #165
godfather-
The eight games listed are for the 5 run chase system
St Louis & Seattle are in the Home Favorite system.
 
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Posted: #166
4/26
Home Favorite system
 
Today
Seattle gm 1
St Louis gm 1

 

Adding

White Sox gm 1

(2nd game of the DH)



 
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Posted: #167
Wow 3-0  
 
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Posted: #168
Hey Cisco not sure if you already have one but I put together a pretty intense spreadsheet for this system for tracking purposes if you want it let me know? Also wanted to know how you tracked your home team strategy that is tough to go back and track... do you have a spreadsheet for that?

Thanks!

Quote Originally Posted by cisco:

Rules for the 5 run chase

This is a 4-game chase.

Wait for a team to win a game by 5 runs or more.
Skip that teams next 2 games.
Bet against that team for up to the next 4 games.
If the team wins by 5 runs or more during the next 4 games, skip another 2 games.
The chase ends with a win or four losses.
Progressive bet to win one unit.



Notes:
Do not play interleague games
All series must finish before the All Star break.
Shut down for All Star break
All series must finish before September1
Shut down for the season September1. (This is when the team roster is expanded.)

Conflict with another team in a chase:
The team already in a chase takes priority and the opposing team moves back a game or more. If two teams are to begin a chase on the same day I won't play that day and will go against the winner the following game.



 
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Posted: #169
I was playing with some numbers and put together the records for the 5 run chase system... pretty amazing if you are into chase systems this one def. works.. these stats are just dating back to April 10th.

American League
Overall 18-1  (1 loss is TB's rare winning streak, they swept TOR and now BOS, who would have thought?)
1st game (13-7)
2nd game (2-5)
3rd game (2-2)
4th game (1-1)

national League
Overall (18-0)
1st game (10-11)
2nd game (4-6)
3rd game (2-2)
4th game (2-0)

National League you have to kind of follow the rules of chase betting to win $$ if you screw up or take games off you won't make that 18-0

American league in the last month you could have won money just by betting on the first game 13-7 65% not bad.. you follow it through and you get 5 more wins and those 7 loses are erased in chase betting.
 
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Posted: #170
Just how much money did TB lose you in the only loss for this system in the past month?

Lets see if you are wagering to win 1 unit or $10 this is how it unfolds.

The chase started 2 games after TB beat CHW on April 19th 5-0.
games are against TB  
Game 1- Tor  Bet TOR ML -105 LOSS $10.50
Game 2 Bet Tor ML to win $20.50 (+100) Loss 20.50 + 10.50 total loss 30.50

Game 3- Bos ML (+100) $40.50 to win $10 in chase
    Loss = $40.50 + $30.50 = $71
Game 4 Bos ML (-110) To win $81 Bet $86 Loss $86 + $71

TB loss in the system costed a $10/unit better around $157

But if you followed this system exclusively since April 10th. You would have won $360 (36-1) Net profit of $203 even with the TB loss.

Now multiply that by 10.
 
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Posted: #171
TB loss
Between 18-22 units depending what time you placed your bet
(-114 to -136)
 
Thanks but I don't need a spreadsheet
 
4/28
Series ytd 49-2 +1794
Actual 49-48
2 losses seattle & tampa bay

won on:
gm 1) 29
gm 2) 11
gm 3) 6
gm 4) 3
gm 5) 1
(waiting on tb to see what game they lose)
Should the mets win today and tomorrow I will lose -1604.
this last week the system has performed poorly.
The HF system is 6-0. I only get about 40 plays a year.
 
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Posted: #172
Im sorry if this has been asked but this thread is so long its hard to go back and divide the 2 systems,

In the 5+ run system the team winning a gm by 5 then skip there next 2 games......(is that, no matter what happens in those 2 gms?)  even if there favored or even if they win by 5 ............then in the next 4 gms you are to bet the oppsite team unless the original tm wins again by 5...(no matter the line?)
so there is really nothing to do with lines, correct?

also, Could you explain the bet process for the chase if the team being bet on is a DOG +125=gm 1, +110= gm2, etc?,  because you would think that happens quite a bit.
Which system works the best?  Which is easiest to follow? (for those that have been using it)
Thanks again,
 
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Posted: #173
del7 - If the team wins by 5 at any time, you ALWAYS skip 2 games after it.
 
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Posted: #174
what are the rules for the home favorite system??
 
 
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Posted: #175

Home Favorite Chase System
Play on a +.470 team that has lost their last 3 or more home games as a favorite of -110 or more, and is again favored at home by -110 or more. I chase for up to 4 games.

 

 

-Mabye a thread should be started for the 2 systems seperate, i would like to check my selctions against the "experts" selections, just to see if I am missing anything...

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