Pretty solid day yesterday, finishing(8-6) and staying above .500. But the highlight of the day was going a perfect (4-0) on my HUGE TARGETS! Very grateful to be on the right side of those plays!
Just a quick reminder for everyone: If I post a play without anything in parentheses next to it, consider it a SMALL TARGET unless I state otherwise. As always Fellas, please bet within your means and manage your bankroll wisely. Nothing is ever guaranteed in this game, and the goal is to stay in it for the long run.
Alright fellas, enough talking. Let's get down to business!
Todays Action;
Denver Broncos -2.5 (Huge Target) I would recommend buying a hook if at -3
WHY?? YOU KNOW IT FELLAS!
The biggest edge in this matchup is Denver's defensive front against Carolina's offense. The Broncos rank among the top teams in pressure rate, which could spell trouble for Bryce Young, who tends to struggle when facing consistent pressure. Denver also holds the edge in overall roster talent and depth, with enough offensive weapons to move the ball both on the ground and through the air. I expect Carolina to have a tough time sustaining drives, and I like Denver to come away with the win.
GO BRONCOS!!!
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Overall Record Posted (21-11) — 65%
NFL (4-3) — 57%
NCAAF (17-8) — 68%
Huge Target (8-2) — 80%
Hello Covers Friends,
Pretty solid day yesterday, finishing(8-6) and staying above .500. But the highlight of the day was going a perfect (4-0) on my HUGE TARGETS! Very grateful to be on the right side of those plays!
Just a quick reminder for everyone: If I post a play without anything in parentheses next to it, consider it a SMALL TARGET unless I state otherwise. As always Fellas, please bet within your means and manage your bankroll wisely. Nothing is ever guaranteed in this game, and the goal is to stay in it for the long run.
Alright fellas, enough talking. Let's get down to business!
Todays Action;
Denver Broncos -2.5 (Huge Target) I would recommend buying a hook if at -3
WHY?? YOU KNOW IT FELLAS!
The biggest edge in this matchup is Denver's defensive front against Carolina's offense. The Broncos rank among the top teams in pressure rate, which could spell trouble for Bryce Young, who tends to struggle when facing consistent pressure. Denver also holds the edge in overall roster talent and depth, with enough offensive weapons to move the ball both on the ground and through the air. I expect Carolina to have a tough time sustaining drives, and I like Denver to come away with the win.
The Rams may have disappointed at 4-4, but I believe they're starting to find their rhythm. The biggest edge here is Los Angeles having the better overall roster on both sides of the ball. The Rams rank fourth in total offense and fifth in total defense, while Washington sits 20th in both categories. Stafford has been productive through the air, and I expect Puka Nacua to cause problems for a Washington secondary that has struggled, especially in the red zone. Another big boost is the return of Myles Garrett, who should bring some much-needed pressure on Jayden Daniels after missing several weeks. With Washington dealing with injuries and struggling to find consistency offensively, I expect the Rams to take advantage and come away with the win.
Los Angels Chargers +5.5 (small target)
Why??
I believe the Chargers have been a little unfortunate this season. They've been competitive in nearly every game, even leading for long stretches, but just haven't been able to cover the spread. Are they really as bad as their 0-7 record suggests? I'm not convinced. Houston hasn't exactly been playing its best football either and still seems to be searching for its identity. I see a hungry Chargers team playing at home, desperate to get that first win. Sometimes a team is better than its record shows, and I believe that's the case here. I'll take my chances with the Chargers.
THATS IT FELLAS, I FEEL LIKE IM IN LALA LAND TODAY!! STAND UP LOS ANGELES!! ANG GOOO BRONCOS! HAVE A BLESS DAY EVERYONE AND DRINK UP!!
Los Angeles Rams -4.5 (small target)
Why??
The Rams may have disappointed at 4-4, but I believe they're starting to find their rhythm. The biggest edge here is Los Angeles having the better overall roster on both sides of the ball. The Rams rank fourth in total offense and fifth in total defense, while Washington sits 20th in both categories. Stafford has been productive through the air, and I expect Puka Nacua to cause problems for a Washington secondary that has struggled, especially in the red zone. Another big boost is the return of Myles Garrett, who should bring some much-needed pressure on Jayden Daniels after missing several weeks. With Washington dealing with injuries and struggling to find consistency offensively, I expect the Rams to take advantage and come away with the win.
Los Angels Chargers +5.5 (small target)
Why??
I believe the Chargers have been a little unfortunate this season. They've been competitive in nearly every game, even leading for long stretches, but just haven't been able to cover the spread. Are they really as bad as their 0-7 record suggests? I'm not convinced. Houston hasn't exactly been playing its best football either and still seems to be searching for its identity. I see a hungry Chargers team playing at home, desperate to get that first win. Sometimes a team is better than its record shows, and I believe that's the case here. I'll take my chances with the Chargers.
THATS IT FELLAS, I FEEL LIKE IM IN LALA LAND TODAY!! STAND UP LOS ANGELES!! ANG GOOO BRONCOS! HAVE A BLESS DAY EVERYONE AND DRINK UP!!
That’s what makes the NFL so challenging. Oddsmakers want you to second guess your own thought process, but that’s not how I approach games. I don’t make picks based on whether I think a game is rigged or what Vegas wants to happen. I simply do my homework, find the edge, and attack it with confidence. I bet on who I believe is the better team, not what the line is trying to tell me. If anything, the oddsmakers are doing me a favor with this number. BET WITH CONFIDNCE IS ALL I KNOW!
I’ve got Denver -4 in this one. LET’S GO BRONCOS BABY! ????
@Puckhandler
That’s what makes the NFL so challenging. Oddsmakers want you to second guess your own thought process, but that’s not how I approach games. I don’t make picks based on whether I think a game is rigged or what Vegas wants to happen. I simply do my homework, find the edge, and attack it with confidence. I bet on who I believe is the better team, not what the line is trying to tell me. If anything, the oddsmakers are doing me a favor with this number. BET WITH CONFIDNCE IS ALL I KNOW!
I’ve got Denver -4 in this one. LET’S GO BRONCOS BABY! ????
Edgehunter is right. He looks for the team he has the ability to win and cover the line and doesnt worry about what the odds makers are doing.
Gamblers just cant seem to grasp that the sports books dont give a shit who wins the games (thats why all this rigged stuff is bullshit every week. besides if gamblers truly believe games are rigged, then your all complete fools for wasting your money on this stuff)
Books dont want to be in the business of trying to pick winners, they just want all of us giving them 10 percent on single bets, plus all that huge live betting juice and all the parlays that go down. Some just dont understand how much money they win daily from that 10 percent vig weveryday. Can you imagine if you could get 10 percent on your money everyday?
Keep holding onto the crazy beliefs and you will just keep giving the books money each day.
Its all just noise and Edgehunter doesnt listen to the noise.
Edgehunter is right. He looks for the team he has the ability to win and cover the line and doesnt worry about what the odds makers are doing.
Gamblers just cant seem to grasp that the sports books dont give a shit who wins the games (thats why all this rigged stuff is bullshit every week. besides if gamblers truly believe games are rigged, then your all complete fools for wasting your money on this stuff)
Books dont want to be in the business of trying to pick winners, they just want all of us giving them 10 percent on single bets, plus all that huge live betting juice and all the parlays that go down. Some just dont understand how much money they win daily from that 10 percent vig weveryday. Can you imagine if you could get 10 percent on your money everyday?
Keep holding onto the crazy beliefs and you will just keep giving the books money each day.
Its all just noise and Edgehunter doesnt listen to the noise.
I think the value is in the chargers moneyline at this point. Chances are they’re going to win (at some point) when they finally cover a game. With the line inside a td I’d bet the outright and/or look for a live opportunity to get 7.5 or better.
I think the value is in the chargers moneyline at this point. Chances are they’re going to win (at some point) when they finally cover a game. With the line inside a td I’d bet the outright and/or look for a live opportunity to get 7.5 or better.
Appreciate you, brother! You hit the nail on the head. Too many people get caught up trying to figure out what the oddsmakers are thinking instead of focusing on the actual matchup. I’m not saying the books can’t make sharp lines, because they absolutely do. But my job is to find where I believe they got it wrong. I study the teams, identify the advantages, and trust my research. I’m going to win some and lose some, that’s part of this business. But I’m not going to second guess a solid play because of some conspiracy theory. At the end of the day, I just want to put myself on the right side more often than not and have more beer at my disposal ! Haha
@cd329
Appreciate you, brother! You hit the nail on the head. Too many people get caught up trying to figure out what the oddsmakers are thinking instead of focusing on the actual matchup. I’m not saying the books can’t make sharp lines, because they absolutely do. But my job is to find where I believe they got it wrong. I study the teams, identify the advantages, and trust my research. I’m going to win some and lose some, that’s part of this business. But I’m not going to second guess a solid play because of some conspiracy theory. At the end of the day, I just want to put myself on the right side more often than not and have more beer at my disposal ! Haha