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    All Forums | Streak Survivor

    Serious Streak Survivor Strategies

    «First Previous 502503504 ... 585586587 Next Last»
    smoothd20
    The Dog Catcher
    1loser1
    SKYsmile
    MoshiMoshi
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 1918160
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    «First Previous 502503504 ... 585586587 Next Last»
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2014 - 7:31 PM ET #12526

    Quote Originally Posted by The Dog Catcher:

    Smooth,

    August days 1-15 according to your records the Top 5 were 65-10=.8666 winning percentage.

    August days 16-31 Top 5 were 39-28=.582

    September days 1-15= 65-13= .8333 according to your records.


    First half of the last two months are 130W-23L-- Can you tell this forum why we should be following the last half over the first half?

    I have explained this before but I will do it again. The Top 5 Angle is simply the record for whatever Capper is in the Top 5 at the moment. It's fluid. I don't care about what one particular Capper has done for the month. It's simply what they have accomplished as a member of the Top 5. It's going to change daily.

    The reason why I follow this angle for the 2nd half is because that's when the Top 5 is more settled plus the competition for the monthly prize motivates the Cappers to make strong picks.

    As far as the record not being accurate. That's simply not so since I'm going off the record that Covers posts for each Capper for that month. Let's put it in a different context. Maybe you think I'm focusing on individual Cappers. I'm not. I'm simply going by the record of the Top 5 irregardless of who they are. It's a great system and has worked well since I have started posting about it. If you find that the first half is strong feel free to share that with us as well. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Dog Catcher:

    Smooth,

    August days 1-15 according to your records the Top 5 were 65-10=.8666 winning percentage.

    August days 16-31 Top 5 were 39-28=.582

    September days 1-15= 65-13= .8333 according to your records.


    First half of the last two months are 130W-23L-- Can you tell this forum why we should be following the last half over the first half?

    I have explained this before but I will do it again. The Top 5 Angle is simply the record for whatever Capper is in the Top 5 at the moment. It's fluid. I don't care about what one particular Capper has done for the month. It's simply what they have accomplished as a member of the Top 5. It's going to change daily.

    The reason why I follow this angle for the 2nd half is because that's when the Top 5 is more settled plus the competition for the monthly prize motivates the Cappers to make strong picks.

    As far as the record not being accurate. That's simply not so since I'm going off the record that Covers posts for each Capper for that month. Let's put it in a different context. Maybe you think I'm focusing on individual Cappers. I'm not. I'm simply going by the record of the Top 5 irregardless of who they are. It's a great system and has worked well since I have started posting about it. If you find that the first half is strong feel free to share that with us as well. 
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posts: 8162
    Posted: Sep. 17, 2014 - 7:42 PM ET #12527

    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    FINAL AUGUST TOP 5 REPORT

    MONTHLY RECORD
    106-40-1   72.6% Winning Pct.

    Sunday
    1. SLEDGE L
    2. BRODYDJ W
    3. DBARSCH L
    4. LSEXY W
    5. BRYWEB- NO PLAY

    Dog Catcher- These are the numbers from August. These numbers are based on what Covers post so I know they're accurate. The numbers reflect what these 5 Cappers did for the whole month. They may not have been part of the Top 5 the whole month but that doesn't matter. The system is a non-respecter of persons. Hopefully this gives you a better understanding of what I'm basing my numbers on.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    FINAL AUGUST TOP 5 REPORT

    MONTHLY RECORD
    106-40-1   72.6% Winning Pct.

    Sunday
    1. SLEDGE L
    2. BRODYDJ W
    3. DBARSCH L
    4. LSEXY W
    5. BRYWEB- NO PLAY

    Dog Catcher- These are the numbers from August. These numbers are based on what Covers post so I know they're accurate. The numbers reflect what these 5 Cappers did for the whole month. They may not have been part of the Top 5 the whole month but that doesn't matter. The system is a non-respecter of persons. Hopefully this gives you a better understanding of what I'm basing my numbers on.  
     
    The Dog Catcher
    The Dog Catcher
    Prospect
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    Posts: 137
    Posted: Sep. 17, 2014 - 8:16 PM ET #12528

    I'm familiar with your system... I understand it.. 

    Today's Top 5
    gracierocks
    eratic
    tomtom
    mike5057 L  LAD early today
    drakesimmons
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    I'm familiar with your system... I understand it.. 

    Today's Top 5
    gracierocks
    eratic
    tomtom
    mike5057 L  LAD early today
    drakesimmons
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2014 - 8:31 PM ET #12529

    Quote Originally Posted by The Dog Catcher:

    I'm familiar with your system... I understand it.. 

    Today's Top 5
    gracierocks
    eratic
    tomtom
    mike5057 L  LAD early today
    drakesimmons

    I was gonna bet the Dodgers too but something told me De La Rosa would come up big. Never expected them to get beat 16-2 though. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Dog Catcher:

    I'm familiar with your system... I understand it.. 

    Today's Top 5
    gracierocks
    eratic
    tomtom
    mike5057 L  LAD early today
    drakesimmons

    I was gonna bet the Dodgers too but something told me De La Rosa would come up big. Never expected them to get beat 16-2 though. 
     
    1loser1
    1loser1
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    Posts: 73
    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 2:12 AM ET #12530

    Dog catcher it almost seems ur getting pissy with smooth like he his on here trying to get us to fall for some con. He is on here like we all are trying to find ways to win and that's all if u got ideas to help out cool but chill my dude
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    Dog catcher it almost seems ur getting pissy with smooth like he his on here trying to get us to fall for some con. He is on here like we all are trying to find ways to win and that's all if u got ideas to help out cool but chill my dude
     
    1loser1
    1loser1
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 2:14 AM ET #12531

    Also u say ur fading top5 for first half that's sounds good so cood u post ur record since u say it made u money. Thanks:)
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    Also u say ur fading top5 for first half that's sounds good so cood u post ur record since u say it made u money. Thanks:)
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 12:43 PM ET #12532

    Top 5 Angle Report

    Wednesday Record              Monthly Record
          3-2                                      68-15

    1. GracieRocks123 W
    2. Erratic W
    3. Tom Tom1 L
    4. Mike5057 L
    5. Drakesimmons W
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    Top 5 Angle Report

    Wednesday Record              Monthly Record
          3-2                                      68-15

    1. GracieRocks123 W
    2. Erratic W
    3. Tom Tom1 L
    4. Mike5057 L
    5. Drakesimmons W
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 12:44 PM ET #12533

    Quote Originally Posted by 1loser1:

    Dog catcher it almost seems ur getting pissy with smooth like he his on here trying to get us to fall for some con. He is on here like we all are trying to find ways to win and that's all if u got ideas to help out cool but chill my dude

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    Quote Originally Posted by 1loser1:

    Dog catcher it almost seems ur getting pissy with smooth like he his on here trying to get us to fall for some con. He is on here like we all are trying to find ways to win and that's all if u got ideas to help out cool but chill my dude

     
    SKYsmile
    SKYsmile
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    Posts: 54
    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 4:59 PM ET #12534

    Betting on top 5 from 15 to 19 sept  - just minus -4
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    Betting on top 5 from 15 to 19 sept  - just minus -4
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2014 - 1:30 AM ET #12535

    Top 5 Angle Report

    Thursday Record                 Monthly Record
     3-1                                        71-16

    1. GracieRocks123 W
    2. Erratic No Play
    3. Drakesimmons L
    4. Peskythecat W
    5. Patgary W
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    Top 5 Angle Report

    Thursday Record                 Monthly Record
     3-1                                        71-16

    1. GracieRocks123 W
    2. Erratic No Play
    3. Drakesimmons L
    4. Peskythecat W
    5. Patgary W
     
    MoshiMoshi
    MoshiMoshi
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2014 - 7:09 PM ET #12536

    After reading 5 pages I finally got what smoothd20 meant :P ... but, (maybe I missed it ) what if 2 of the 5 top cappers bet on the same game and team/OvUn ? You take the 6th capper?

    BOL!
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    After reading 5 pages I finally got what smoothd20 meant :P ... but, (maybe I missed it ) what if 2 of the 5 top cappers bet on the same game and team/OvUn ? You take the 6th capper?

    BOL!
     
    MoshiMoshi
    MoshiMoshi
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2014 - 7:18 PM ET #12537

    never mind , post # 12458 explains it
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    never mind , post # 12458 explains it
     
    SKYsmile
    SKYsmile
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 3:15 AM ET #12538

    today -4+1

    total result from 15sept  -3

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    today -4+1

    total result from 15sept  -3

     
    SKYsmile
    SKYsmile
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 3:25 AM ET #12539

    +10 -10

    Profit -3 Roi -11%

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    +10 -10

    Profit -3 Roi -11%

     
    SKYsmile
    SKYsmile
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 3:25 AM ET #12540

    +10 -10

    Profit -3 Roi -11%

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    +10 -10

    Profit -3 Roi -11%

     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 9:14 AM ET #12541

    Top 5 Angle Report

    Friday Record             Monthly Record
       3-1                                 74-17

    1. Gracierocks123 W
    2. PeskyTheCat L
    3. Patgary W
    4. Htownjinny W
    5. RBK37 No Play
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    Top 5 Angle Report

    Friday Record             Monthly Record
       3-1                                 74-17

    1. Gracierocks123 W
    2. PeskyTheCat L
    3. Patgary W
    4. Htownjinny W
    5. RBK37 No Play
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 9:20 AM ET #12542

    Top 5 Angle Report

    Saturday Record              Monthly Record
    1-4                                         75-21

    1.GracieRocks L
    2. Patgary W
    3. Htownjinny L
    4.JCappucino L
    5. Erratic L

    Top 5 is having a very choppy start for us including two 1-4 Days. This isn't good. So be very careful if you're betting your streaks on this group right now. 
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    Top 5 Angle Report

    Saturday Record              Monthly Record
    1-4                                         75-21

    1.GracieRocks L
    2. Patgary W
    3. Htownjinny L
    4.JCappucino L
    5. Erratic L

    Top 5 is having a very choppy start for us including two 1-4 Days. This isn't good. So be very careful if you're betting your streaks on this group right now. 
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 9:22 AM ET #12543

    Quote Originally Posted by SKYsmile:

    today -4+1

    total result from 15sept  -3


    Well at least you're not a down a bundle just treading water isn't necessarily a bad thing for awhile. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by SKYsmile:

    today -4+1

    total result from 15sept  -3


    Well at least you're not a down a bundle just treading water isn't necessarily a bad thing for awhile. 
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 9:26 AM ET #12544

    The Southern Accent Geography Angle is something I will be discussing a little later on this morning after I do my Fantasy Football write ups. I just wanted to put a little teaser out here for you guys. I know some of you will like this angle. This applies to College Football.
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    The Southern Accent Geography Angle is something I will be discussing a little later on this morning after I do my Fantasy Football write ups. I just wanted to put a little teaser out here for you guys. I know some of you will like this angle. This applies to College Football.
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 11:17 AM ET #12545

    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    Top 5 Angle Report

    Saturday Record              Monthly Record
    1-4                                         75-21

    1.GracieRocks L
    2. Patgary W
    3. Htownjinny L
    4.JCappucino L
    5. Erratic L

    Top 5 is having a very choppy start for us including two 1-4 Days. This isn't good. So be very careful if you're betting your streaks on this group right now. 

    SmoothD,

    been out of the forums for awhile.. but this is a sound system. 
    I think it works better in the 2nd Half rather than the 1st Half

    it was ages ago (May 2012).. when me and Stephgame was battling it out for 1st place...I'm sure the win % was high those last 10 days. 

    every game counts... you see how close it is toward the month's end. 
    Though you might want to throw the last day out... many 2nd, 3rd place members tend to go against the 1st place members.  or visa versa to capture the top prize..

    good luck!  

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    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    Top 5 Angle Report

    Saturday Record              Monthly Record
    1-4                                         75-21

    1.GracieRocks L
    2. Patgary W
    3. Htownjinny L
    4.JCappucino L
    5. Erratic L

    Top 5 is having a very choppy start for us including two 1-4 Days. This isn't good. So be very careful if you're betting your streaks on this group right now. 

    SmoothD,

    been out of the forums for awhile.. but this is a sound system. 
    I think it works better in the 2nd Half rather than the 1st Half

    it was ages ago (May 2012).. when me and Stephgame was battling it out for 1st place...I'm sure the win % was high those last 10 days. 

    every game counts... you see how close it is toward the month's end. 
    Though you might want to throw the last day out... many 2nd, 3rd place members tend to go against the 1st place members.  or visa versa to capture the top prize..

    good luck!  

     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 8162
    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 3:51 PM ET #12546

    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:


    SmoothD,

    been out of the forums for awhile.. but this is a sound system. 
    I think it works better in the 2nd Half rather than the 1st Half

    it was ages ago (May 2012).. when me and Stephgame was battling it out for 1st place...I'm sure the win % was high those last 10 days. 

    every game counts... you see how close it is toward the month's end. 
    Though you might want to throw the last day out... many 2nd, 3rd place members tend to go against the 1st place members.  or visa versa to capture the top prize..

    good luck!  

    Good to see you MRJLX! Great points as well. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:


    SmoothD,

    been out of the forums for awhile.. but this is a sound system. 
    I think it works better in the 2nd Half rather than the 1st Half

    it was ages ago (May 2012).. when me and Stephgame was battling it out for 1st place...I'm sure the win % was high those last 10 days. 

    every game counts... you see how close it is toward the month's end. 
    Though you might want to throw the last day out... many 2nd, 3rd place members tend to go against the 1st place members.  or visa versa to capture the top prize..

    good luck!  

    Good to see you MRJLX! Great points as well. 
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2009
    Posts: 409
    Posted: Sep. 22, 2014 - 5:10 AM ET #12547

    @SmoothD

    has anyone tried this system with real $$ from start to finish?
    if anything over 60% for the month... its strong enough 

    the 1st day of the month will always have the top all wins in Streak Survivor.. which is most likely user dog (2700+ wins last time I saw).
    so the 1st 5-10 days will usually have cover members with 1000+ wins if they get a good mini streak. 

    I do like this system better in the 2nd half than 1st half b/c people really battle it out the last couple of days. 
     I would try this and skip the last day b/c its mostly waiting and waiting for the final pick... more often than not... the last day is always desperation for 2nd-5th players. 



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    @SmoothD

    has anyone tried this system with real $$ from start to finish?
    if anything over 60% for the month... its strong enough 

    the 1st day of the month will always have the top all wins in Streak Survivor.. which is most likely user dog (2700+ wins last time I saw).
    so the 1st 5-10 days will usually have cover members with 1000+ wins if they get a good mini streak. 

    I do like this system better in the 2nd half than 1st half b/c people really battle it out the last couple of days. 
     I would try this and skip the last day b/c its mostly waiting and waiting for the final pick... more often than not... the last day is always desperation for 2nd-5th players. 



     
    SKYsmile
    SKYsmile
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 54
    Posted: Sep. 22, 2014 - 11:05 AM ET #12548

    ok!  I think a lot you very interested in results of this strategy.
    Heres my results: 1 week from 15 sept tip 21 sept

    WIN-LOSS-VOID     11-13-0
    Win rate 46%
    Profit -5
    Yield -17%

    Those  great results, that smooth is speaking - they are counted wrong! I thick he counted total results of top 5 when current month was already over. But he forget, that  top 5 in 31 aug and top 5 in 20aug - its different users - and top 5 changed every day!
    Great theory, but indeed - no money here((((

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    ok!  I think a lot you very interested in results of this strategy.
    Heres my results: 1 week from 15 sept tip 21 sept

    WIN-LOSS-VOID     11-13-0
    Win rate 46%
    Profit -5
    Yield -17%

    Those  great results, that smooth is speaking - they are counted wrong! I thick he counted total results of top 5 when current month was already over. But he forget, that  top 5 in 31 aug and top 5 in 20aug - its different users - and top 5 changed every day!
    Great theory, but indeed - no money here((((

     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2009
    Posts: 409
    Posted: Sep. 22, 2014 - 1:48 PM ET #12549

    I think this system will always have different results b/c of the different members.  SKYsmile is right... there will be always new users regardless what month is used to sample. 

    the 1st couple of days will be "old" school members with an insane amount of wins.  the last 2 weeks will be members that will be very hot for the month.  If you look at the current top 5 people... their winning pct are barely above 50%.

    though. I give it a shot in Oct and see what happens.  I'm still throwing out the last day.
    good luck to all   
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    I think this system will always have different results b/c of the different members.  SKYsmile is right... there will be always new users regardless what month is used to sample. 

    the 1st couple of days will be "old" school members with an insane amount of wins.  the last 2 weeks will be members that will be very hot for the month.  If you look at the current top 5 people... their winning pct are barely above 50%.

    though. I give it a shot in Oct and see what happens.  I'm still throwing out the last day.
    good luck to all   
     
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Joined: Apr, 2009
    Posts: 409
    Posted: Sep. 22, 2014 - 1:51 PM ET #12550

    but Oct is 9 days away.... and I think the best results will come the last 10 days... hmm.. I'll keep track and see. 
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    but Oct is 9 days away.... and I think the best results will come the last 10 days... hmm.. I'll keep track and see. 
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