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    All Forums | Streak Survivor

    Serious Streak Survivor Strategies

    «First Previous 504505506 ... 585586587 Next Last»
    smoothd20
    MRJLX
    1loser1
    manny55146
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    Views: 1918160
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    «First Previous 504505506 ... 585586587 Next Last»
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2014 - 8:28 PM ET #12576

    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:

    today in the top 5
    both gracierocks123 and patgary have the same pick.
    does that mean 2 units in betting?
    counting 2 W or 2 L  in the records?
    or maybe its just a PUSH and it won't matter. 




    That's how I have been doing it. Counting it as 2 W's or 2 L's and if I bet if I bet 2 Units. I'm not trying to make this difficult for myself so I just keep it simple.
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    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:

    today in the top 5
    both gracierocks123 and patgary have the same pick.
    does that mean 2 units in betting?
    counting 2 W or 2 L  in the records?
    or maybe its just a PUSH and it won't matter. 




    That's how I have been doing it. Counting it as 2 W's or 2 L's and if I bet if I bet 2 Units. I'm not trying to make this difficult for myself so I just keep it simple.
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2014 - 8:35 PM ET #12577

    Top 5 Angle 

    Wednesday            Monthly Record
    2-2-1                          85-29-1

    1. Gracierocks W
    2. Patgary W
    3. JCappucio L
    4. Psychojuggalo L
    5. Vanspicks Push
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    Top 5 Angle 

    Wednesday            Monthly Record
    2-2-1                          85-29-1

    1. Gracierocks W
    2. Patgary W
    3. JCappucio L
    4. Psychojuggalo L
    5. Vanspicks Push
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posts: 409
    Posted: Sep. 25, 2014 - 9:52 PM ET #12578

    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    That's how I have been doing it. Counting it as 2 W's or 2 L's and if I bet if I bet 2 Units. I'm not trying to make this difficult for myself so I just keep it simple.

    ok... I try to keep track in Oct and compare notes.

    I'm not sure if I'm in the $25K club.
    either way...  wish we could backtest this theory.. but it looks good for the last 5-6 weeks... of course there are going to be bad days...  no system is 100%... just 60% is fine enough.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    That's how I have been doing it. Counting it as 2 W's or 2 L's and if I bet if I bet 2 Units. I'm not trying to make this difficult for myself so I just keep it simple.

    ok... I try to keep track in Oct and compare notes.

    I'm not sure if I'm in the $25K club.
    either way...  wish we could backtest this theory.. but it looks good for the last 5-6 weeks... of course there are going to be bad days...  no system is 100%... just 60% is fine enough.  
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2014 - 10:38 AM ET #12579

    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:


    ok... I try to keep track in Oct and compare notes.

    I'm not sure if I'm in the $25K club.
    either way...  wish we could backtest this theory.. but it looks good for the last 5-6 weeks... of course there are going to be bad days...  no system is 100%... just 60% is fine enough.  
    Yes you're in the $25 Dime Club because you post here. Membership requirement is to post here 3 times. It's like the mob once you're in you can never get out. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:


    ok... I try to keep track in Oct and compare notes.

    I'm not sure if I'm in the $25K club.
    either way...  wish we could backtest this theory.. but it looks good for the last 5-6 weeks... of course there are going to be bad days...  no system is 100%... just 60% is fine enough.  
    Yes you're in the $25 Dime Club because you post here. Membership requirement is to post here 3 times. It's like the mob once you're in you can never get out. 
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posts: 8162
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2014 - 10:40 AM ET #12580

    Top 5 Angle

    Thursday Record                      Monthly Record
    4-1                                                 89-30-1

    1. Gracierocks W
    2. Patgary W
    3. Erractic W
    4. Edmanz W
    5. BDM728 L
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    Top 5 Angle

    Thursday Record                      Monthly Record
    4-1                                                 89-30-1

    1. Gracierocks W
    2. Patgary W
    3. Erractic W
    4. Edmanz W
    5. BDM728 L
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2014 - 11:36 AM ET #12581

    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    Top 5 Angle

    Thursday Record                      Monthly Record
    4-1                                                 89-30-1

    1. Gracierocks W
    2. Patgary W
    3. Erractic W
    4. Edmanz W
    5. BDM728 L

    I had 3-2 for Thursday
    1. gracierocks123   W
    2. patgary  W
    3. bdm728   L
    4. Jcappuccio  W
    5. gowithsmitty  L

    verify?  I got these names from the screenshot before their picks started Thursday...

    today's top 5 players
    1.  gracierocks123
    2.  patgary
    3.  Jcappuccio
    4.  erratic
    5.  VansPicks

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    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    Top 5 Angle

    Thursday Record                      Monthly Record
    4-1                                                 89-30-1

    1. Gracierocks W
    2. Patgary W
    3. Erractic W
    4. Edmanz W
    5. BDM728 L

    I had 3-2 for Thursday
    1. gracierocks123   W
    2. patgary  W
    3. bdm728   L
    4. Jcappuccio  W
    5. gowithsmitty  L

    verify?  I got these names from the screenshot before their picks started Thursday...

    today's top 5 players
    1.  gracierocks123
    2.  patgary
    3.  Jcappuccio
    4.  erratic
    5.  VansPicks

     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2014 - 4:29 PM ET #12582

    For Friday 9/26
    Gracierocks123 and patgary are basically doing the same picks as they both have a 2 game lead over the other members.  
    Gracierocks123 has the tie breaker advantage so it makes sense to wait for patgary selection.

    will be very interesting toward the end of the month when other members might sneak in to the top... 5 days is a long ways away.

    good luck to all.  
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    For Friday 9/26
    Gracierocks123 and patgary are basically doing the same picks as they both have a 2 game lead over the other members.  
    Gracierocks123 has the tie breaker advantage so it makes sense to wait for patgary selection.

    will be very interesting toward the end of the month when other members might sneak in to the top... 5 days is a long ways away.

    good luck to all.  
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posts: 8162
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2014 - 7:10 PM ET #12583

    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:


    I had 3-2 for Thursday
    1. gracierocks123   W
    2. patgary  W
    3. bdm728   L
    4. Jcappuccio  W
    5. gowithsmitty  L

    verify?  I got these names from the screenshot before their picks started Thursday...

    today's top 5 players
    1.  gracierocks123
    2.  patgary
    3.  Jcappuccio
    4.  erratic
    5.  VansPicks


    It could have changed I checked it out Thursday morning so I'm not sure. Looks like we have 3 different Cappers Gowitsmitty, JCappuccio and Edmanz. I have noticed in the Battle Forum Tournament that sometimes when I post the numbers that Covers calculated it would change later like it wasn't updated even though I thought it was. So that could be it for this as well. I really don't know. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:


    I had 3-2 for Thursday
    1. gracierocks123   W
    2. patgary  W
    3. bdm728   L
    4. Jcappuccio  W
    5. gowithsmitty  L

    verify?  I got these names from the screenshot before their picks started Thursday...

    today's top 5 players
    1.  gracierocks123
    2.  patgary
    3.  Jcappuccio
    4.  erratic
    5.  VansPicks


    It could have changed I checked it out Thursday morning so I'm not sure. Looks like we have 3 different Cappers Gowitsmitty, JCappuccio and Edmanz. I have noticed in the Battle Forum Tournament that sometimes when I post the numbers that Covers calculated it would change later like it wasn't updated even though I thought it was. So that could be it for this as well. I really don't know. 
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posts: 409
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2014 - 7:37 PM ET #12584

    @SmoothD

    I take a screenshot either 12am or 8am of the day.  that is how I got the Covers members names for the day.  More importantly I take the names before any games are played. 

    Covers ranks them according to their tiebreakers... most wins,  most total wins and time of entry of pick (never happens b/c of most total wins)
    to the forum members that don't know me.. I lost to a tiebreaker in Streak Survivor in May 2012. 

    I noticed the member usernames "click" in after midnight.. that is why its so difficult to backtest.
    when the new month comes along.. I'm sure the 1st 10 days will not have a good record. 
    but hey... you never know.   
    as long as the month is positive.. it doesn't matter the cappers names are 


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    @SmoothD

    I take a screenshot either 12am or 8am of the day.  that is how I got the Covers members names for the day.  More importantly I take the names before any games are played. 

    Covers ranks them according to their tiebreakers... most wins,  most total wins and time of entry of pick (never happens b/c of most total wins)
    to the forum members that don't know me.. I lost to a tiebreaker in Streak Survivor in May 2012. 

    I noticed the member usernames "click" in after midnight.. that is why its so difficult to backtest.
    when the new month comes along.. I'm sure the 1st 10 days will not have a good record. 
    but hey... you never know.   
    as long as the month is positive.. it doesn't matter the cappers names are 


     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2014 - 9:58 PM ET #12585

    MRJLX- It seems like just yesterday when you lost that tiebreaker. Has it really been 2 years? Wow.
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    MRJLX- It seems like just yesterday when you lost that tiebreaker. Has it really been 2 years? Wow.
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2014 - 11:32 PM ET #12586

    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    MRJLX- It seems like just yesterday when you lost that tiebreaker. Has it really been 2 years? Wow.

    aarghhh.. yep.. 2 years ago... 
    time flies....
    I still remember how I entered my pick right before the game started so Stephgame couldn't go against me  

    would have been an awesome month with the streak and monthly in the same month.  
    the problem with hitting 18 in a row... no one has been able to duplicate it again.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    MRJLX- It seems like just yesterday when you lost that tiebreaker. Has it really been 2 years? Wow.

    aarghhh.. yep.. 2 years ago... 
    time flies....
    I still remember how I entered my pick right before the game started so Stephgame couldn't go against me  

    would have been an awesome month with the streak and monthly in the same month.  
    the problem with hitting 18 in a row... no one has been able to duplicate it again.  
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2014 - 7:31 PM ET #12587

    MRJLX- Did you get today's Top 5. I missed it. 
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    MRJLX- Did you get today's Top 5. I missed it. 
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2014 - 7:48 PM ET #12588

    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    MRJLX- Did you get today's Top 5. I missed it. 

    Yes I have it..
    its not completed yet.. but its ugly today...

    do you want me to PM or post it after the selections are completed?
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    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    MRJLX- Did you get today's Top 5. I missed it. 

    Yes I have it..
    its not completed yet.. but its ugly today...

    do you want me to PM or post it after the selections are completed?
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2014 - 7:57 PM ET #12589

    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:


    Yes I have it..
    its not completed yet.. but its ugly today...

    do you want me to PM or post it after the selections are completed?

    Post it after the games are completed. Thanks.
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    Quote Originally Posted by MRJLX:


    Yes I have it..
    its not completed yet.. but its ugly today...

    do you want me to PM or post it after the selections are completed?

    Post it after the games are completed. Thanks.
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2014 - 10:48 PM ET #12590

    @SmoothD

    For 9/27
    ugly day  0-5

    Top 5 
    1.  gracierocks123  L
    2.  patgary   L
    3.  Jcappuccio  L
    4.  edmanz   L
    5.  brianob1541   L   (had same pick as gracierock123)

    only one game separating between 1st and 3rd place.
    this contest basically ends Sept 29th b/c I don't think there are any games to play Sept 30th.... unless its some Arena / CFL games on Tuesday.





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    @SmoothD

    For 9/27
    ugly day  0-5

    Top 5 
    1.  gracierocks123  L
    2.  patgary   L
    3.  Jcappuccio  L
    4.  edmanz   L
    5.  brianob1541   L   (had same pick as gracierock123)

    only one game separating between 1st and 3rd place.
    this contest basically ends Sept 29th b/c I don't think there are any games to play Sept 30th.... unless its some Arena / CFL games on Tuesday.





     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posts: 8162
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2014 - 11:55 AM ET #12591

    Top 5 Angle Friday Sept. 26

    Friday Record              Monthly Record
    3-2                                   91-33-1 (Includes correction by MRJLX)

    1. Gracierocks W
    2. Patgary W
    3. JCappuccio W
    4. Erractic L
    5. Vanspicks L
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    Top 5 Angle Friday Sept. 26

    Friday Record              Monthly Record
    3-2                                   91-33-1 (Includes correction by MRJLX)

    1. Gracierocks W
    2. Patgary W
    3. JCappuccio W
    4. Erractic L
    5. Vanspicks L
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posts: 8162
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2014 - 11:57 AM ET #12592

    Saturday Record              Monthly Record
    0-5                                      91-38-1 


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    Saturday Record              Monthly Record
    0-5                                      91-38-1 


     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2014 - 11:59 AM ET #12593

    I don't have yesterday's record fellas. I had to work yesterday so I didn't have time to research it. This month has been hit and miss with the Top 5 but overall if you were betting it you wouldn't have lost money but you wouldn't have made that much either. It's break even for the 2nd half. 
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    I don't have yesterday's record fellas. I had to work yesterday so I didn't have time to research it. This month has been hit and miss with the Top 5 but overall if you were betting it you wouldn't have lost money but you wouldn't have made that much either. It's break even for the 2nd half. 
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posts: 8162
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2014 - 12:04 PM ET #12594

    Top 5 Monday

    1. Gracierocks
    2.Patgary
    3. BDM 728
    4. JCappuccio
    5. BrianRob 541
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    Top 5 Monday

    1. Gracierocks
    2.Patgary
    3. BDM 728
    4. JCappuccio
    5. BrianRob 541
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2014 - 3:09 PM ET #12595

    I personally like the Over in tonight's Monday Night Matchup. I expect Brady to put up some numbers and KC will try to match them. I also expect Chiefs Defense to get some turnovers, hard to believe they don't have any turnovers this year. 
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    I personally like the Over in tonight's Monday Night Matchup. I expect Brady to put up some numbers and KC will try to match them. I also expect Chiefs Defense to get some turnovers, hard to believe they don't have any turnovers this year. 
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posts: 409
    Posted: Sep. 29, 2014 - 3:57 PM ET #12596

    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    I don't have yesterday's record fellas. I had to work yesterday so I didn't have time to research it. This month has been hit and miss with the Top 5 but overall if you were betting it you wouldn't have lost money but you wouldn't have made that much either. It's break even for the 2nd half. 

    @SmoothD

    Sunday 9/28 Results

    1. gracierocks123  W
    2. patgary  L
    3. bdm728   W
    4. Jcappuccio W
    5. edmanz  L

    I expect gracierocks123 to win the monthly contest....I'm surprised gracierocks123 selected a pick.   There is no guarantee that a Tuesday MLB game will be on streak survivor. 

    My 8 day tracking will end tonight.. then start off fresh in Oct.
    but its not too far above 50%+...  I wanted 60%+  
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    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    I don't have yesterday's record fellas. I had to work yesterday so I didn't have time to research it. This month has been hit and miss with the Top 5 but overall if you were betting it you wouldn't have lost money but you wouldn't have made that much either. It's break even for the 2nd half. 

    @SmoothD

    Sunday 9/28 Results

    1. gracierocks123  W
    2. patgary  L
    3. bdm728   W
    4. Jcappuccio W
    5. edmanz  L

    I expect gracierocks123 to win the monthly contest....I'm surprised gracierocks123 selected a pick.   There is no guarantee that a Tuesday MLB game will be on streak survivor. 

    My 8 day tracking will end tonight.. then start off fresh in Oct.
    but its not too far above 50%+...  I wanted 60%+  
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2014 - 4:33 PM ET #12597

    Top 5 Smooth Theory

    8 day experiment
    Sept. 22nd - Sept 29th

    19 Won
    20 loss
    48.7%  (-310) Net 

    taking off duplicates
    17 WON
    18 LOSS
    48.6%  (-290) Net

    not making any $$ as expected.
    this is only 8 days though....  will try to keep track for a full month (except for last day) in Oct.

    Though I think the first 10 days will not be profitable doing just the top 5.  IMHO.
    strictly monitoring this theory.  

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    Top 5 Smooth Theory

    8 day experiment
    Sept. 22nd - Sept 29th

    19 Won
    20 loss
    48.7%  (-310) Net 

    taking off duplicates
    17 WON
    18 LOSS
    48.6%  (-290) Net

    not making any $$ as expected.
    this is only 8 days though....  will try to keep track for a full month (except for last day) in Oct.

    Though I think the first 10 days will not be profitable doing just the top 5.  IMHO.
    strictly monitoring this theory.  

     
    1loser1
    1loser1
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    Posts: 73
    Posted: Oct. 1, 2014 - 2:29 AM ET #12598

    Cool of u to go out of ur way to track keep it up much appreciated
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    Cool of u to go out of ur way to track keep it up much appreciated
     
    MRJLX
    MRJLX
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    Posts: 409
    Posted: Oct. 1, 2014 - 1:14 PM ET #12599

    1st day of Oct. 

    Top 5 by default 

    1) dog   2774 wins
    2) jimbo498   2747 wins
    3. NUTTY  2677 wins
    4. SPORTNUT  2463 wins
    5. ivan53   2336 wins

    these members probably have been here since the Streak Surivor contest started (maybe doing the wagerline.com days) 
    though they have a massive amount of wins. Only dog has a lifetime streak record of 53.8%... the rest of the members in the top 5 are barely above 50%.  

    all their picks are in today... at least one of those names should be in the top 5 for Oct. 2nd. 


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    1st day of Oct. 

    Top 5 by default 

    1) dog   2774 wins
    2) jimbo498   2747 wins
    3. NUTTY  2677 wins
    4. SPORTNUT  2463 wins
    5. ivan53   2336 wins

    these members probably have been here since the Streak Surivor contest started (maybe doing the wagerline.com days) 
    though they have a massive amount of wins. Only dog has a lifetime streak record of 53.8%... the rest of the members in the top 5 are barely above 50%.  

    all their picks are in today... at least one of those names should be in the top 5 for Oct. 2nd. 


     
     
    manny55146
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    Posts: 135
    Posted: Oct. 5, 2014 - 4:37 AM ET #12600

    going with New England +1 for win 2
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    going with New England +1 for win 2
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