Thanks for stopping by. I expected to be challenged on this and appreciate all the feedback. I intentionally stayed away from calling it a “system”. In reality, there are way too many inputs for me to define it as a system - let’s call them a set of guidelines.
Just a quick fact check, there were 75 matches with a red card I had access to bet on Sunday alone - I think I made 25-30 bets? So, I’m not in fact betting “every red card.” Overwhelmingly majority of those 25-30 are following my guidelines.
Now to answer the harder question. I am human and of course will sometimes succumb to emotions, aka making bets against my own guidelines. Additionally, I have a job and family, so I will undoubtedly miss red card opportunities. I think what would be interesting and what you’re suggesting, is to analyze my guidelines as a system and truly see how it performs? Even if it is in hindsight.
Look, at the end of the day, 8 months is not enough data to truly understand how well this works and is most definitely a working theory playing out in real time. I feel strongly that these guidelines lead to a bettor having some leverage against the books and that is my intention here.
@topcatt89_OLD_11887
Thanks for stopping by. I expected to be challenged on this and appreciate all the feedback. I intentionally stayed away from calling it a “system”. In reality, there are way too many inputs for me to define it as a system - let’s call them a set of guidelines.
Just a quick fact check, there were 75 matches with a red card I had access to bet on Sunday alone - I think I made 25-30 bets? So, I’m not in fact betting “every red card.” Overwhelmingly majority of those 25-30 are following my guidelines.
Now to answer the harder question. I am human and of course will sometimes succumb to emotions, aka making bets against my own guidelines. Additionally, I have a job and family, so I will undoubtedly miss red card opportunities. I think what would be interesting and what you’re suggesting, is to analyze my guidelines as a system and truly see how it performs? Even if it is in hindsight.
Look, at the end of the day, 8 months is not enough data to truly understand how well this works and is most definitely a working theory playing out in real time. I feel strongly that these guidelines lead to a bettor having some leverage against the books and that is my intention here.
Been following along and think this is an interesting/fascinating angle (and seems to have been profitable too). Was hoping you were able to catch on the two late red card games in EL today. Nonetheless you have a believer and I'll be tagging along some. Nice job!
@Alfalfa9
Been following along and think this is an interesting/fascinating angle (and seems to have been profitable too). Was hoping you were able to catch on the two late red card games in EL today. Nonetheless you have a believer and I'll be tagging along some. Nice job!
@Alfalfa9 Been following along and think this is an interesting/fascinating angle (and seems to have been profitable too). Was hoping you were able to catch on the two late red card games in EL today. Nonetheless you have a believer and I'll be tagging along some. Nice job!
Thanks for the kind words, much appreciated. The red card after 80ish minutes are always a tough call, usually 50/50 but does offer great odds and emotions/effort are usually at its highest points of the match.
Quote Originally Posted by I3C1H:
@Alfalfa9 Been following along and think this is an interesting/fascinating angle (and seems to have been profitable too). Was hoping you were able to catch on the two late red card games in EL today. Nonetheless you have a believer and I'll be tagging along some. Nice job!
Thanks for the kind words, much appreciated. The red card after 80ish minutes are always a tough call, usually 50/50 but does offer great odds and emotions/effort are usually at its highest points of the match.
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