Red Card Goal Tracking Thread

@Masait

Yes. Ridiculous. 

Boca Juniors over 1.5 -110

Bahrain SC over 1.5 -115 (0-1)

Kings SC over 2.5 -105 (2-0)

Renaissance Berkane over 1.5 -115 (0-0)

Sacachispas FC over 2.5 +110 (1-1)

Urena over 3.5 -115 (0-2)

Caracas over 1.5 -110 (0-1)

Monagas over 1.5 -115 (1-0)

Colon FC over 0.5 +100

Boston City FC over 1.5 -115 (0-0)

EuPa over 2.5 -115 (0-1)

Angola over 0.5 +120

South Korea over 1.5 +100 (0-0)

Hoogee over 3.5 -110 (3-0)

Iran over 1.5 -105 (1-0)

Magdalena over 0.5 -110

I remember someone doing a similar research on an italian betting forum, a long time ago. They found no particular changes in the aggregate scoring potential when a single red card was issued, the same for two cards against the same team (but the sample in this case was a lot smaller). They found instead, on average, more goals being scored when both teams had a player sent off (but also in this case, the sample was small).

Unfortunately, I don't remember the forum. I had saved the data-set they shared at the time but I can't find it now. I guess I later ignored it, mainly because I don't like to bet on live matches.

Alessandro.

@Soccer_Tips

Thanks Alessandro! I’ve definitely shown an increase in goals post certain red card situations. However, waiting for lines to drop to respectable odds and timing the goal(s) is the hard part. 

Dulwich Hill SC over 3.5 -115 (1-2)

MPS Helsinki over 4.5 -115 (2-2)

VPS Akatemia over 3.5 +110 (3-0)

Defensores Belgrano over 2.5 -110 (1-1)

Independiente FBC over 1.5 -115 (0-1)

332/336 -$2

Hartford over 0.5 +100