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    All Forums | Soccer

    Calculated Stats Plays

    «First Previous 12
    jersey_dude
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    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 26, 2025 - 3:01 AM ET #26

    Day 11 / Thursday, Jun 26, 2025 - Part 1

    China 1: Shanghai Port - Dalian Yingbo @ 13:35
    5.8 U: Dalian Yingbo +1.5 1.66

    China 1: Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen @ 14:00
    1.6 U: Yunnan Yukun +0.25 1.70

    Reply

    Day 11 / Thursday, Jun 26, 2025 - Part 1

    China 1: Shanghai Port - Dalian Yingbo @ 13:35
    5.8 U: Dalian Yingbo +1.5 1.66

    China 1: Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen @ 14:00
    1.6 U: Yunnan Yukun +0.25 1.70

     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 26, 2025 - 7:58 AM ET #27

    Part 2

    Latvia 1: BFC Daugavpils - Grobina @ 17:00
    0.6 U: BFC Daugavpils -0.5 1.80 (Pinnacle)

    Argentina Cup: Tigre - Banfield @ 00:30, Jun 27
    0.6 U: Tigre -0.25 2.01 (Pinnacle)

    Brazil 2: CRB - America MG @ 02:35, Jun 27
    0.6 U: CRB -0.25 1.95

    Reply

    Part 2

    Latvia 1: BFC Daugavpils - Grobina @ 17:00
    0.6 U: BFC Daugavpils -0.5 1.80 (Pinnacle)

    Argentina Cup: Tigre - Banfield @ 00:30, Jun 27
    0.6 U: Tigre -0.25 2.01 (Pinnacle)

    Brazil 2: CRB - America MG @ 02:35, Jun 27
    0.6 U: CRB -0.25 1.95

     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 27, 2025 - 4:33 AM ET #28

    Results - Thursday

    Shanghai Port - Dalian Yingbo => 3:0
    5.8 U: Dalian Yingbo +1.5 1.66 => L 5.8 U

    Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen => 2:1
    1.6 U: Yunnan Yukun +0.25 1.70 => W 1.12 U

    BFC Daugavpils - Grobina => 3:2
    0.6 U: BFC Daugavpils -0.5 1.80 => W 0.48 U

    Tigre - Banfield => 2:0
    0.6 U: Tigre -0.25 2.01 => W 0.606 U

    CRB - America MG => 1:2
    0.6 U: CRB -0.25 1.95=> L 0.6 U

    W 3 - L 2 => L 4.194 U

    Overall: W 27 (26.5) - L 24 (22) - P 4 => L 6.71 U

    Reply

    Results - Thursday

    Shanghai Port - Dalian Yingbo => 3:0
    5.8 U: Dalian Yingbo +1.5 1.66 => L 5.8 U

    Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen => 2:1
    1.6 U: Yunnan Yukun +0.25 1.70 => W 1.12 U

    BFC Daugavpils - Grobina => 3:2
    0.6 U: BFC Daugavpils -0.5 1.80 => W 0.48 U

    Tigre - Banfield => 2:0
    0.6 U: Tigre -0.25 2.01 => W 0.606 U

    CRB - America MG => 1:2
    0.6 U: CRB -0.25 1.95=> L 0.6 U

    W 3 - L 2 => L 4.194 U

    Overall: W 27 (26.5) - L 24 (22) - P 4 => L 6.71 U

     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2025 - 11:08 AM ET #29

    Day 12 / Friday, Jun 27, 2025

    Peru 1: Ayacucho - Los Chankas @ 20:00
    9 U: Ayacucho -0.25 1.72

    Peru 1: Juan Pablo II - Cienciano @ 22:15
    1.2 U: Cienciano +0.5 1.73

    Peru 1: Binacional - Sport Huancayo @ 00:30, Jun 28
    0.6 U: Binacional +0.5 1.83

    Brazil 2: Criciuma - Avai @ 01:30, Jun 28
    0.6 U: Criciuma -0.25 1.83

    Ecuador 1: Dep. Cuenca - Mushuc Runa @ 02:00, Jun 28
    0.8 U: Dep. Cuenca -0.5 1.81

    Reply

    Day 12 / Friday, Jun 27, 2025

    Peru 1: Ayacucho - Los Chankas @ 20:00
    9 U: Ayacucho -0.25 1.72

    Peru 1: Juan Pablo II - Cienciano @ 22:15
    1.2 U: Cienciano +0.5 1.73

    Peru 1: Binacional - Sport Huancayo @ 00:30, Jun 28
    0.6 U: Binacional +0.5 1.83

    Brazil 2: Criciuma - Avai @ 01:30, Jun 28
    0.6 U: Criciuma -0.25 1.83

    Ecuador 1: Dep. Cuenca - Mushuc Runa @ 02:00, Jun 28
    0.8 U: Dep. Cuenca -0.5 1.81

     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 2:06 AM ET #30

    Results - Friday

    Ayacucho - Los Chankas => 1:2
    9 U: Ayacucho -0.25 1.72 => L 9 U

    Juan Pablo II - Cienciano => 2:2
    1.2 U: Cienciano +0.5 1.73 => W 0.876 U

    Binacional - Sport Huancayo => 1:0
    0.6 U: Binacional +0.5 1.83 => W 0.498 U

    Criciuma - Avai => 1:2
    0.6 U: Criciuma -0.25 1.83 => L 0.6 U

    Dep. Cuenca - Mushuc Runa => 1:0
    0.8 U: Dep. Cuenca -0.5 1.81 => W 0.648 U

    W 3 - L 2 => L 7.578 U

    Overall: W 30 (29.5) - L 26 (24) - P 4 => L 14.288 U

    Reply

    Results - Friday

    Ayacucho - Los Chankas => 1:2
    9 U: Ayacucho -0.25 1.72 => L 9 U

    Juan Pablo II - Cienciano => 2:2
    1.2 U: Cienciano +0.5 1.73 => W 0.876 U

    Binacional - Sport Huancayo => 1:0
    0.6 U: Binacional +0.5 1.83 => W 0.498 U

    Criciuma - Avai => 1:2
    0.6 U: Criciuma -0.25 1.83 => L 0.6 U

    Dep. Cuenca - Mushuc Runa => 1:0
    0.8 U: Dep. Cuenca -0.5 1.81 => W 0.648 U

    W 3 - L 2 => L 7.578 U

    Overall: W 30 (29.5) - L 26 (24) - P 4 => L 14.288 U

     
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 12:05 PM ET #31

    Day 13 / Saturday, Jun 28, 2025

    USA 1: CF Montreal - New York City @ 01:30, Jun 29
    9.4 U: New York City 0 1.69 (Pinnacle)

    USA 1: DC United - Nashville SC @ 01:30, Jun 29
    1.8 U: Nashville SC -0.25 1.65

    USA 1: New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United @ 01:30, Jun 29
    1.8 U: Minnesota United +0.5 1.70 (Pinnacle)

    USA 1: Orlando City - FC Cincinnati @ 01:30, Jun 29
    2.4 U: Orlando City -0.25 1.67 (Pinnacle)

    USA 1: San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy @ 04:30, Jun 29
    1.8 U: San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 1.68

    Reply

    Day 13 / Saturday, Jun 28, 2025

    USA 1: CF Montreal - New York City @ 01:30, Jun 29
    9.4 U: New York City 0 1.69 (Pinnacle)

    USA 1: DC United - Nashville SC @ 01:30, Jun 29
    1.8 U: Nashville SC -0.25 1.65

    USA 1: New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United @ 01:30, Jun 29
    1.8 U: Minnesota United +0.5 1.70 (Pinnacle)

    USA 1: Orlando City - FC Cincinnati @ 01:30, Jun 29
    2.4 U: Orlando City -0.25 1.67 (Pinnacle)

    USA 1: San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy @ 04:30, Jun 29
    1.8 U: San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 1.68

     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2025 - 1:50 AM ET #32

    Results - Saturday

    CF Montreal - New York City => 1:0
    9.4 U: New York City 0 1.69 => L 9.4 U

    DC United - Nashville SC => 0:1
    1.8 U: Nashville SC -0.25 1.65 => W 1.17 U

    New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United => 2:2
    1.8 U: Minnesota United +0.5 1.70 => W 1.26 U

    Orlando City - FC Cincinnati => 1:2
    2.4 U: Orlando City -0.25 1.67 => L 2.4 U

    San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy => 1:1
    1.8 U: San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 1.68 => L 1.8 U

    W 2 - L 3 => L 11.17 U

    Overall: W 32 (31.5) - L 29 (27) - P 4 => L 25.458 U

    Reply

    Results - Saturday

    CF Montreal - New York City => 1:0
    9.4 U: New York City 0 1.69 => L 9.4 U

    DC United - Nashville SC => 0:1
    1.8 U: Nashville SC -0.25 1.65 => W 1.17 U

    New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United => 2:2
    1.8 U: Minnesota United +0.5 1.70 => W 1.26 U

    Orlando City - FC Cincinnati => 1:2
    2.4 U: Orlando City -0.25 1.67 => L 2.4 U

    San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy => 1:1
    1.8 U: San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 1.68 => L 1.8 U

    W 2 - L 3 => L 11.17 U

    Overall: W 32 (31.5) - L 29 (27) - P 4 => L 25.458 U

     
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2025 - 3:48 AM ET #33

    Day 14 / Sunday, Jun 29, 2025

    Norway 1: Haugesund - Kristiansund @ 14:30
    10 U: Kristiansund 0 1.62

    Norway 1: Fredrikstad - Tromso @ 17:00
    1.8 U: Fredrikstad 0 1.77

    Norway 1: Molde - KFUM Oslo @ 17:00
    2 U: KFUM Oslo +0.75 1.70

    USA 1: Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union @ 00:00, Jun 30
    4.2 U: Columbus Crew -0.5 1.83

    USA 1: Los Angeles FC - Vancouver Whitecaps @ 03:30, Jun 30
    4 U: Los Angeles FC -0.5 1.73

    Reply

    Day 14 / Sunday, Jun 29, 2025

    Norway 1: Haugesund - Kristiansund @ 14:30
    10 U: Kristiansund 0 1.62

    Norway 1: Fredrikstad - Tromso @ 17:00
    1.8 U: Fredrikstad 0 1.77

    Norway 1: Molde - KFUM Oslo @ 17:00
    2 U: KFUM Oslo +0.75 1.70

    USA 1: Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union @ 00:00, Jun 30
    4.2 U: Columbus Crew -0.5 1.83

    USA 1: Los Angeles FC - Vancouver Whitecaps @ 03:30, Jun 30
    4 U: Los Angeles FC -0.5 1.73

     
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 30, 2025 - 4:08 AM ET #34

    Results - Sunday

    Haugesund - Kristiansund => 0:0
    10 U: Kristiansund 0 1.62 => P

    Fredrikstad - Tromso => 0:1
    1.8 U: Fredrikstad 0 1.77 => L 1.8 U

    Molde - KFUM Oslo => 2:3
    2 U: KFUM Oslo +0.75 1.70 => W 1.40 U

    Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union => 1:0
    4.2 U: Columbus Crew -0.5 1.83 => W 3.486 U

    Los Angeles FC - Vancouver Whitecaps => 0:1
    4 U: Los Angeles FC -0.5 1.73 => L 4 U

    W 2 - L 2 - P 1 => L 0.914 U

    Overall: W 34 (33.5) - L 31 (29) - P 5 => L 26.372 U

    Reply

    Results - Sunday

    Haugesund - Kristiansund => 0:0
    10 U: Kristiansund 0 1.62 => P

    Fredrikstad - Tromso => 0:1
    1.8 U: Fredrikstad 0 1.77 => L 1.8 U

    Molde - KFUM Oslo => 2:3
    2 U: KFUM Oslo +0.75 1.70 => W 1.40 U

    Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union => 1:0
    4.2 U: Columbus Crew -0.5 1.83 => W 3.486 U

    Los Angeles FC - Vancouver Whitecaps => 0:1
    4 U: Los Angeles FC -0.5 1.73 => L 4 U

    W 2 - L 2 - P 1 => L 0.914 U

    Overall: W 34 (33.5) - L 31 (29) - P 5 => L 26.372 U

     
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jun. 30, 2025 - 9:50 AM ET #35

    Day 15 / Monday, Jun 30, 2025

    Norway 1: Brann - Sandefjord @ 19:00
    10 U: Sandefjord +1 1.80

    Sweden 1: Djurgarden - Norrkoping @ 19:00
    3.2 U: Djurgarden -0.75 1.80

    Sweden 1: Mjallby - Malmo FF @ 19:00
    1.2 U: Mjallby 0 1.75

    Brazil 2: Paysandu PA - Ferroviaria @ 00:00, Jul 1
    2.8 U: Ferroviaria +0.5 1.71

    Brazil 2: Cuiaba - Botafogo SP @ 02:00, Jul 1
    7.6 U: Cuiaba -0.5 1.62

    Reply

    Day 15 / Monday, Jun 30, 2025

    Norway 1: Brann - Sandefjord @ 19:00
    10 U: Sandefjord +1 1.80

    Sweden 1: Djurgarden - Norrkoping @ 19:00
    3.2 U: Djurgarden -0.75 1.80

    Sweden 1: Mjallby - Malmo FF @ 19:00
    1.2 U: Mjallby 0 1.75

    Brazil 2: Paysandu PA - Ferroviaria @ 00:00, Jul 1
    2.8 U: Ferroviaria +0.5 1.71

    Brazil 2: Cuiaba - Botafogo SP @ 02:00, Jul 1
    7.6 U: Cuiaba -0.5 1.62

     
    jersey_dude
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    Posted: Jul. 1, 2025 - 1:55 AM ET #36

    Results - Monday

    Brann - Sandefjord => 1:0
    10 U: Sandefjord +1 1.80 => P

    Djurgarden - Norrkoping => 1:1
    3.2 U: Djurgarden -0.75 1.80 => L 3.2 U

    Mjallby - Malmo FF => 1:1
    1.2 U: Mjallby 0 1.75 => P

    Paysandu PA - Ferroviaria => 2:1
    2.8 U: Ferroviaria +0.5 1.71 => L 2.8 U

    Cuiaba - Botafogo SP => 0:1
    7.6 U: Cuiaba -0.5 1.62 => L 7.6 U

    L 3 - P 2 => L 13.6 U

    Overall: W 34 (33.5) - L 34 (32) - P 7 => L 39.972 U

    Reply

    Results - Monday

    Brann - Sandefjord => 1:0
    10 U: Sandefjord +1 1.80 => P

    Djurgarden - Norrkoping => 1:1
    3.2 U: Djurgarden -0.75 1.80 => L 3.2 U

    Mjallby - Malmo FF => 1:1
    1.2 U: Mjallby 0 1.75 => P

    Paysandu PA - Ferroviaria => 2:1
    2.8 U: Ferroviaria +0.5 1.71 => L 2.8 U

    Cuiaba - Botafogo SP => 0:1
    7.6 U: Cuiaba -0.5 1.62 => L 7.6 U

    L 3 - P 2 => L 13.6 U

    Overall: W 34 (33.5) - L 34 (32) - P 7 => L 39.972 U

     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jul. 1, 2025 - 3:40 AM ET #37

    This experiment went really quick into a demonstration of "how to destroy quick a bankroll".
    The only good thing about it is that did not take a lots of time daily to chose the plays and to calculate the wagers and place the bets, and of course I had a bankroll of just $200, which allowed to make the smallest bets permitted by the bookie ($1.20 representing 0.6 U).

    To those curious about the details, I post some explanations.

    Reply

    This experiment went really quick into a demonstration of "how to destroy quick a bankroll".
    The only good thing about it is that did not take a lots of time daily to chose the plays and to calculate the wagers and place the bets, and of course I had a bankroll of just $200, which allowed to make the smallest bets permitted by the bookie ($1.20 representing 0.6 U).

    To those curious about the details, I post some explanations.

     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Joined: Dec, 2016
    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jul. 1, 2025 - 3:41 AM ET #38

    A. I have used exclusively the predictions from www.soccer-rating.com, simply playing on the side which was indicated to be winning, including situations when the site gave "No bet", but the prediction was "5/10-4/10" (in these cases going with the team having the "5/10").

    B. The 5 matches chosen for each day were according just to the order of rankings of the competitions for that particular day.
    I used average team values from "Transfermarkt".
    Respecting this order I went every day until I got my 5 matches of the day, skipping any match which Soccer-Rating predicted with "No bet" because "5/10-4/10".

    C. I had established 5 labby lines at the start (day 1).
    I had a rule for the first wager to be "0.6 U", and the biggest possible wager to be "10 U".
    I had some other rules, like if in a Labby which is going very bad, for the day being the wager needed should be over "10 U", the extra over 10 U should be redistributed to all the other Labbys.

    D. Every day I have placed the matches chosen in the different Labbys by the order of these criteria:
    1: start time of match
    2: if start is at same time, the one shown first at Oddsportal.com is first
    Example: When all matches in "Norway 1" and "Sweden 1" start at 19:00, all "Norway 1" matches are before all "Sweden 1" matches, because Norway comes before Sweden at Oddsportal (just because of alphabetical order). Same with more matches in the same competition, the deciding is the alphabetical order order in which are shown.

    Reply

    A. I have used exclusively the predictions from www.soccer-rating.com, simply playing on the side which was indicated to be winning, including situations when the site gave "No bet", but the prediction was "5/10-4/10" (in these cases going with the team having the "5/10").

    B. The 5 matches chosen for each day were according just to the order of rankings of the competitions for that particular day.
    I used average team values from "Transfermarkt".
    Respecting this order I went every day until I got my 5 matches of the day, skipping any match which Soccer-Rating predicted with "No bet" because "5/10-4/10".

    C. I had established 5 labby lines at the start (day 1).
    I had a rule for the first wager to be "0.6 U", and the biggest possible wager to be "10 U".
    I had some other rules, like if in a Labby which is going very bad, for the day being the wager needed should be over "10 U", the extra over 10 U should be redistributed to all the other Labbys.

    D. Every day I have placed the matches chosen in the different Labbys by the order of these criteria:
    1: start time of match
    2: if start is at same time, the one shown first at Oddsportal.com is first
    Example: When all matches in "Norway 1" and "Sweden 1" start at 19:00, all "Norway 1" matches are before all "Sweden 1" matches, because Norway comes before Sweden at Oddsportal (just because of alphabetical order). Same with more matches in the same competition, the deciding is the alphabetical order order in which are shown.

     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Joined: Dec, 2016
    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jul. 1, 2025 - 3:43 AM ET #39

    I knew from the start that I should expect in the long run just about a 50% overall win ratio, even if the average odds are bad, no more than about 1.76.
    This because I am observing Soccer-rating for many years, I even ran many-many trial "Strategies" which have proven to be totally useless. It is very clear to me that the predictions of this site used "as it is" are totally useless, the site can be used just like one of the many criteria a serious handicapper uses when making a play.

     I also knew that when expecting 50% win ratio, a Labby line would work very nice, but just if there is not a very bad stretch somewhere, like a high number of losses over a segment af days. This same is valid for no matter how many Labbys we have - in this case were 5.
    The order of placing the plays in the 5 Labby was totally irrelevant to any handicapping rationament, but it is simply impossible to come up with a handicapping rationament to placing the plays, when choosing the plays was done by something like shown in "B".

    So all this betting system was supposed to have a strong "Hail Mary" factor in order to be functional.
    But how the hell can work, when for the first Labby (the Labby which always had the first play of the day) I had these results:

    L - L - L0.5 - L - L - L0.5 - L - W - W - L - L - L - L - P - P <=> W 2 - L 11 (10) - P 2 ?

    Reply

    I knew from the start that I should expect in the long run just about a 50% overall win ratio, even if the average odds are bad, no more than about 1.76.
    This because I am observing Soccer-rating for many years, I even ran many-many trial "Strategies" which have proven to be totally useless. It is very clear to me that the predictions of this site used "as it is" are totally useless, the site can be used just like one of the many criteria a serious handicapper uses when making a play.

     I also knew that when expecting 50% win ratio, a Labby line would work very nice, but just if there is not a very bad stretch somewhere, like a high number of losses over a segment af days. This same is valid for no matter how many Labbys we have - in this case were 5.
    The order of placing the plays in the 5 Labby was totally irrelevant to any handicapping rationament, but it is simply impossible to come up with a handicapping rationament to placing the plays, when choosing the plays was done by something like shown in "B".

    So all this betting system was supposed to have a strong "Hail Mary" factor in order to be functional.
    But how the hell can work, when for the first Labby (the Labby which always had the first play of the day) I had these results:

    L - L - L0.5 - L - L - L0.5 - L - W - W - L - L - L - L - P - P <=> W 2 - L 11 (10) - P 2 ?

     
     
    jersey_dude
    jersey_dude
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    Joined: Dec, 2016
    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Jul. 1, 2025 - 3:53 AM ET #40

    CORRECTION:

    B. The 5 matches chosen for each day were according just to the order of rankings of the competitions for that particular day.
    I used average team values from "Transfermarkt".
    Respecting this order I went every day until I got my 5 matches of the day, skipping any match which Soccer-Rating predicted with "No bet" because "5/10-4/10".

    Correctly should read: "No bet" because "4/10-4/10".

    Reply

    CORRECTION:

    B. The 5 matches chosen for each day were according just to the order of rankings of the competitions for that particular day.
    I used average team values from "Transfermarkt".
    Respecting this order I went every day until I got my 5 matches of the day, skipping any match which Soccer-Rating predicted with "No bet" because "5/10-4/10".

    Correctly should read: "No bet" because "4/10-4/10".

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