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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    Phixer's NFL Continued

    «First Previous 141516 ... 454647 Next Last»
    phixer
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    begginerboy
    f_kazandji
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    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:12 PM ET #326

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7: SD Chargers vs KC Chiefs

    When you take a look at the games scheduled for week 7 - this one stands out in its oddity: the Chargers who are on 5 game winning streak and won all 3 at home, with Rivers in an excellent form - are actually an Underdog according to a line movement and the public sentiment against the Chiefs who are 2-3 and are prone to long non scoring periods during the game. The line moved from -5.5 home to -4 due to several reasons. SD -5.5 was released by LVSC and was doctored by the books quickly to -4.5 which also came down half a point due to heavy betting on the Chiefs because of several reasons: the games between the teams have been close in most of the recent ones, the Chargers are still short handed against the rested Chiefs who are coming off a bye week and Andy Reid's ability to adjust his games especially to each opponents offensive and defensive games. In this game he will try to shorten the offensive abilities of the Chargers as well as utilizing on running abilities of the Chiefs. Most of the Chargers wins came against the teams with limited running abilities except the one against the defending Super Bowl Champions the Seahawks while the Chiefs had much tougher schedule than the Chargers having to play in Denver and SF where they lost by a TD in Denver and 5 points in SF.

    The game is projected at 23-19 score wise but the totals line is 45.5. That brings me to a conclusion that 5-1 ATS Chargers will have a hard time against the Chiefs but eventually will cover the spread of -4. Because of Rivers. Because of playing at home. Because of everyone expecting a close game. Because of being as ready as possible for this one against Reid and because Oakland game was a set up for this one.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    SD Chargers -4  -110

     550$

    SD Chargers -4  -110  loss -550$


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7: SD Chargers vs KC Chiefs

    When you take a look at the games scheduled for week 7 - this one stands out in its oddity: the Chargers who are on 5 game winning streak and won all 3 at home, with Rivers in an excellent form - are actually an Underdog according to a line movement and the public sentiment against the Chiefs who are 2-3 and are prone to long non scoring periods during the game. The line moved from -5.5 home to -4 due to several reasons. SD -5.5 was released by LVSC and was doctored by the books quickly to -4.5 which also came down half a point due to heavy betting on the Chiefs because of several reasons: the games between the teams have been close in most of the recent ones, the Chargers are still short handed against the rested Chiefs who are coming off a bye week and Andy Reid's ability to adjust his games especially to each opponents offensive and defensive games. In this game he will try to shorten the offensive abilities of the Chargers as well as utilizing on running abilities of the Chiefs. Most of the Chargers wins came against the teams with limited running abilities except the one against the defending Super Bowl Champions the Seahawks while the Chiefs had much tougher schedule than the Chargers having to play in Denver and SF where they lost by a TD in Denver and 5 points in SF.

    The game is projected at 23-19 score wise but the totals line is 45.5. That brings me to a conclusion that 5-1 ATS Chargers will have a hard time against the Chiefs but eventually will cover the spread of -4. Because of Rivers. Because of playing at home. Because of everyone expecting a close game. Because of being as ready as possible for this one against Reid and because Oakland game was a set up for this one.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    SD Chargers -4  -110

     550$

    SD Chargers -4  -110  loss -550$


     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:13 PM ET #327

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:


    I don't get this analysis Phix. You give 5 good reasons to back the Chiefs and then you pick the Chargers and give away 4 points (in a game you think will be a close) because Rivers is playing at home and everyone is expecting it to be a close game (huh?). In other words, reading your entire take on the game makes me want to take the Chiefs and the points (in a close game) or just stay away because it looks like a toss-up at best. 
    you were right here as Santino from a kosher boys (vegaswikileaks)
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:


    I don't get this analysis Phix. You give 5 good reasons to back the Chiefs and then you pick the Chargers and give away 4 points (in a game you think will be a close) because Rivers is playing at home and everyone is expecting it to be a close game (huh?). In other words, reading your entire take on the game makes me want to take the Chiefs and the points (in a close game) or just stay away because it looks like a toss-up at best. 
    you were right here as Santino from a kosher boys (vegaswikileaks)
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:14 PM ET #328

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7: DAL Cowboys vs NY Giants Second Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    NY Giants +3  -105  Second Half

    NY Giants +3  -105  Second Half   loss -525$
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7: DAL Cowboys vs NY Giants Second Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    NY Giants +3  -105  Second Half

    NY Giants +3  -105  Second Half   loss -525$
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:19 PM ET #329

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers First Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos -4  -110  First Half

    Reply
    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers First Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos -4  -110  First Half

     
    duongtommy
    duongtommy
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:22 PM ET #330

    Reply
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:23 PM ET #331

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers  Team Props

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos Over 27.5 points  -120

    Reply
    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers  Team Props

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos Over 27.5 points  -120

     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:30 PM ET #332

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    you were right here as Santino from a kosher boys (vegaswikileaks)

    You'll get'em next time, Phix.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    you were right here as Santino from a kosher boys (vegaswikileaks)

    You'll get'em next time, Phix.
     
    f_kazandji
    f_kazandji
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:35 PM ET #333

    With you PHIX!!! Lets bounce back !
    Reply
    With you PHIX!!! Lets bounce back !
     
    ndsent1
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:42 PM ET #334

    You should win this one !!!! Denver's looking good as usual..

    Reply

    You should win this one !!!! Denver's looking good as usual..

     
    SirCharles88
    SirCharles88
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:42 PM ET #335

    beginnerboy, vegaswikileaks and phixer 

    You guys rock!
    Reply
    beginnerboy, vegaswikileaks and phixer 

    You guys rock!
     
    knight703
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:43 PM ET #336

    glad to see you on same play TT denv.

    about time you play a TT Over

    tonight perfect spot for them to hit this number.

    looks good so far still early though.


    Reply
    glad to see you on same play TT denv.

    about time you play a TT Over

    tonight perfect spot for them to hit this number.

    looks good so far still early though.


     
    SirCharles88
    SirCharles88
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:47 PM ET #337

    Phixer phixed the Ref blocking the defense player on TD pass! Bravo Phixer!!!
    Reply
    Phixer phixed the Ref blocking the defense player on TD pass! Bravo Phixer!!!
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 8:50 PM ET #338

    Quote Originally Posted by SirCharles88:

    Phixer phixed the Ref blocking the defense player on TD pass! Bravo Phixer!!!
    lol
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by SirCharles88:

    Phixer phixed the Ref blocking the defense player on TD pass! Bravo Phixer!!!
    lol
     
    Raider63
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 9:07 PM ET #339

    Thanks Phix.  Normally I dont make play on other side of you but did today.  In your write up you made good points for taking KC.  Coupled with Andy Reid record after after a bye and AFC West is my best conference because I know it best.  I took KC.  I took Dallas in second half before I seen your post and then wished I hadnt.  It worked out OK .....Happy to say I am on the same side as you tonight.  49ers struggle in shootouts when they have to become one dimensional.  The good thing about New Orleans today is they covered the spread but need to get things going.....It does seem like the teams off a bye are covering the first half spreads lately for obvious reasons.  KC would have if not for lucky bounce for a TD....49ers are slow starters it will be intersting how many points they will end up getting at halftime...BOL my friend...
    Reply
    Thanks Phix.  Normally I dont make play on other side of you but did today.  In your write up you made good points for taking KC.  Coupled with Andy Reid record after after a bye and AFC West is my best conference because I know it best.  I took KC.  I took Dallas in second half before I seen your post and then wished I hadnt.  It worked out OK .....Happy to say I am on the same side as you tonight.  49ers struggle in shootouts when they have to become one dimensional.  The good thing about New Orleans today is they covered the spread but need to get things going.....It does seem like the teams off a bye are covering the first half spreads lately for obvious reasons.  KC would have if not for lucky bounce for a TD....49ers are slow starters it will be intersting how many points they will end up getting at halftime...BOL my friend...
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 9:13 PM ET #340

    Quote Originally Posted by Raider63:

    Thanks Phix.  Normally I dont make play on other side of you but did today.  In your write up you made good points for taking KC.  Coupled with Andy Reid record after after a bye and AFC West is my best conference because I know it best.  I took KC.  I took Dallas in second half before I seen your post and then wished I hadnt.  It worked out OK .....Happy to say I am on the same side as you tonight.  49ers struggle in shootouts when they have to become one dimensional.  The good thing about New Orleans today is they covered the spread but need to get things going.....It does seem like the teams off a bye are covering the first half spreads lately for obvious reasons.  KC would have if not for lucky bounce for a TD....49ers are slow starters it will be intersting how many points they will end up getting at halftime...BOL my friend...
    same as for every winner there is someone on the other side that lost - for every loser there is a winner on the other side. glad ny friends are among winners when i lose
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Raider63:

    Thanks Phix.  Normally I dont make play on other side of you but did today.  In your write up you made good points for taking KC.  Coupled with Andy Reid record after after a bye and AFC West is my best conference because I know it best.  I took KC.  I took Dallas in second half before I seen your post and then wished I hadnt.  It worked out OK .....Happy to say I am on the same side as you tonight.  49ers struggle in shootouts when they have to become one dimensional.  The good thing about New Orleans today is they covered the spread but need to get things going.....It does seem like the teams off a bye are covering the first half spreads lately for obvious reasons.  KC would have if not for lucky bounce for a TD....49ers are slow starters it will be intersting how many points they will end up getting at halftime...BOL my friend...
    same as for every winner there is someone on the other side that lost - for every loser there is a winner on the other side. glad ny friends are among winners when i lose
     
    vagaswikileaks
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 9:48 PM ET #341

    Thanks for the warm welcome on my thread C! Appreciate that!
    Reply
    Thanks for the warm welcome on my thread C! Appreciate that!
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:09 PM ET #342

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Second Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    SF 49ers +3  -115  Second Half

    Reply
    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Second Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    SF 49ers +3  -115  Second Half

     
    Raider63
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:09 PM ET #343

    Phix for what its worth I have won a lot more following you than being on the other side of you.  The 24.5 over under in second half almost looks like they are trying to scare you into or want you to take the under to me.
    Reply
    Phix for what its worth I have won a lot more following you than being on the other side of you.  The 24.5 over under in second half almost looks like they are trying to scare you into or want you to take the under to me.
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:14 PM ET #344

    Quote Originally Posted by Raider63:

    Phix for what its worth I have won a lot more following you than being on the other side of you.  The 24.5 over under in second half almost looks like they are trying to scare you into or want you to take the under to me.
    all i need is a td from manning to cover over 27.5 tt
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Raider63:

    Phix for what its worth I have won a lot more following you than being on the other side of you.  The 24.5 over under in second half almost looks like they are trying to scare you into or want you to take the under to me.
    all i need is a td from manning to cover over 27.5 tt
     
    knight703
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:20 PM ET #345

    TT Over.


    Reply
    TT Over.


     
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:26 PM ET #346

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers First Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos -4  -110  First Half

    DEN Broncos -4  -110  First Half   win +500$
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers First Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos -4  -110  First Half

    DEN Broncos -4  -110  First Half   win +500$
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:27 PM ET #347

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers  Team Props

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos Over 27.5 points  -120

    DEN Broncos Over 27.5 points  -120  win +500$
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers  Team Props

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos Over 27.5 points  -120

    DEN Broncos Over 27.5 points  -120  win +500$
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:28 PM ET #348

    Quote Originally Posted by knight703:

    TT Over.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by knight703:

    TT Over.


     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:29 PM ET #349

    still managed to screw up with the second half pick. greed is always an enemy
    Reply
    still managed to screw up with the second half pick. greed is always an enemy
     
     
    DAWGPRINT
    DAWGPRINT
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 10:30 PM ET #350

    Reply
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