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    Phixer's NFL Continued

    «First Previous 151617 ... 454647 Next Last»
    phixer
    Wizerguy
    OT99
    Raider63
    mrdish33
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    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 11:42 PM ET #351

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers

    This is one of the most interesting match ups this weekend where besides the fact that we have two of the best teams since 2012 meeting - we also have a behind the scenes drama unfolding with Harbaugh's shaky situation at the Niners organization as well as his point to proof situation with Peyton Manning and John Elway. There will be no love lost here and there will be no mercy on part of the Broncos as what happened or did not happen before Manning choosing the Broncos over the Niners and all the love-hate story may very well influence this match up. The only breaking point is that Elway and Manning are capable while the Niners are not. Not with the constellation we have here and not in Denver.

    This game and a game in San Diego are the games where you would expect the public sentiment to be on the home teams nut it is not. I am taking a risk here going against all the experts and analysts who are backing the visiting teams in those games to cover and may come out wrong at the end of the day. But as I said i the write up about the game in San Diego - I'd like to pay and check the hands of Vegas on those two games. Look at it as my private picks and if you feel uncomfortable agreeing with me - do as you wish. But I take those two picks knowing that I am pissing against the wind but counting on my current to be strong enough not piss on my shoes.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos -6.5  -110

    550$

    DEN Broncos -6.5  -110  win  +500$
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers

    This is one of the most interesting match ups this weekend where besides the fact that we have two of the best teams since 2012 meeting - we also have a behind the scenes drama unfolding with Harbaugh's shaky situation at the Niners organization as well as his point to proof situation with Peyton Manning and John Elway. There will be no love lost here and there will be no mercy on part of the Broncos as what happened or did not happen before Manning choosing the Broncos over the Niners and all the love-hate story may very well influence this match up. The only breaking point is that Elway and Manning are capable while the Niners are not. Not with the constellation we have here and not in Denver.

    This game and a game in San Diego are the games where you would expect the public sentiment to be on the home teams nut it is not. I am taking a risk here going against all the experts and analysts who are backing the visiting teams in those games to cover and may come out wrong at the end of the day. But as I said i the write up about the game in San Diego - I'd like to pay and check the hands of Vegas on those two games. Look at it as my private picks and if you feel uncomfortable agreeing with me - do as you wish. But I take those two picks knowing that I am pissing against the wind but counting on my current to be strong enough not piss on my shoes.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    DEN Broncos -6.5  -110

    550$

    DEN Broncos -6.5  -110  win  +500$
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 11:43 PM ET #352

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Second Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    SF 49ers +3  -115  Second Half

    SF 49ers +3  -115  Second Half  loss -575$
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 SNF: DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Second Half

    This is a 5 Units Play

    SF 49ers +3  -115  Second Half

    SF 49ers +3  -115  Second Half  loss -575$
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 11:46 PM ET #353

    NO Saints +3  -140   win  +500$

    SD Chargers -4  -110  loss -550$

    NY Giants +3  -105  Second Half   loss -525$

    DEN Broncos -4  -110  First Half   win +500$

    DEN Broncos Over 27.5 points  -120  win +500$

    DEN Broncos -6.5  -110  win  +500$

    SF 49ers +3  -115  Second Half  loss -575$
    Reply
    NO Saints +3  -140   win  +500$

    SD Chargers -4  -110  loss -550$

    NY Giants +3  -105  Second Half   loss -525$

    DEN Broncos -4  -110  First Half   win +500$

    DEN Broncos Over 27.5 points  -120  win +500$

    DEN Broncos -6.5  -110  win  +500$

    SF 49ers +3  -115  Second Half  loss -575$
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 11:47 PM ET #354

    4-3   +350$  (second halves screwed me up twice)
    Reply
    4-3   +350$  (second halves screwed me up twice)
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 11:48 PM ET #355

    29-20-2  +5700$  This season NFL Overall Posted

    24-20-2 +1685$ This season NFL posted on Covers
    Reply
    29-20-2  +5700$  This season NFL Overall Posted

    24-20-2 +1685$ This season NFL posted on Covers
     
    Wizerguy
    Wizerguy
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    Posts: 38336
    Posted: Oct. 19, 2014 - 11:53 PM ET #356

    Good Job..those streaks happen. 
    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
    Reply
    Good Job..those streaks happen. 
     
    OT99
    OT99
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    Posts: 6
    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 12:08 AM ET #357

    you are doing good
    Reply
    you are doing good
     
    Raider63
    Raider63
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 12:30 PM ET #358

    Hey Phix...Not trying to tread on your thread here man. I do want to point out that the early bye weeks didnt mean much since it was so early.  Over the years I have noticed that teams off bye weeks later in the season tend to cover first half of game off bye week at high rate.  I dont have the actual numbers but would venture a guess of close to 65-70%.  Some are better than others.  In those games they go on to cover the spread of the game as well.  I know trends are not your cup of tea you look at other factors.  Just something to look at and factor in if you want.  I feel like we all take away a lot from your advice.  I am sure your very aware of the fact.  If not check into it some... Thanks for your insight Phix..Always appreciated bud
    Reply
    Hey Phix...Not trying to tread on your thread here man. I do want to point out that the early bye weeks didnt mean much since it was so early.  Over the years I have noticed that teams off bye weeks later in the season tend to cover first half of game off bye week at high rate.  I dont have the actual numbers but would venture a guess of close to 65-70%.  Some are better than others.  In those games they go on to cover the spread of the game as well.  I know trends are not your cup of tea you look at other factors.  Just something to look at and factor in if you want.  I feel like we all take away a lot from your advice.  I am sure your very aware of the fact.  If not check into it some... Thanks for your insight Phix..Always appreciated bud
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 3:11 PM ET #359

    NFL Week 7 MNF: PIT Steelers vs HOU Texans

    When I run all the numbers on the game and examine the games both played and the fourth quarter performances by QBs - I come to a conclusion that the Taxans are to be favored at least ATS here.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    HOU Texans +3  -110

    Reply
    NFL Week 7 MNF: PIT Steelers vs HOU Texans

    When I run all the numbers on the game and examine the games both played and the fourth quarter performances by QBs - I come to a conclusion that the Taxans are to be favored at least ATS here.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    HOU Texans +3  -110

     
    mrdish33
    mrdish33
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    Posts: 3646
    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 3:22 PM ET #360

      any 1H ?
    Reply
      any 1H ?
     
    smallbet07
    smallbet07
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 3:54 PM ET #361

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 MNF: PIT Steelers vs HOU Texans

    When I run all the numbers on the game and examine the games both played and the fourth quarter performances by QBs - I come to a conclusion that the Taxans are to be favored at least ATS here.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    HOU Texans +3  -110


    My number said so.  Houston by 4 and 43.5 points total 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 MNF: PIT Steelers vs HOU Texans

    When I run all the numbers on the game and examine the games both played and the fourth quarter performances by QBs - I come to a conclusion that the Taxans are to be favored at least ATS here.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    HOU Texans +3  -110


    My number said so.  Houston by 4 and 43.5 points total 
     
    dlgolf77
    dlgolf77
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 4:11 PM ET #362

    Phixer, thanks for all you do.

     

    Question....I see you play a lot of 1H and 2H plays.  Some are the same side and some are opposite.  Can you please lend a little insight as to what to look for.

     

    For Ex:

    Tonights game....the FG line at my place is 3.5.  The 1H has been 2.5 for most of the day.  Now the FG line is still 3.5 but the 1H line is down to 1.  How do you perceive the relationship in the line moves in the 1H and FG?  Any insight would be appreciated

    Reply

    Phixer, thanks for all you do.

     

    Question....I see you play a lot of 1H and 2H plays.  Some are the same side and some are opposite.  Can you please lend a little insight as to what to look for.

     

    For Ex:

    Tonights game....the FG line at my place is 3.5.  The 1H has been 2.5 for most of the day.  Now the FG line is still 3.5 but the 1H line is down to 1.  How do you perceive the relationship in the line moves in the 1H and FG?  Any insight would be appreciated

     
    nickthebrick
    nickthebrick
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 4:18 PM ET #363

    Thank you Phixer, I'm on your side.  Especially thank you for the early publishing of your pic!
    Reply
    Thank you Phixer, I'm on your side.  Especially thank you for the early publishing of your pic!
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 5:58 PM ET #364

    Quote Originally Posted by dlgolf77:

    Phixer, thanks for all you do.

     

    Question....I see you play a lot of 1H and 2H plays.  Some are the same side and some are opposite.  Can you please lend a little insight as to what to look for.

     

    For Ex:

    Tonights game....the FG line at my place is 3.5.  The 1H has been 2.5 for most of the day.  Now the FG line is still 3.5 but the 1H line is down to 1.  How do you perceive the relationship in the line moves in the 1H and FG?  Any insight would be appreciated

    i usually try to take advantage of the situations where there is no corrolation between the first and the second half lines like on last mnf where i tool the first half one side and the whole game another. it works most of the time but when it does not - it looks really stupid. to me before everyone else.
    tonights line tells me what i wrote about the qbs performances in the last quarters when big ben is very weak
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by dlgolf77:

    Phixer, thanks for all you do.

     

    Question....I see you play a lot of 1H and 2H plays.  Some are the same side and some are opposite.  Can you please lend a little insight as to what to look for.

     

    For Ex:

    Tonights game....the FG line at my place is 3.5.  The 1H has been 2.5 for most of the day.  Now the FG line is still 3.5 but the 1H line is down to 1.  How do you perceive the relationship in the line moves in the 1H and FG?  Any insight would be appreciated

    i usually try to take advantage of the situations where there is no corrolation between the first and the second half lines like on last mnf where i tool the first half one side and the whole game another. it works most of the time but when it does not - it looks really stupid. to me before everyone else.
    tonights line tells me what i wrote about the qbs performances in the last quarters when big ben is very weak
     
    naesiy
    naesiy
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 6:16 PM ET #365

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 MNF: PIT Steelers vs HOU Texans

    When I run all the numbers on the game and examine the games both played and the fourth quarter performances by QBs - I come to a conclusion that the Taxans are to be favored at least ATS here.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    HOU Texans +3  -110


    Reassuring to finally have someone on the Texans like me...and someone respectable at that.  BOL to us!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 7 MNF: PIT Steelers vs HOU Texans

    When I run all the numbers on the game and examine the games both played and the fourth quarter performances by QBs - I come to a conclusion that the Taxans are to be favored at least ATS here.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    HOU Texans +3  -110


    Reassuring to finally have someone on the Texans like me...and someone respectable at that.  BOL to us!
     
    dlgolf77
    dlgolf77
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 6:31 PM ET #366

    Thanks man
    Reply
    Thanks man
     
    CRS
    CRS
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 6:35 PM ET #367

    Agree Houston is the side BOL
    Reply
    Agree Houston is the side BOL
     
    joeng
    joeng
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 7:49 PM ET #368

    Houston +3 
    10 units
    Reply
    Houston +3 
    10 units
     
    mafia13
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 7:56 PM ET #369

    Hou  
    Reply
    Hou  
     
    Theprognosticator
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 8:01 PM ET #370

     Let's get it.......
    Reply
     Let's get it.......
     
    meraby
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 8:52 PM ET #371

    Kosher Boys are all over Covers Phix. Santino has a Hutzpah of his father. But I like the kid hope he makes it good after being laid from LVSC
    Reply
    Kosher Boys are all over Covers Phix. Santino has a Hutzpah of his father. But I like the kid hope he makes it good after being laid from LVSC
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 8:54 PM ET #372

    Quote Originally Posted by meraby:

    Kosher Boys are all over Covers Phix. Santino has a Hutzpah of his father. But I like the kid hope he makes it good after being laid from LVSC
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by meraby:

    Kosher Boys are all over Covers Phix. Santino has a Hutzpah of his father. But I like the kid hope he makes it good after being laid from LVSC
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Joined: Jul, 2012
    Posts: 4174
    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 10:01 PM ET #373

    did what i see really happened?
    Reply
    did what i see really happened?
     
    MrFace
    MrFace
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2012
    Posts: 621
    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 10:02 PM ET #374

    Unfortunately! 
    Reply
    Unfortunately! 
     
     
    Raider63
    Raider63
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    Joined: Aug, 2014
    Posts: 967
    Posted: Oct. 20, 2014 - 10:06 PM ET #375

    2nd half still to come.  Houston dominated the first half til about 4 mins....2nd half ?
    Reply
    2nd half still to come.  Houston dominated the first half til about 4 mins....2nd half ?
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