HoH's AFL - Round 13

$15,000 @ $1.87 ON FREMANTLE +6.5 V ST KILDA
$10,000 @ $1.85 ON FREMANTLE +6.5 V ST KILDA
$10,000 @ $1.41 ON HAWTH/GEEL/SYDNEY MULTI
$10,000 @ $1.90 ON WEST COAST +33.5 V GEELONG
$9,000 @ $1.30 ON CARLTON V ESSENDON
$5,500 @ $1.90 ON WEST COAST +33.5 V GEELONG
$5,500 @ $1.33 ON BRISBANE V ADELAIDE
$5,000 @ $2.10 ON FREMANTLE V ST KILDA
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON FREMANTLE V ST KILDA
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON ADELAIDE +15.5 V BRISBANE
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON BRISBANE -15.5 V ADELAIDE
$5,000 @ $1.42 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS V COLLINGWOOD
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON KANGAROOS +34.5 V HAWTHORN

If you are following the multiple big money trend, Fremantle fits the trend this round...so far.

Well its worked most of the time so far this year

$15,000 @ $1.87 ON FREMANTLE +6.5 V ST KILDA
$11,500 @ $183 ON KANGAROOS +34.5 V HAWTHORN
$10,000 @ $1.80 ON KANGAROOS +34.5 V HAWTHORN
$10,000 @ $1.85 ON FREMANTLE +6.5 V ST KILDA
$10,000 @ $1.41 ON HAWTH/GEEL/SYDNEY MULTI
$10,000 @ $1.90 ON WEST COAST +33.5 V GEELONG
$10,000 @ $1.25 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS V COLLINGWOOD
$9,000 @ $1.30 ON CARLTON V ESSENDON
$8,800 @ $1.96 ON ADELAIDE +15.5/SYDNEY MULTI
$8,800 @ $1.93 ON KANGAROOS +34.5/SYDNEY MULTI
$8,000 @ $1.80 ON ADELAIDE +15.5 V BRISBANE
$5,500 @ $1.90 ON WEST COAST +33.5 V GEELONG
$5,500 @ $1.33 ON BRISBANE V ADELAIDE
$5,000 @ $2.10 ON FREMANTLE V ST KILDA
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON FREMANTLE V ST KILDA
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON ADELAIDE +15.5 V BRISBANE
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON BRISBANE -15.5 V ADELAIDE
$5,000 @ $1.42 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS V COLLINGWOOD
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON KANGAROOS +34.5 V HAWTHORN

$5,000 @ $8.00 ON SYDNEY TO WIN FLAG

Big money Freo lost it for their punters.  One of the very few instances indeed in which the multiple big money wagers have lost.

Good luck with your picks this round guys.  I had a lean on the Roos, but didn't play it.  I also have leans on the Dogs, Swans, Eagles, and Tigers, but not playing any of those (yet).

Line is shortening on the Eagles BTW.

Nothing is tickling my fancy for this round of AFL yet.  Strange, much like last round as well.

Seriously looking at Sydney -41.5 and Bulldogs -25.5 now thanks to Geelong upping the ante on the margin stakes.

Both teams should win and both teams should get near the margin at one point in the match.  The question is, to they take the pedal off the floor or do they keep pounding away?

I think after Geelong has basically put up another game between themselves and others now with that margin of victory, the answer is the latter.

Still thinking about this...

I'd love to hear what others think as well! 

Sydney coach Paul Roos has the same philosophy for both the team he has picked to play Melbourne tomorrow and the latest calls to move the grand final to a twilight timeslot for the benefit of the AFL's broadcast partners: "If it's not broken, don't fix it."

Roos yesterday stuck with the 22 players who clinically picked apart St Kilda last weekend for the clash with the Demons at Canberra's Manuka Oval tomorrow afternoon.

Roos also opted against making changes for Sydney's final match before the team gets a week off for the bye round.

He had named experienced players Nic Fosdike and Ben Mathews, along with Luke Brennan, in a 25-man squad, and there was a thought he may bring one of them in for this match.

But with the senior team doing so well with five consecutive wins, finding a place in the top team is not easy, and he stuck with the same 22 as last week.

"No, we won't make any changes this week," Roos said. "It is probably frustrating for some of the players, but for the coaching staff, it's a little bit easier when you've got a lot more players to pick from.

"But there's a long way to go in the season and things can change pretty quickly, so those guys (in the seconds who are trying to break into the senior team) have got to stay positive and keep playing well in the seconds."

While Sydney is a warm favourite to beat the bottom-of-the-ladder Demons, Roos said his concerns would not be about his team disrespecting Melbourne, but more so the players looking at what's ahead.

"You've got five wins, you're reasonably well placed on the ladder, so you hope they are focusing on the game rather than the weekend off," he said.

"We need to win on Sunday to take advantage of some really good form and some improvement with a lot of our players, and some good efforts from some of our younger players."

---------------------------------------

Does this mean a shellocking is on the cards?

Adding:  Sydney Swans -41.5

I feel the run up to this game has been solid for the Swans and they do not let the Dees go.  The Swans have absolutely belted teams they were supposed to win nicely over and I see no difference here.

Again, another round in which I had no intention of punting the Swannies, but yet again, here I find myself.

LET'S GO SWANS!!! 

18-1 early for the Swans.

Hally 2 goals already.

24-1.

Hally boy number 3!

30-1.

One thing's for certain, I need to stay off the petty NO RUN FIRST INNING MLB bets.

I swear....................I am hitting about 10% on those!  I cannot believe my luck on those!  Two lights-out pitchers or horrible hitting teams, etc., doesn't matter.  I lose those 9 out of 10 times!  Unreal!

Then again, I am the guy who did lose the red/black bet SIXTEEN TIMES in-a-row at the casino.  That's right, 16 times.  In-a-row.  Someone do the odds on that.

I won on me 17th time, screamed like a girl....couldn't believe it, so played again....and lost.

Ugh.

Hahaha...

BACK TO THE GAME!!!

Swannies all over the Dees early!

Good on Melbourne.  First goal for them.

30-7.

36-13, midway 1st.

43-13, nearing the end of the first.

44-14, End of the 1st Quarter to the Swans. 

56-20, 2nd.

58-27, 2nd.

64-27 courtesy of Hally.

Late 2nd.