AFL rnd 7

a couple of good games this week n a week in which peeps should make a profit as theres a couple of off lines..best bet of the week is stkila -12.5 1.95 this is the sort of game i have taken over the last 5 years to help me to my bank increase. here u have a team whos done well over the last couple of weeks against the saints only giving up 12.5 when had richmond got belted the last 2 weeks the line would be about 15-20 pts higher.(-27-32.5) 3 big ins for the saints gehrig gardnier and schneider and once again theyre needing the win as they dont want to be 3-4.

 

last 4 meetings

102-92 win tio tigers MCG

117-100 win to saints telstra

174-71 win to saints MCG

88-77 win to saints telstra

 even though richmonds lookeed good in 3 of them 4 meetings a rule would be to never take the tigers against the cats or saints as they struggle against these 2 in recent years. richmond won the last meeting but stklilda where out of the 8 so had nothing to play for while the tigers where playing for some respectability in the wins column.

 

RICHMOND v ST KILDA

RICHMOND
B: Jake King, Will Thursfield, Kelvin Moore
HB: Chris Hyde, Jay Schulz, Jordan McMahon
C: Matthew Richardson, Shane Tuck, Brett Deledio
HF: Chris Newman, Adam Pattison, Matt White
F: Nathan Brown, Jack Riewoldt, Graham Polak
Foll: Troy Simmonds, Kane Johnson, Nathan Foley
I/C: Richard Tambling, Mitch Morton, Shane Edwards, Luke McGuane
EMG: Daniel Jackson, Trent Cotchin, Kayne Pettifer

No change

In: Gehrig, Gardiner, Schneider
Out: Michael Rix, Leigh Fisher, Jason Blake

 

 when they played in the preseason saints where missing gehrig ball hayes riewoldt schneider mguire goddard

while richmond had a full strength squad and i said afer the saints won that that when this game comes taking saints no matter what the line so ill gladly take em - a measily 2 goals.

121541471-1 110:12pm 30-Apr-08

2:10am 3-May-08

Football Spread

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints (-12.5) for Game

-105

400.00

380.95

 

* if i couldnt take 1st half things id put 600 on which is my max for sports but im gonna put 200 on saints -6.5 after..n other things.

RICHMOND v ST KILDA

RICHMOND
B: Jake King, Will Thursfield, Kelvin Moore
HB: Chris Hyde, Jay Schulz, Jordan McMahon
C: Matthew Richardson, Shane Tuck, Brett Deledio
HF: Chris Newman, Adam Pattison, Matt White
F: Nathan Brown, Jack Riewoldt, Graham Polak
Foll: Troy Simmonds, Kane Johnson, Nathan Foley
I/C: Richard Tambling, Mitch Morton, Shane Edwards, Luke McGuane
EMG: Daniel Jackson, Trent Cotchin, Kayne Pettifer

No change

In: Gehrig, Gardiner, Schneider

on all the other 7 waiting for ingame n half time gifts

Really like those Saints inclusions. Adds a very potent rebounding / scoring threat. Another high scoring game coming tonight.

saints strongest team this year..a high scoring game tonight hmm maybe but ive taken the under 196 at 2.45 for value..wcs team tonight wont have much firewpower up front or from the midfield( no kerr hurn hunter etc) leading to easy scores for them so theyll maybe have to play a defensive style to beat the blues who have fev n judd. blues 4-2 under 200 this year..wc 4-2 under should be more like 1.90 under 196 so getting a nice extra 55 cents than usual which is why i took it.

 

200 196 and under 2.45

global and acumen under 201.5 1.85...

centrebet 196 and under 2.45..

60 cents diff in payout for 5 pts

3505893	2/05/2008 15:14	AFL Round 7 - 1st Half (3/05/2008) - Richmond (1H) vs St Kilda (1H)	St Kilda (1H) -6½ points	$200.00 @ 1.91	Accepted
3505896	2/05/2008 15:15	1st Quarter - Richmond v St Kilda (3/05/2008)	St Kilda (1st Quarter)	$90.00 @ 1.77	Accepted

 

 

and 400 -12.5 on saints (690 all up on saints so far)

0-196 2.20 now and under 199.5 185 at global values gone 30 mins later glad i got it early

GL showme

We know I am not playing for $$$$$ so good luck tonight mate

Centrebet have a bet for AFL round 17. Hawks vs Cats

 yep for those who cant wait for the game

180 reds blues under 23.5 2ndhalf

150 wc blues under 200.5 ..14-1 12 mins gone in the 1st

100 under 57.5 league 66 mins gone

100 -2.5 aukland 66 mins gone

union*

50 under 190.5

push in union

under in footy looking good so far

100 under 185.5 16 mins gone 36-17(53pts so far)

good start to the week

+$600 on the under tonight

game went as i expected not much scoring throughout 111-74 win to the blues

Well done mate.

 

Who would have thought from Premieres to Wooden Spoon contenders in 2 years

280 cats lions under 196.5 ..no brown black lappin for brissy n ablett for cats..so lions wont be able to score much or have a good ssytem to go forward n cats lose a key midfielder scorer which helps the under.

last meeting at skilled rnd 12 2007 85-35 win to cats(120)

 

Round 12 2007 Skilled Stadium
	Geelong	Brisbane Lions
Scores	1-4-10, 4-8-32, 6-11-47, 12-13-85	0-2-2, 0-4-4, 4-5-29, 5-5-35
Goals	S Johnson 3 J Bartel A Mackie T Varcoe C Mooney N Ablett M Stokes G Ablett P Chapman D Wojcinski	J Brown 2 R Hadley J Patfull J MacDonald
Brownlow	3 Steve Johnson, 2 Tom Harley, 1 Gary Ablett
Possessions	G Ablett 35, J Selwood 27, S Johnson 23, M Scarlett 22, J Bartel 21, P Chapman 19, J Kelly 19, M Egan 18	J Drummond 28, N Lappin 25, M Rischitelli 19, C Begley 17, J Brennan 16

cats 2 games at skilled this year:

112-82(194) v melb

114-72(186) v sydney

 

just heard rocca n bateman out in mcg match dew in for hawks so they lose nothing..350 on hawks