Way too🙃 EARLY week 1🏈 Investments 💰💰

What's up Family 

Best of health, happiness, wealth, blessings and luck to all !!! 

Hate to wish away the short summer here in WNY , but with all the week 1 lines released ( many more throughout the season ) its time to get some money down...

So much can happen from now until September 8th , keeping the investments light makes cents.   

Enough rambling 

Let's get to gambling 

1 UNIT =$200

Doubt any early bets will be over $100 

Wager #1 

ML ROAD PARLAY -107 

$107/100.  0.5 UNITS 

EAGLES at Lions 

COLTS at Texans 

Colts might be worthy of several parlays , nice spot for Matty Ice to get his feet wet ..Indianapolis ended the season with a massive choke at Jacksonville, they should be full of piss and vinegar wk 1 ...

Expecting the Eagles to make the playoffs this season ..While the simps will fall in love with the Lions over the summer watching hard knocks , I think the Lions won't be much better ...Tempted to take Eagles laying the points,  but it's already jumped to -4 here up from 3.5 ..

Wager #2 

NEW JERSEY GIANTS +6.5 -108 at Titans 

$108/100.  0.5 units 

Believe these are 2 teams headed in opposite directions ..Titans had one of the worst offseasons IMO , Tennessee under season wins and to miss playoffs are on my futures radar ... While the Titans might win here ,there is a very good chance it's by less than a score..

While I was highly critical of Brian Daboll last season his offense is guaranteed to be more exciting than that lame crap the G Men put out over the last few seasons. After the season the gossip spread around Buffalo that Daboll and McDermott butted heads most of the season , as Daboll wanted to throw it 50+ times a game ...

If you're looking for late fantasy sleepers I'd take fliers on Giants WR'S/TE'S ..Daniel Jones might be a very sneaky fantasy backup qb that could go undrafted in most leagues ..

Looking at that ML road parlay and it is probably a winner but I would feel more comfortable with Baltimore or Denver rather than the Eagles. It is a personal bias cause the Eagles have burned me in the past. Indy seems right...

Wilson should feel right at home in his first start for Denver in Seattle. I like your take on the Titans stewing over their sucky performance in the playoffs. I look for the Ravens to start strong...

I like the Broncos as well ..Over the team total vs the Hawks is my lean ...Hope they release it soon , should be around 23 ..

Ravens will probably roll the Jets ..You're probably spot on ....

I probably won't be laying to much coins on sides ATS this season ...Don't trust this league after watching the last 7 playoff games all cone down to the final seconds... 

Player and game props will probably be my focus thus season.  

Thanks for posting Brother 

Enjoy your summer 

Good bets thus far 

First edition of the week 1 point spread ratings ( can and will change) . 

( Only meant for week 1 , not hypothetical or future match ups ) 

Suggested point spread plays are 2.9 + points off actual line 

The only suggested play is the NEW JERSEY GIANTS , Strongly believe they will be highly competitive out of the gate with the massive upgrade at HC , additions on O Line and hopefully a healthy Barkley .

BILLS 100.1.  RAMS 96 HF +3.1.  

BILLS -1.    Line Pk -110 

RAVENS 93.9.  *JETS  87 HF +2.8

RAVENS -4.1    Line -4.5

COLTS  95.8.   *TEXANS 84.8  HF+3

COLTS -8.      Line -8

COMMIES 89.3. HF +2.7.   JAGUARS 88

COMMIES -4.    Line -3.5

DOLPHINS 92 HF +3.2. PARRIOTS 91 

DOLPHINS -4.2.    Line -3 

SAINTS  90.7.  *FALCONS 84.3 HF +2 

SAINTS -4.1.    SANITS -4.5

EAGLES 93.7.  *LIONS 86.4.  HF +2.5

EAGLES -4.8.    Line -4 

BENGALS  94 HF +3  STEELERS 91

BENGALS -6.    Line -6.5

49ERS  94.9.  * BEARS 87 HF +2.8

49ERS-5.1.    Line -4.5

PACKERS  95.2.  *VIKINGS 93 HT +3

VIKINGS -0.8.   Line Packers -1.5

CHIEFS 96.9.   CARDINALS 90 HF +3

CHIEFS -3.9.     Line-3 

CHARGERS 95.8.HF +2  RAIDERS 93    

CHARGERS 4.8.  Line -4 

TITANS  90 HF +2.5  GIANTS 90 

TITANS -2.5.      Line GIANTS +6.5 

BUCCANEERS 96.7. *COWBOYS 93 HF +2.9

BUCCS -0.8.    Line -2 

BRONCOS 94.2.  *SEAHAWKS 85.8 HF +2.7

BRONCOS -5.9.   Line -4 

Current predicted final standings 

( Please keep in mind these mean next to nothing at this point ) 

BILLS 13-4.   As a fan I hope they go 17-0 , as a bettor I hope they lose week 1 bc there is absolutely zero value in the BILLS AT +333 to win the AFC ...The talent is there but I don't have much faith in McDermott being able to out coach top tier coaches in big close games ..

DOLPHINS 9-8.   Too bad paper off season Tigers don't get a trophy ..I'm very thankful they got Tyrek away from KC , have a weird feeling he and others go full mutiny when Tua stinks and Bridgewater can't throw more than 10 yards ...Intrested to see if the FA O lineman pan out...

PATRIOTS 8-9.  Another gut feeling that this is BILL'S last season ..Appeared the league figured out Mac Jones down the stretch as he has trouble throwing outside the hash marks...Fans seem upset they didn't make many moves this offseason , but don't forget they shot their wad spending all that dough last year..

JETS 6-11. Can only be better right ?? All the useless talking heads claimed the Jets winner of the draft ..Check back in 4 years when they mature after dealing with the bright lights in the Big city and the toxic media ..

BENGALS 11-6.  First place schedule could derail their back to back division hopes ..Still put them there but it might come down to the last down of the season .

RAVENS 10-7. Started to sound like Dobbins and Edward's will began the season on the pup list ..They recently brought in Mike Davis who I like ..Draft and offseason moves look solid but who the H e l l is Lamar going to throw to down field??? 

BROWNS 9-8.   NFL might sweep the Watson ordeal under the rug until next year...

STEELERS 8-9.  Cody baby hands Pickett might be a horrible pick ..37 college fumbles !!! IMO they'll go to him too quickly this season and cost themselves a few wins ...Hard to bet againist Tomlin who has never had a losing season ...Stil have high hopes for Mitch Trubisky , if he starts I think they'll be competitive and better than most people think 

COLTS 12-5.   Love Matt Ryan getting a fresh start on a competitive squad ..The other 3 in the division look really bad to me ..Should win the South by 3 + games ..

TITANS 8-9. Major losses on both sides of the ball ..Henry is not going to see the same holes , and maybe all this wear and tare + injury takes away a step....

JAGUARS 5-12.  I'm still laughing at some of their FA signings , they gave Chistian Kirk how much money ?? LOL 

TEXANS 4-13. Wouldn't be suprise if they finish better than JAGS again ..

CHARGERS 11-6. My pick for the division but any order is possible...The HC is mad man .Glad he isn't coaching my BILLS 

CHIEFS 10-7.  HILL has to be a massive loss ...If you play fantasy I'd strongly recommend Skyy Moore,  he might have a monster season ...

BRONCOS 10-7.  Russ should have a major chip on his shoulder with many questioning if he's washed up ..

RAIDERS 9-8  Like I said any team could finish first or last ....I'm tempted to take a hard pass on backing ot fading 

Whats HF and * mean? 

Can't think right now lol. Thanks d

Edit- home factor?? What about * tho

Home field Brother ...

* Home team if they're the dog on the right ..

I should have wrote that in the key...

Thanks for asking 

I love the Bills, however they are going to have to overcome some negative situations this season to win the big one....these angles below I got from VSIN, so don't shoot the messenger, ok?

From 2009-20, 37 teams had a positive turnover differential and outscored opponents by more than 8.0 points per game. Of that group, only eight improved their record the following season, with an average decline of 2.4 wins.
• Teams affected in 2022: Buffalo, Dallas, New England, Tampa Bay

The last team to record 9 double-digit wins and improve their record their next season was the 97-98 Broncos....since then the average decline of the 30 qualifying teams was 3.97 wins the next season.

Bills

Appreciate the post my much respected BROTHER 

No disrespect to VSIN ( I love what they provide to us gamblers) , but I don't give much weight to TRENDS in the modern NFL ..The rules keep changing and the style of play is evolving every year ...Almost a completely different game than it was just 5 years ago ...

Have a few friends who are almost solely trends bettors , they've gone belly up in each of the last 4 seasons ...

Im sure there are some trends the pan out,  but I wouldn't trust anything more than 3 years old at this point ...

Of course I could be wrong,  but I don't see a regression for the BILLS ( Unless Allen misses games )....They had some brutal losses last season including one where McDermott was outcoached by Urban Meyer .lol ..Might have been 0-5 in close games too..

Adding the " LANCER PARLAY" -106

$106/100

COLTS ML 

BRONCOS ML 

As stated above I love the Colts this season..Great spot for them week 1 to start out on the good foot ...

Broncos could roll the Skyrats on MNF , but I dont have much faith in the nationalntv prinetime games..These networks paid a ton of coin and the league can keep these games close when desired IMO ...If the Broncos are going to battle for a playoff spot this would appear to be a near must win. . 

Thank you Brother...

Have a FANTASTIC summer 

@DoubleUp4Life

 You as well buddy!!! Will be a good season to look forward too. BOL.

NFC 

EAGLES 10-7.    Love the offseason on paper ...Hurts has no excuse but to take a bug step forward ..

COWBOYS 10-7.    The losses on the O Line might be too tough to overcome ..The Super soft schedule on paper has me projecting 9-12 wins ...

GIAÑTS  8-9.  Wouldn't be suprosed if Brain Daboll turns Daniel Jones into one of the better qbs in the NFC ..The improvements on the o line should help...If they're not better at least the offense will likely be night and day more exciting than they were under Joe Judge ...

COMMIES 8-9.   Wow this squad burned a slew of my futures tickets...Why did they give up so much for Wentz and that contract?? Honestly though no order of finish would suprise me in the East...

* more to follow 

VIKINGS 10-7 

Can only be better with Zimmer gone..Should also be addition by subtraction on defense as well ..Za'Darius Smith and Hunter should be a top tier pass rush combo...The key to the season might be the interior O Line ...

PACKERS. 10-7 

I keep waiting for the Packers to fall off , maybe this is the year but it's doubtful...Who is Rodgers throwing to ??? The gap between the Pack and the Vikings could be real slim now , guess we'll find out week 1 .Right now my numbers have division probability  Packers 45.3%, Vikings 44.9% , Bears 6,6% , Lions 3.2%...

Bears 6-11.   Another team that should only be better without their loser HC ....While I believe the Bears will be more competitive , I don't think it will translate in to more wins...

Lions.  5-12.   BS lame  Write up later 

@DoubleUp4Life

 Looking forward to chatting fantasy football again 

Same , appreciate that Brother !!! 

Let's win our leagues this season 

Updated NFC NORTH PREDICTIONS 

VIKINGS 10-7 

PACKERS 10-7

LIONS 7-10 

BEARS 5-12 

PARLAY -107 

$107/100.  0.5 UNITS 

EAGLES at Lions 

COLTS at Texans 

NEW JERSEY GIANTS +6.5 -108 at Titans 

$108/100.  0.5 units 

PARLAY -106.  $106/100

COLTS ML 

BRONCOS ML 

Parlay +260  $40/$104

STEELERS +6.5 

OVER 44.5 

The Ravens are good at playing against weaker foes and should beat up on the hapless Jets.

I could see that week 1 ...I'm passing for now since the health of the Ravens backfield is questionable..

Best of luck Brother...MAY this be your most profitable season to date !!! 

Parlay +260  $40/$104 adding another $80/$208

STEELERS +6.5 

OVER 44.5 

Still a small half unit wager...Value is there fading the SB losers laying this much vs what should be a revenge worthy Steelers squad ..My numbers have either team winning by 6 or less wirh 47+ points scored....Wish I could go large but the kickoff is way too far off ..