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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    There are winners in life and there are losers in life. This team is a loser in life. DET@DAL

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    TrojanTodd
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    TrojanTodd
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:13 PM ET #101

    Losers in Life 14 - "winners" in life 0     
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    Losers in Life 14 - "winners" in life 0     
     
    gambleholic63
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:13 PM ET #102

    Live line is not Dallas +6.5/7. I'm not biting.
    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
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    Live line is not Dallas +6.5/7. I'm not biting.
     
    Murder187
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:14 PM ET #103

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    Other points...

    Lions:

    Third straight game on the road. That's a tough spot to enter the playoffs in.

    A very weak showing to end the year vs. the Pack. The Pack controlled that game virtually the whole way and beat them in almost every meaningful statistical category.

    Didn't cover against the lousy Bears and Jimmy Clausen prior to that.

    Prior to that? Didn't cover as big favorites against the Vikings.

    0-3 ATS in it's last three.

    Dallas:

    Blew the doors off the Colts which many here love over a very live Cincy team.

    Won in Seattle, a place where no other team can.

    4 straight wins of double digits.  4-0 SU and ATS in it's last 4.


    One team on a major upswing in real and betting-terms and one team, betting-wise on a down swing.

    Now to the spread.

    Do I like it at 7?

    No.

    You are paying a premium for Dallas. You always will. They are among the most public of teams and in good years, that premium gets worse.

    But I don't see Dallas losing this game in any way, shape or form.

    So if they win outright, what can we say about the spread?

    It's big, but you Detroit backers better get inside the number.

    And getting inside that number in the playoffs isn't easy especially in the Wild Card Round.

    I'll give you this stat and take it for what you will.

    Since 1978, Wild Card round winners cover 89% of the time, that is the team that wins, covers almost 9 of 10 times.

    That means, only 10% of the games in all the Wild Card Rounds since 1978, resulted in a favorite winning but not covering the spread.

    So if you don't have money on this Detriot ML, that trend doesn't bode well for you.

    Now that trend DOES NOT predict the future, it is simply a trend about playoff spreads. That's it.

    Enough. It's a number with a premium that is distasteful but we will attempt to avoid a backdoor.

    GREAT teaser side btw: Cowboys to -1. Then you can take another game of your liking.

    The pick is in.

    The Winners in Life (Cows) - 7 over the Losers in Life (Lions)

    These long write ups always = LOSS
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    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    Other points...

    Lions:

    Third straight game on the road. That's a tough spot to enter the playoffs in.

    A very weak showing to end the year vs. the Pack. The Pack controlled that game virtually the whole way and beat them in almost every meaningful statistical category.

    Didn't cover against the lousy Bears and Jimmy Clausen prior to that.

    Prior to that? Didn't cover as big favorites against the Vikings.

    0-3 ATS in it's last three.

    Dallas:

    Blew the doors off the Colts which many here love over a very live Cincy team.

    Won in Seattle, a place where no other team can.

    4 straight wins of double digits.  4-0 SU and ATS in it's last 4.


    One team on a major upswing in real and betting-terms and one team, betting-wise on a down swing.

    Now to the spread.

    Do I like it at 7?

    No.

    You are paying a premium for Dallas. You always will. They are among the most public of teams and in good years, that premium gets worse.

    But I don't see Dallas losing this game in any way, shape or form.

    So if they win outright, what can we say about the spread?

    It's big, but you Detroit backers better get inside the number.

    And getting inside that number in the playoffs isn't easy especially in the Wild Card Round.

    I'll give you this stat and take it for what you will.

    Since 1978, Wild Card round winners cover 89% of the time, that is the team that wins, covers almost 9 of 10 times.

    That means, only 10% of the games in all the Wild Card Rounds since 1978, resulted in a favorite winning but not covering the spread.

    So if you don't have money on this Detriot ML, that trend doesn't bode well for you.

    Now that trend DOES NOT predict the future, it is simply a trend about playoff spreads. That's it.

    Enough. It's a number with a premium that is distasteful but we will attempt to avoid a backdoor.

    GREAT teaser side btw: Cowboys to -1. Then you can take another game of your liking.

    The pick is in.

    The Winners in Life (Cows) - 7 over the Losers in Life (Lions)

    These long write ups always = LOSS
     
    gambleholic63
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:15 PM ET #104

    now /\
    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
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    now /\
     
    tiasman
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:15 PM ET #105

    Hey scab, let us know your live bet right when you place it so we can follow.



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    Hey scab, let us know your live bet right when you place it so we can follow.



     
    Professional1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:15 PM ET #106

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    SycPlayer
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:16 PM ET #107

    I guess scal is a loser in betting aka life lol
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    I guess scal is a loser in betting aka life lol
     
    gambleholic63
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:18 PM ET #108

    What a thrashing the Dallas O-line is taking from Detroit.
    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
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    What a thrashing the Dallas O-line is taking from Detroit.
     
    CAPT-DOUCHE
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:22 PM ET #109

    Oh my, Detroit is overwhelming that Dallas O-LINE. 
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    Oh my, Detroit is overwhelming that Dallas O-LINE. 
     
    gambleholic63
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:25 PM ET #110

    After losing with the Cryboys on Thanksgiving day vs. the Eagles, I vowed not to play them in the post-season.

    Overwhelmed is putting it mildly! This is no contest.

    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
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    After losing with the Cryboys on Thanksgiving day vs. the Eagles, I vowed not to play them in the post-season.

    Overwhelmed is putting it mildly! This is no contest.

     
    DavidAames
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:25 PM ET #111

    got detroit -4.5 at 120

    lets go!!!
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    got detroit -4.5 at 120

    lets go!!!
     
    BigJohn96
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:26 PM ET #112

    Sorry Scal. Opposite of u on this pic.

    The dog is in the house!


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    Sorry Scal. Opposite of u on this pic.

    The dog is in the house!


     
    DavidGurney
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:39 PM ET #113

    25 of the 26 teams at the merger of the AFL and NFL have played in the Super Bowl.Aren't the Lions due for an appearance?

    Perhaps Rutgers'-winners of the first football game-victory on their home field last week in the Quick Lane Bowl is bringing them luck.It would be fitting as Governor Christie-a Cowboys fan- did not attend our game there..

    A long way to go.
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    25 of the 26 teams at the merger of the AFL and NFL have played in the Super Bowl.Aren't the Lions due for an appearance?

    Perhaps Rutgers'-winners of the first football game-victory on their home field last week in the Quick Lane Bowl is bringing them luck.It would be fitting as Governor Christie-a Cowboys fan- did not attend our game there..

    A long way to go.
     
    Lakeshow2424
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:43 PM ET #114

    Scal your the man bro! don't ever stop posting please!!  …… Lions 1st half +3.5 
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    Scal your the man bro! don't ever stop posting please!!  …… Lions 1st half +3.5 
     
    GreenMachine121
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:49 PM ET #115

    Placed bet yesterday colts-3.5 into dallas -6.5 ... then saw this thread... far out you can mock a team.. 
    Unluckiest poster here for sure
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    Placed bet yesterday colts-3.5 into dallas -6.5 ... then saw this thread... far out you can mock a team.. 
    Unluckiest poster here for sure
     
    bk1374
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:50 PM ET #116

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    Yup. I wrote two pages JUST about that.

    Boy, they come in all shapes, sizes and levels of stupidity, don't they.



    Wait, I'm stupid because I tried to guess what the thread was about before reading it?? 

    Long way to in the game.  Good luck. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    Yup. I wrote two pages JUST about that.

    Boy, they come in all shapes, sizes and levels of stupidity, don't they.



    Wait, I'm stupid because I tried to guess what the thread was about before reading it?? 

    Long way to in the game.  Good luck. 
     
    SiuLungBao
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 5:51 PM ET #117

    scal, good job man!

    i need a oregon vs ohio state write up
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    scal, good job man!

    i need a oregon vs ohio state write up
     
    ALTABLOCK
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 6:10 PM ET #118

    Quote Originally Posted by SiuLungBao:

    scal, good job man!

    i need a oregon vs ohio state write up

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    Quote Originally Posted by SiuLungBao:

    scal, good job man!

    i need a oregon vs ohio state write up

     
    CAPT-DOUCHE
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 6:13 PM ET #119

    All kidding aside at what point do you say I give up, I can’t win at this game.  

    I would be embarrassed alone walking into the Bank every Monday. 

    I personally thinking he’s laughing at some Sports Book with A, B and C level managers on how much money they took in from this post. 

    Certainly, the common man would say i give up, I’ve embarrassed myself enough. I’m tired of being ridiculed, not the case here.  

    Something is seriously wrong with this picture.  


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    All kidding aside at what point do you say I give up, I can’t win at this game.  

    I would be embarrassed alone walking into the Bank every Monday. 

    I personally thinking he’s laughing at some Sports Book with A, B and C level managers on how much money they took in from this post. 

    Certainly, the common man would say i give up, I’ve embarrassed myself enough. I’m tired of being ridiculed, not the case here.  

    Something is seriously wrong with this picture.  


     
    Julespussy
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 6:17 PM ET #120

    Quote Originally Posted by CAPT-DOUCHE:

    All kidding aside at what point do you say I give up, I can’t win at this game.  I would be embarrassed alone walking into the Bank every Monday. I personally thinking he’s laughing at some Sports Book with A, B and C level managers on how much money they took in from this post. Certainly, the common man would say i give up, I’ve embarrassed myself enough. I’m tired of being ridiculed, not the case here.  Something is seriously wrong with this picture.

    Aren't you 0-3 today as stated in another thread? Embarrassed?
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    Quote Originally Posted by CAPT-DOUCHE:

    All kidding aside at what point do you say I give up, I can’t win at this game.  I would be embarrassed alone walking into the Bank every Monday. I personally thinking he’s laughing at some Sports Book with A, B and C level managers on how much money they took in from this post. Certainly, the common man would say i give up, I’ve embarrassed myself enough. I’m tired of being ridiculed, not the case here.  Something is seriously wrong with this picture.

    Aren't you 0-3 today as stated in another thread? Embarrassed?
     
    Lakeshow2424
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 6:18 PM ET #121

    Quote Originally Posted by CAPT-DOUCHE:

    All kidding aside at what point do you say I give up, I can’t win at this game.  

    I would be embarrassed alone walking into the Bank every Monday. 

    I personally thinking he’s laughing at some Sports Book with A, B and C level managers on how much money they took in from this post. 

    Certainly, the common man would say i give up, I’ve embarrassed myself enough. I’m tired of being ridiculed, not the case here.  

    Something is seriously wrong with this picture.  



    Obviously he still does it because he likes the attention he receives good or bad. i highly doubt he bets much on the games either. But for the most part don't discourage him from posting this dude is money when you fade his picks!
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    Quote Originally Posted by CAPT-DOUCHE:

    All kidding aside at what point do you say I give up, I can’t win at this game.  

    I would be embarrassed alone walking into the Bank every Monday. 

    I personally thinking he’s laughing at some Sports Book with A, B and C level managers on how much money they took in from this post. 

    Certainly, the common man would say i give up, I’ve embarrassed myself enough. I’m tired of being ridiculed, not the case here.  

    Something is seriously wrong with this picture.  



    Obviously he still does it because he likes the attention he receives good or bad. i highly doubt he bets much on the games either. But for the most part don't discourage him from posting this dude is money when you fade his picks!
     
    CAPT-DOUCHE
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 6:19 PM ET #122

    0-2 you’re close but almost 20 games over 500, what’s your point? 
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    0-2 you’re close but almost 20 games over 500, what’s your point? 
     
    Jcarver
    Jcarver
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 6:20 PM ET #123

    dam this guy is hilarious 
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    dam this guy is hilarious 
     
    casheasy
    casheasy
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 6:25 PM ET #124

    I like the fact that Scalabrine gives a good deal of reasoning for his selections, and is able to sometimes correctly predict how a game will play out. I disagreed with him on this game. But rather than come into his thread and puke all over it and rip him, I listened to his reasons and wished him well. We need more people to do the same.

    Although, I will say, I love Covers because guys will crush you here if you post nonsense or even if they disagree with you and you've got to be a man about it. Makes for a much more fun forum.

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    I like the fact that Scalabrine gives a good deal of reasoning for his selections, and is able to sometimes correctly predict how a game will play out. I disagreed with him on this game. But rather than come into his thread and puke all over it and rip him, I listened to his reasons and wished him well. We need more people to do the same.

    Although, I will say, I love Covers because guys will crush you here if you post nonsense or even if they disagree with you and you've got to be a man about it. Makes for a much more fun forum.

     
     
    MRSARATOGA
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2015 - 6:28 PM ET #125

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