I am not posting this as a system. I am not posting this claiming this is my record. I am not posting this because this is how I handicap games. As I said in my other post when I began this, this is simply for information and something to think about. If you would like go read my write-ups on the past games I have picked, I don't mention this in any of them as I do not take this into my handicapping nearly as much as I do other factors. So no I am not exposed or claiming anything here but it was a little weird to see how quick that one guy jumped on me. Bad day at work?
Gamehunter, as far as what you said. I am posting these records from after the game. These records are not based on playing the team with a higher YPPA before the game, they are based on who has the higher rating after the game. Like I said, this is not a system or anything close to it.
All I am posting is a stat that appears to have a very high relation to the team covering the point spread. If you are able to predict the quarterback that will have a better YPPA before the game, more times then not (80% this season) you will cover the point spread. Personally I find it extremely interesting to think that potentially you may be able to forget about all the other factors that go into handicapping a game and focus on predicting one stat.
So don't jump all over me for posting faulty records and a bogus system and all that bullshit. That is not what I am trying to do at all so please let it go. Just information. You either like it or don't. If you don't, don't try change it, just move on with your day.
Thanks for the insight. It's hard enough to pick a winner with existing stats and figuring out the outcome of a game. Now we are suppose to figure out the Y/A 'after the game'.
So basically just go with the team with the better and more efficient passing game. Or the team with the better deep threats.
nah, im just joking.
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