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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Supercontest leader 23-2 Week 6

    12 Next Last»
    midnightprowl
    FadeTheSharps69
    DoctorSuccess
    TRAIN69
    tony402
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 9959
    Posts: 47
    12 Next Last»
     
    midnightprowl
    midnightprowl
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 8:47 PM ET #1

    ER JAR - W23 L2 T0 LW 4-1
    Week 6 Picks: TB CLE JAX PHI LAR
    TUCO - W23 L2 T0 LW 4-1
    Week 6 Picks: CLE HOU SF NYJ PIT
    CAROLINA 1 - W20 L5 T0 LW 4-1
    Week 6 Picks: CAR MIN LAR ATL TEN
    SO BROS - W20 L5 T0 LW 4-1
    Week 6 Picks: CIN CLE JAX NYJ DET
    TRAIHP86 - W20 L5 T0 LW 3-2
    Week 6 Picks: CAR BAL CLE HOU TEN
    THE IMPLICATION - W19 L5 T1 LW 4-0-1
    Week 6 Picks: TB CLE JAX ARI PIT
    THE BEARDED ONE - W19 L5 T1 LW 4-0-1
    Week 6 Picks: CAR JAX LAR NYJ TEN
    THE KILLSHOT TWO - W19 L5 T0 LW 4-0-1
    Week 6 Picks: HOU JAX SF PIT DET
    DOLLARTHRILL - W19 L5 T1 LW 3-1-1
    Week 6 Picks: JAX MIN WAS SF TEN
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    ER JAR - W23 L2 T0 LW 4-1
    Week 6 Picks: TB CLE JAX PHI LAR
    TUCO - W23 L2 T0 LW 4-1
    Week 6 Picks: CLE HOU SF NYJ PIT
    CAROLINA 1 - W20 L5 T0 LW 4-1
    Week 6 Picks: CAR MIN LAR ATL TEN
    SO BROS - W20 L5 T0 LW 4-1
    Week 6 Picks: CIN CLE JAX NYJ DET
    TRAIHP86 - W20 L5 T0 LW 3-2
    Week 6 Picks: CAR BAL CLE HOU TEN
    THE IMPLICATION - W19 L5 T1 LW 4-0-1
    Week 6 Picks: TB CLE JAX ARI PIT
    THE BEARDED ONE - W19 L5 T1 LW 4-0-1
    Week 6 Picks: CAR JAX LAR NYJ TEN
    THE KILLSHOT TWO - W19 L5 T0 LW 4-0-1
    Week 6 Picks: HOU JAX SF PIT DET
    DOLLARTHRILL - W19 L5 T1 LW 3-1-1
    Week 6 Picks: JAX MIN WAS SF TEN
     
    midnightprowl
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 8:50 PM ET #2

    Cleveland and jax are 2 most popular picks...

    This is in line with Colins and my Cleveland pick as.well..

    Supercontest line has Browns +1 Jags -1.5
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    Cleveland and jax are 2 most popular picks...

    This is in line with Colins and my Cleveland pick as.well..

    Supercontest line has Browns +1 Jags -1.5
     
    FadeTheSharps69
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 9:17 PM ET #3

    I'm on Cleveland as well. There season is on the line this week. 

    Titans are up there a few times and I took them too. 
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    I'm on Cleveland as well. There season is on the line this week. 

    Titans are up there a few times and I took them too. 
     
    DoctorSuccess
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 10:27 PM ET #4

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.

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    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.

     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 11:13 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.

    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....

    Wrong.
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    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.

    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....

    Wrong.
     
    tony402
    tony402
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 11:25 PM ET #6

    do they win straight up or over spreads?
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    do they win straight up or over spreads?
     
    justliketoplay
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 11:34 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....Wrong.[/Quote]

    Yep the color red is as hot as these players are and why not stay on it until the color red or in this case these players streaks end?.peace

    When I win Money it's my money and NOT house money
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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....Wrong.[/Quote]

    Yep the color red is as hot as these players are and why not stay on it until the color red or in this case these players streaks end?.peace

     
    justliketoplay
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 11:36 PM ET #8

    Meant to say:

    Yep the color Black is as hot as these players are and why not stay on it until the color red or in this case these players streaks end?

    When I win Money it's my money and NOT house money
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    Meant to say:

    Yep the color Black is as hot as these players are and why not stay on it until the color red or in this case these players streaks end?

     
    midnightprowl
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2019 - 11:53 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.


    Someone sounda jealous 
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    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.


    Someone sounda jealous 
     
    JDHERMOSA
    JDHERMOSA
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 12:04 AM ET #10

    You also want to look at the TOP 5 consensus of the contest on what people have...typically you don't want to have any of them if in the contest...

    Rams 1225
    Jax 1111
    Seattle 932
    Minn 858
    Dallas 811




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    You also want to look at the TOP 5 consensus of the contest on what people have...typically you don't want to have any of them if in the contest...

    Rams 1225
    Jax 1111
    Seattle 932
    Minn 858
    Dallas 811




     
    lmb4321
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 12:44 AM ET #11

    I'm on Tenn, Jax ,Cle, Car, Browns.....let;s see what happens...
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    I'm on Tenn, Jax ,Cle, Car, Browns.....let;s see what happens...
     
    oldtexx
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 12:49 AM ET #12

    NO Rams for me

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    NO Rams for me

     
    DblAAron
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 1:09 AM ET #13

    Thanks for the info. 

    I saw a crazy stat about NO. Like 14-0 ATS in October the last 3+ years. I think you ride long schlong Teddy until the wheels fall off. 

    My favorite line was Dallas -7 until I’ve seen everyone going the other way. Home dogs coming off a bye have been really bad the last couple years. 

    I think Atl -2.5 is solid as Dan Quinn coaches for his job. Cards defense will have a hard time with Falcons playmakers. 

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    Thanks for the info. 

    I saw a crazy stat about NO. Like 14-0 ATS in October the last 3+ years. I think you ride long schlong Teddy until the wheels fall off. 

    My favorite line was Dallas -7 until I’ve seen everyone going the other way. Home dogs coming off a bye have been really bad the last couple years. 

    I think Atl -2.5 is solid as Dan Quinn coaches for his job. Cards defense will have a hard time with Falcons playmakers. 

     
    dcgmt
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 7:36 AM ET #14

    THANKS midnight
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    THANKS midnight
     
    stressfreelife
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 7:43 AM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....Wrong.

     

    There is nothing that says RED can't hit 100 times in row -- hence,  the strategy of doubling your bet on Black everytime until it hits does not work.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....Wrong.

     

    There is nothing that says RED can't hit 100 times in row -- hence,  the strategy of doubling your bet on Black everytime until it hits does not work.

     
    midnightprowl
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 4:39 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.


    Well doc you did warn us...

    But i am also on Jets 
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    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.


    Well doc you did warn us...

    But i am also on Jets 
     
    GiantFan18
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 4:46 PM ET #17

    Two biggest fraud teams Browns and Jax!!!! OMFG!!!
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    Two biggest fraud teams Browns and Jax!!!! OMFG!!!
     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 5:00 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by midnightprowl:

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....Wrong.
    Yep the color red is as hot as these players are and why not stay on it until the color red or in this case these players streaks end?.Meant to say: Yep the color Black is as hot as these players are and why not stay on it until the color red or in this case these players streaks end?
    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Someone sounda jealous You also want to look at the TOP 5 consensus of the contest on what people have...typically you don't want to have any of them if in the contest... Rams 1225Jax 1111Seattle 932Minn 858Dallas 811I'm on Tenn, Jax ,Cle, Car, Browns.....let;s see what happens...NO Rams for meThanks for the info.  I saw a crazy stat about NO. Like 14-0 ATS in October the last 3+ years. I think you ride long schlong Teddy until the wheels fall off.  My favorite line was Dallas -7 until I’ve seen everyone going the other way. Home dogs coming off a bye have been really bad the last couple years.  I think Atl -2.5 is solid as Dan Quinn coaches for his job. Cards defense will have a hard time with Falcons playmakers. THANKS midnight
    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....Wrong.
      There is nothing that says RED can't hit 100 times in row -- hence,  the strategy of doubling your bet on Black everytime until it hits does not work.
    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Well doc you did warn us...But i am also on Jets Two biggest fraud teams Browns and Jax!!!! OMFG!!!

    Dr. was simply pointing out regression to the mean. Train's theory of red/black fails to point out that over a large sample size, the ball will fall almost equally on either color. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by midnightprowl:

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....Wrong.
    Yep the color red is as hot as these players are and why not stay on it until the color red or in this case these players streaks end?.Meant to say: Yep the color Black is as hot as these players are and why not stay on it until the color red or in this case these players streaks end?
    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Someone sounda jealous You also want to look at the TOP 5 consensus of the contest on what people have...typically you don't want to have any of them if in the contest... Rams 1225Jax 1111Seattle 932Minn 858Dallas 811I'm on Tenn, Jax ,Cle, Car, Browns.....let;s see what happens...NO Rams for meThanks for the info.  I saw a crazy stat about NO. Like 14-0 ATS in October the last 3+ years. I think you ride long schlong Teddy until the wheels fall off.  My favorite line was Dallas -7 until I’ve seen everyone going the other way. Home dogs coming off a bye have been really bad the last couple years.  I think Atl -2.5 is solid as Dan Quinn coaches for his job. Cards defense will have a hard time with Falcons playmakers. THANKS midnight
    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....Wrong.
      There is nothing that says RED can't hit 100 times in row -- hence,  the strategy of doubling your bet on Black everytime until it hits does not work.
    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    This is fade material, guys. Those winning percentages are simply unsustainable. Beware the Browns, Jags, Jets, and Titans.
    Well doc you did warn us...But i am also on Jets Two biggest fraud teams Browns and Jax!!!! OMFG!!!

    Dr. was simply pointing out regression to the mean. Train's theory of red/black fails to point out that over a large sample size, the ball will fall almost equally on either color. 

     
    DoctorSuccess
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 5:54 PM ET #19

     

    Dr. was simply pointing out regression to the mean. Train's theory of red/black fails to point out that over a large sample size, the ball will fall almost equally on either color.[/Quote]

     

     Thanks, Getty. Some of these guys actually think there's no difference between a roulette table and human beings on a playing field.

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    Dr. was simply pointing out regression to the mean. Train's theory of red/black fails to point out that over a large sample size, the ball will fall almost equally on either color.[/Quote]

     

     Thanks, Getty. Some of these guys actually think there's no difference between a roulette table and human beings on a playing field.

     
    DoctorSuccess
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 5:58 PM ET #20

    Midnight, I try to help people on this forum all the time, but most of what I say goes in one ear and out the other. This is my livelihood. With myself and everyone else I know that does this for a living, 55-56% winners is considered a successful season. NOBODY hits 90%. Nobody. Anyone that's trailing that high after 25 games is headed for a fall.

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    Midnight, I try to help people on this forum all the time, but most of what I say goes in one ear and out the other. This is my livelihood. With myself and everyone else I know that does this for a living, 55-56% winners is considered a successful season. NOBODY hits 90%. Nobody. Anyone that's trailing that high after 25 games is headed for a fall.

     
    tamegoro
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 7:28 PM ET #21

    I see many losers here......
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    I see many losers here......
     
    Donkey_Punch_
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 7:30 PM ET #22

    what a dumpster fire

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    what a dumpster fire

     
    Player33
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 7:34 PM ET #23

    Never pay attention to Train......Joke capper. He is probably 42% right. Amazing how sheep follow him. 

     

     

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    Never pay attention to Train......Joke capper. He is probably 42% right. Amazing how sheep follow him. 

     

     

     
    frugal
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 8:10 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....

    Wrong.

    Actually, he’s right.

    As somebody who has played and placed in Westgate 3/4 years, the pacesetters never maintain the early pace and it will happen here.

    Stick to topics you know and you might learn something.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Its funny you think its correlated.....like if the roulette wheel comes up black 10 times in a row then red is more likely.....

    Wrong.

    Actually, he’s right.

    As somebody who has played and placed in Westgate 3/4 years, the pacesetters never maintain the early pace and it will happen here.

    Stick to topics you know and you might learn something.

     
     
    frugal
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2019 - 8:12 PM ET #25

    Actually, now that I think back, I don’t think a pacesetter has even finished in the money except for Alcatraz Holdings and he barely finished after starting off just as hot.
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    Actually, now that I think back, I don’t think a pacesetter has even finished in the money except for Alcatraz Holdings and he barely finished after starting off just as hot.
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